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2022-01-21 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 141 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1594
141 of 141 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.66%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
26.2%
in alpha space · 24.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.81%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (141 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.51860.5233+0.91%0.4454-14.11%0.1136✗1.222.4M2022-01-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04170.042062+0.87%0.0376-9.83%0.0733✗1.0024.3M2022-01-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00920.009276+0.83%0.00793-13.80%0.0629✗2.4123.2M2022-01-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.86780.87446+0.77%0.7316-15.69%0.1021✗1.961.1M2022-01-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.09390.094528+0.67%0.0799-14.91%0.1158✗1.352.0M2022-01-22
MOVRMoonriverBase9595.6132+0.65%83.9941-11.59%0.0805✗1.26489k2022-01-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.67470.678859+0.62%0.5834-13.53%0.0924✗1.521.4M2022-01-22
RADRadworksEthereum5.685.714+0.60%5.06-10.92%0.0828✗1.001.0M2022-01-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03630.036508+0.57%0.0326-10.19%0.0565✗1.461.1M2022-01-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06190.062241+0.55%0.0543-12.28%0.0804✗1.44684k2022-01-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.313.3282+0.55%2.89-12.69%0.0834✗1.4832.4M2022-01-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.978.0129+0.54%6.96-12.67%0.1268✗0.363.1M2022-01-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.970.975206+0.54%0.9-7.22%0.0170✗1.63569k2022-01-22
SUSHISushiEthereum4.964.9865+0.53%4.42-10.89%0.0695✗1.3217.0M2022-01-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7640.767767+0.49%0.711-6.94%0.0343✗1.092.0M2022-01-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.452.4621+0.49%2.08-15.10%0.1135✗1.427.4M2022-01-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche66.0766.3917+0.49%59.8-9.49%0.0545✗1.2987.3M2022-01-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.496.5213+0.48%5.61-13.56%0.1162✗0.881.0M2022-01-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3520.353629+0.46%0.319-9.37%0.0488✗1.391.8M2022-01-22
GITCOINGITCOIN7.8267.8605+0.44%6.944-11.27%0.1116✗0.3238k2022-01-22
HIVEHivenative0.9060.909872+0.43%0.7987-11.84%0.0737✗1.463.9M2022-01-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.917340.921233+0.42%0.80696-12.03%0.0858✗1.202.4M2022-01-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.7484+0.42%6.06-9.82%0.1005✗0.181.2M2022-01-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,741.6425,843.16+0.39%22,897.64-11.05%0.0888✗0.8320.9M2022-01-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.053880.054092+0.39%0.04896-9.13%0.0415✗1.502.1M2022-01-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.8817.9502+0.39%16.11-9.90%0.0377✗1.814.1M2022-01-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.730.732645+0.36%0.64-12.33%0.0621✗1.881.3M2022-01-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.8624.9485+0.36%23.84-4.10%0.0212✓1.712.7M2022-01-22
AAVEAaveEthereum171.09171.6498+0.33%147.18-13.98%0.1060✗1.2317.6M2022-01-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.1980.198644+0.33%0.1764-10.91%0.0648✗1.394.3M2022-01-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.2321.2989+0.32%18.76-11.63%0.0674✗1.53944k2022-01-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.18481.1886+0.32%1.0381-12.38%0.0970✗0.99402k2022-01-22
XVGVergenative0.010020.010051+0.31%0.00935-6.69%0.0204✗1.341.8M2022-01-22
XVSVenusEthereum9.949.9703+0.31%7.59-23.64%0.2275✗1.173.0M2022-01-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.9575.9747+0.30%5.8-2.64%0.0010✓0.79163k2022-01-22
QNTQuantEthereum114.44114.7776+0.30%98.78-13.68%0.1119✗0.986.9M2022-01-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.4492+0.29%1.366-5.47%0.0128✗1.191.8M2022-01-22
DODODODOEthereum0.5610.562608+0.29%0.496-11.59%0.0659✗1.558.0M2022-01-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0220820.022145+0.29%0.020108-8.94%0.0537✗1.103.7M2022-01-22
ZENHorizenBase38.9439.0476+0.28%35.28-9.40%0.0412✗1.55620k2022-01-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.558460.559994+0.27%0.518861-7.09%0.0296✗1.202.3M2022-01-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022260.000022321+0.27%0.00002053-7.77%0.0293✗1.401.7M2022-01-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.5515.5919+0.27%13.19-15.18%0.1254✗1.08841k2022-01-22
COMPCompoundEthereum139.37139.7339+0.26%120.3-13.68%0.1025✗1.2188k2022-01-22
SOLSolanaSolana112.32112.6128+0.26%94.78-15.62%0.1272✗1.16142.2M2022-01-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.6719.721+0.26%18.26-7.17%0.0234✗1.3858.5M2022-01-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.1972.2027+0.26%1.979-9.92%0.0656✗1.0724k2022-01-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.9822.035+0.25%19.01-13.51%0.1021✗1.1714.5M2022-01-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.4417.4817+0.24%15.86-9.06%0.0497✗1.2275.4M2022-01-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.292.2954+0.24%2.1-8.30%0.0337✗1.422.7M2022-01-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.23960.240151+0.23%0.2179-9.06%0.0543✗1.10440k2022-01-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12060.120864+0.22%0.1135-5.89%0.0107✗1.344.3M2022-01-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9840.986013+0.20%0.87-11.59%0.0715✗1.382.3M2022-01-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.174.1784+0.20%3.78-9.35%0.0533✗1.213.2M2022-01-22
UNIUniswapEthereum12.6312.6549+0.20%11.16-11.64%0.0748✗1.3112.7M2022-01-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.055520.055629+0.20%0.05051-9.02%0.0447✗1.3312.0M2022-01-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.03030.030359+0.19%0.02985-1.49%0.0216✓0.998.3M2022-01-22
IMXImmutableEthereum2.712.7152+0.19%2.46-9.23%0.0366✗1.602.2M2022-01-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.22192.226+0.18%2.0434-8.04%0.0414✗1.144.3M2022-01-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25230.252767+0.18%0.2331-7.61%0.0322✗1.261.9M2022-01-22
XTZTezosTezos3.34173.3478+0.18%2.9521-11.66%0.0736✗1.343.1M2022-01-22
ZECZcashZcash102.35102.5339+0.18%94.59-7.58%0.0290✗1.338.4M2022-01-22
ETHEthereumEthereum2,569.012,573.42+0.17%2,411.90-6.12%0.0214✗1.12502.4M2022-01-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.810110.81139+0.16%0.71467-11.78%0.0600✗1.72848k2022-01-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14740.147619+0.15%0.1394-5.43%0.0207✗0.94362k2022-01-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.66721.6696+0.15%1.65-1.03%0.0322✓1.1395k2022-01-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0416410.041701+0.14%0.036765-11.71%0.0761✗1.289.3M2022-01-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.43660.437216+0.14%0.4163-4.65%0.0018✓1.3110.8M2022-01-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum58.3958.4718+0.14%50.17-14.08%0.1076✗1.176.3M2022-01-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash315.04315.4754+0.14%291.88-7.35%0.0373✗1.047.0M2022-01-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.8570.858072+0.13%0.78-8.98%0.0532✗1.0922.7M2022-01-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.316.3178+0.12%5.63-10.78%0.0868✗0.73652k2022-01-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2091.2105+0.12%1.161-3.97%0.0080✓1.284.0M2022-01-22
UMAUMAEthereum6.66.6079+0.12%6.11-7.42%0.0378✗1.043.9M2022-01-22
GTGateEthereum6.2436.2504+0.12%5.6708-9.17%0.0621✗0.914.3M2022-01-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.1924.2162+0.11%20.54-15.09%0.1141✗1.3034.9M2022-01-22
NANOnanopayBase2.32652.3289+0.10%2.0461-12.05%0.0817✗1.23699k2022-01-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.48110.48158+0.10%0.4385-8.85%0.0391✗1.402.6M2022-01-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum22.002+0.10%1.77-11.50%0.0707✗1.353.1M2022-01-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.03031.0313+0.10%0.9512-7.68%0.0343✗1.2032.1M2022-01-22
DASHDashDash105.73105.8289+0.09%97.07-8.19%0.0393✗1.212.8M2022-01-22
SCSiacoinnative0.010440.01045+0.09%0.0094-9.96%0.0644✗1.07641k2022-01-22
BANDBandEthereum3.963.9636+0.09%3.49-11.87%0.0818✗1.172.4M2022-01-22
TRXTRONTron0.0611090.06116+0.08%0.05675-7.13%0.0379✗0.95486k2022-01-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3923.3947+0.08%3.059-9.82%0.0712✗0.851.1M2022-01-22
QTUMQtumQtum6.12256.1274+0.08%5.5565-9.24%0.0423✗1.43263k2022-01-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV95.6895.7458+0.07%89.24-6.73%0.0338✗0.941.8M2022-01-22
XECeCashnative0.000079680.000079731+0.06%0.00006839-14.17%0.1131✗1.046.5M2022-01-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.462.4615+0.06%2.33-5.28%0.0152✗1.02869k2022-01-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011110.011116+0.05%0.00998-10.17%0.0592✗1.252.2M2022-01-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071970.072007+0.05%0.06237-13.34%0.1128✗0.7956k2022-01-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08340.083438+0.05%0.0732-12.23%0.0844✗1.20269k2022-01-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7381.7388+0.05%1.506-13.35%0.0957✗1.241.9M2022-01-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.841.8408+0.04%1.62-11.96%0.0869✗1.052.7M2022-01-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039770.039787+0.04%0.03631-8.70%0.0481✗1.1125k2022-01-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.083240.08327+0.04%0.07873-5.42%0.0101✗1.1838k2022-01-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.645.6418+0.03%4.8-14.89%0.1354✗0.67494k2022-01-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.29210.292185+0.03%0.2645-9.45%0.0374✗1.604.6M2022-01-22
XMRMoneroMonero172.82172.8615+0.02%152.34-11.85%0.0883✗0.982.7M2022-01-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2710.27104+0.01%0.244-9.96%0.0698✗0.9160k2022-01-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5553.5553+0.01%3.0068-15.42%0.1212✗1.193.9M2022-01-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.71864.7188+0.01%4.2394-10.16%0.0611✗1.18443k2022-01-22
KCSKuCoinnative16.80816.8082+0.00%15.129-9.99%0.0433✗1.5910.7M2022-01-22
KSMKusamaHydration213.87213.8698-0.00%190.08-11.12%0.0720✓1.181.3M2022-01-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013940.013939-0.00%0.01275-8.54%0.0557✓0.8621k2022-01-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin114.51114.4972-0.01%108.41-5.33%0.0029✓1.3330.5M2022-01-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0614240.061415-0.01%0.054184-11.79%0.0864✓1.00644k2022-01-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06340.063389-0.02%0.0594-6.31%0.0215✓1.1221k2022-01-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.53453.5338-0.02%3.6015+1.90%0.0198✗0.02371k2022-01-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56190.561782-0.02%0.5076-9.66%0.0509✓1.303.2M2022-01-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.9525.9442-0.02%24.23-6.63%0.0261✓1.093.3M2022-01-22
LUNATerraTerra 264.9464.9209-0.03%62.89-3.16%0.0393✗1.837.7M2022-01-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin36,456.9436,443.66-0.04%35,066.43-3.81%0.0004✗1.00648.0M2022-01-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2028620.202785-0.04%0.19237-5.17%0.0112✓1.0724.9M2022-01-22
MINAMina Protocolnative2.92.8988-0.04%2.34-19.31%0.1704✓1.12737k2022-01-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum23.3123.2962-0.06%21.51-7.72%0.0515✓0.73342k2022-01-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1683.1661-0.06%2.804-11.49%0.0919✓0.76526k2022-01-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0161710.016159-0.07%0.014961-7.48%0.0302✓1.202.7M2022-01-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4213.4091-0.08%12.62-5.96%0.0338✓0.69813k2022-01-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.566.5538-0.09%5.66-13.72%0.1153✓0.80616k2022-01-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.124.1159-0.10%3.665-11.04%0.0870✓0.75445k2022-01-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.49.3842-0.17%8.68-7.66%0.0496✓0.73800k2022-01-22
ADACardanoCardano1.12111.119-0.19%1.0713-4.44%0.0005✓1.13104.1M2022-01-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.89130.889587-0.19%0.7106-20.27%0.1768✓1.23108k2022-01-22
XEMNEMnative0.0970.096802-0.20%0.0944-2.68%0.0166✗1.0741k2022-01-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.56611.5629-0.21%1.4442-7.78%0.0401✓1.004.2M2022-01-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos34.6434.5675-0.21%29.27-15.50%0.1285✓0.97104.1M2022-01-22
XYMSymbolnative0.16390.163552-0.21%0.1498-8.60%0.0613✓0.68536k2022-01-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1420570.141732-0.23%0.133158-6.26%0.0208✓1.076.7M2022-01-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7952.7885-0.23%2.567-8.16%0.0232✓1.531.1M2022-01-22
FTTFTXEthereum38.5238.4274-0.24%33.44-13.19%0.0937✓1.1625.7M2022-01-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.113.101-0.29%2.7227-12.45%0.0914✓0.992.2M2022-01-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.63650.634619-0.30%0.5482-13.87%0.0763✓1.8046.2M2022-01-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.43211.4276-0.31%1.5039+5.01%0.0851✗0.851.4M2022-01-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase8.6478.617-0.35%7.392-14.51%0.1145✓1.001.7M2022-01-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,607.8036,480.78-0.35%34,807.70-4.92%0.0080✓1.0018k2022-01-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.167040.166432-0.36%0.15638-6.38%0.0028✓1.536,8492022-01-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53510.532612-0.47%0.5658+5.74%0.1096✗1.271.7M2022-01-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.3518.2615-1.07%6.424-23.08%0.2125✓1.01301k2022-01-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.22773.1913-1.13%2.9642-8.16%0.0405✓0.862,2572022-01-22
API3Api3Ethereum4.654.5757-1.60%4.82+3.66%0.0687✗0.43471k2022-01-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.