8=======>

2022-01-16 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0854
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.06%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
79.9%
in alpha space · 89.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.06%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
API3Api3Ethereum4.794.691-2.07%4-16.49%0.1424✓0.82471k2022-01-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.15074.0713-1.91%4.195+1.07%0.0457✗0.762,2572022-01-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum1.03151.0122-1.87%0.9432-8.56%0.0341✓1.7643.6M2022-01-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.201110.198549-1.27%0.20625+2.56%0.0710✗1.595,3602022-01-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.65360.646065-1.15%0.6214-4.93%0.0101✓1.391.0M2022-01-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0845150.083717-0.94%0.078972-6.56%0.0376✓1.001.9M2022-01-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3033.2759-0.82%3.294-0.27%0.0416✗1.74980k2022-01-17
CELLCellframeEthereum1.08481.0759-0.82%0.9802-9.64%0.0720✓1.02108k2022-01-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.3411.2476-0.82%12.58+10.93%0.1157✗0.182.5M2022-01-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos43.7143.3672-0.78%39.15-10.43%0.0826✓0.9596.8M2022-01-17
FTTFTXEthereum46.4346.0786-0.76%44.38-4.42%0.0145✓1.1122.3M2022-01-17
MANADecentralandEthereum3.12033.0971-0.74%2.9053-6.89%0.0427✓1.025.1M2022-01-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.512.4921-0.71%2.325-7.37%0.0461✓1.122.0M2022-01-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.6631.6513-0.70%1.6018-3.68%0.0121✓0.88462k2022-01-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.323.2969-0.69%3.36+1.20%0.0454✗1.273.1M2022-01-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.57776.5325-0.69%6.2731-4.63%0.0152✓1.22457k2022-01-17
HIVEHivenative1.31931.3103-0.68%1.2561-4.79%0.0132✓1.403.8M2022-01-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.719.6492-0.63%9.38-3.40%0.0287✓-0.021.4M2022-01-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1767160.175612-0.62%0.170944-3.27%0.0041✓1.105.4M2022-01-17
UOSUltraEthereum1.311.3018-0.62%1.2267-6.36%0.0377✓1.042.8M2022-01-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.53811.5289-0.60%1.6076+4.52%0.0683✗0.87988k2022-01-17
LUNATerraTerra 287.1686.6457-0.59%77.06-11.59%0.0803✓1.787.4M2022-01-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.135.1004-0.58%4.78-6.82%0.0359✓1.4032.4M2022-01-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,593.6933,403.79-0.57%31,588.07-5.97%0.0420✓0.6724.4M2022-01-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6597.6163-0.56%7.405-3.32%0.0011✓1.30260k2022-01-17
ADACardanoCardano1.41181.404-0.55%1.6027+13.52%0.1564✗1.1695.6M2022-01-17
IMXImmutableEthereum4.174.147-0.55%3.76-9.83%0.0688✓1.402.2M2022-01-17
XEMNEMnative0.11980.119139-0.55%0.1148-4.17%0.0152✓1.0553k2022-01-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.33740.335544-0.55%0.3204-5.04%0.0249✓1.03397k2022-01-17
GITCOINGITCOIN11.31411.2525-0.54%12.477+10.28%0.1056✗0.1140k2022-01-17
ZENHorizenBase55.1354.8352-0.53%53.27-3.37%0.0021✓1.49642k2022-01-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.01590.015815-0.53%0.01358-14.59%0.1029✓2.3825.3M2022-01-17
BANDBandEthereum5.685.6508-0.51%5.3-6.69%0.0411✓1.102.2M2022-01-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.66130.658003-0.50%0.6191-6.38%0.0323✓1.382.6M2022-01-17
SCSiacoinnative0.014130.014062-0.48%0.01352-4.32%0.0186✓0.99641k2022-01-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.05581.0507-0.48%1.0163-3.74%0.0038✓1.78896k2022-01-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.5125.3877-0.48%23.8-6.70%0.0399✓1.1974.2M2022-01-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5210.4702-0.47%10.47-0.48%0.0157✗0.75808k2022-01-17
SUSHISushiEthereum6.976.937-0.47%6.44-7.60%0.0476✓1.2917.7M2022-01-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.32953.3138-0.47%3.3409+0.34%0.0329✗1.191.9M2022-01-17
XMRMoneroMonero224.12223.0704-0.47%214.7-4.20%0.0177✓0.993.1M2022-01-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.068.0225-0.47%7.96-1.24%0.0081✗0.77682k2022-01-17
UNIUniswapEthereum17.8317.748-0.46%16.64-6.67%0.0373✓1.3112.6M2022-01-17
ZECZcashZcash141.5140.8547-0.46%138.84-1.88%0.0126✗1.3010.9M2022-01-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.017450.01737-0.46%0.01652-5.33%0.0350✓0.7325k2022-01-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.49145.8238-0.45%151.19+3.21%0.0646✗1.3730.1M2022-01-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.7220.6287-0.44%19.46-6.08%0.0365✓1.05841k2022-01-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche92.3491.9343-0.44%86.68-6.13%0.0343✓1.18106.0M2022-01-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5440.541612-0.44%0.51-6.25%0.0331✓1.301.8M2022-01-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.092680.092273-0.44%0.08878-4.21%0.0235✓0.7246k2022-01-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07990.079551-0.44%0.0676-15.39%0.1420✓1.0026.3M2022-01-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11240.11191-0.44%0.1064-5.34%0.0272✓1.12269k2022-01-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.823.8039-0.42%3.53-7.59%0.0484✓1.278.5M2022-01-17
MINAMina Protocolnative3.493.4754-0.42%3.41-2.29%0.0036✓1.09808k2022-01-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.7140.711017-0.42%0.6916-3.14%0.0010✓1.283.5M2022-01-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9284.9074-0.42%4.984+1.14%0.0296✗0.68453k2022-01-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015060.014997-0.42%0.0145-3.72%0.0064✓1.312.2M2022-01-17
XVGVergenative0.013960.013902-0.42%0.01314-5.87%0.0307✓1.242.0M2022-01-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.082840.082497-0.41%0.07748-6.47%0.0332✓1.422.4M2022-01-17
XECeCashnative0.00010310.000102674-0.41%0.00009954-3.45%0.0099✓1.026.4M2022-01-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.42991.4241-0.41%1.3415-6.18%0.0353✓1.1730.5M2022-01-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.4328.3142-0.41%27.95-1.69%0.0018✓0.71353k2022-01-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.110250.109804-0.40%0.10718-2.78%0.0005✓1.1425k2022-01-17
KSMKusamaHydration277.6276.4783-0.40%259.34-6.58%0.0394✓1.181.4M2022-01-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.72.6891-0.40%2.6-3.70%0.0062✓1.323.1M2022-01-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum80.2979.9672-0.40%76.55-4.66%0.0213✓1.086.3M2022-01-17
XLMStellarStellar0.2591240.258086-0.40%0.256133-1.15%0.0140✗1.0424.2M2022-01-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.8492.8376-0.40%2.735-4.00%0.0181✓0.9025k2022-01-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0576850.057459-0.39%0.054069-6.27%0.0359✓1.207.5M2022-01-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.32164.3047-0.39%4.1906-3.03%0.0006✓1.264.0M2022-01-17
QNTQuantEthereum167.7167.045-0.39%159.74-4.75%0.0253✓0.936.4M2022-01-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.1815.1207-0.39%15.03-0.99%0.0082✗0.69916k2022-01-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.442.4305-0.39%2.25-7.79%0.0551✓1.062.7M2022-01-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.16840.167757-0.38%0.1595-5.29%0.0243✓1.264.2M2022-01-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.13731.133-0.38%1.1616+2.14%0.0457✗1.0023.2M2022-01-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3680.3666-0.38%0.35-4.89%0.0305✓0.7644k2022-01-17
QTUMQtumQtum8.03718.0066-0.38%7.6879-4.35%0.0108✓1.44263k2022-01-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.6827.5752-0.38%25.68-7.23%0.0433✓1.3460.5M2022-01-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.052060.051863-0.38%0.04979-4.36%0.0180✓1.0919k2022-01-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin30.3930.2761-0.37%28.99-4.61%0.0208✓1.0915.1M2022-01-17
XYMSymbolnative0.19510.194381-0.37%0.1906-2.31%0.0055✓0.68489k2022-01-17
KCSKuCoinnative21.15621.0787-0.37%20.851-1.44%0.0227✗1.6110.6M2022-01-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.893.8759-0.36%3.798-2.37%0.0056✓0.71526k2022-01-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.58920.587163-0.35%0.5478-7.03%0.0423✓1.3012.2M2022-01-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.23.189-0.34%3.07-4.06%0.0175✓0.99918k2022-01-17
DODODODOEthereum0.8070.804233-0.34%0.768-4.83%0.0152✓1.498.0M2022-01-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.479.4375-0.34%8.77-7.39%0.0586✓0.71995k2022-01-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.32320.322097-0.34%0.312-3.47%0.0053✓1.282.1M2022-01-17
COMPCompoundEthereum192.07191.4188-0.34%181.47-5.52%0.0292✓1.17142k2022-01-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0288480.028751-0.34%0.02786-3.42%0.0101✓1.035.7M2022-01-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,104.3442,960.82-0.33%42,218.01-2.06%0.0033✗1.00636.6M2022-01-17
XVSVenusEthereum14.0514.0032-0.33%13.59-3.27%0.0062✓1.142.9M2022-01-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.8730.7677-0.33%28.92-6.32%0.0298✓1.551.0M2022-01-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0210660.020996-0.33%0.020723-1.63%0.0125✗1.232.6M2022-01-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.381.3755-0.33%1.35-2.17%0.0160✗1.67538k2022-01-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030530.000030432-0.32%0.00002883-5.57%0.0260✓1.351.8M2022-01-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.2732.1664-0.32%31-3.94%0.0148✓1.062.9M2022-01-17
DASHDashDash137.39136.9492-0.32%135.73-1.21%0.0160✗1.202.8M2022-01-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.091.0866-0.31%1.02-6.42%0.0236✓1.911.5M2022-01-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.8267.8016-0.31%7.359-5.97%0.0441✓0.69178k2022-01-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.686.6593-0.31%6.55-1.95%0.0028✓0.66524k2022-01-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.041140.041013-0.31%0.04011-2.50%0.0033✓0.918.4M2022-01-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18040.179847-0.31%0.1755-2.72%0.0055✓0.91410k2022-01-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08050.080254-0.31%0.0826+2.61%0.0518✗1.1119k2022-01-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0560.055829-0.30%0.0533-4.82%0.0178✓1.371.5M2022-01-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV112.64112.3035-0.30%109.78-2.54%0.0029✓0.962.1M2022-01-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.395.3741-0.29%4.98-7.61%0.0516✓1.183.3M2022-01-17
AAVEAaveEthereum242.5241.791-0.29%226.66-6.53%0.0400✓1.1817.6M2022-01-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum31.1831.0916-0.28%29.62-5.00%0.0192✓1.4134.3M2022-01-17
LSKLiskEthereum2.08342.0775-0.28%2.0079-3.62%0.0111✓1.1189k2022-01-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07060.070404-0.28%0.06638-5.98%0.0334✓1.2213.3M2022-01-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.911.9048-0.27%1.829-4.24%0.0167✓1.152.0M2022-01-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3461.3425-0.26%1.246-7.43%0.0464✓1.352.5M2022-01-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash388.33387.3084-0.26%380.79-1.94%0.0041✗1.026.6M2022-01-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1614.1501-0.26%4.188+0.65%0.0257✗0.801.1M2022-01-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.2736.1755-0.26%34.44-5.05%0.0147✓1.662.7M2022-01-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.977.9498-0.25%7.77-2.51%0.0097✓0.63680k2022-01-17
UMAUMAEthereum8.398.3692-0.25%8.13-3.10%0.0089✓0.974.1M2022-01-17
NANOnanopayBase3.12013.1124-0.24%3.0126-3.45%0.0089✓1.14699k2022-01-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4891.4854-0.24%1.391-6.58%0.0373✓1.364.1M2022-01-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08570.085494-0.24%0.0824-3.85%0.0079✓1.40990k2022-01-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.91990.917734-0.24%0.8095-12.00%0.1047✓1.002.8M2022-01-17
XTZTezosTezos4.29144.2814-0.23%4.0538-5.54%0.0262✓1.373.4M2022-01-17
SOLSolanaSolana147.98147.6565-0.22%139.85-5.49%0.0309✓1.13152.8M2022-01-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.34120.340477-0.21%0.3888+13.95%0.1642✗1.523.8M2022-01-17
GTGateEthereum7.06217.0472-0.21%6.9968-0.92%0.0107✗0.863.8M2022-01-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,225.3043,136.69-0.21%41,814.50-3.26%0.0107✓0.9814k2022-01-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.26980.269286-0.19%0.2569-4.78%0.0195✓1.333.9M2022-01-17
ETHEthereumEthereum3,349.463,343.29-0.18%3,210.98-4.13%0.0181✓1.07481.6M2022-01-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum27.6527.5998-0.18%24.33-12.01%0.0877✓1.853.9M2022-01-17
MOVRMoonriverBase149.9189149.6766-0.16%137.7719-8.10%0.0596✓1.12489k2022-01-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0561.0543-0.16%1.016-3.79%0.0168✓0.972.2M2022-01-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7664990.765298-0.16%0.727776-5.05%0.0265✓1.142.4M2022-01-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.05431.0527-0.15%1.0077-4.42%0.0146✓1.401.5M2022-01-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.78533.7802-0.14%3.7699-0.41%0.0040✓-0.06371k2022-01-17
RADRadworksEthereum8.28.1891-0.13%7.89-3.78%0.0189✓0.881.1M2022-01-17
TRXTRONTron0.0698980.069817-0.12%0.070851+1.36%0.0347✗0.96525k2022-01-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.13830.138142-0.11%0.1315-4.92%0.0226✓1.282.4M2022-01-17
LRCLoopringEthereum1.36431.3642-0.01%1.2289-9.92%0.0648✓1.911.3M2022-01-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.