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2022-01-11 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1091
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.00%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
85.6%
in alpha space · 84.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.81%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0649340.065198+0.41%0.068608+5.66%0.0340✓0.95552k2022-02-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum26.7526.6023-0.55%18.94-29.20%0.3726✓1.835.0M2022-02-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash369.84367.6797-0.58%341.1-7.77%0.0932✓1.018.5M2022-02-10
XVSVenusEthereum13.7113.6081-0.74%9.7-29.25%0.3591✓1.143.3M2022-02-10
LRCLoopringEthereum1.49151.4801-0.77%1.0404-30.24%0.3867✓1.911.4M2022-02-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,770.2042,398.31-0.87%43,566.60+1.86%0.0095✗0.9814k2022-02-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2731.2583-1.16%1.029-19.17%0.2252✓1.342.9M2022-02-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0186970.01846-1.27%0.017169-8.17%0.0944✓1.222.5M2022-02-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.73233.6806-1.39%6.1336+64.34%0.5122✗-0.08371k2022-02-10
ETHEthereumEthereum3,240.833,194.89-1.42%3,074.85-5.12%0.0574✓1.06591.9M2022-02-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.079760.078568-1.49%0.05799-27.29%0.3293✓1.432.6M2022-02-10
GTGateEthereum6.41296.3144-1.54%6.9043+7.66%0.0741✗0.853.7M2022-02-10
RADRadworksEthereum8.017.8804-1.62%5.69-28.96%0.3417✓0.891.1M2022-02-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.14710.144672-1.65%0.1163-20.94%0.2406✓1.242.1M2022-02-10
SOLSolanaSolana140.27137.917-1.68%106.25-24.25%0.2808✓1.11194.0M2022-02-10
AAVEAaveEthereum213.29209.6566-1.70%175.4-17.76%0.1994✓1.1717.6M2022-02-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0760.074635-1.80%0.076+0.00%0.0013✓1.0819k2022-02-10
NANOnanopayBase3.03122.9767-1.80%2.3689-21.85%0.2482✓1.10699k2022-02-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0451.0261-1.81%0.845-19.14%0.2113✓0.952.2M2022-02-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08240.08086-1.87%0.1041+26.33%0.2279✗1.381.2M2022-02-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin131.67129.1969-1.88%134.59+2.22%0.0167✓1.3535.0M2022-02-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.65110.638575-1.92%0.6038-7.26%0.0785✓1.254.4M2022-02-10
KCSKuCoinnative19.37818.9989-1.96%20.473+5.65%0.0457✗1.6113.0M2022-02-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.960.941071-1.97%1+4.17%0.0296✗1.731.6M2022-02-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7186320.704378-1.98%0.677039-5.79%0.0601✓1.142.6M2022-02-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.56910.557506-2.04%0.4615-18.91%0.2123✓1.3012.5M2022-02-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3824.2885-2.13%3.584-18.21%0.1937✓0.791.1M2022-02-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.6929.0349-2.21%34.39+15.83%0.1505✗1.053.2M2022-02-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8183.7329-2.23%3.241-15.11%0.1538✓0.70526k2022-02-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana87.8164-2.29%6.86-14.25%0.1417✓0.62714k2022-02-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.23.1259-2.32%2.7-15.62%0.1641✓0.98977k2022-02-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3981.3655-2.33%1.323-5.36%0.0560✓1.365.2M2022-02-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.26410.257928-2.34%0.2242-15.11%0.1639✓1.324.6M2022-02-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.047650.046535-2.34%0.04451-6.59%0.0647✓1.1217k2022-02-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027620.00002694-2.46%0.00003081+11.55%0.1119✗1.241.7M2022-02-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0649250.063289-2.52%0.050395-22.38%0.2499✓1.237.3M2022-02-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05740.055926-2.57%0.035-39.02%0.4927✓1.341.5M2022-02-10
LSKLiskEthereum2.10252.0483-2.58%1.8836-10.42%0.1039✓1.1283k2022-02-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8144.6888-2.60%4.61-4.24%0.0287✓0.65481k2022-02-10
XTZTezosTezos4.17524.0637-2.67%4.1273-1.15%0.0087✓1.354.6M2022-02-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.361.3233-2.70%1.22-10.29%0.1113✓1.67738k2022-02-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31010.301651-2.72%0.2774-10.54%0.1064✓1.262.2M2022-02-10
IMXImmutableEthereum3.613.511-2.74%2.59-28.25%0.3287✓1.362.4M2022-02-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.070760.068811-2.75%0.0397-43.89%0.5720✓1.2216.9M2022-02-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.786.5932-2.75%5.75-15.19%0.1485✓0.65645k2022-02-10
XMRMoneroMonero193.01187.6224-2.79%179.36-7.07%0.0636✓1.033.0M2022-02-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.17.8713-2.82%6.84-15.56%0.1543✓0.77741k2022-02-10
UNIUniswapEthereum15.9815.5287-2.82%11.41-28.60%0.3315✓1.3013.1M2022-02-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.084.9363-2.83%5.23+2.95%0.0371✗1.153.3M2022-02-10
ZECZcashZcash141.38137.3677-2.84%124.85-11.69%0.1192✓1.3210.9M2022-02-10
SCSiacoinnative0.01350.013113-2.86%0.01138-15.70%0.1594✓0.98756k2022-02-10
COMPCompoundEthereum188.96183.5333-2.87%132.68-29.78%0.3454✓1.17161k2022-02-10
QTUMQtumQtum7.5217.304-2.89%7.1425-5.03%0.0479✓1.42273k2022-02-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.573.4662-2.91%2.07-42.02%0.5381✓1.269.3M2022-02-10
ZENHorizenBase56.1154.4636-2.93%45.02-19.76%0.2173✓1.49736k2022-02-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,753.4441,495.89-2.94%43,527.71+1.81%0.0299✗1.00754.4M2022-02-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.041840.040609-2.94%0.03045-27.22%0.3042✓0.918.4M2022-02-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.37091.3302-2.97%1.874+36.70%0.3272✗0.87922k2022-02-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.0250.994423-2.98%0.7205-29.71%0.3472✓1.391.6M2022-02-10
XECeCashnative0.000093560.000090757-3.00%0.0000925-1.13%0.0011✓1.006.7M2022-02-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.152.0853-3.01%1.8-16.28%0.1665✓1.083.3M2022-02-10
MOVRMoonriverBase165.565160.5494-3.03%94.3677-43.00%0.5516✓1.13540k2022-02-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum72.7570.5355-3.04%63.35-12.92%0.1262✓1.056.4M2022-02-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.16050.15554-3.09%0.1482-7.66%0.0705✓1.234.2M2022-02-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.57990.561945-3.10%0.5118-11.74%0.1178✓1.362.7M2022-02-10
KSMKusamaHydration260.77252.6869-3.10%179.15-31.30%0.3649✓1.171.3M2022-02-10
XYMSymbolnative0.20620.199786-3.11%0.1806-12.42%0.1133✓0.69428k2022-02-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.2217.9629-3.14%6.466-21.35%0.2201✓0.66221k2022-02-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.104960.101631-3.17%0.10255-2.30%0.0114✓1.1423k2022-02-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum29.4328.488-3.20%23.69-19.50%0.2118✓1.521.0M2022-02-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0292650.028324-3.21%0.023319-20.32%0.2129✓1.036.3M2022-02-10
DODODODOEthereum0.7470.722875-3.23%0.562-24.77%0.2777✓1.447.7M2022-02-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.33630.32541-3.24%0.3093-8.03%0.0778✓1.503.8M2022-02-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.1411.1035-3.29%0.9488-16.84%0.1686✓0.9823.2M2022-02-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3610.349014-3.32%0.281-22.16%0.2299✓0.7339k2022-02-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1537220.148589-3.34%0.151631-1.36%0.0004✓1.115.1M2022-02-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.3285.1474-3.39%5.0692-4.86%0.0368✓1.20446k2022-02-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV110.22106.4708-3.40%98.35-10.77%0.0964✓0.952.6M2022-02-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.091340.088135-3.51%0.0828-9.35%0.0750✓0.7052k2022-02-10
ADACardanoCardano1.18791.1459-3.54%1.1515-3.06%0.0149✓1.1195.6M2022-02-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.17684.0274-3.58%3.5527-14.94%0.1484✓1.284.2M2022-02-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.5524.6306-3.60%20.51-19.73%0.2067✓1.3270.4M2022-02-10
DASHDashDash141.85136.6976-3.63%111.66-21.28%0.2243✓1.222.2M2022-02-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.679.3186-3.63%6.43-33.51%0.3833✓0.681.2M2022-02-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.861.7919-3.66%1.719-7.58%0.0622✓1.152.3M2022-02-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.932.8212-3.71%2.07-29.35%0.3311✓1.193.2M2022-02-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11020.106096-3.72%0.0919-16.61%0.1635✓1.10304k2022-02-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.18573.0663-3.75%3.654+14.70%0.1537✗1.212.5M2022-02-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3112.2241-3.76%1.987-14.02%0.1322✓1.091.9M2022-02-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.8927.7993-3.78%23.14-19.90%0.2023✓1.0518.5M2022-02-10
XVGVergenative0.013860.013333-3.80%0.01219-12.05%0.1114✓1.222.1M2022-02-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014750.014185-3.83%0.01337-9.36%0.0827✓1.312.2M2022-02-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.4227.3319-3.83%28.06-1.27%0.0137✓0.70363k2022-02-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7814.1995-3.93%18.01+21.85%0.2257✗0.671.1M2022-02-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016440.015794-3.93%0.01369-16.73%0.1555✓0.7027k2022-02-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.82.6897-3.94%2.16-22.86%0.2430✓1.323.2M2022-02-10
UMAUMAEthereum8.658.3089-3.94%6.28-27.40%0.2971✓0.954.4M2022-02-10
XEMNEMnative0.11450.109912-4.01%0.1139-0.52%0.0168✓1.0567k2022-02-10
QNTQuantEthereum169.57162.7217-4.04%140.08-17.39%0.1669✓0.957.5M2022-02-10
MINAMina Protocolnative3.453.3091-4.08%2.76-20.00%0.2004✓1.05715k2022-02-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17780.170303-4.22%0.1649-7.26%0.0487✓0.91463k2022-02-10
XLMStellarStellar0.2631770.252063-4.22%0.23172-11.95%0.1025✓1.0224.9M2022-02-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum34.4532.9867-4.25%21.59-37.33%0.4489✓1.3929.9M2022-02-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5160.494004-4.26%0.408-20.93%0.2145✓1.292.1M2022-02-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.3919.5164-4.28%16.26-20.26%0.2012✓1.041.0M2022-02-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.199.7368-4.45%10.6+4.02%0.0715✗0.75994k2022-02-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.05481.0071-4.52%0.88264-16.32%0.1638✓1.781.0M2022-02-10
BANDBandEthereum5.144.9076-4.52%3.9-24.12%0.2497✓1.112.2M2022-02-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.32280.30814-4.54%0.3045-5.67%0.0299✓1.00397k2022-02-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.8435.128-4.65%33.86-8.09%0.0663✓1.642.8M2022-02-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0770.073419-4.65%0.0744-3.38%0.0047✓1.0030.6M2022-02-10
FTTFTXEthereum39.7837.8459-4.86%44.55+11.99%0.1434✗1.1020.7M2022-02-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.0946.7432-4.94%7.756+9.33%0.1169✗1.29271k2022-02-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum26.625.2807-4.96%17.51-34.17%0.3886✓1.1970.9M2022-02-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.44671.374-5.02%0.9822-32.11%0.3564✓1.1532.1M2022-02-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.93890.889624-5.25%0.6635-29.33%0.3093✓0.893.1M2022-02-10
CBKCobakEthereum2.7652.6157-5.40%2.505-9.40%0.0594✓0.9029k2022-02-10
LUNATerraTerra 273.5769.4939-5.54%52.32-28.88%0.3018✓1.007.4M2022-02-10
GITCOINGITCOIN11.20310.5522-5.81%8.495-24.17%0.2181✓0.0756k2022-02-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.7136.4484-5.84%29.1-24.83%0.2416✓0.9265.3M2022-02-10
SUSHISushiEthereum6.996.5734-5.96%4.41-36.91%0.4226✓1.3118.2M2022-02-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.614.3337-5.99%3.2-30.59%0.3285✓1.4130.4M2022-02-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.89210.836864-6.19%1.3202+47.99%0.4412✗0.82122k2022-02-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.014580.013667-6.26%0.00696-52.26%0.7172✓2.3626.8M2022-02-10
UOSUltraEthereum1.23651.1581-6.34%1.2095-2.18%0.0251✓1.023.3M2022-02-10
API3Api3Ethereum3.543.3073-6.57%4.48+26.55%0.2913✗0.68486k2022-02-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,768.9630,587.90-6.66%24,454.91-25.37%0.2353✓0.6426.4M2022-02-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche89.6683.6809-6.67%91.18+1.70%0.0650✓1.16115.7M2022-02-10
MANADecentralandEthereum2.93122.7321-6.79%3.1401+7.13%0.1212✗1.005.4M2022-02-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.739.0599-6.89%7.67-21.17%0.1655✓-0.061.6M2022-02-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.173030.160761-7.09%0.2098+21.25%0.2382✗1.565,3602022-02-10
HIVEHivenative1.31021.2169-7.12%1.1096-15.31%0.1172✓1.394.5M2022-02-10
STORJStorjEthereum1.59241.4767-7.27%1.2595-20.91%0.1746✓0.86610k2022-02-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62610.574487-8.24%0.5753-8.11%0.0247✓1.45736k2022-02-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.84243.5252-8.26%3.5386-7.91%0.0097✓0.753,1162022-02-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0864230.077594-10.22%0.035501-58.92%0.7999✓1.002.8M2022-02-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.68260.611869-10.36%0.5138-24.73%0.2067✓1.7938.7M2022-02-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.2310.0642-10.38%8.52-24.13%0.1689✓0.132.8M2022-02-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7663.276-13.01%2.821-25.09%0.1819✓1.801.2M2022-02-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.