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2022-01-21 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 141 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1244
141 of 141 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.12%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
9.2%
in alpha space · 2.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.81%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (141 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum171.09172.7814+0.99%147.18-13.98%0.1126✗1.2317.6M2022-01-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2091.2207+0.97%1.161-3.97%0.0005✓1.284.0M2022-01-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011110.011216+0.95%0.00998-10.17%0.0681✗1.252.2M2022-01-22
ETHEthereumEthereum2,569.012,593.43+0.95%2,411.90-6.12%0.0292✗1.12502.4M2022-01-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.51860.523467+0.94%0.4454-14.11%0.1139✗1.222.4M2022-01-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.5515.695+0.93%13.19-15.18%0.1320✗1.08841k2022-01-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04170.042082+0.92%0.0376-9.83%0.0737✗1.0024.3M2022-01-22
ZECZcashZcash102.35103.2558+0.89%94.59-7.58%0.0361✗1.338.4M2022-01-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.7794+0.88%6.06-9.82%0.1051✗0.181.2M2022-01-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.03030.030567+0.88%0.02985-1.49%0.0148✓0.998.3M2022-01-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.083240.083969+0.88%0.07873-5.42%0.0185✗1.1838k2022-01-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.4576+0.87%1.366-5.47%0.0186✗1.191.8M2022-01-22
HIVEHivenative0.9060.913842+0.87%0.7987-11.84%0.0780✗1.463.9M2022-01-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin36,456.9436,765.98+0.85%35,066.43-3.81%0.0084✓1.00648.0M2022-01-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.63650.641886+0.85%0.5482-13.87%0.0877✗1.8046.2M2022-01-22
XMRMoneroMonero172.82174.2808+0.85%152.34-11.85%0.0965✗0.982.7M2022-01-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.18481.1946+0.83%1.0381-12.38%0.1020✗0.99402k2022-01-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,607.8036,910.51+0.83%34,807.70-4.92%0.0197✗1.0018k2022-01-22
GITCOINGITCOIN7.8267.8907+0.83%6.944-11.27%0.1154✗0.3238k2022-01-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.810110.816767+0.82%0.71467-11.78%0.0666✗1.72848k2022-01-22
GTGateEthereum6.2436.2941+0.82%5.6708-9.17%0.0690✗0.914.3M2022-01-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.496.5429+0.81%5.61-13.56%0.1194✗0.881.0M2022-01-22
DODODODOEthereum0.5610.565512+0.80%0.496-11.59%0.0711✗1.558.0M2022-01-22
QNTQuantEthereum114.44115.3447+0.79%98.78-13.68%0.1168✗0.986.9M2022-01-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.841.8545+0.79%1.62-11.96%0.0944✗1.052.7M2022-01-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.43660.440032+0.79%0.4163-4.65%0.0046✓1.3110.8M2022-01-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.167040.168349+0.78%0.15638-6.38%0.0143✗1.536,8492022-01-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.4417.5749+0.77%15.86-9.06%0.0550✗1.2275.4M2022-01-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.1980.199488+0.75%0.1764-10.91%0.0691✗1.394.3M2022-01-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.174.201+0.74%3.78-9.35%0.0587✗1.213.2M2022-01-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.23960.24137+0.74%0.2179-9.06%0.0594✗1.10440k2022-01-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.03031.0378+0.73%0.9512-7.68%0.0406✗1.2032.1M2022-01-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum23.3123.4803+0.73%21.51-7.72%0.0593✗0.73342k2022-01-22
XVSVenusEthereum9.9410.0122+0.73%7.59-23.64%0.2316✗1.173.0M2022-01-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022260.00002242+0.72%0.00002053-7.77%0.0337✗1.401.7M2022-01-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.71864.7525+0.72%4.2394-10.16%0.0682✗1.18443k2022-01-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.22192.2378+0.71%2.0434-8.04%0.0467✗1.144.3M2022-01-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.970.976924+0.71%0.9-7.22%0.0187✗1.63569k2022-01-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7640.769432+0.71%0.711-6.94%0.0365✗1.092.0M2022-01-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.9575.9991+0.71%5.8-2.64%0.0031✓0.79163k2022-01-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.917340.923824+0.71%0.80696-12.03%0.0886✗1.202.4M2022-01-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.558460.562398+0.71%0.518861-7.09%0.0339✗1.202.3M2022-01-22
BANDBandEthereum3.963.9879+0.70%3.49-11.87%0.0879✗1.172.4M2022-01-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3923.4157+0.70%3.059-9.82%0.0774✗0.851.1M2022-01-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1420570.143048+0.70%0.133158-6.26%0.0300✗1.076.7M2022-01-22
ADACardanoCardano1.12111.1289+0.69%1.0713-4.44%0.0083✗1.13104.1M2022-01-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum22.0139+0.69%1.77-11.50%0.0766✗1.353.1M2022-01-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4213.5131+0.69%12.62-5.96%0.0416✗0.69813k2022-01-22
SOLSolanaSolana112.32113.0986+0.69%94.78-15.62%0.1315✗1.16142.2M2022-01-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.86780.873795+0.69%0.7316-15.69%0.1013✗1.961.1M2022-01-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.055520.055903+0.69%0.05051-9.02%0.0496✗1.3312.0M2022-01-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.9526.1282+0.69%24.23-6.63%0.0331✗1.093.3M2022-01-22
KCSKuCoinnative16.80816.9232+0.69%15.129-9.99%0.0502✗1.5910.7M2022-01-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.8818.002+0.68%16.11-9.90%0.0406✗1.814.1M2022-01-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013940.014035+0.68%0.01275-8.54%0.0625✗0.8621k2022-01-22
ZENHorizenBase38.9439.2043+0.68%35.28-9.40%0.0452✗1.55620k2022-01-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25230.254005+0.68%0.2331-7.61%0.0370✗1.261.9M2022-01-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.8570.862773+0.67%0.78-8.98%0.0587✗1.0922.7M2022-01-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.66721.6784+0.67%1.65-1.03%0.0269✓1.1395k2022-01-22
IMXImmutableEthereum2.712.7281+0.67%2.46-9.23%0.0414✗1.602.2M2022-01-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2710.272812+0.67%0.244-9.96%0.0763✗0.9160k2022-01-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14740.148384+0.67%0.1394-5.43%0.0259✗0.94362k2022-01-22
MINAMina Protocolnative2.92.9191+0.66%2.34-19.31%0.1774✗1.12737k2022-01-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.67470.679132+0.66%0.5834-13.53%0.0928✗1.521.4M2022-01-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0161710.016277+0.65%0.014961-7.48%0.0374✗1.202.7M2022-01-22
TRXTRONTron0.0611090.061505+0.65%0.05675-7.13%0.0435✗0.95486k2022-01-22
NANOnanopayBase2.32652.3415+0.65%2.0461-12.05%0.0871✗1.23699k2022-01-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2028620.204167+0.64%0.19237-5.17%0.0179✗1.0724.9M2022-01-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06340.063806+0.64%0.0594-6.31%0.0280✗1.1221k2022-01-22
RADRadworksEthereum5.685.7162+0.64%5.06-10.92%0.0831✗1.001.0M2022-01-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039770.040023+0.64%0.03631-8.70%0.0540✗1.1125k2022-01-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.29210.293954+0.63%0.2645-9.45%0.0435✗1.604.6M2022-01-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5553.5775+0.63%3.0068-15.42%0.1274✗1.193.9M2022-01-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.22773.2481+0.63%2.9642-8.16%0.0582✗0.862,2572022-01-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.09390.094493+0.63%0.0799-14.91%0.1154✗1.352.0M2022-01-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.566.601+0.63%5.66-13.72%0.1225✗0.80616k2022-01-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.48110.484103+0.62%0.4385-8.85%0.0443✗1.402.6M2022-01-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin114.51115.2237+0.62%108.41-5.33%0.0092✗1.3330.5M2022-01-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.053880.054214+0.62%0.04896-9.13%0.0437✗1.502.1M2022-01-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.8625.0141+0.62%23.84-4.10%0.0186✓1.712.7M2022-01-22
LUNATerraTerra 264.9465.3416+0.62%62.89-3.16%0.0328✓1.837.7M2022-01-22
UMAUMAEthereum6.66.6408+0.62%6.11-7.42%0.0428✗1.043.9M2022-01-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.316.3489+0.62%5.63-10.78%0.0917✗0.73652k2022-01-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08340.083913+0.61%0.0732-12.23%0.0901✗1.20269k2022-01-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.645.6746+0.61%4.8-14.89%0.1412✗0.67494k2022-01-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.1972.2104+0.61%1.979-9.92%0.0691✗1.0724k2022-01-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche66.0766.4718+0.61%59.8-9.49%0.0557✗1.2987.3M2022-01-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1683.1872+0.61%2.804-11.49%0.0986✗0.76526k2022-01-22
XVGVergenative0.010020.010081+0.61%0.00935-6.69%0.0233✗1.341.8M2022-01-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV95.6896.2574+0.60%89.24-6.73%0.0391✗0.941.8M2022-01-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7952.8118+0.60%2.567-8.16%0.0315✗1.531.1M2022-01-22
XEMNEMnative0.0970.097578+0.60%0.0944-2.68%0.0086✓1.0741k2022-01-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06190.062265+0.59%0.0543-12.28%0.0808✗1.44684k2022-01-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.462.4745+0.59%2.33-5.28%0.0205✗1.02869k2022-01-22
XTZTezosTezos3.34173.3613+0.59%2.9521-11.66%0.0777✗1.343.1M2022-01-22
KSMKusamaHydration213.87215.12+0.58%190.08-11.12%0.0778✗1.181.3M2022-01-22
XECeCashnative0.000079680.000080144+0.58%0.00006839-14.17%0.1183✗1.046.5M2022-01-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.124.1438+0.58%3.665-11.04%0.0938✗0.75445k2022-01-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0416410.041881+0.58%0.036765-11.71%0.0804✗1.289.3M2022-01-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56190.565135+0.58%0.5076-9.66%0.0568✗1.303.2M2022-01-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0220820.022207+0.57%0.020108-8.94%0.0565✗1.103.7M2022-01-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7381.7478+0.56%1.506-13.35%0.1008✗1.241.9M2022-01-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,741.6425,886.51+0.56%22,897.64-11.05%0.0905✗0.8320.9M2022-01-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9840.989525+0.56%0.87-11.59%0.0750✗1.382.3M2022-01-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.1924.3253+0.56%20.54-15.09%0.1186✗1.3034.9M2022-01-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.730.734028+0.55%0.64-12.33%0.0640✗1.881.3M2022-01-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071970.072367+0.55%0.06237-13.34%0.1178✗0.7956k2022-01-22
DASHDashDash105.73106.31+0.55%97.07-8.19%0.0439✗1.212.8M2022-01-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.313.328+0.54%2.89-12.69%0.0834✗1.4832.4M2022-01-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.53453.5536+0.54%3.6015+1.90%0.0142✓0.02371k2022-01-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.2321.3438+0.54%18.76-11.63%0.0695✗1.53944k2022-01-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03630.036493+0.53%0.0326-10.19%0.0561✗1.461.1M2022-01-22
COMPCompoundEthereum139.37140.0931+0.52%120.3-13.68%0.1051✗1.2188k2022-01-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00920.009245+0.49%0.00793-13.80%0.0595✗2.4123.2M2022-01-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12060.121183+0.48%0.1135-5.89%0.0133✗1.344.3M2022-01-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3520.353656+0.47%0.319-9.37%0.0489✗1.391.8M2022-01-22
MOVRMoonriverBase9595.4465+0.47%83.9941-11.59%0.0787✗1.26489k2022-01-22
FTTFTXEthereum38.5238.7009+0.47%33.44-13.19%0.1008✗1.1625.7M2022-01-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.113.1246+0.47%2.7227-12.45%0.0990✗0.992.2M2022-01-22
QTUMQtumQtum6.12256.151+0.47%5.5565-9.24%0.0461✗1.43263k2022-01-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.452.4614+0.46%2.08-15.10%0.1133✗1.427.4M2022-01-22
SCSiacoinnative0.010440.010487+0.45%0.0094-9.96%0.0680✗1.07641k2022-01-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.978.006+0.45%6.96-12.67%0.1259✗0.363.1M2022-01-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0614240.061689+0.43%0.054184-11.79%0.0908✗1.00644k2022-01-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.292.2993+0.41%2.1-8.30%0.0354✗1.422.7M2022-01-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.43211.4377+0.39%1.5039+5.01%0.0781✓0.851.4M2022-01-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.9822.0651+0.39%19.01-13.51%0.1035✗1.1714.5M2022-01-22
UNIUniswapEthereum12.6312.677+0.37%11.16-11.64%0.0766✗1.3112.7M2022-01-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.49.4347+0.37%8.68-7.66%0.0550✗0.73800k2022-01-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash315.04316.1996+0.37%291.88-7.35%0.0396✗1.047.0M2022-01-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.6719.7413+0.36%18.26-7.17%0.0244✗1.3858.5M2022-01-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.89130.89437+0.34%0.7106-20.27%0.1822✗1.23108k2022-01-22
XYMSymbolnative0.16390.16445+0.34%0.1498-8.60%0.0667✗0.68536k2022-01-22
SUSHISushiEthereum4.964.9751+0.30%4.42-10.89%0.0672✗1.3217.0M2022-01-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum58.3958.5226+0.23%50.17-14.08%0.1085✗1.176.3M2022-01-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase8.6478.6509+0.04%7.392-14.51%0.1184✗1.001.7M2022-01-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos34.6434.6429+0.01%29.27-15.50%0.1307✗0.97104.1M2022-01-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.56611.5623-0.24%1.4442-7.78%0.0397✓1.004.2M2022-01-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.3518.3281-0.27%6.424-23.08%0.2205✓1.01301k2022-01-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53510.532572-0.47%0.5658+5.74%0.1097✗1.271.7M2022-01-22
API3Api3Ethereum4.654.5534-2.08%4.82+3.66%0.0736✗0.43471k2022-01-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.