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2022-01-21 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 141 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1435
141 of 141 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.70%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.5%
in alpha space · 65.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.30%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (141 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XVSVenusEthereum9.9410.1992+2.61%8.95-9.96%0.1909✗1.173.0M2022-02-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04170.042391+1.66%0.0531+27.34%0.1736✓1.0024.3M2022-02-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.86780.881551+1.58%0.8239-5.06%0.1689✗1.961.1M2022-02-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00920.009334+1.46%0.00465-49.46%0.8215✗2.4123.2M2022-02-20
NANOnanopayBase2.32652.3501+1.02%1.9689-15.37%0.2403✗1.23699k2022-02-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7640.771699+1.01%0.7-8.38%0.1539✗1.092.0M2022-02-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.09390.094777+0.93%0.091-3.09%0.1101✗1.352.0M2022-02-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash315.04317.8345+0.89%302.87-3.86%0.1020✗1.047.0M2022-02-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.053880.054276+0.74%0.0487-9.61%0.1857✗1.502.1M2022-02-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.970.977064+0.73%0.9-7.22%0.1662✗1.63569k2022-02-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.496.5341+0.68%4.65-28.35%0.3858✗0.881.0M2022-02-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.9575.9974+0.68%5.516-7.40%0.1244✗0.79163k2022-02-20
TRXTRONTron0.0611090.061496+0.63%0.06201+1.47%0.0408✗0.95486k2022-02-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9840.989569+0.57%0.796-19.11%0.2890✗1.382.3M2022-02-20
RADRadworksEthereum5.685.7102+0.53%7.05+24.12%0.1592✓1.001.0M2022-02-20
MOVRMoonriverBase9595.4475+0.47%74.3242-21.76%0.3153✗1.26489k2022-02-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.8817.9551+0.42%15.23-14.82%0.2582✗1.814.1M2022-02-20
AAVEAaveEthereum171.09171.4972+0.24%137.55-19.60%0.2840✗1.2317.6M2022-02-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche66.0766.1819+0.17%77.39+17.13%0.0899✓1.2987.3M2022-02-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.8624.8943+0.14%23.63-4.95%0.1407✗1.712.7M2022-02-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.730.730534+0.07%0.78+6.85%0.0315✗1.881.3M2022-02-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.1980.198095+0.05%0.1863-5.91%0.1330✗1.394.3M2022-02-20
SOLSolanaSolana112.32112.3008-0.02%90.78-19.18%0.2728✓1.16142.2M2022-02-20
UOSUltraEthereum0.917340.917026-0.03%1.1176+21.83%0.1359✗1.202.4M2022-02-20
ZECZcashZcash102.35102.2631-0.08%108.11+5.63%0.0129✓1.338.4M2022-02-20
GITCOINGITCOIN7.8267.8174-0.11%6.591-15.78%0.1871✓0.3238k2022-02-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06190.061812-0.14%0.0744+20.19%0.1108✗1.44684k2022-02-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022260.000022225-0.16%0.00002547+14.42%0.0642✗1.401.7M2022-02-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.67470.673433-0.19%0.5079-24.72%0.3607✓1.521.4M2022-02-20
GTGateEthereum6.2436.2264-0.27%6.2563+0.21%0.0420✓0.914.3M2022-02-20
ETHEthereumEthereum2,569.012,561.63-0.29%2,622.47+2.08%0.0341✓1.12502.4M2022-02-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.558460.556854-0.29%0.570834+2.22%0.0372✓1.202.3M2022-02-20
HIVEHivenative0.9060.90335-0.29%0.9158+1.08%0.0615✓1.463.9M2022-02-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.452.4421-0.32%1.41-42.45%0.6224✓1.427.4M2022-02-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.43660.435158-0.33%0.3917-10.28%0.1727✓1.3110.8M2022-02-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.167040.166452-0.35%0.15607-6.57%0.1434✓1.536,8492022-02-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0416410.041493-0.36%0.051219+23.00%0.1443✗1.289.3M2022-02-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03630.03617-0.36%0.028-22.87%0.3313✓1.461.1M2022-02-20
QNTQuantEthereum114.44113.9691-0.41%107.71-5.88%0.1072✓0.986.9M2022-02-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.6911-0.43%7.17+6.70%0.0597✗0.181.2M2022-02-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin114.51113.9611-0.48%110.69-3.34%0.0978✓1.3330.5M2022-02-20
STORJStorjEthereum1.18481.1785-0.53%0.98512-16.85%0.2302✓0.99402k2022-02-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.462.4463-0.56%2.28-7.32%0.1231✓1.02869k2022-02-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56190.558176-0.66%0.516-8.17%0.1457✓1.303.2M2022-02-20
UNIUniswapEthereum12.6312.538-0.73%9.36-25.89%0.3599✓1.3112.7M2022-02-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.53453.5072-0.77%5.735+62.26%0.4907✗0.02371k2022-02-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.9525.7442-0.79%27.23+4.93%0.0001✓1.093.3M2022-02-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.0161710.016043-0.79%0.01318-18.50%0.2588✓1.202.7M2022-02-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.48110.47701-0.85%0.3961-17.67%0.2584✓1.402.6M2022-02-20
KCSKuCoinnative16.80816.665-0.85%18.962+12.82%0.0469✗1.5910.7M2022-02-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039770.039427-0.86%0.03914-1.58%0.0649✓1.1125k2022-02-20
SCSiacoinnative0.010440.010348-0.88%0.00912-12.64%0.1814✓1.07641k2022-02-20
MANADecentralandEthereum2.22192.2023-0.89%2.6921+21.16%0.1421✗1.144.3M2022-02-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,607.8036,281.25-0.89%38,642.80+5.56%0.0113✗1.0018k2022-02-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25230.250038-0.90%0.2401-4.84%0.1054✓1.261.9M2022-02-20
XTZTezosTezos3.34173.3109-0.92%3.2624-2.37%0.0840✓1.343.1M2022-02-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071970.071298-0.93%0.06754-6.16%0.0951✓0.7956k2022-02-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.51860.513733-0.94%0.4602-11.26%0.1733✓1.222.4M2022-02-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.316.2483-0.98%5.7-9.67%0.1296✓0.73652k2022-02-20
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2091.1964-1.04%1.063-12.08%0.1842✓1.284.0M2022-02-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.03030.029983-1.05%0.02715-10.40%0.1504✓0.998.3M2022-02-20
LSKLiskEthereum1.66721.6494-1.07%1.6203-2.81%0.0762✓1.1395k2022-02-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3520.348216-1.07%0.3-14.77%0.2210✓1.391.8M2022-02-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06340.062712-1.08%0.0654+3.15%0.0158✓1.1221k2022-02-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.8570.847336-1.13%0.7859-8.30%0.1313✓1.0922.7M2022-02-20
IMXImmutableEthereum2.712.6791-1.14%1.82-32.84%0.4691✓1.602.2M2022-02-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12060.11922-1.14%0.1343+11.36%0.0498✗1.344.3M2022-02-20
ZENHorizenBase38.9438.4899-1.16%34.75-10.76%0.1823✓1.55620k2022-02-20
COMPCompoundEthereum139.37137.7325-1.17%116.98-16.07%0.2260✓1.2188k2022-02-20
XVGVergenative0.010020.0099-1.20%0.00962-3.99%0.0976✓1.341.8M2022-02-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3923.3501-1.24%3.107-8.40%0.1190✓0.851.1M2022-02-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.055520.054827-1.25%0.02116-61.89%1.0209✓1.3312.0M2022-02-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.174.1165-1.28%4.06-2.64%0.0761✓1.213.2M2022-02-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1683.127-1.29%2.798-11.68%0.1504✓0.76526k2022-02-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.2320.9447-1.34%18.79-11.49%0.1877✓1.53944k2022-02-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0220820.021785-1.35%0.019255-12.80%0.1803✓1.103.7M2022-02-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.292.2579-1.40%1.44-37.12%0.5231✓1.422.7M2022-02-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum21.9705-1.48%1.73-13.50%0.1999✓1.353.1M2022-02-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.6719.3765-1.49%16.92-13.98%0.2067✓1.3858.5M2022-02-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.29210.287718-1.50%0.2213-24.24%0.3449✓1.604.6M2022-02-20
XMRMoneroMonero172.82170.2036-1.51%153.87-10.97%0.1514✓0.982.7M2022-02-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.23960.235918-1.54%0.2525+5.38%0.0109✓1.10440k2022-02-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.566.458-1.55%6.14-6.40%0.0920✓0.80616k2022-02-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08340.082071-1.59%0.0729-12.59%0.1802✓1.20269k2022-02-20
DODODODOEthereum0.5610.551981-1.61%0.471-16.04%0.2384✓1.558.0M2022-02-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.124.0521-1.65%4.211+2.21%0.0001✓0.75445k2022-02-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.083240.081838-1.68%0.08575+3.02%0.0143✓1.1838k2022-02-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.645.5416-1.75%5.01-11.17%0.1356✓0.67494k2022-02-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin36,456.9435,813.43-1.77%38,389.03+5.30%0.0178✓1.00648.0M2022-02-20
XECeCashnative0.000079680.000078263-1.78%0.00007437-6.66%0.1045✓1.046.5M2022-02-20
MINAMina Protocolnative2.92.8484-1.78%2.48-14.48%0.1965✓1.12737k2022-02-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.841.8066-1.81%1.49-19.02%0.2469✓1.052.7M2022-02-20
CBKCobakEthereum2.1972.1554-1.90%2.067-5.92%0.0970✓1.0724k2022-02-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2710.26585-1.90%0.24-11.44%0.1492✓0.9160k2022-02-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV95.6893.8593-1.90%84.46-11.73%0.1541✓0.941.8M2022-02-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.71864.6262-1.96%4.0929-13.26%0.1836✓1.18443k2022-02-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011110.010892-1.97%0.01078-2.97%0.0749✓1.252.2M2022-02-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7381.7034-1.99%1.532-11.85%0.1698✓1.241.9M2022-02-20
QTUMQtumQtum6.12255.9988-2.02%6.2326+1.80%0.0355✓1.43263k2022-02-20
LUNATerraTerra 264.9463.6058-2.05%49.33-24.04%0.3485✓1.837.7M2022-02-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.4153-2.06%1.454+0.62%0.0346✓1.191.8M2022-02-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.9821.5273-2.06%19.82-9.83%0.1431✓1.1714.5M2022-02-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum58.3957.1723-2.09%52.1-10.77%0.1533✓1.176.3M2022-02-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.5515.2202-2.12%12.98-16.53%0.2149✓1.08841k2022-02-20
KSMKusamaHydration213.87209.157-2.20%138.87-35.07%0.4705✓1.181.3M2022-02-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.4417.0519-2.23%14.6-16.28%0.2185✓1.2275.4M2022-02-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.313.2352-2.26%2.55-22.96%0.3147✓1.4832.4M2022-02-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4213.1058-2.34%14.71+9.61%0.0799✗0.69813k2022-02-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14740.143792-2.45%0.1362-7.60%0.1028✓0.94362k2022-02-20
DASHDashDash105.73103.0887-2.50%98.1-7.22%0.1121✓1.212.8M2022-02-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5553.4658-2.51%3.02-15.05%0.1993✓1.193.9M2022-02-20
UMAUMAEthereum6.66.4322-2.54%5.36-18.79%0.2362✓1.043.9M2022-02-20
XLMStellarStellar0.2028620.197704-2.54%0.194647-4.05%0.0708✓1.0724.9M2022-02-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.810110.789153-2.59%0.70618-12.83%0.2000✓1.72848k2022-02-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.03031.0036-2.59%0.8455-17.94%0.2333✓1.2032.1M2022-02-20
BANDBandEthereum3.963.8572-2.59%4.38+10.61%0.0667✗1.172.4M2022-02-20
XEMNEMnative0.0970.094398-2.68%0.0988+1.86%0.0098✓1.0741k2022-02-20
XYMSymbolnative0.16390.159501-2.68%0.154-6.04%0.0704✓0.68536k2022-02-20
ADACardanoCardano1.12111.0908-2.70%0.9319-16.88%0.2159✓1.13104.1M2022-02-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7952.7169-2.79%2.5-10.55%0.1623✓1.531.1M2022-02-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013940.013548-2.82%0.01266-9.18%0.1123✓0.8621k2022-02-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum23.3122.6497-2.83%27.93+19.82%0.1719✗0.73342k2022-02-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1420570.138008-2.85%0.136714-3.76%0.0647✓1.076.7M2022-02-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.22773.1345-2.89%2.1375-33.78%0.4271✓0.862,2572022-02-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.113.0177-2.97%2.9539-5.02%0.0727✓0.992.2M2022-02-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.49.118-3.00%9.77+3.94%0.0314✗0.73800k2022-02-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.43211.389-3.01%2.0176+40.88%0.3294✗0.851.4M2022-02-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.977.7204-3.13%6.57-17.57%0.1801✓0.363.1M2022-02-20
CELLCellframeEthereum0.89130.859642-3.55%1.8141+103.53%0.6833✗1.23108k2022-02-20
FTTFTXEthereum38.5237.0696-3.77%40.84+6.02%0.0367✓1.1625.7M2022-02-20
SUSHISushiEthereum4.964.7647-3.94%3.63-26.81%0.3399✓1.3217.0M2022-02-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.1923.1329-4.37%18.7-22.70%0.2798✓1.3034.9M2022-02-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos34.6432.5577-6.01%26.09-24.68%0.2717✓0.97104.1M2022-02-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,741.6424,013.42-6.71%20,667.46-19.71%0.1928✓0.8320.9M2022-02-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.3517.7869-6.75%5.697-31.78%0.3644✓1.01301k2022-02-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.63650.590727-7.19%0.3785-40.53%0.5382✓1.8046.2M2022-02-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53510.494981-7.50%0.5119-4.34%0.0317✓1.271.7M2022-02-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.56611.4447-7.75%0.95-39.34%0.4708✓1.004.2M2022-02-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0614240.056596-7.86%0.025474-58.53%0.8499✓1.00644k2022-02-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase8.6477.9529-8.03%2.828-67.30%1.0856✓1.001.7M2022-02-20
API3Api3Ethereum4.654.257-8.45%6.97+49.89%0.4709✗0.43471k2022-02-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.