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2022-01-20 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 140 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1832
140 of 140 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.12%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
87.9%
in alpha space · 88.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.40%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (140 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.070940.062656-11.68%0.02609-63.22%0.8620✓1.00682k2022-02-19
SUSHISushiEthereum5.815.2628-9.42%3.87-33.39%0.2891✓1.3017.0M2022-02-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.528.6278-9.37%6.99-26.58%0.2080✓0.183.1M2022-02-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57760.526791-8.80%0.5485-5.04%0.0598✓1.381.7M2022-02-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,414.3028,827.70-8.23%21,669.76-31.02%0.2757✓0.6921.5M2022-02-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase9.778.9722-8.17%3.675-62.38%0.8785✓1.001.9M2022-02-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.973.6727-7.49%2.81-29.22%0.2471✓1.4632.4M2022-02-19
CELLCellframeEthereum1.08391.0051-7.27%1.8854+73.95%0.6433✗1.01108k2022-02-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.7570.703518-7.06%0.419-44.65%0.4929✓1.8046.2M2022-02-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.9736.3874-6.63%26.69-31.51%0.2965✓0.96104.1M2022-02-19
API3Api3Ethereum4.193.9146-6.57%7.47+78.28%0.6601✗0.99471k2022-02-19
FTTFTXEthereum45.1742.4191-6.09%42.78-5.29%0.0243✓1.1224.7M2022-02-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.81143.5801-6.07%2.3136-39.30%0.4259✓0.762,2572022-02-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4817.0439-5.84%6.265-16.25%0.0990✓1.29301k2022-02-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0952.9189-5.69%2.586-16.45%0.0968✓1.731.1M2022-02-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.012070.011447-5.16%0.0051-57.75%0.7749✓2.3823.2M2022-02-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.189140.179598-5.05%0.15998-15.42%0.0934✓1.586,6112022-02-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.58151.5024-5.00%1.9802+25.21%0.2880✗0.841.3M2022-02-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.9823.7617-4.88%20-19.94%0.1520✓1.4434.3M2022-02-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum18.3417.5335-4.40%14.06-23.34%0.2065✓1.01807k2022-02-19
XEMNEMnative0.10950.104689-4.39%0.1018-7.03%0.0130✓1.0741k2022-02-19
GITCOINGITCOIN9.4329.024-4.33%6.873-27.13%0.2706✓0.1238k2022-02-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05290.050619-4.31%0.0593+12.10%0.1724✗1.0023.9M2022-02-19
LUNATerraTerra 277.4174.1296-4.24%50.46-34.81%0.3581✓1.887.7M2022-02-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.099.663-4.23%9.9-1.88%0.0348✓0.75800k2022-02-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.67210.643934-4.19%0.4814-28.37%0.2757✓1.082.5M2022-02-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16660.159789-4.09%0.1444-13.33%0.0884✓0.91362k2022-02-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.015510.014878-4.07%0.01266-18.38%0.1499✓0.8221k2022-02-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1555090.149217-4.05%0.141002-9.33%0.0410✓1.116.5M2022-02-19
CBKCobakEthereum2.5392.4367-4.03%2.168-14.61%0.1026✓1.0124k2022-02-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.906580.870849-3.94%0.75237-17.01%0.1208✓1.80866k2022-02-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin26.1925.17-3.89%20.82-20.50%0.1741✓1.1114.5M2022-02-19
BANDBandEthereum4.684.4979-3.89%4.93+5.34%0.1076✗1.132.3M2022-02-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.5914.032-3.82%15.11+3.56%0.0836✗0.68813k2022-02-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.16141.1172-3.81%0.9001-22.50%0.1989✓1.2230.5M2022-02-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.36930.355275-3.80%0.247-33.12%0.3422✓1.514.3M2022-02-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum20.1819.4138-3.80%15.52-23.09%0.2066✓1.2273.6M2022-02-19
DASHDashDash121.15116.5727-3.78%102.42-15.46%0.1125✓1.202.8M2022-02-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.98383.8347-3.74%3.0416-23.65%0.2151✓1.183.9M2022-02-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.15983.0421-3.73%3.0659-2.97%0.0242✓1.172.1M2022-02-19
XLMStellarStellar0.2314980.223086-3.63%0.204174-11.80%0.0738✓1.0524.4M2022-02-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6791.6183-3.62%1.491-11.20%0.0654✓1.171.8M2022-02-19
UMAUMAEthereum7.757.4715-3.59%5.69-26.58%0.2586✓0.983.9M2022-02-19
XVGVergenative0.012340.011898-3.58%0.01032-16.37%0.1246✓1.261.8M2022-02-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.21135.0262-3.55%4.2985-17.51%0.1391✓1.23443k2022-02-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.067850.065478-3.50%0.02516-62.92%0.9387✓1.2612.0M2022-02-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0260390.025135-3.47%0.020617-20.82%0.1834✓1.043.9M2022-02-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.4324.55-3.46%30.94+21.67%0.2415✗0.72342k2022-02-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.1112.0384-3.44%1.664-21.17%0.1868✓1.151.9M2022-02-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum69.0966.7685-3.36%54.84-20.63%0.1811✓1.116.3M2022-02-19
ADACardanoCardano1.25891.2167-3.35%0.9969-20.81%0.1832✓1.14100.6M2022-02-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4280.413686-3.34%0.325-24.07%0.2224✓1.341.8M2022-02-19
KSMKusamaHydration239.61231.8003-3.26%151.15-36.92%0.4107✓1.201.3M2022-02-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV104.32100.9266-3.25%87.64-15.99%0.1276✓0.961.8M2022-02-19
MINAMina Protocolnative3.353.243-3.19%2.42-27.76%0.2774✓1.09752k2022-02-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04520.043763-3.18%0.03-33.63%0.3582✓1.381.2M2022-02-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7314.5808-3.17%4.472-5.47%0.0145✓0.68445k2022-02-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.352.2756-3.17%1.82-22.55%0.2046✓1.333.1M2022-02-19
QTUMQtumQtum7.0576.8343-3.16%6.787-3.83%0.0135✓1.45251k2022-02-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot2322.2782-3.14%17.86-22.35%0.2017✓1.3758.5M2022-02-19
DODODODOEthereum0.6820.660901-3.09%0.489-28.30%0.2799✓1.518.0M2022-02-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3280.317873-3.09%0.254-22.56%0.2131✓0.8051k2022-02-19
XECeCashnative0.000090530.000087799-3.02%0.00007811-13.72%0.1025✓1.026.5M2022-02-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.792.7059-3.01%1.58-43.37%0.5197✓1.302.7M2022-02-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche79.3576.9655-3.01%85.07+7.21%0.1173✗1.2287.3M2022-02-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10020.097272-2.92%0.0784-21.76%0.1999✓1.12244k2022-02-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012270.011913-2.91%0.01191-2.93%0.0183✓1.322.1M2022-02-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,670.9739,490.00-2.90%40,101.94-1.40%0.0295✓1.00636.6M2022-02-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,418.1040,215.78-2.90%39,901.00-3.66%0.0060✓0.9816k2022-02-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.28250.27434-2.89%0.273-3.36%0.0098✓1.04397k2022-02-19
STORJStorjEthereum1.39451.3543-2.89%1.0275-26.32%0.2634✓0.91402k2022-02-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14840.144158-2.86%0.1472-0.81%0.0387✗1.274.2M2022-02-19
ZENHorizenBase47.646.2419-2.85%38.13-19.89%0.1716✓1.51620k2022-02-19
XYMSymbolnative0.17820.17322-2.79%0.1581-11.28%0.0816✓0.69573k2022-02-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.86820.843997-2.79%0.5475-36.94%0.4129✓1.411.4M2022-02-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.031.9734-2.79%1.58-22.17%0.2072✓1.072.7M2022-02-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.062.9752-2.77%1.57-48.69%0.6209✓1.307.8M2022-02-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum24.3923.7143-2.77%20.48-16.03%0.1246✓1.561.0M2022-02-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.09640.093773-2.72%0.08925-7.42%0.0331✓1.1634k2022-02-19
UOSUltraEthereum1.13131.1006-2.72%1.1527+1.89%0.0614✗1.072.4M2022-02-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.01730.990054-2.68%0.827-18.71%0.1657✓1.0122.7M2022-02-19
IMXImmutableEthereum3.363.2712-2.64%1.98-41.07%0.4814✓1.472.2M2022-02-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.47.2056-2.63%6.41-13.38%0.1062✓0.77638k2022-02-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.145.979-2.62%5.28-14.01%0.1149✓0.67505k2022-02-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.784.6567-2.58%4.37-8.58%0.0465✓1.213.2M2022-02-19
MANADecentralandEthereum2.63852.572-2.52%2.8917+9.60%0.1319✗1.054.3M2022-02-19
COMPCompoundEthereum162.17158.0983-2.51%121.25-25.23%0.2486✓1.1995k2022-02-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.977.7715-2.49%7.27-8.78%0.0666✓0.011.2M2022-02-19
XMRMoneroMonero188.73184.0437-2.48%161.12-14.63%0.1189✓1.002.7M2022-02-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.56060.546698-2.48%0.4201-25.06%0.2438✓1.392.6M2022-02-19
HIVEHivenative1.06991.0439-2.43%0.9635-9.94%0.0600✓1.433.7M2022-02-19
AAVEAaveEthereum198.37193.6391-2.38%146.18-26.31%0.2640✓1.2217.6M2022-02-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000026480.00002585-2.38%0.0000275+3.85%0.0809✗1.351.7M2022-02-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.28320.276466-2.38%0.2512-11.30%0.0777✓1.291.9M2022-02-19
QNTQuantEthereum132.32129.2863-2.29%110.71-16.33%0.1418✓0.946.7M2022-02-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.035330.034521-2.29%0.02878-18.54%0.1688✓0.938.3M2022-02-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07360.07193-2.27%0.0806+9.51%0.1338✗1.42826k2022-02-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.387.214-2.25%5.92-19.78%0.1887✓0.64652k2022-02-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.5833.5036-2.22%2.973-17.02%0.1542✓0.71523k2022-02-19
GTGateEthereum7.03226.8776-2.20%6.6548-5.37%0.0208✓0.864.3M2022-02-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.081570.079792-2.18%0.07126-12.64%0.1026✓0.7456k2022-02-19
UNIUniswapEthereum14.4914.178-2.15%10.03-30.78%0.3275✓1.3212.4M2022-02-19
SCSiacoinnative0.012170.011913-2.12%0.00967-20.54%0.1942✓1.02641k2022-02-19
XTZTezosTezos3.7153.6372-2.09%3.6074-2.90%0.0114✓1.393.1M2022-02-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045370.044421-2.09%0.04064-10.43%0.0735✓1.1024k2022-02-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.87071.8326-2.04%1.6691-10.78%0.0773✓1.1489k2022-02-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8613.7846-1.98%3.281-15.02%0.1315✓0.801.1M2022-02-19
RADRadworksEthereum6.896.7565-1.94%5.31-22.93%0.2284✓0.891.0M2022-02-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07230.0709-1.94%0.0679-6.09%0.0276✓1.1121k2022-02-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.926.7881-1.91%5.766-16.68%0.1532✓0.71163k2022-02-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.3728.8221-1.87%28.7-2.28%0.0111✓1.093.3M2022-02-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.111.0893-1.86%0.99-10.81%0.0719✓1.68556k2022-02-19
KCSKuCoinnative19.42919.0671-1.86%19.839+2.11%0.0626✗1.6210.7M2022-02-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2721.2495-1.77%1.132-11.01%0.0792✓1.394.0M2022-02-19
MOVRMoonriverBase119.9355117.8243-1.76%84.5568-29.50%0.3154✓1.16489k2022-02-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64420.632938-1.75%0.5576-13.44%0.1084✓1.303.2M2022-02-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.50010.491862-1.65%0.4172-16.58%0.1461✓1.3110.8M2022-02-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin129.8127.6913-1.62%115.59-10.95%0.0804✓1.3630.5M2022-02-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.890.87595-1.58%0.85-4.49%0.0031✓1.911.3M2022-02-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.9390.924728-1.52%0.749-20.23%0.1968✓0.992.0M2022-02-19
ZECZcashZcash118.84117.0348-1.52%112.33-5.48%0.0224✓1.338.4M2022-02-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0506370.049868-1.52%0.059376+17.26%0.1915✗1.208.4M2022-02-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.11410.112432-1.46%0.0963-15.60%0.1367✓1.292.0M2022-02-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.23460.231228-1.44%0.198-15.60%0.1360✓1.364.0M2022-02-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.82.76-1.43%2.38-15.00%0.1341✓1.00855k2022-02-19
SOLSolanaSolana127.52125.7564-1.38%91.34-28.37%0.3034✓1.16142.2M2022-02-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6555470.646482-1.38%0.594043-9.38%0.0682✓1.162.3M2022-02-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.70883.6591-1.34%5.7961+56.28%0.4593✗-0.05371k2022-02-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0183780.018148-1.25%0.015145-17.59%0.1636✓1.222.7M2022-02-19
ETHEthereumEthereum3,000.942,964.41-1.22%2,764.44-7.88%0.0547✓1.08485.8M2022-02-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum30.2529.8834-1.21%25.4-16.03%0.1389✓1.682.7M2022-02-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum7.967.8765-1.05%5.08-36.18%0.4281✓0.741.0M2022-02-19
NANOnanopayBase2.82032.7918-1.01%2.071-26.57%0.2824✓1.16665k2022-02-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.068850.068158-1.01%0.05154-25.14%0.2601✓1.372.1M2022-02-19
LRCLoopringEthereum1.06531.0575-0.74%0.8878-16.66%0.1475✓1.941.2M2022-02-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum21.1220.9686-0.72%16.06-23.96%0.2404✓1.874.1M2022-02-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.1431.1353-0.67%0.861-24.67%0.2570✓1.392.3M2022-02-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash357.74356.0658-0.47%312.05-12.77%0.1175✓1.036.6M2022-02-19
TRXTRONTron0.0676940.067668-0.04%0.063482-6.22%0.0504✓0.95486k2022-02-19
XVSVenusEthereum11.3611.4254+0.58%9.99-12.06%0.1178✗1.172.9M2022-02-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.