2022-01-22 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1026

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+20.60%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

52.4%

in alpha space · 53.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+5.58%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.82	4.4173	-8.36%	5.72	+18.67%	0.2374	✗	0.39	471k	2022-02-21
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.15	1.9742	-8.18%	1.99	-7.44%	0.0463	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-02-21
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5658	0.520894	-7.94%	0.481	-14.99%	0.1458	✓	1.22	1.8M	2022-02-21
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.392	6.8406	-7.46%	2.332	-68.45%	1.1304	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-21
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.4442	1.3417	-7.10%	0.8883	-38.49%	0.4667	✓	1.00	4.1M	2022-02-21
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.07202	0.067888	-5.74%	0.03362	-53.32%	0.7570	✓	1.00	12.6M	2022-02-21
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5482	0.519923	-5.16%	0.3401	-37.96%	0.5242	✓	1.84	48.9M	2022-02-21
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.054184	0.051626	-4.72%	0.023018	-57.52%	0.8620	✓	1.00	575k	2022-02-21
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.27	28.0176	-4.28%	23.83	-18.59%	0.2173	✓	1.02	109.3M	2022-02-21
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	22,897.64	21,965.61	-4.07%	19,642.84	-14.21%	0.1584	✓	0.86	21.5M	2022-02-21
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5039	1.4576	-3.08%	1.7569	+16.82%	0.1421	✗	0.82	1.6M	2022-02-21
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.54	19.9133	-3.05%	17.77	-13.49%	0.1866	✓	1.34	34.9M	2022-02-21
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	33.44	32.4684	-2.91%	39.81	+19.05%	0.1388	✗	1.20	29.0M	2022-02-21
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.424	6.263	-2.51%	5.32	-17.19%	0.2219	✓	1.08	301k	2022-02-21
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1498	0.146301	-2.34%	0.1488	-0.67%	0.0213	✓	0.70	536k	2022-02-21
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0713	1.0471	-2.26%	0.8572	-19.99%	0.2616	✓	1.13	104.1M	2022-02-21
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.133158	0.130297	-2.15%	0.128094	-3.80%	0.0757	✓	1.08	6.7M	2022-02-21
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	21.51	21.0857	-1.97%	26.51	+23.25%	0.1884	✗	0.75	353k	2022-02-21
XEM	NEM	native	0.0944	0.092608	-1.90%	0.0927	-1.80%	0.0569	✓	1.07	41k	2022-02-21
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.68	8.5178	-1.87%	9.06	+4.38%	0.0210	✗	0.75	800k	2022-02-21
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.19237	0.188818	-1.85%	0.17816	-7.39%	0.1163	✓	1.07	24.9M	2022-02-21
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.567	2.5247	-1.65%	2.321	-9.58%	0.1677	✓	1.54	1.1M	2022-02-21
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7227	2.6812	-1.52%	2.8775	+5.69%	0.0146	✓	1.03	2.2M	2022-02-21
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.11	6.0176	-1.51%	4.92	-19.48%	0.2586	✓	1.05	3.9M	2022-02-21
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.49	3.4381	-1.49%	3.77	+8.02%	0.0272	✗	1.20	2.4M	2022-02-21
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.9642	2.9214	-1.44%	2.2241	-24.97%	0.3202	✓	0.87	2,942	2022-02-21
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.62	12.4413	-1.42%	13.77	+9.11%	0.0634	✗	0.70	813k	2022-02-21
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	62.89	62.0275	-1.37%	50.13	-20.29%	0.3108	✓	1.80	7.8M	2022-02-21
DASH	Dash	Dash	97.07	95.7571	-1.35%	87.04	-10.33%	0.1619	✓	1.22	2.8M	2022-02-21
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.07873	0.077691	-1.32%	0.0791	+0.47%	0.0464	✓	1.19	41k	2022-02-21
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01275	0.012582	-1.32%	0.01284	+0.71%	0.0275	✓	0.88	21k	2022-02-21
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1394	0.13765	-1.26%	0.1283	-7.96%	0.1217	✓	0.95	362k	2022-02-21
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	35,066.43	34,637.72	-1.22%	37,023.00	+5.58%	0.0123	✓	1.00	648.0M	2022-02-21
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9512	0.940391	-1.14%	0.7852	-17.45%	0.2460	✓	1.21	34.7M	2022-02-21
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.244	0.241408	-1.06%	0.248	+1.64%	0.0236	✓	0.93	67k	2022-02-21
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4454	0.440692	-1.06%	0.4311	-3.21%	0.0904	✓	1.26	2.4M	2022-02-21
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0068	2.9775	-0.98%	2.8682	-4.61%	0.1043	✓	1.23	3.8M	2022-02-21
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	190.08	188.2513	-0.96%	125.92	-33.75%	0.4677	✓	1.21	1.3M	2022-02-21
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.86	15.7128	-0.93%	13.51	-14.82%	0.2184	✓	1.24	75.4M	2022-02-21
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0594	0.058871	-0.89%	0.0613	+3.20%	0.0207	✓	1.13	21k	2022-02-21
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.24	88.4978	-0.83%	80.87	-9.38%	0.1418	✓	0.95	1.8M	2022-02-21
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.42	4.3862	-0.76%	3.28	-25.79%	0.3632	✓	1.34	16.1M	2022-02-21
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.366	1.356	-0.73%	1.34	-1.90%	0.0767	✓	1.19	1.8M	2022-02-21
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.6015	3.5751	-0.73%	5.8395	+62.14%	0.4899	✗	0.01	371k	2022-02-21
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.65	1.6382	-0.71%	1.6127	-2.26%	0.0765	✓	1.12	95k	2022-02-21
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5565	5.5171	-0.71%	5.7431	+3.36%	0.0382	✓	1.44	263k	2022-02-21
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014961	0.014864	-0.65%	0.012214	-18.36%	0.2624	✓	1.22	2.7M	2022-02-21
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.7106	0.706184	-0.62%	1.646	+131.64%	0.7719	✗	1.37	108k	2022-02-21
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00998	0.009919	-0.61%	0.01004	+0.60%	0.0568	✓	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-21
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.1	2.0874	-0.60%	1.25	-40.48%	0.5909	✓	1.44	2.6M	2022-02-21
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02985	0.02968	-0.57%	0.0257	-13.90%	0.1973	✓	0.98	8.3M	2022-02-21
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.506	1.4981	-0.52%	1.384	-8.10%	0.1483	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-21
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.62	1.6118	-0.50%	1.37	-15.43%	0.2212	✓	1.08	2.6M	2022-02-21
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2645	0.263197	-0.49%	0.2042	-22.80%	0.3413	✓	1.61	4.6M	2022-02-21
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03631	0.036172	-0.38%	0.03591	-1.10%	0.0687	✓	1.13	25k	2022-02-21
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1135	0.113096	-0.36%	0.1229	+8.28%	0.0102	✗	1.34	4.3M	2022-02-21
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.71467	0.712129	-0.36%	0.64579	-9.64%	0.1926	✓	1.75	848k	2022-02-21
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0732	0.072945	-0.35%	0.0692	-5.46%	0.1193	✓	1.23	299k	2022-02-21
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2394	4.2253	-0.33%	3.7534	-11.46%	0.1837	✓	1.20	443k	2022-02-21
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2179	0.217252	-0.30%	0.2293	+5.23%	0.0070	✓	1.12	440k	2022-02-21
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.665	3.6546	-0.28%	4.021	+9.71%	0.0534	✗	0.78	445k	2022-02-21
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.059	3.0506	-0.27%	2.889	-5.56%	0.1017	✓	0.87	1.1M	2022-02-21
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.161	1.1581	-0.25%	1.003	-13.61%	0.2130	✓	1.27	4.0M	2022-02-21
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	1.979	1.9748	-0.21%	1.933	-2.32%	0.0805	✓	1.09	24k	2022-02-21
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	50.17	50.083	-0.17%	47.35	-5.62%	0.1217	✓	1.21	6.3M	2022-02-21
ZEN	Horizen	Base	35.28	35.2224	-0.16%	32.14	-8.90%	0.1765	✓	1.56	613k	2022-02-21
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.46	2.456	-0.16%	1.58	-35.77%	0.5290	✓	1.62	2.2M	2022-02-21
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	34,807.70	34,762.15	-0.13%	37,080.10	+6.53%	0.0099	✗	1.01	26k	2022-02-21
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.33	2.3281	-0.08%	2.17	-6.87%	0.1260	✓	1.03	819k	2022-02-21
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.96	6.9555	-0.06%	5.95	-14.51%	0.1781	✓	0.41	2.8M	2022-02-21
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.26	18.2489	-0.06%	16.19	-11.34%	0.1949	✓	1.38	58.5M	2022-02-21
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.496	0.495875	-0.03%	0.444	-10.48%	0.1955	✓	1.57	8.0M	2022-02-21
XMR	Monero	Monero	152.34	152.3275	-0.01%	148	-2.85%	0.0837	✓	1.01	2.6M	2022-02-21
KCS	KuCoin	native	15.129	15.1283	-0.00%	18.137	+19.88%	0.0939	✗	1.61	10.7M	2022-02-21
XVG	Verge	native	0.00935	0.00935	+0.00%	0.00929	-0.64%	0.0792	✗	1.34	1.8M	2022-02-21
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.23	24.2364	+0.03%	25	+3.18%	0.0285	✗	1.10	3.3M	2022-02-21
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.66	5.6616	+0.03%	5.83	+3.00%	0.0165	✗	0.84	616k	2022-02-21
XEC	eCash	native	0.00006839	0.000068411	+0.03%	0.00006783	-0.82%	0.0669	✗	1.08	6.5M	2022-02-21
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.77	1.771	+0.05%	1.57	-11.30%	0.1951	✗	1.37	3.1M	2022-02-21
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.01	19.0218	+0.06%	18.64	-1.95%	0.0857	✗	1.20	14.5M	2022-02-21
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.8	4.805	+0.10%	4.83	+0.63%	0.0338	✗	0.72	491k	2022-02-21
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.319	0.319371	+0.12%	0.279	-12.54%	0.2117	✗	1.41	1.8M	2022-02-21
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.63	5.6369	+0.12%	5.27	-6.39%	0.1085	✗	0.76	645k	2022-02-21
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.78	0.781406	+0.18%	0.7113	-8.81%	0.1540	✗	1.10	22.7M	2022-02-21
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.0434	2.0475	+0.20%	2.4827	+21.50%	0.1299	✓	1.16	4.3M	2022-02-21
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5076	0.508654	+0.21%	0.4728	-6.86%	0.1446	✗	1.32	3.2M	2022-02-21
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.41	108.6364	+0.21%	102.78	-5.19%	0.1277	✗	1.33	30.5M	2022-02-21
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4385	0.439534	+0.24%	0.3661	-16.51%	0.2598	✗	1.42	2.6M	2022-02-21
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2331	0.233678	+0.25%	0.2206	-5.36%	0.1263	✗	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-21
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.804	2.8117	+0.27%	2.583	-7.88%	0.1278	✗	0.79	523k	2022-02-21
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036765	0.036868	+0.28%	0.050288	+36.78%	0.2393	✓	1.31	10.3M	2022-02-21
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0094	0.009428	+0.30%	0.00847	-9.89%	0.1662	✗	1.09	641k	2022-02-21
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.76	18.8246	+0.34%	17.63	-6.02%	0.1499	✗	1.55	944k	2022-02-21
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,411.90	2,420.36	+0.35%	2,569.00	+6.51%	0.0014	✓	1.12	502.4M	2022-02-21
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020108	0.020193	+0.42%	0.018035	-10.31%	0.1738	✗	1.12	3.7M	2022-02-21
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.78	3.7968	+0.44%	3.73	-1.32%	0.0842	✗	1.22	3.2M	2022-02-21
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0326	0.032774	+0.53%	0.0263	-19.33%	0.3002	✗	1.48	1.1M	2022-02-21
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05051	0.050787	+0.55%	0.01937	-61.65%	1.0372	✗	1.35	12.0M	2022-02-21
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4163	0.418613	+0.56%	0.3572	-14.20%	0.2296	✗	1.31	10.8M	2022-02-21
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.89	2.9067	+0.58%	2.34	-19.03%	0.2991	✗	1.51	32.4M	2022-02-21
GT	Gate	Ethereum	5.6708	5.705	+0.60%	6.0829	+7.27%	0.0136	✓	0.93	4.5M	2022-02-21
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.19	13.2774	+0.66%	12.48	-5.38%	0.1227	✗	1.12	841k	2022-02-21
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.34	2.3582	+0.78%	2.16	-7.69%	0.1522	✗	1.19	737k	2022-02-21
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06237	0.062873	+0.81%	0.05994	-3.90%	0.0930	✗	0.83	60k	2022-02-21
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.518861	0.523611	+0.92%	0.519067	+0.04%	0.0745	✗	1.21	2.3M	2022-02-21
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.06	6.1214	+1.01%	6.72	+10.89%	0.0817	✓	0.21	1.2M	2022-02-21
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	120.3	121.5645	+1.05%	106.4	-11.55%	0.2010	✗	1.25	88k	2022-02-21
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.84	24.0923	+1.06%	21.87	-8.26%	0.1895	✗	1.71	2.7M	2022-02-21
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9521	2.9849	+1.11%	2.9731	+0.71%	0.0781	✗	1.37	3.1M	2022-02-21
HIVE	Hive	native	0.7987	0.807703	+1.13%	0.8148	+2.02%	0.0719	✗	1.48	3.8M	2022-02-21
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	94.59	95.6771	+1.15%	100.47	+6.22%	0.0237	✗	1.34	8.4M	2022-02-21
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.11	16.3038	+1.20%	13.9	-13.72%	0.2587	✗	1.83	4.1M	2022-02-21
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002053	0.000020783	+1.23%	0.00002404	+17.10%	0.0690	✓	1.41	1.7M	2022-02-21
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5834	0.590846	+1.28%	0.4442	-23.86%	0.3696	✗	1.55	1.4M	2022-02-21
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.16	11.3042	+1.29%	8.52	-23.66%	0.3551	✗	1.33	12.7M	2022-02-21
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15638	0.158402	+1.29%	0.15154	-3.10%	0.1275	✗	1.53	7,011	2022-02-21
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.08	2.1076	+1.33%	1.3	-37.50%	0.5628	✗	1.47	6.6M	2022-02-21
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	98.78	100.0981	+1.33%	106.88	+8.20%	0.0102	✓	1.02	7.0M	2022-02-21
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.05675	0.057508	+1.34%	0.059472	+4.80%	0.0188	✗	0.96	486k	2022-02-21
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.8	5.8798	+1.38%	5.241	-9.64%	0.1578	✗	0.79	163k	2022-02-21
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0381	1.0525	+1.39%	0.88573	-14.68%	0.2280	✗	1.02	402k	2022-02-21
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.649024	+1.41%	0.72	+12.50%	0.0004	✓	1.92	1.3M	2022-02-21
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.80696	0.819037	+1.50%	1.1385	+41.09%	0.2625	✓	1.23	2.4M	2022-02-21
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04896	0.049693	+1.50%	0.04508	-7.92%	0.1794	✗	1.51	1.9M	2022-02-21
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1764	0.179069	+1.51%	0.1686	-4.42%	0.1368	✗	1.41	4.3M	2022-02-21
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.944	7.0504	+1.53%	6.04	-13.02%	0.1740	✗	0.36	38k	2022-02-21
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	83.9941	85.3361	+1.60%	68.7997	-18.09%	0.2852	✗	1.29	486k	2022-02-21
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0543	0.05532	+1.88%	0.0681	+25.41%	0.1281	✓	1.47	684k	2022-02-21
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	59.8	60.924	+1.88%	70.08	+17.19%	0.0690	✓	1.31	87.3M	2022-02-21
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.87	0.886823	+1.93%	0.739	-15.06%	0.2586	✗	1.40	2.3M	2022-02-21
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.9	0.91752	+1.95%	0.92	+2.22%	0.0858	✗	1.63	569k	2022-02-21
SOL	Solana	Solana	94.78	96.6627	+1.99%	82.97	-12.46%	0.2183	✗	1.21	142.2M	2022-02-21
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.61	5.7218	+1.99%	4.2	-25.13%	0.3593	✗	0.92	1.0M	2022-02-21
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	291.88	297.7231	+2.00%	283.16	-2.99%	0.1073	✗	1.05	7.0M	2022-02-21
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.06	5.1701	+2.18%	5.07	+0.20%	0.0751	✗	1.02	1.1M	2022-02-21
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0376	0.038434	+2.22%	0.0474	+26.06%	0.1003	✓	2.02	24.3M	2022-02-21
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.711	0.728345	+2.44%	0.64	-9.99%	0.1891	✗	1.10	2.0M	2022-02-21
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0799	0.081875	+2.47%	0.0877	+9.76%	0.0063	✓	1.38	2.0M	2022-02-21
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.0461	2.0973	+2.50%	1.9047	-6.91%	0.1644	✗	1.25	714k	2022-02-21
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	147.18	151.2648	+2.78%	128.58	-12.64%	0.2312	✗	1.26	17.6M	2022-02-21
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00793	0.008154	+2.82%	0.00451	-43.13%	0.7255	✗	2.46	23.2M	2022-02-21
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7316	0.754782	+3.17%	0.7421	+1.44%	0.1256	✗	2.00	1.1M	2022-02-21
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.59	8.0181	+5.64%	8.64	+13.83%	0.0072	✓	1.24	3.0M	2022-02-21

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.