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2022-01-13 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0366
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.92%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
87.1%
in alpha space · 89.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0815030.073114-10.29%0.028632-64.87%0.9296✓1.002.6M2022-02-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.049.9111-10.23%7.78-29.53%0.2407✓0.182.8M2022-02-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.84020.75567-10.06%0.4544-45.92%0.4948✓1.7438.7M2022-02-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.91533.5765-8.65%3.527-9.92%0.0080✓0.752,2572022-02-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.64180.589216-8.19%0.5785-9.86%0.0073✓1.40736k2022-02-12
CELLCellframeEthereum10.924021-7.60%1.2471+24.71%0.3075✗0.97110k2022-02-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.0190.942285-7.53%0.6015-40.97%0.4408✓1.023.1M2022-02-12
UOSUltraEthereum1.29591.2007-7.34%1.0443-19.41%0.1312✓1.053.2M2022-02-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3553.1092-7.33%2.76-17.73%0.1054✓1.741.2M2022-02-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.18010.167591-6.95%0.18496+2.70%0.1110✗1.565,3602022-02-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,460.4529,296.59-6.88%23,131.85-26.47%0.2310✓0.6626.4M2022-02-12
API3Api3Ethereum3.643.3904-6.86%4.07+11.81%0.1887✗0.76471k2022-02-12
STORJStorjEthereum1.57491.4679-6.79%1.1541-26.72%0.2335✓0.88558k2022-02-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.014440.013487-6.60%0.00616-57.34%0.7647✓2.3926.8M2022-02-12
HIVEHivenative1.29021.2067-6.47%1.052-18.46%0.1261✓1.404.2M2022-02-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.034.707-6.42%2.87-42.94%0.4837✓1.3931.8M2022-02-12
SUSHISushiEthereum7.036.5798-6.40%4.15-40.97%0.4506✓1.2917.7M2022-02-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche89.7684.1122-6.29%81.34-9.38%0.0241✓1.18109.3M2022-02-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.588.9805-6.26%7.93-17.22%0.1246✓-0.021.6M2022-02-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos37.6235.412-5.87%27.07-28.04%0.2612✓0.9486.7M2022-02-12
MANADecentralandEthereum2.89362.7264-5.78%2.9115+0.62%0.0738✗1.025.3M2022-02-12
GITCOINGITCOIN11.09110.4571-5.72%7.781-29.84%0.2947✓0.1250k2022-02-12
CBKCobakEthereum2.8042.6468-5.61%2.354-16.05%0.1101✓0.9026k2022-02-12
BANDBandEthereum5.845.5125-5.61%4.27-26.88%0.2466✓1.112.4M2022-02-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.32040.302498-5.59%0.2852-10.99%0.0508✓1.02397k2022-02-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6117.1896-5.54%6.939-8.83%0.0251✓1.30291k2022-02-12
FTTFTXEthereum40.9338.7989-5.21%44.18+7.94%0.1386✗1.0921.5M2022-02-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3712.2482-5.18%1.812-23.58%0.2068✓1.122.0M2022-02-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.70590.669924-5.10%0.4604-34.78%0.3641✓1.382.7M2022-02-12
LUNATerraTerra 277.8573.8901-5.09%51.96-33.26%0.3442✓1.007.4M2022-02-12
XEMNEMnative0.11580.110065-4.95%0.1086-6.22%0.0051✓1.0557k2022-02-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07930.075377-4.95%0.0682-14.00%0.0921✓1.0028.0M2022-02-12
XMRMoneroMonero223.84213.4214-4.65%173.82-22.35%0.1974✓0.993.0M2022-02-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.03370.985656-4.65%0.80694-21.94%0.1859✓1.79986k2022-02-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.349.8635-4.61%11.03+6.67%0.1177✗0.75994k2022-02-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum24.8823.7337-4.61%15.97-35.81%0.3868✓1.1974.3M2022-02-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.36161.3021-4.37%0.9188-32.52%0.3394✓1.1730.5M2022-02-12
XLMStellarStellar0.2694070.257668-4.36%0.218218-19.00%0.1579✓1.0424.2M2022-02-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.93555.6782-4.33%4.7989-19.15%0.1586✓1.21457k2022-02-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5120.489973-4.30%0.37-27.73%0.2705✓1.302.1M2022-02-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1790.171388-4.25%0.1672-6.59%0.0175✓0.91439k2022-02-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.7918.9553-4.22%15.16-23.40%0.2151✓1.051.0M2022-02-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016230.015565-4.10%0.01362-16.08%0.1277✓0.7225k2022-02-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1715880.164672-4.03%0.144281-15.91%0.1235✓1.095.4M2022-02-12
DASHDashDash141.37135.6836-4.02%104.19-26.30%0.2545✓1.212.8M2022-02-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7114.1203-4.01%18.05+22.71%0.2509✗0.681.1M2022-02-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.34434.1749-3.90%3.5079-19.25%0.1641✓1.264.1M2022-02-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.732.6237-3.90%2.02-26.01%0.2510✓1.323.2M2022-02-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.7226.643-3.89%30.19+8.91%0.1306✗0.71360k2022-02-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum31.3930.1719-3.88%20.07-36.06%0.3965✓1.4133.4M2022-02-12
QNTQuantEthereum165.57159.1978-3.85%133.7-19.25%0.1671✓0.937.0M2022-02-12
UMAUMAEthereum8.37.9844-3.80%6.32-23.86%0.2261✓0.974.4M2022-02-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.8224.8419-3.79%18.82-27.11%0.2670✓1.3366.7M2022-02-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.5127.4354-3.77%20.86-26.83%0.2654✓1.0816.0M2022-02-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014820.014263-3.76%0.01276-13.90%0.1009✓1.312.2M2022-02-12
XVGVergenative0.013770.013259-3.71%0.01149-16.56%0.1334✓1.242.1M2022-02-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10890.104878-3.69%0.0857-21.30%0.1931✓1.11303k2022-02-12
SCSiacoinnative0.013480.012982-3.69%0.01068-20.77%0.1874✓0.99686k2022-02-12
ADACardanoCardano1.23281.1875-3.67%1.0596-14.05%0.1049✓1.1495.6M2022-02-12
ZENHorizenBase55.9953.9367-3.67%40.89-26.97%0.2650✓1.50686k2022-02-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV109.36105.355-3.66%94.11-13.94%0.1053✓0.952.2M2022-02-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.38221.3322-3.62%1.8422+33.28%0.3310✗0.86922k2022-02-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.352.2661-3.57%1.69-28.09%0.2849✓1.063.1M2022-02-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8231.7581-3.56%1.618-11.25%0.0739✓1.152.2M2022-02-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.2493.1343-3.53%3.7974+16.88%0.2013✗1.192.6M2022-02-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.092470.089208-3.53%0.07609-17.71%0.1533✓0.7352k2022-02-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum35.7334.4856-3.48%28.49-20.26%0.1778✓1.662.7M2022-02-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0285460.027579-3.39%0.021888-23.32%0.2229✓1.035.9M2022-02-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.108760.105083-3.38%0.09377-13.78%0.1048✓1.1425k2022-02-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.10861.0712-3.37%0.8744-21.13%0.1951✓1.0023.2M2022-02-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.344972-3.37%0.338-5.32%0.0144✓0.7643k2022-02-12
DODODODOEthereum0.770.744311-3.34%0.514-33.25%0.3585✓1.488.0M2022-02-12
ZECZcashZcash143.25138.5146-3.31%117.83-17.75%0.1514✓1.3010.9M2022-02-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.723.5972-3.30%1.91-48.66%0.6231✓1.269.0M2022-02-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.1270.7575-3.23%59.18-19.06%0.1701✓1.076.3M2022-02-12
COMPCompoundEthereum190183.9039-3.21%127.26-33.02%0.3589✓1.17153k2022-02-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.054210.052476-3.20%0.04235-21.88%0.2056✓1.1019k2022-02-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.01370.982348-3.09%0.6501-35.87%0.4017✓1.401.5M2022-02-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000029680.000028764-3.09%0.0000292-1.62%0.0257✓1.341.7M2022-02-12
MINAMina Protocolnative3.283.1787-3.09%2.5-23.78%0.2316✓1.08808k2022-02-12
KSMKusamaHydration266.15257.9778-3.07%166.09-37.60%0.4310✓1.181.4M2022-02-12
QTUMQtumQtum7.56097.3289-3.07%6.7389-10.87%0.0726✓1.43268k2022-02-12
XECeCashnative0.000094970.000092068-3.06%0.0000823-13.34%0.1041✓1.016.6M2022-02-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,581.6541,288.26-3.04%42,244.97-0.79%0.0308✓1.00730.7M2022-02-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum29.328.4155-3.02%22.54-23.07%0.2194✓1.541.0M2022-02-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.027.7783-3.01%6.67-16.83%0.1476✓0.77767k2022-02-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.33080.321021-2.96%0.2838-14.21%0.1112✓1.523.8M2022-02-12
XYMSymbolnative0.19240.18684-2.89%0.1736-9.77%0.0681✓0.68441k2022-02-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.371.3305-2.88%1.12-18.25%0.1590✓1.67582k2022-02-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.084.9339-2.88%4.89-3.74%0.0004✓1.183.3M2022-02-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.06950.067502-2.88%0.03381-51.35%0.6817✓1.2316.9M2022-02-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3110.30211-2.86%0.2514-19.16%0.1736✓1.272.2M2022-02-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15670.152238-2.85%0.1393-11.10%0.0789✓1.244.2M2022-02-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7884.654-2.80%4.786-0.04%0.0333✗0.67474k2022-02-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.792.7125-2.78%1.92-31.18%0.3357✓1.243.2M2022-02-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.716.5273-2.72%5.48-18.33%0.1696✓0.66643k2022-02-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.040680.039582-2.70%0.03125-23.18%0.2291✓0.918.4M2022-02-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.549.2836-2.69%5.98-37.32%0.4342✓0.711.1M2022-02-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05470.05323-2.69%0.0322-41.13%0.4918✓1.371.5M2022-02-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4511.4123-2.67%1.267-12.68%0.0978✓1.364.7M2022-02-12
UNIUniswapEthereum15.4615.0512-2.64%10.64-31.18%0.3365✓1.3012.4M2022-02-12
MOVRMoonriverBase161156.7485-2.64%85.8439-46.68%0.5931✓1.13540k2022-02-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.7587.5541-2.63%5.916-23.74%0.2390✓0.69199k2022-02-12
IMXImmutableEthereum3.493.3992-2.60%2.3-34.10%0.3797✓1.382.2M2022-02-12
XTZTezosTezos4.11614.0096-2.59%4.109-0.17%0.0353✗1.364.4M2022-02-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7833.6892-2.48%3.162-16.42%0.1486✓0.70526k2022-02-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.2829.5573-2.39%31.67+4.59%0.0774✗1.052.9M2022-02-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.081.0546-2.35%0.94-12.96%0.0999✓1.911.7M2022-02-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.927.7343-2.35%6.4-19.19%0.1843✓0.63694k2022-02-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.2640.257911-2.31%0.2064-21.82%0.2122✓1.334.2M2022-02-12
LSKLiskEthereum2.08772.0398-2.29%1.7725-15.10%0.1316✓1.1194k2022-02-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin136.82133.7764-2.22%126.78-7.34%0.0429✓1.3632.2M2022-02-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08270.080905-2.17%0.0956+15.60%0.1779✗1.391.2M2022-02-12
GTGateEthereum6.77336.6296-2.12%6.758-0.23%0.0260✗0.863.8M2022-02-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.57110.559005-2.12%0.4191-26.62%0.2777✓1.3012.5M2022-02-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.143.0738-2.11%2.56-18.47%0.1751✓0.99923k2022-02-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07920.077554-2.08%0.0717-9.47%0.0697✓1.1119k2022-02-12
KCSKuCoinnative19.58519.1789-2.07%19.111-2.42%0.0093✓1.6111.7M2022-02-12
SOLSolanaSolana146.24143.3275-1.99%95.95-34.39%0.3923✓1.13185.4M2022-02-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7374510.722893-1.97%0.617618-16.25%0.1483✓1.142.8M2022-02-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66450.651485-1.96%0.562-15.43%0.1376✓1.274.0M2022-02-12
AAVEAaveEthereum209.41205.4041-1.91%162.52-22.39%0.2249✓1.1717.6M2022-02-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.184.1008-1.90%3.312-20.77%0.2073✓0.801.1M2022-02-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.078970.077548-1.80%0.05601-29.07%0.3141✓1.422.6M2022-02-12
RADRadworksEthereum8.047.8996-1.75%5.34-33.58%0.3846✓0.881.1M2022-02-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.80323.7405-1.65%5.9446+56.31%0.4628✗-0.06364k2022-02-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0271.0101-1.65%0.745-27.46%0.2967✓0.972.2M2022-02-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.13880.136626-1.57%0.1035-25.43%0.2675✓1.282.4M2022-02-12
ETHEthereumEthereum3,241.883,192.82-1.51%2,919.99-9.93%0.0808✓1.07560.6M2022-02-12
NANOnanopayBase3.03952.9955-1.45%2.1781-28.34%0.3096✓1.14699k2022-02-12
LRCLoopringEthereum1.49531.4743-1.40%0.9401-37.13%0.4347✓1.931.4M2022-02-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.05770.05692-1.35%0.044288-23.24%0.2414✓1.207.5M2022-02-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3011.2846-1.26%0.942-27.59%0.2995✓1.362.8M2022-02-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.019260.01906-1.04%0.015897-17.46%0.1717✓1.222.5M2022-02-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,708.5042,270.56-1.03%42,568.00-0.33%0.0148✗0.9814k2022-02-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash377.35374.0259-0.88%330.64-12.38%0.1153✓1.018.1M2022-02-12
XVSVenusEthereum13.8513.7328-0.85%8.98-35.16%0.4157✓1.143.2M2022-02-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum25.6925.5231-0.65%17.04-33.67%0.3894✓1.844.3M2022-02-12
TRXTRONTron0.0661580.066372+0.32%0.063473-4.06%0.0371✗0.96552k2022-02-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.