2022-01-16 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1030

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-1.49%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

64.0%

in alpha space · 64.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-2.06%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9199	0.926897	+0.76%	0.8095	-12.00%	0.1146	✗	1.00	2.8M	2022-01-17
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0799	0.080199	+0.37%	0.0676	-15.39%	0.1501	✗	1.00	26.3M	2022-01-17
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.3643	1.3676	+0.25%	1.2289	-9.92%	0.0673	✗	1.91	1.3M	2022-01-17
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,349.46	3,357.49	+0.24%	3,210.98	-4.13%	0.0224	✗	1.07	481.6M	2022-01-17
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04114	0.041232	+0.22%	0.04011	-2.50%	0.0087	✗	0.91	8.4M	2022-01-17
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.489	1.4921	+0.21%	1.391	-6.58%	0.0418	✗	1.36	4.1M	2022-01-17
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0558	1.0579	+0.20%	1.0163	-3.74%	0.0031	✗	1.78	896k	2022-01-17
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.72	20.7584	+0.19%	19.46	-6.08%	0.0427	✗	1.05	841k	2022-01-17
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	27.65	27.6985	+0.18%	24.33	-12.01%	0.0913	✗	1.85	3.9M	2022-01-17
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.3216	4.329	+0.17%	4.1906	-3.03%	0.0062	✗	1.26	4.0M	2022-01-17
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.069898	0.069994	+0.14%	0.070851	+1.36%	0.0321	✓	0.96	525k	2022-01-17
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01506	0.015081	+0.14%	0.0145	-3.72%	0.0120	✗	1.31	2.2M	2022-01-17
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1383	0.138485	+0.13%	0.1315	-4.92%	0.0251	✗	1.28	2.4M	2022-01-17
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7853	3.7896	+0.11%	3.7699	-0.41%	0.0065	✗	-0.06	371k	2022-01-17
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0805	0.080585	+0.11%	0.0826	+2.61%	0.0477	✓	1.11	19k	2022-01-17
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.44	2.4426	+0.11%	2.25	-7.79%	0.0601	✗	1.06	2.7M	2022-01-17
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003053	0.00003056	+0.10%	0.00002883	-5.57%	0.0302	✗	1.35	1.8M	2022-01-17
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.71	9.7186	+0.09%	9.38	-3.40%	0.0358	✗	-0.02	1.4M	2022-01-17
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.38	1.3812	+0.09%	1.35	-2.17%	0.0119	✓	1.67	538k	2022-01-17
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11025	0.110345	+0.09%	0.10718	-2.78%	0.0054	✗	1.14	25k	2022-01-17
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,104.34	43,140.61	+0.08%	42,218.01	-2.06%	0.0008	✓	1.00	636.6M	2022-01-17
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.368	0.368293	+0.08%	0.35	-4.89%	0.0351	✗	0.76	44k	2022-01-17
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.2	3.2025	+0.08%	3.07	-4.06%	0.0218	✗	0.99	918k	2022-01-17
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.826	7.8321	+0.08%	7.359	-5.97%	0.0480	✗	0.69	178k	2022-01-17
XMR	Monero	Monero	224.12	224.2736	+0.07%	214.7	-4.20%	0.0231	✗	0.99	3.1M	2022-01-17
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	141.5	141.5945	+0.07%	138.84	-1.88%	0.0073	✓	1.30	10.9M	2022-01-17
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0621	7.066	+0.06%	6.9968	-0.92%	0.0080	✓	0.86	3.8M	2022-01-17
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.7	2.7009	+0.03%	2.6	-3.70%	0.0106	✗	1.32	3.1M	2022-01-17
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.056	1.0564	+0.03%	1.016	-3.79%	0.0188	✗	0.97	2.2M	2022-01-17
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.056	0.056018	+0.03%	0.0533	-4.82%	0.0212	✗	1.37	1.5M	2022-01-17
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.028848	0.028856	+0.03%	0.02786	-3.42%	0.0138	✗	1.03	5.7M	2022-01-17
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5892	0.589345	+0.02%	0.5478	-7.03%	0.0460	✗	1.30	12.2M	2022-01-17
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.161	4.1619	+0.02%	4.188	+0.65%	0.0228	✓	0.80	1.1M	2022-01-17
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.2	8.2017	+0.02%	7.89	-3.78%	0.0204	✗	0.88	1.1M	2022-01-17
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.18	15.1819	+0.01%	15.03	-0.99%	0.0042	✓	0.69	916k	2022-01-17
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0834	2.0836	+0.01%	2.0079	-3.62%	0.0140	✗	1.11	89k	2022-01-17
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01745	0.017451	+0.01%	0.01652	-5.33%	0.0397	✗	0.73	25k	2022-01-17
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.43	28.4309	+0.00%	27.95	-1.69%	0.0023	✗	0.71	353k	2022-01-17
SOL	Solana	Solana	147.98	147.9825	+0.00%	139.85	-5.49%	0.0331	✗	1.13	152.8M	2022-01-17
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.021066	0.021066	+0.00%	0.020723	-1.63%	0.0092	✓	1.23	2.6M	2022-01-17
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0706	0.070598	-0.00%	0.06638	-5.98%	0.0362	✓	1.22	13.3M	2022-01-17
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3193	1.3193	-0.00%	1.2561	-4.79%	0.0200	✓	1.40	3.8M	2022-01-17
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	43,225.30	43,223.60	-0.00%	41,814.50	-3.26%	0.0127	✓	0.98	14k	2022-01-17
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	92.34	92.3291	-0.01%	86.68	-6.13%	0.0386	✓	1.18	106.0M	2022-01-17
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.314	11.3118	-0.02%	12.477	+10.28%	0.1004	✗	0.11	40k	2022-01-17
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.89	3.889	-0.02%	3.798	-2.37%	0.0090	✓	0.71	526k	2022-01-17
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1804	0.180338	-0.03%	0.1755	-2.72%	0.0082	✓	0.91	410k	2022-01-17
XVG	Verge	native	0.01396	0.013955	-0.04%	0.01314	-5.87%	0.0345	✓	1.24	2.0M	2022-01-17
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08284	0.082808	-0.04%	0.07748	-6.47%	0.0370	✓	1.42	2.4M	2022-01-17
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.91	1.9092	-0.04%	1.829	-4.24%	0.0190	✓	1.15	2.0M	2022-01-17
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	149.9189	149.8591	-0.04%	137.7719	-8.10%	0.0608	✓	1.12	489k	2022-01-17
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	277.6	277.4801	-0.04%	259.34	-6.58%	0.0430	✓	1.18	1.4M	2022-01-17
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0857	0.085659	-0.05%	0.0824	-3.85%	0.0098	✓	1.40	990k	2022-01-17
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.928	4.9256	-0.05%	4.984	+1.14%	0.0259	✗	0.68	453k	2022-01-17
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.49	3.4882	-0.05%	3.41	-2.29%	0.0001	✓	1.09	808k	2022-01-17
ZEN	Horizen	Base	55.13	55.1018	-0.05%	53.27	-3.37%	0.0028	✓	1.49	642k	2022-01-17
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.97	7.9654	-0.06%	7.77	-2.51%	0.0117	✓	0.63	680k	2022-01-17
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.849	2.847	-0.07%	2.735	-4.00%	0.0214	✓	0.90	25k	2022-01-17
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.47	9.4633	-0.07%	8.77	-7.39%	0.0613	✓	0.71	995k	2022-01-17
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.2914	4.2882	-0.07%	4.0538	-5.54%	0.0278	✓	1.37	3.4M	2022-01-17
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.39	8.3834	-0.08%	8.13	-3.10%	0.0106	✓	0.97	4.1M	2022-01-17
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.06	8.0536	-0.08%	7.96	-1.24%	0.0043	✗	0.77	682k	2022-01-17
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05206	0.052018	-0.08%	0.04979	-4.36%	0.0210	✓	1.09	19k	2022-01-17
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2698	0.269524	-0.10%	0.2569	-4.78%	0.0203	✓	1.33	3.9M	2022-01-17
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1684	0.16822	-0.11%	0.1595	-5.29%	0.0270	✓	1.26	4.2M	2022-01-17
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09268	0.09258	-0.11%	0.08878	-4.21%	0.0268	✓	0.72	46k	2022-01-17
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.057685	0.057621	-0.11%	0.054069	-6.27%	0.0387	✓	1.20	7.5M	2022-01-17
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.714	0.713178	-0.12%	0.6916	-3.14%	0.0041	✓	1.28	3.5M	2022-01-17
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	192.07	191.8461	-0.12%	181.47	-5.52%	0.0314	✓	1.17	142k	2022-01-17
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		112.64	112.5072	-0.12%	109.78	-2.54%	0.0047	✓	0.96	2.1M	2022-01-17
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	167.7	167.4899	-0.13%	159.74	-4.75%	0.0280	✓	0.93	6.4M	2022-01-17
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3232	0.322788	-0.13%	0.312	-3.47%	0.0074	✓	1.28	2.1M	2022-01-17
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.0371	8.0268	-0.13%	7.6879	-4.35%	0.0133	✓	1.44	263k	2022-01-17
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1951	0.194823	-0.14%	0.1906	-2.31%	0.0078	✓	0.68	489k	2022-01-17
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.807	0.805812	-0.15%	0.768	-4.83%	0.0171	✓	1.49	8.0M	2022-01-17
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.766499	0.765335	-0.15%	0.727776	-5.05%	0.0266	✓	1.14	2.4M	2022-01-17
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.68	6.6697	-0.15%	6.55	-1.95%	0.0044	✓	0.66	524k	2022-01-17
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.27	32.2189	-0.16%	31	-3.94%	0.0165	✓	1.06	2.9M	2022-01-17
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.346	1.3438	-0.17%	1.246	-7.43%	0.0474	✓	1.35	2.5M	2022-01-17
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.05	14.0264	-0.17%	13.59	-3.27%	0.0078	✓	1.14	2.9M	2022-01-17
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	30.39	30.334	-0.18%	28.99	-4.61%	0.0227	✓	1.09	15.1M	2022-01-17
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4299	1.4273	-0.18%	1.3415	-6.18%	0.0376	✓	1.17	30.5M	2022-01-17
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.259124	0.258609	-0.20%	0.256133	-1.15%	0.0119	✗	1.04	24.2M	2022-01-17
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.659	7.6436	-0.20%	7.405	-3.32%	0.0046	✓	1.30	260k	2022-01-17
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.156	21.1128	-0.20%	20.851	-1.44%	0.0211	✗	1.61	10.6M	2022-01-17
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.39	5.3788	-0.21%	4.98	-7.61%	0.0524	✓	1.18	3.3M	2022-01-17
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1373	1.1348	-0.22%	1.1616	+2.14%	0.0441	✗	1.00	23.2M	2022-01-17
XEM	NEM	native	0.1198	0.119518	-0.24%	0.1148	-4.17%	0.0184	✓	1.05	53k	2022-01-17
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.82	3.8109	-0.24%	3.53	-7.59%	0.0502	✓	1.27	8.5M	2022-01-17
XEC	eCash	native	0.0001031	0.000102853	-0.24%	0.00009954	-3.45%	0.0116	✓	1.02	6.4M	2022-01-17
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01413	0.014096	-0.24%	0.01352	-4.32%	0.0211	✓	0.99	641k	2022-01-17
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0543	1.0517	-0.24%	1.0077	-4.42%	0.0136	✓	1.40	1.5M	2022-01-17
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.31	1.3068	-0.24%	1.2267	-6.36%	0.0416	✓	1.04	2.8M	2022-01-17
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.663	1.659	-0.24%	1.6018	-3.68%	0.0167	✓	0.88	462k	2022-01-17
DASH	Dash	Dash	137.39	137.0535	-0.24%	135.73	-1.21%	0.0152	✗	1.20	2.8M	2022-01-17
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3412	0.340277	-0.27%	0.3888	+13.95%	0.1648	✗	1.52	3.8M	2022-01-17
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	146.49	146.0924	-0.27%	151.19	+3.21%	0.0627	✗	1.37	30.1M	2022-01-17
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.1201	3.1115	-0.28%	3.0126	-3.45%	0.0086	✓	1.14	699k	2022-01-17
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	30.87	30.7835	-0.28%	28.92	-6.32%	0.0303	✓	1.55	1.0M	2022-01-17
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	242.5	241.7836	-0.30%	226.66	-6.53%	0.0400	✓	1.18	17.6M	2022-01-17
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.51	2.5025	-0.30%	2.325	-7.37%	0.0503	✓	1.12	2.0M	2022-01-17
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.3295	3.3196	-0.30%	3.3409	+0.34%	0.0312	✗	1.19	1.9M	2022-01-17
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.176716	0.176177	-0.31%	0.170944	-3.27%	0.0073	✓	1.10	5.4M	2022-01-17
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.32	3.3097	-0.31%	3.36	+1.20%	0.0416	✗	1.27	3.1M	2022-01-17
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.5777	6.5569	-0.32%	6.2731	-4.63%	0.0189	✓	1.22	457k	2022-01-17
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0159	0.015847	-0.33%	0.01358	-14.59%	0.1050	✓	2.38	25.3M	2022-01-17
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.68	5.6605	-0.34%	5.3	-6.69%	0.0429	✓	1.10	2.2M	2022-01-17
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.4118	1.4068	-0.35%	1.6027	+13.52%	0.1543	✗	1.16	95.6M	2022-01-17
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.1203	3.1092	-0.35%	2.9053	-6.89%	0.0467	✓	1.02	5.1M	2022-01-17
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.09	1.086	-0.37%	1.02	-6.42%	0.0230	✓	1.91	1.5M	2022-01-17
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1124	0.111977	-0.38%	0.1064	-5.34%	0.0278	✓	1.12	269k	2022-01-17
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	388.33	386.8454	-0.38%	380.79	-1.94%	0.0053	✗	1.02	6.6M	2022-01-17
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	36.27	36.1279	-0.39%	34.44	-5.05%	0.0134	✓	1.66	2.7M	2022-01-17
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	80.29	79.9749	-0.39%	76.55	-4.66%	0.0214	✓	1.08	6.3M	2022-01-17
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.52	10.4783	-0.40%	10.47	-0.48%	0.0149	✗	0.75	808k	2022-01-17
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	17.83	17.759	-0.40%	16.64	-6.67%	0.0379	✓	1.31	12.6M	2022-01-17
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.68	27.5589	-0.44%	25.68	-7.23%	0.0427	✓	1.34	60.5M	2022-01-17
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.17	4.1512	-0.45%	3.76	-9.83%	0.0698	✓	1.40	2.2M	2022-01-17
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.544	0.541443	-0.47%	0.51	-6.25%	0.0328	✓	1.30	1.8M	2022-01-17
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	87.16	86.7467	-0.47%	77.06	-11.59%	0.0815	✓	1.78	7.4M	2022-01-17
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20111	0.200146	-0.48%	0.20625	+2.56%	0.0630	✗	1.59	5,360	2022-01-17
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.084515	0.08408	-0.51%	0.078972	-6.56%	0.0419	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-01-17
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.97	6.9332	-0.53%	6.44	-7.60%	0.0470	✓	1.29	17.7M	2022-01-17
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	25.51	25.3728	-0.54%	23.8	-6.70%	0.0393	✓	1.19	74.2M	2022-01-17
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	31.18	31.0023	-0.57%	29.62	-5.00%	0.0164	✓	1.41	34.3M	2022-01-17
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3374	0.33541	-0.59%	0.3204	-5.04%	0.0245	✓	1.03	397k	2022-01-17
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6613	0.657147	-0.63%	0.6191	-6.38%	0.0310	✓	1.38	2.6M	2022-01-17
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5381	1.5278	-0.67%	1.6076	+4.52%	0.0690	✗	0.87	988k	2022-01-17
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	33,593.69	33,344.01	-0.74%	31,588.07	-5.97%	0.0402	✓	0.67	24.4M	2022-01-17
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.43	46.0517	-0.81%	44.38	-4.42%	0.0139	✓	1.11	22.3M	2022-01-17
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	11.34	11.2471	-0.82%	12.58	+10.93%	0.1157	✗	0.18	2.5M	2022-01-17
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.13	5.0878	-0.82%	4.78	-6.82%	0.0334	✓	1.40	32.4M	2022-01-17
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.303	3.2736	-0.89%	3.294	-0.27%	0.0423	✗	1.74	980k	2022-01-17
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0848	1.0749	-0.91%	0.9802	-9.64%	0.0711	✓	1.02	108k	2022-01-17
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	43.71	43.2949	-0.95%	39.15	-10.43%	0.0809	✓	0.95	96.8M	2022-01-17
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6536	0.646787	-1.04%	0.6214	-4.93%	0.0112	✓	1.39	1.0M	2022-01-17
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.1507	4.1064	-1.07%	4.195	+1.07%	0.0371	✗	0.76	2,257	2022-01-17
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	1.0315	1.0191	-1.20%	0.9432	-8.56%	0.0409	✓	1.76	43.6M	2022-01-17
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.79	4.677	-2.36%	4	-16.49%	0.1394	✓	0.82	471k	2022-01-17

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.