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2022-01-31 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1895
145 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.96%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
41.4%
in alpha space · 31.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.58%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.09750.094708-2.86%0.0861-11.69%0.1108✓2.6524.9M2022-02-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1220.120791-0.99%0.133+9.02%0.0905✗1.00141k2022-02-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13610.134846-0.92%0.1425+4.70%0.0495✗0.98312k2022-02-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.735.6793-0.89%5.37-6.28%0.0636✓1.313.2M2022-02-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.17753.1501-0.86%3.2091+0.99%0.0133✗0.9022k2022-02-01
STXStacksnative1.491.4778-0.82%1.5+0.67%0.0091✗1.002.0M2022-02-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,852.8524,652.09-0.81%25,472.18+2.49%0.0272✗0.9416.4M2022-02-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.079790.07916-0.79%0.07836-1.79%0.0144✓0.7384k2022-02-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.8871.8725-0.77%1.8742-0.68%0.0034✓0.733.1M2022-02-01
MANADecentralandEthereum2.82232.8014-0.74%2.6803-5.03%0.0499✓0.982.8M2022-02-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.27781.2688-0.70%1.2044-5.74%0.0579✓1.003.1M2022-02-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.2125.0445-0.66%25.47+1.03%0.0123✗0.78447k2022-02-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.190160.188959-0.63%0.20659+8.64%0.0798✗1.6224k2022-02-01
FTTFTXEthereum43.5843.313-0.61%45.2+3.72%0.0355✗1.2337.0M2022-02-01
PROPropyEthereum2.312.296-0.60%2.23-3.46%0.0350✓1.003.4M2022-02-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5490.545687-0.60%0.5575+1.55%0.0146✗1.172.1M2022-02-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.9045.8687-0.60%5.979+1.27%0.0125✗1.04341k2022-02-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8881.8768-0.59%1.837-2.70%0.0287✓1.241.5M2022-02-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.273.2516-0.56%3.46+5.81%0.0537✗1.4524.6M2022-02-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.12150.120836-0.55%0.1189-2.14%0.0249✓1.501.7M2022-02-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.2514.1722-0.55%14.46+1.47%0.0160✗0.70841k2022-02-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.54030.53742-0.53%0.5296-1.98%0.0257✓1.8948.9M2022-02-01
RADRadworksEthereum5.85.7691-0.53%5.6-3.45%0.0359✓1.061.0M2022-02-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0580.05771-0.50%0.05811+0.19%0.0014✓1.431.7M2022-02-01
XYMSymbolnative0.18360.182732-0.47%0.1825-0.60%0.0052✓0.68495k2022-02-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.8219.732-0.44%20.15+1.66%0.0135✗1.2834.3M2022-02-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.852610.848834-0.44%0.84367-1.05%0.0162✓1.74534k2022-02-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.951.9414-0.44%1.98+1.54%0.0121✗1.302.8M2022-02-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013310.013252-0.44%0.01283-3.61%0.0376✓0.9014k2022-02-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1416460.141028-0.44%0.142489+0.60%0.0041✓1.077.1M2022-02-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2273.213-0.43%3.337+3.41%0.0329✗0.85819k2022-02-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.321.2082-0.43%20.92-1.78%0.0208✓1.2212.6M2022-02-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.27180.270658-0.42%0.2826+3.97%0.0365✗1.15557k2022-02-01
XEMNEMnative0.10220.101779-0.41%0.104+1.76%0.0157✗1.0241k2022-02-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.276.2442-0.41%6.28+0.16%0.0006✓0.87529k2022-02-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.1617.0902-0.41%17-0.93%0.0124✓1.2288.8M2022-02-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.357.3202-0.41%8.06+9.66%0.0947✗0.271.8M2022-02-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.629.5821-0.39%9.72+1.04%0.0099✗0.75744k2022-02-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.01384.9948-0.38%4.8991-2.29%0.0267✓1.26430k2022-02-01
XVGVergenative0.010220.010181-0.38%0.01018-0.39%0.0079✓1.341.6M2022-02-01
HIVEHivenative0.96190.958269-0.38%0.9549-0.73%0.0125✓1.542.0M2022-02-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.3614.3063-0.37%14.66+2.09%0.0187✗0.99814k2022-02-01
API3Api3Ethereum3.413.398-0.35%3.57+4.69%0.0483✗0.191.4M2022-02-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.06653.0557-0.35%3.0959+0.96%0.0070✗1.052.0M2022-02-01
XTZTezosTezos3.49383.4817-0.35%3.7479+7.27%0.0655✗1.402.4M2022-02-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03520.035078-0.35%0.0358+1.70%0.0118✗1.47617k2022-02-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum52.3852.2-0.34%53.47+2.08%0.0173✗1.168.0M2022-02-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1084.0939-0.34%4.228+2.92%0.0275✗0.81367k2022-02-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1997230.199053-0.34%0.202028+1.15%0.0088✗1.0426.2M2022-02-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0142680.014221-0.33%0.015173+6.34%0.0580✗1.172.7M2022-02-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.1520.0833-0.33%19.38-3.82%0.0464✓1.853.9M2022-02-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.52.4917-0.33%2.53+1.20%0.0093✗1.02754k2022-02-01
ZENHorizenBase4140.8645-0.33%39.21-4.37%0.0508✓1.63626k2022-02-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08120.080935-0.33%0.0822+1.23%0.0083✗1.24317k2022-02-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0392780.03915-0.33%0.03834-2.39%0.0282✓1.259.4M2022-02-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5120.4438-0.32%20.94+2.10%0.0147✗1.59556k2022-02-01
ADACardanoCardano1.05241.049-0.32%1.0965+4.19%0.0376✗1.14113.2M2022-02-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,491.9338,368.12-0.32%38,716.88+0.58%0.0032✓1.00717.4M2022-02-01
SUSHISushiEthereum4.234.2164-0.32%4.35+2.84%0.0230✗1.409.3M2022-02-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0210240.020957-0.32%0.020954-0.33%0.0061✓1.023.1M2022-02-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.0727.9819-0.31%28.86+2.81%0.0242✗1.15120.6M2022-02-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6832.6746-0.31%2.683+0.00%0.0058✓1.53986k2022-02-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.09031.0869-0.31%1.1475+5.25%0.0472✗1.232.4M2022-02-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06190.061709-0.31%0.062+0.16%0.0030✓1.31564k2022-02-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0423.0327-0.31%3.125+2.73%0.0253✗0.81342k2022-02-01
KCSKuCoinnative18.06518.0098-0.31%18.496+2.39%0.0178✗1.5210.6M2022-02-01
BANDBandEthereum3.483.4694-0.30%3.49+0.29%0.0015✓1.272.5M2022-02-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.83380.831267-0.30%0.8391+0.64%0.0028✓1.1316.8M2022-02-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.087840.087575-0.30%0.08902+1.34%0.0100✗1.0946k2022-02-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.162.1535-0.30%2.03-6.02%0.0680✓1.544.2M2022-02-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009930.009901-0.30%0.00957-3.63%0.0415✓1.302.1M2022-02-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.54920.547594-0.29%0.565+2.88%0.0235✗1.342.7M2022-02-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.049850.049706-0.29%0.04829-3.13%0.0347✓1.005.5M2022-02-01
QTUMQtumQtum6.06786.0504-0.29%6.1797+1.84%0.0126✗1.46181k2022-02-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.95040.947744-0.28%0.967+1.75%0.0133✗1.1834.5M2022-02-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.32910.328189-0.28%0.3087-6.20%0.0707✓1.634.2M2022-02-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.83880.836482-0.28%0.8834+5.32%0.0458✗1.51106k2022-02-01
SCSiacoinnative0.009940.009913-0.27%0.01011+1.71%0.0136✗1.04588k2022-02-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.3919.3376-0.27%19.58+0.98%0.0043✗1.4050.2M2022-02-01
XECeCashnative0.000076330.000076124-0.27%0.00007722+1.17%0.0077✗1.135.8M2022-02-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11360.113294-0.27%0.1161+2.20%0.0167✗1.333.8M2022-02-01
MINAMina Protocolnative2.392.3836-0.27%2.65+10.88%0.0989✗1.21602k2022-02-01
ZECZcashZcash94.5794.3176-0.27%98.97+4.65%0.0403✗1.356.6M2022-02-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5471.5429-0.27%1.525-1.42%0.0187✓1.211.6M2022-02-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.266.2433-0.27%6.24-0.32%0.0052✓0.80504k2022-02-01
STORJStorjEthereum1.16481.1617-0.27%1.1512-1.17%0.0151✓1.02352k2022-02-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.4640.462769-0.27%0.4737+2.09%0.0152✗1.402.2M2022-02-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.029780.029701-0.27%0.03008+1.01%0.0074✗0.908.7M2022-02-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin109.55109.2642-0.26%115.11+5.08%0.0443✗1.3533.8M2022-02-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.255.2364-0.26%5.37+2.29%0.0209✗0.73429k2022-02-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.4090.407947-0.26%0.4393+7.41%0.0664✗1.3110.0M2022-02-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3591.3555-0.26%1.316-3.16%0.0369✓1.263.5M2022-02-01
IMXImmutableEthereum2.692.6831-0.25%2.88+7.06%0.0617✗1.552.2M2022-02-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.681.6758-0.25%1.7+1.19%0.0068✗1.302.1M2022-02-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.546.5237-0.25%6.66+1.83%0.0194✗0.231.1M2022-02-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43690.435825-0.25%0.4327-0.96%0.0165✓1.602.0M2022-02-01
UNIUniswapEthereum11.7811.7511-0.25%11.11-5.69%0.0641✓1.3712.5M2022-02-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.11643.1089-0.24%3.1868+2.26%0.0182✗1.132.9M2022-02-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2470.246413-0.24%0.255+3.24%0.0287✗0.9563k2022-02-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,589.3038,498.45-0.24%38,691.90+0.27%0.0009✓1.0251k2022-02-01
GITCOINGITCOIN7.3187.3009-0.23%8.052+10.03%0.0966✗0.2340k2022-02-01
DASHDashDash94.1893.9613-0.23%97.23+3.24%0.0273✗1.182.9M2022-02-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3180.317268-0.23%0.328+3.14%0.0253✗1.361.7M2022-02-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040450.040357-0.23%0.04034-0.27%0.0070✓1.1229k2022-02-01
AAVEAaveEthereum157.59157.2303-0.23%164.05+4.10%0.0343✗1.4012.7M2022-02-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.152.1451-0.23%2.1-2.33%0.0303✓1.562.3M2022-02-01
LUNATerraTerra 252.1552.0329-0.22%52.21+0.12%0.0065✓1.698.8M2022-02-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24230.241765-0.22%0.2456+1.36%0.0089✗1.171.9M2022-02-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06580.065655-0.22%0.0658+0.00%0.0043✓1.1121k2022-02-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1196.1061-0.21%5.958-2.63%0.0295✓0.86118k2022-02-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.6725.6165-0.21%26.8+4.40%0.0388✗1.093.3M2022-02-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.0226.9638-0.21%26.67-1.30%0.0206✓1.662.6M2022-02-01
DODODODOEthereum0.4910.490001-0.20%0.488-0.61%0.0130✓1.545.0M2022-02-01
XMRMoneroMonero147.48147.1807-0.20%146.32-0.79%0.0118✓1.021.9M2022-02-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.99850.996485-0.20%0.9652-3.34%0.0426✓1.83929k2022-02-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV91.3291.1361-0.20%91.69+0.41%0.0005✓0.951.6M2022-02-01
UMAUMAEthereum5.955.938-0.20%5.98+0.50%0.0007✓1.092.1M2022-02-01
COMPCompoundEthereum121.39121.1579-0.19%128.16+5.58%0.0486✗1.3165k2022-02-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.256.2385-0.18%6.27+0.32%0.0005✓0.95892k2022-02-01
QNTQuantEthereum97.1596.9755-0.18%104.95+8.03%0.0729✗1.057.5M2022-02-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9150.913395-0.18%0.932+1.86%0.0121✗1.382.3M2022-02-01
KSMKusamaHydration159.75159.4792-0.17%170.69+6.85%0.0611✗1.181.2M2022-02-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.71993.7137-0.17%4.2589+14.49%0.1371✗-0.02350k2022-02-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche69.9269.8042-0.17%73.37+4.93%0.0420✗1.3485.3M2022-02-01
CBKCobakEthereum2.2472.2434-0.16%2.247+0.00%0.0048✓1.0923k2022-02-01
ETHEthereumEthereum2,689.722,685.47-0.16%2,789.66+3.72%0.0316✗1.11557.7M2022-02-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021420.000021392-0.13%0.00002176+1.59%0.0089✗1.411.6M2022-02-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.55261.5505-0.13%1.6048+3.36%0.0279✗1.1182k2022-02-01
SOLSolanaSolana99.5299.3916-0.13%110.1+10.63%0.0954✗1.19165.9M2022-02-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash285.23284.883-0.12%287.95+0.95%0.0046✗1.056.8M2022-02-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.820.81901-0.12%1.17+42.68%0.3478✗1.53490k2022-02-01
GTGateEthereum6.8676.8592-0.11%6.9364+1.01%0.0057✗0.954.2M2022-02-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.045860.045809-0.11%0.0446-2.75%0.0332✓1.119.2M2022-02-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.639316-0.11%0.7+9.37%0.0799✗1.861.1M2022-02-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5673350.566746-0.10%0.582133+2.61%0.0197✗1.223.3M2022-02-01
XVSVenusEthereum7.947.9318-0.10%8.13+2.39%0.0170✗1.332.8M2022-02-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.18890.188711-0.10%0.1885-0.21%0.0089✓1.343.8M2022-02-01
TRXTRONTron0.0591320.059088-0.08%0.059831+1.18%0.0071✗0.93431k2022-02-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7310.730531-0.06%0.756+3.42%0.0281✗1.071.7M2022-02-01
NANOnanopayBase2.13152.1303-0.06%2.1518+0.95%0.0028✗1.24888k2022-02-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.3895.3861-0.05%5.365-0.45%0.0098✓1.001.4M2022-02-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.61660.616309-0.05%0.7231+17.27%0.1508✗1.541.2M2022-02-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007280.007277-0.05%0.00684-6.04%0.0755✓2.3423.2M2022-02-01
MOVRMoonriverBase75.077575.0552-0.03%76.2874+1.61%0.0089✗1.27410k2022-02-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0375420.037632+0.24%0.042617+13.52%0.1162✓1.40172k2022-02-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.