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2022-01-14 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0564
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.44%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
33.1%
in alpha space · 30.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.02%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LRCLoopringEthereum1.47071.4698-0.06%1.4232-3.23%0.0325✓1.911.4M2022-01-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.13920.139091-0.08%0.1398+0.43%0.0049✗1.282.4M2022-01-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum26.2826.2592-0.08%26.68+1.52%0.0156✗1.844.1M2022-01-15
RADRadworksEthereum7.927.9134-0.08%8.39+5.93%0.0583✗0.881.1M2022-01-15
TRXTRONTron0.0676580.067596-0.09%0.068548+1.32%0.0138✗0.96552k2022-01-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.03051.0292-0.13%1.0846+5.25%0.0522✗1.401.5M2022-01-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76993.7647-0.14%3.7698-0.00%0.0014✓-0.06364k2022-01-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7482050.747155-0.14%0.757762+1.28%0.0139✗1.142.5M2022-01-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0551.0535-0.15%1.074+1.80%0.0191✗0.972.2M2022-01-15
ETHEthereumEthereum3,310.453,304.90-0.17%3,328.12+0.53%0.0068✗1.07556.2M2022-01-15
GTGateEthereum6.81286.8007-0.18%7.09+4.07%0.0415✗0.863.5M2022-01-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.26680.266311-0.18%0.2669+0.04%0.0020✗1.334.0M2022-01-15
AAVEAaveEthereum224.05223.6377-0.18%238.63+6.51%0.0647✗1.1817.6M2022-01-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.3350.334348-0.19%0.3416+1.97%0.0212✗1.513.8M2022-01-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.97790.97598-0.20%0.9833+0.55%0.0073✗1.013.0M2022-01-15
SOLSolanaSolana146.17145.8728-0.20%147.78+1.10%0.0128✗1.13177.1M2022-01-15
MOVRMoonriverBase157.2002156.8632-0.21%154.3287-1.83%0.0165✓1.12515k2022-01-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8531.8489-0.22%1.875+1.19%0.0138✗1.152.2M2022-01-15
XTZTezosTezos4.2854.2756-0.22%4.282-0.07%0.0013✓1.374.3M2022-01-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07070.070537-0.23%0.07028-0.59%0.0039✓1.2316.4M2022-01-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3081.3049-0.23%1.324+1.22%0.0143✗1.352.7M2022-01-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.225.2077-0.24%5.28+1.15%0.0136✗1.183.3M2022-01-15
UMAUMAEthereum8.398.3701-0.24%8.47+0.95%0.0117✗0.974.3M2022-01-15
UNIUniswapEthereum15.8715.832-0.24%16.49+3.91%0.0405✗1.3012.4M2022-01-15
IMXImmutableEthereum3.553.5414-0.24%3.61+1.69%0.0190✗1.392.2M2022-01-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.917.8908-0.24%8.02+1.39%0.0161✗0.63680k2022-01-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05570.055563-0.25%0.0544-2.33%0.0214✓1.371.5M2022-01-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08650.08628-0.25%0.0869+0.46%0.0069✗1.401.2M2022-01-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash385.65384.6545-0.26%390.86+1.35%0.0158✗1.027.6M2022-01-15
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5091.5051-0.26%1.538+1.92%0.0214✗1.374.4M2022-01-15
LSKLiskEthereum2.09242.087-0.26%2.089-0.16%0.0008✓1.1195k2022-01-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.773.5072-0.26%75.35+2.24%0.0246✗1.076.2M2022-01-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.7577.7359-0.27%8.117+4.64%0.0480✗0.69192k2022-01-15
NANOnanopayBase3.15113.1424-0.28%3.1231-0.89%0.0064✓1.14699k2022-01-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.2694.2571-0.28%4.222-1.10%0.0084✓0.801.1M2022-01-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,294.1043,172.65-0.28%42,685.80-1.41%0.0115✓0.9814k2022-01-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.381.3761-0.28%1.38+0.00%0.0025✓1.67569k2022-01-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum29.729.6163-0.28%30.61+3.06%0.0327✗1.541.0M2022-01-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.014340.014299-0.28%0.01441+0.49%0.0073✗2.3726.1M2022-01-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.2536.1445-0.29%36.22-0.08%0.0018✓1.662.7M2022-01-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.686.6601-0.30%6.7+0.30%0.0059✗0.66602k2022-01-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.041110.040988-0.30%0.04139+0.68%0.0096✗0.918.4M2022-01-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17980.179262-0.30%0.1806+0.44%0.0073✗0.91432k2022-01-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.922.9112-0.30%3.25+11.30%0.1099✗1.263.1M2022-01-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0284310.028345-0.30%0.028908+1.68%0.0195✗1.035.7M2022-01-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV113.04112.6965-0.30%112.76-0.25%0.0004✓0.962.2M2022-01-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum32.5432.4383-0.31%32.55+0.03%0.0032✗1.4134.3M2022-01-15
KCSKuCoinnative20.0820.0171-0.31%20.344+1.31%0.0159✗1.6111.0M2022-01-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.57920.57738-0.31%0.5948+2.69%0.0295✗1.3012.2M2022-01-15
COMPCompoundEthereum189.59188.9857-0.32%192.18+1.37%0.0166✗1.16149k2022-01-15
QTUMQtumQtum7.84427.8192-0.32%8.3025+5.84%0.0597✗1.43263k2022-01-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,090.7242,953.11-0.32%43,098.20+0.02%0.0032✓1.00679.0M2022-01-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.020490.020425-0.32%0.020821+1.62%0.0190✗1.232.5M2022-01-15
XECeCashnative0.000097020.000096708-0.32%0.00010109+4.20%0.0441✗1.016.5M2022-01-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0790.078745-0.32%0.0756-4.30%0.0409✓1.0027.8M2022-01-15
XVSVenusEthereum1413.9546-0.32%14.16+1.14%0.0144✗1.143.1M2022-01-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.623.6082-0.32%3.55-1.93%0.0165✓1.258.5M2022-01-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.59.4683-0.33%9.46-0.42%0.0010✓0.711.0M2022-01-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin29.7229.6197-0.34%29.69-0.10%0.0022✓1.0915.5M2022-01-15
DODODODOEthereum0.8020.799292-0.34%0.81+1.00%0.0131✗1.498.0M2022-01-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8453.8319-0.34%3.846+0.03%0.0035✗0.71526k2022-01-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.091.0863-0.34%1.12+2.75%0.0302✗1.911.6M2022-01-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.9831.8708-0.34%32.86+2.75%0.0304✗1.062.9M2022-01-15
CBKCobakEthereum2.8572.8469-0.35%2.843-0.49%0.0015✓0.9026k2022-01-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.193.1787-0.35%3.19+0.00%0.0034✓0.99918k2022-01-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016660.016601-0.35%0.01703+2.22%0.0254✗0.7324k2022-01-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.38221.3772-0.36%1.3785-0.27%0.0007✓1.1730.5M2022-01-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.109330.108936-0.36%0.11024+0.83%0.0117✗1.1423k2022-01-15
QNTQuantEthereum165.39164.7915-0.36%167.6+1.34%0.0167✗0.936.9M2022-01-15
XYMSymbolnative0.19290.192202-0.36%0.1939+0.52%0.0087✗0.68464k2022-01-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08130.081002-0.37%0.0805-0.98%0.0064✓1.1119k2022-01-15
DASHDashDash141.12140.5979-0.37%141.33+0.15%0.0050✗1.202.8M2022-01-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.080720.080418-0.37%0.08027-0.56%0.0021✓1.422.6M2022-01-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.382.371-0.38%2.39+0.42%0.0078✗1.062.9M2022-01-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.9614.9032-0.38%15.07+0.74%0.0110✗0.681.1M2022-01-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5210.519019-0.38%0.534+2.50%0.0282✗1.302.0M2022-01-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030840.000030722-0.38%0.00003082-0.06%0.0030✓1.351.8M2022-01-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.2920.211-0.39%20.62+1.63%0.0199✗1.05958k2022-01-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.33210.330805-0.39%0.3248-2.20%0.0185✓1.282.2M2022-01-15
XVGVergenative0.013890.013836-0.39%0.01388-0.07%0.0030✓1.242.0M2022-01-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3660.364566-0.39%0.379+3.55%0.0387✗0.7643k2022-01-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.7627.6505-0.39%27.64-0.43%0.0006✓1.3564.3M2022-01-15
MINAMina Protocolnative3.463.4461-0.40%3.5+1.16%0.0153✗1.09808k2022-01-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0150.014938-0.41%0.01503+0.20%0.0059✗1.312.2M2022-01-15
SUSHISushiEthereum7.037.0008-0.42%7.04+0.14%0.0054✗1.2917.7M2022-01-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.772.7584-0.42%2.76-0.36%0.0004✓1.323.2M2022-01-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.12231.1176-0.42%1.1257+0.30%0.0071✗1.0023.2M2022-01-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.4228.3002-0.42%28.79+1.30%0.0170✗0.71360k2022-01-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.34634.3278-0.43%4.3614+0.35%0.0075✗1.264.1M2022-01-15
ADACardanoCardano1.29311.2876-0.43%1.2922-0.07%0.0034✓1.1595.6M2022-01-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71070.70766-0.43%0.7349+3.41%0.0375✗1.283.7M2022-01-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8674.8462-0.43%4.944+1.58%0.0199✗0.68469k2022-01-15
XLMStellarStellar0.2653750.264213-0.44%0.259056-2.38%0.0199✓1.0424.2M2022-01-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.17540.174627-0.44%0.1719-2.00%0.0160✓1.264.2M2022-01-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche90.4190.0098-0.44%93.08+2.95%0.0333✗1.18108.4M2022-01-15
KSMKusamaHydration281.84280.5717-0.45%289.7+2.79%0.0318✗1.181.4M2022-01-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1130.112486-0.45%0.1141+0.97%0.0141✗1.12303k2022-01-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.7425.6215-0.46%25.19-2.14%0.0172✓1.1974.2M2022-01-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.048.003-0.46%8.04+0.00%0.0045✓0.77737k2022-01-15
GITCOINGITCOIN10.86610.8159-0.46%11.158+2.69%0.0311✗0.1144k2022-01-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.05261.0477-0.46%1.0653+1.21%0.0164✗1.78974k2022-01-15
ZENHorizenBase53.853.5503-0.46%55.11+2.43%0.0284✗1.49667k2022-01-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,239.4932,089.47-0.47%33,487.36+3.87%0.0425✗0.6726.4M2022-01-15
ZECZcashZcash142.55141.8785-0.47%144.36+1.27%0.0171✗1.3010.9M2022-01-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin144.84144.1576-0.47%147.73+2.00%0.0242✗1.3732.2M2022-01-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.41981.413-0.48%1.5259+7.47%0.0767✗0.87922k2022-01-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5210.4684-0.49%10.66+1.33%0.0180✗0.75955k2022-01-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0596540.059359-0.49%0.057912-2.92%0.0249✓1.207.5M2022-01-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.093360.092877-0.52%0.09328-0.09%0.0042✓0.7352k2022-01-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.03526.0032-0.53%6.757+11.96%0.1181✗1.21457k2022-01-15
SCSiacoinnative0.013860.013786-0.53%0.01405+1.37%0.0188✗0.99656k2022-01-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.32910.327323-0.54%0.3345+1.64%0.0215✗1.02397k2022-01-15
XEMNEMnative0.11920.118556-0.54%0.1187-0.42%0.0010✓1.0557k2022-01-15
BANDBandEthereum5.75.6691-0.54%5.71+0.18%0.0070✗1.102.3M2022-01-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053420.053118-0.57%0.05243-1.85%0.0132✓1.1019k2022-01-15
LUNATerraTerra 281.4781.0031-0.57%87.55+7.46%0.0775✗1.007.4M2022-01-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos40.4440.2057-0.58%39.16-3.17%0.0265✓0.9586.7M2022-01-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6737.6269-0.60%7.871+2.58%0.0313✗1.30271k2022-01-15
XMRMoneroMonero229.78228.3957-0.60%218.2-5.04%0.0458✓0.993.1M2022-01-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.32043.3-0.61%3.3546+1.03%0.0162✗1.192.6M2022-01-15
STORJStorjEthereum1.60691.5967-0.63%1.6962+5.56%0.0603✗0.88502k2022-01-15
UOSUltraEthereum1.29881.2903-0.65%1.3528+4.16%0.0471✗1.053.0M2022-01-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.355.3144-0.66%5.28-1.31%0.0067✓1.4032.4M2022-01-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.849.7739-0.67%9.81-0.30%0.0037✓-0.021.5M2022-01-15
API3Api3Ethereum3.923.8937-0.67%5.09+29.85%0.2678✗0.80471k2022-01-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4152.3986-0.68%2.458+1.78%0.0243✗1.122.0M2022-01-15
MANADecentralandEthereum2.9552.9349-0.68%2.9986+1.48%0.0213✗1.025.2M2022-01-15
HIVEHivenative1.311.301-0.68%1.3273+1.32%0.0197✗1.404.0M2022-01-15
FTTFTXEthereum44.7344.3906-0.76%46+2.84%0.0354✗1.1121.6M2022-01-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.9810.8967-0.76%11.13+1.37%0.0212✗0.182.8M2022-01-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.71450.708866-0.79%0.677-5.25%0.0462✓1.382.7M2022-01-15
CELLCellframeEthereum1.06471.0557-0.85%1.0618-0.27%0.0056✓1.01108k2022-01-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0836380.082914-0.87%0.087032+4.06%0.0483✗1.002.4M2022-01-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62720.620986-0.99%0.6358+1.37%0.0233✗1.38736k2022-01-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1833170.181478-1.00%0.184596+0.70%0.0168✗1.105.4M2022-01-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3723.3369-1.04%3.34-0.95%0.0006✓1.731.2M2022-01-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.13564.086-1.20%4.1369+0.03%0.0122✗0.762,2572022-01-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.96050.941647-1.96%0.8963-6.68%0.0497✓1.7638.7M2022-01-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.222390.217735-2.09%0.20848-6.25%0.0437✓1.595,3602022-01-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.