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2022-01-19 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0936
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.89%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
84.2%
in alpha space · 91.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.06%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.075110.065888-12.28%0.026937-64.14%0.8530✓1.00719k2022-02-18
SUSHISushiEthereum6.055.4708-9.57%3.91-35.37%0.2822✓1.3017.7M2022-02-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.219.253-9.37%6.93-32.13%0.2823✓0.162.8M2022-02-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57010.520568-8.69%0.5612-1.56%0.1329✗1.391.5M2022-02-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,142.2929,539.88-8.10%21,934.46-31.76%0.2694✓0.6821.5M2022-02-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.84660.779303-7.95%0.4198-50.41%0.5449✓1.7846.2M2022-02-18
CELLCellframeEthereum1.04570.973568-6.90%1.6049+53.48%0.5440✗1.07108k2022-02-18
API3Api3Ethereum4.354.0504-6.89%6.01+38.16%0.4351✗0.98471k2022-02-18
FTTFTXEthereum46.6743.4598-6.88%43.09-7.67%0.0373✓1.1124.3M2022-02-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.193.9113-6.65%2.81-32.94%0.2722✓1.4132.4M2022-02-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.99393.7323-6.55%2.9795-25.40%0.1942✓0.752,2572022-02-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2823.0674-6.54%2.581-21.36%0.1012✓1.721.2M2022-02-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.011720.010977-6.34%0.00516-55.97%0.6539✓2.4423.2M2022-02-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos37.0734.7397-6.29%26.85-27.57%0.2174✓0.9798.5M2022-02-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.75920.717756-5.46%0.5205-31.44%0.2780✓1.052.5M2022-02-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05750.054472-5.27%0.0602+4.70%0.1414✗1.0024.3M2022-02-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.0096.6424-5.23%6.389-8.85%0.0147✓1.29271k2022-02-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.199130.188982-5.10%0.17101-14.12%0.0350✓1.576,5192022-02-18
GITCOINGITCOIN10.2749.7624-4.98%6.903-32.81%0.3425✓0.1040k2022-02-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5371.4615-4.91%2.1176+37.77%0.4057✗0.841.2M2022-02-18
LUNATerraTerra 281.2777.3719-4.80%50.61-37.73%0.3473✓1.867.7M2022-02-18
XEMNEMnative0.11260.107367-4.65%0.1011-10.21%0.0164✓1.0641k2022-02-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.0318.1799-4.47%14.44-24.12%0.1864✓1.06841k2022-02-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum26.5325.3471-4.46%19.61-26.08%0.1977✓1.4234.3M2022-02-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.229.7674-4.43%10.17-0.49%0.0714✗0.75808k2022-02-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.6232.5101-4.30%2.222-15.29%0.0844✓0.9125k2022-02-18
BANDBandEthereum4.914.6997-4.28%4.7-4.28%0.0460✗1.112.2M2022-02-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.8514.2364-4.13%15.2+2.36%0.0936✗0.68862k2022-02-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.26591.2139-4.11%0.895-29.30%0.2557✓1.1830.5M2022-02-18
UMAUMAEthereum8.267.9238-4.07%5.92-28.33%0.2518✓0.964.1M2022-02-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.956760.917878-4.06%0.75452-21.14%0.1219✓1.79866k2022-02-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.015850.015207-4.06%0.01279-19.31%0.1422✓0.7522k2022-02-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche82.6479.2874-4.06%83.75+1.34%0.1042✗1.1992.3M2022-02-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.12.9743-4.05%1.61-48.06%0.5621✓1.252.7M2022-02-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1617050.15515-4.05%0.138612-14.28%0.0673✓1.106.4M2022-02-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17120.164288-4.04%0.1446-15.54%0.0898✓0.91380k2022-02-18
DASHDashDash126.8121.7452-3.99%105.32-16.94%0.0954✓1.192.8M2022-02-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.5620.7008-3.99%15.2-29.50%0.2591✓1.2072.8M2022-02-18
XLMStellarStellar0.2455670.235856-3.95%0.200634-18.30%0.1188✓1.0423.9M2022-02-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4690.450484-3.95%0.322-31.34%0.2814✓1.311.8M2022-02-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.071620.068827-3.90%0.02552-64.37%0.9419✓1.2112.4M2022-02-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin27.5926.5168-3.89%21.02-23.81%0.1871✓1.0914.5M2022-02-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.44865.2381-3.86%4.35-20.16%0.1350✓1.23446k2022-02-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7091.644-3.80%1.518-11.18%0.0317✓1.161.9M2022-02-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain43.8488-3.78%3.076-23.10%0.1720✓1.264.0M2022-02-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.29830.287029-3.78%0.2677-10.26%0.0269✓1.03397k2022-02-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2192.1358-3.75%1.674-24.56%0.1968✓1.131.9M2022-02-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.8125.8086-3.74%29.08+8.47%0.1487✗0.71353k2022-02-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.14213.0257-3.71%3.1093-1.04%0.0761✗1.182.1M2022-02-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV109.45105.4514-3.65%87.44-20.11%0.1479✓0.951.8M2022-02-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.3660.352746-3.62%0.247-32.51%0.2942✓1.504.1M2022-02-18
XVGVergenative0.012670.012216-3.58%0.01063-16.10%0.0874✓1.251.9M2022-02-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013940.013441-3.58%0.01204-13.63%0.0558✓1.312.1M2022-02-18
ADACardanoCardano1.33661.2895-3.52%0.9958-25.50%0.2119✓1.1399.0M2022-02-18
QTUMQtumQtum7.40327.1424-3.52%7.2333-2.29%0.0725✗1.44263k2022-02-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum71.8269.3627-3.42%55.59-22.60%0.1766✓1.086.4M2022-02-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,724.0040,296.61-3.42%40,196.70-3.66%0.0385✗0.9916k2022-02-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0266240.025724-3.38%0.019599-26.39%0.2294✓1.034.4M2022-02-18
MINAMina Protocolnative3.393.2755-3.38%2.43-28.32%0.2536✓1.09808k2022-02-18
ZENHorizenBase49.9348.2521-3.36%37.11-25.68%0.2006✓1.49636k2022-02-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10120.0978-3.36%0.0797-21.25%0.1580✓1.13240k2022-02-18
KSMKusamaHydration243.71235.6466-3.31%150.07-38.42%0.4018✓1.191.3M2022-02-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04860.046996-3.30%0.0302-37.86%0.3856✓1.371.3M2022-02-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.16931.1308-3.30%1.196+2.28%0.1001✗1.062.4M2022-02-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.472.3887-3.29%1.82-26.32%0.2171✓1.323.2M2022-02-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.0623.272-3.27%17.83-25.89%0.2102✓1.3658.5M2022-02-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.4621.4148-3.23%1.0419-28.73%0.2690✓0.89423k2022-02-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7934.6414-3.16%4.716-1.61%0.0438✗0.67457k2022-02-18
DODODODOEthereum0.7010.679021-3.14%0.494-29.53%0.2563✓1.498.0M2022-02-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3490.338058-3.14%0.261-25.21%0.2262✓0.7951k2022-02-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,674.2740,380.64-3.10%39,983.56-4.06%0.0315✓1.00636.6M2022-02-18
XECeCashnative0.000092270.000089453-3.05%0.0000786-14.82%0.0872✓1.026.5M2022-02-18
XMRMoneroMonero201.62195.4899-3.04%160.94-20.18%0.1536✓0.992.9M2022-02-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1510.146433-3.02%0.1365-9.60%0.0179✓1.264.2M2022-02-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum26.1325.3456-3.00%20.51-21.51%0.1474✓1.551.0M2022-02-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.577.3434-2.99%6.37-15.85%0.1104✓0.77638k2022-02-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.92710.899384-2.99%0.5682-38.71%0.4012✓1.401.5M2022-02-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum8.358.1035-2.95%7.67-8.14%0.0554✓-0.011.3M2022-02-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.333.232-2.94%1.58-52.55%0.6623✓1.298.5M2022-02-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.366.1776-2.87%5.25-17.45%0.1354✓0.66524k2022-02-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.100440.097562-2.87%0.09046-9.94%0.0282✓1.1431k2022-02-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.04921.0192-2.86%0.8015-23.61%0.1993✓0.9923.2M2022-02-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.57840.561898-2.85%0.4211-27.20%0.2309✓1.392.7M2022-02-18
IMXImmutableEthereum3.563.4588-2.84%2.05-42.42%0.4628✓1.452.2M2022-02-18
MANADecentralandEthereum2.73462.6569-2.84%2.97+8.61%0.1543✗1.044.5M2022-02-18
HIVEHivenative1.13861.1064-2.83%0.9999-12.18%0.0430✓1.413.7M2022-02-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.092.0311-2.82%1.59-23.92%0.2004✓1.072.7M2022-02-18
LSKLiskEthereum2.05091.9938-2.79%1.6654-18.80%0.1338✓1.1189k2022-02-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6273.5283-2.72%3.02-16.74%0.1262✓0.71523k2022-02-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.29820.290102-2.72%0.2543-14.72%0.0785✓1.292.0M2022-02-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027260.00002653-2.68%0.00002815+3.26%0.1154✗1.351.7M2022-02-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.08530.083075-2.61%0.07167-15.98%0.1173✓0.7355k2022-02-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.7723-2.61%4.37-10.82%0.0385✓1.203.2M2022-02-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07740.075432-2.54%0.0812+4.91%0.1316✗1.40949k2022-02-18
COMPCompoundEthereum172.8168.5214-2.48%121.52-29.68%0.2785✓1.1795k2022-02-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.037180.036276-2.43%0.02928-21.25%0.1764✓0.918.4M2022-02-18
QNTQuantEthereum135.59132.3117-2.42%113.58-16.23%0.1138✓0.946.7M2022-02-18
GTGateEthereum7.16.9306-2.39%6.6403-6.47%0.0073✓0.864.3M2022-02-18
SCSiacoinnative0.01270.0124-2.36%0.00961-24.33%0.2134✓1.00641k2022-02-18
XYMSymbolnative0.17860.174467-2.31%0.1609-9.91%0.0527✓0.68573k2022-02-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.677.4946-2.29%5.97-22.16%0.2012✓0.63660k2022-02-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.68380.668204-2.28%0.5229-23.53%0.1922✓1.283.3M2022-02-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.2727.1078-2.26%5.881-19.13%0.1606✓0.70170k2022-02-18
UNIUniswapEthereum15.1214.7807-2.24%10.16-32.80%0.3204✓1.3212.4M2022-02-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.2730.5734-2.23%28.96-7.39%0.0097✓1.083.2M2022-02-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.046920.045876-2.22%0.04101-12.60%0.0667✓1.1023k2022-02-18
XTZTezosTezos3.88493.799-2.21%3.6234-6.73%0.0098✓1.383.2M2022-02-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.171.1451-2.13%0.99-15.38%0.0763✓1.67556k2022-02-18
RADRadworksEthereum7.016.8637-2.09%5.3-24.39%0.2219✓0.891.1M2022-02-18
KCSKuCoinnative19.95119.5384-2.07%19.552-2.00%0.0673✗1.6110.6M2022-02-18
NANOnanopayBase3.05552.9941-2.01%2.0548-32.75%0.3296✓1.13665k2022-02-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9563.8784-1.96%3.181-19.59%0.1653✓0.801.1M2022-02-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin136.2133.5436-1.95%114.85-15.68%0.0948✓1.3531.1M2022-02-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2941.269-1.93%1.104-14.68%0.0825✓1.373.8M2022-02-18
ZECZcashZcash125.87123.4754-1.90%109.21-13.24%0.0691✓1.309.5M2022-02-18
AAVEAaveEthereum210.15206.2519-1.85%145.64-30.70%0.2980✓1.2117.6M2022-02-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.52440.514822-1.83%0.4126-21.32%0.1671✓1.3111.3M2022-02-18
MOVRMoonriverBase120.5322118.3384-1.82%83.1979-30.97%0.3056✓1.13489k2022-02-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.930.913795-1.74%0.89-4.30%0.0530✗1.921.4M2022-02-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07610.074785-1.73%0.0682-10.38%0.0467✓1.1021k2022-02-18
SOLSolanaSolana135.33132.9997-1.72%89.9-33.57%0.3445✓1.14147.7M2022-02-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0511150.050253-1.69%0.0487-4.72%0.0185✗1.208.4M2022-02-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.24630.242239-1.65%0.1967-20.14%0.1528✓1.344.0M2022-02-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.11910.117145-1.64%0.0978-17.88%0.1270✓1.292.1M2022-02-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.912.864-1.58%2.38-18.21%0.1440✓0.99855k2022-02-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6849680.674334-1.55%0.594984-13.14%0.0774✓1.152.3M2022-02-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum32.4331.9311-1.54%25.01-22.88%0.1752✓1.672.7M2022-02-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.960.945279-1.53%0.771-19.69%0.1633✓0.982.1M2022-02-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.438.3102-1.42%5.29-37.25%0.4216✓0.73995k2022-02-18
ETHEthereumEthereum3,085.273,043.46-1.36%2,780.08-9.89%0.0460✓1.08485.8M2022-02-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.018950.018712-1.26%0.015984-15.65%0.1067✓1.232.7M2022-02-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.072180.071321-1.19%0.04965-31.21%0.3030✓1.432.3M2022-02-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.65463.6134-1.13%5.708+56.19%0.4546✗-0.06371k2022-02-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2221.2102-0.96%0.86-29.62%0.2849✓1.372.4M2022-02-18
LRCLoopringEthereum1.18351.1722-0.96%0.877-25.90%0.2109✓1.911.3M2022-02-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum22.1421.9724-0.76%15.77-28.77%0.2543✓1.873.9M2022-02-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash369.1366.729-0.64%310.22-15.95%0.1252✓1.026.6M2022-02-18
TRXTRONTron0.0691920.069105-0.13%0.063085-8.83%0.0519✓0.95489k2022-02-18
XVSVenusEthereum12.5212.5101-0.08%10.35-17.33%0.1422✓1.142.7M2022-02-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.