2022-01-09 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0369

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-1.03%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

90.6%

in alpha space · 92.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-0.13%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6539	0.638021	-2.43%	0.6249	-4.43%	0.0189	✓	1.48	650k	2022-01-10
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4847	1.4652	-1.32%	1.3749	-7.40%	0.0625	✓	0.88	922k	2022-01-10
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.098665	0.097493	-1.19%	0.08637	-12.46%	0.1199	✓	1.00	3.3M	2022-01-10
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	27.54	27.2913	-0.90%	27.98	+1.60%	0.0264	✗	1.21	69.2M	2022-01-10
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	36.14	35.8451	-0.82%	34.29	-5.12%	0.0426	✓	1.41	25.8M	2022-01-10
DASH	Dash	Dash	153.16	151.9952	-0.76%	148.17	-3.26%	0.0239	✓	1.25	1.9M	2022-01-10
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	11.38	11.2999	-0.70%	10.7	-5.98%	0.0544	✓	0.12	2.8M	2022-01-10
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08615	0.085581	-0.66%	0.07934	-7.90%	0.0739	✓	1.44	2.5M	2022-01-10
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3331	1.3244	-0.65%	1.2679	-4.89%	0.0418	✓	1.39	4.5M	2022-01-10
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	10.01	9.9445	-0.65%	9.5	-5.09%	0.0458	✓	-0.06	1.8M	2022-01-10
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9369	2.9179	-0.65%	2.818	-4.05%	0.0336	✓	1.00	5.5M	2022-01-10
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17635	0.175317	-0.59%	0.17081	-3.14%	0.0241	✓	1.57	4,992	2022-01-10
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.064749	0.064374	-0.58%	0.081082	+25.23%	0.2324	✗	1.31	7.1M	2022-01-10
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6607	0.657201	-0.53%	0.6017	-8.93%	0.0860	✓	1.77	40.0M	2022-01-10
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	144.28	143.572	-0.49%	141.24	-2.11%	0.0147	✓	1.33	10.6M	2022-01-10
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.68	3.662	-0.49%	3.13	-14.95%	0.1554	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-01-10
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,503.10	42,297.25	-0.48%	41,624.60	-2.07%	0.0148	✓	0.98	10k	2022-01-10
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.32	5.2945	-0.48%	5.04	-5.26%	0.0479	✓	1.11	2.1M	2022-01-10
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	34.99	34.8251	-0.47%	37.83	+8.12%	0.0839	✗	0.91	49.1M	2022-01-10
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	37.02	36.8522	-0.45%	33.37	-9.86%	0.0972	✓	1.63	2.8M	2022-01-10
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8039	3.7871	-0.44%	3.7258	-2.05%	0.0154	✓	0.75	3,820	2022-01-10
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5581	1.5514	-0.43%	1.5156	-2.73%	0.0223	✓	0.85	647k	2022-01-10
XEM	NEM	native	0.1152	0.114709	-0.43%	0.1116	-3.12%	0.0262	✓	1.05	67k	2022-01-10
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.87	2.8578	-0.43%	2.73	-4.88%	0.0441	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-10
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	74.48	74.167	-0.42%	69.46	-6.74%	0.0643	✓	1.00	7.4M	2022-01-10
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.82	3.8042	-0.41%	3.57	-6.54%	0.0627	✓	0.70	646k	2022-01-10
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.301	11.2546	-0.41%	10.645	-5.80%	0.0556	✓	0.06	61k	2022-01-10
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09282	0.092439	-0.41%	0.08602	-7.33%	0.0711	✓	0.69	48k	2022-01-10
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.298	2.2886	-0.41%	2.167	-5.70%	0.0533	✓	1.08	1.8M	2022-01-10
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	37.15	36.9991	-0.41%	38.11	+2.58%	0.0309	✗	1.09	19.4M	2022-01-10
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3224	0.321115	-0.40%	0.3128	-2.98%	0.0250	✓	1.00	340k	2022-01-10
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.261185	0.260148	-0.40%	0.253061	-3.11%	0.0263	✓	1.02	24.0M	2022-01-10
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8848	0.881364	-0.39%	0.8077	-8.71%	0.0860	✓	1.00	133k	2022-01-10
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01542	0.015361	-0.38%	0.01401	-9.14%	0.0904	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-01-10
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1126	0.112176	-0.38%	0.108	-4.09%	0.0366	✓	1.11	280k	2022-01-10
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,662.92	32,540.92	-0.37%	32,010.24	-2.00%	0.0156	✓	0.64	25.2M	2022-01-10
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5856	0.583418	-0.37%	0.55	-6.08%	0.0573	✓	1.35	2.7M	2022-01-10
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.07	27.9671	-0.37%	27.36	-2.53%	0.0211	✓	0.69	370k	2022-01-10
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	170.38	169.7621	-0.36%	166.33	-2.38%	0.0192	✓	0.95	7.6M	2022-01-10
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.81	7.7818	-0.36%	7.61	-2.56%	0.0214	✓	0.76	741k	2022-01-10
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.150483	0.14994	-0.36%	0.143133	-4.88%	0.0451	✓	1.09	4.7M	2022-01-10
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0347	1.031	-0.36%	0.99938	-3.41%	0.0289	✓	1.78	1.0M	2022-01-10
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.9	20.825	-0.36%	20.09	-3.88%	0.0346	✓	1.04	1.2M	2022-01-10
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.59	9.5557	-0.36%	8.92	-6.99%	0.0680	✓	0.67	1.1M	2022-01-10
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.87	2.8598	-0.36%	2.717	-5.33%	0.0501	✓	0.91	32k	2022-01-10
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.85	9.8152	-0.35%	9.84	-0.10%	0.0035	✓	0.74	1.0M	2022-01-10
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.35	3.3384	-0.35%	3.2	-4.48%	0.0410	✓	1.04	715k	2022-01-10
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.16	3.1491	-0.35%	3.13	-0.95%	0.0048	✓	0.99	949k	2022-01-10
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.98	8.9495	-0.34%	8.37	-6.79%	0.0658	✓	0.95	4.4M	2022-01-10
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.359	0.357819	-0.33%	0.343	-4.46%	0.0414	✓	0.72	38k	2022-01-10
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4009	1.3964	-0.32%	1.3624	-2.75%	0.0232	✓	1.14	30.5M	2022-01-10
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.813	6.7913	-0.32%	6.4	-6.06%	0.0578	✓	1.26	271k	2022-01-10
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	89.34	89.0581	-0.32%	84.46	-5.46%	0.0516	✓	1.15	115.7M	2022-01-10
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.526	0.524343	-0.32%	0.497	-5.51%	0.0519	✓	1.29	2.1M	2022-01-10
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2503	1.2465	-0.31%	1.1319	-9.47%	0.0951	✓	1.01	3.3M	2022-01-10
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01348	0.01344	-0.30%	0.01297	-3.78%	0.0343	✓	0.98	756k	2022-01-10
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.9326	2.924	-0.29%	2.8409	-3.13%	0.0274	✓	1.16	2.6M	2022-01-10
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.65	3.6393	-0.29%	3.48	-4.66%	0.0432	✓	1.25	9.8M	2022-01-10
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.282	4.2695	-0.29%	4.203	-1.84%	0.0147	✓	0.78	1.1M	2022-01-10
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.09	14.0489	-0.29%	13.18	-6.46%	0.0624	✓	1.14	3.4M	2022-01-10
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0428	0.042677	-0.29%	0.04207	-1.71%	0.0132	✓	0.92	8.0M	2022-01-10
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	193.57	193.0206	-0.28%	182.25	-5.85%	0.0560	✓	1.16	195k	2022-01-10
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1707	1.1674	-0.28%	1.1235	-4.03%	0.0369	✓	1.10	95.6M	2022-01-10
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1676	0.16713	-0.28%	0.1409	-15.93%	0.1692	✓	1.25	2.1M	2022-01-10
ZEN	Horizen	Base	55.93	55.7734	-0.28%	53.33	-4.65%	0.0429	✓	1.49	772k	2022-01-10
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.27	14.2303	-0.28%	14.26	-0.07%	0.0029	✗	0.66	1.1M	2022-01-10
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6473	0.645511	-0.28%	0.6318	-2.39%	0.0199	✓	1.25	4.4M	2022-01-10
XVG	Verge	native	0.01403	0.013991	-0.28%	0.01312	-6.49%	0.0628	✓	1.21	2.1M	2022-01-10
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5841	0.582535	-0.27%	0.5425	-7.12%	0.0696	✓	1.30	12.2M	2022-01-10
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	246.6	245.9429	-0.27%	242.17	-1.80%	0.0140	✓	1.15	1.3M	2022-01-10
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	30.18	30.0996	-0.27%	28.14	-6.76%	0.0660	✓	1.05	20.1M	2022-01-10
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.46	1.4561	-0.26%	1.34	-8.22%	0.0810	✓	1.68	790k	2022-01-10
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	130.91	130.5705	-0.26%	126.52	-3.35%	0.0298	✓	1.35	35.1M	2022-01-10
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.77	3.7603	-0.26%	3.579	-5.07%	0.0486	✓	0.68	514k	2022-01-10
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.617	4.6052	-0.26%	4.513	-2.25%	0.0194	✓	0.64	481k	2022-01-10
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10346	0.1032	-0.25%	0.09834	-4.95%	0.0468	✓	1.12	23k	2022-01-10
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029296	0.029223	-0.25%	0.027645	-5.64%	0.0542	✓	1.02	6.3M	2022-01-10
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.32	19.2734	-0.24%	19.007	-1.62%	0.0119	✓	1.63	13.0M	2022-01-10
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04947	0.049352	-0.24%	0.0467	-5.60%	0.0538	✓	1.13	16k	2022-01-10
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,876.52	41,777.04	-0.24%	41,824.07	-0.13%	0.0024	✗	1.00	696.0M	2022-01-10
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	29.94	29.8689	-0.24%	28.01	-6.45%	0.0623	✓	1.52	1.0M	2022-01-10
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.49	4.4795	-0.23%	4.32	-3.79%	0.0345	✓	1.40	30.4M	2022-01-10
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01643	0.016392	-0.23%	0.0154	-6.27%	0.0615	✓	0.68	29k	2022-01-10
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.3537	5.3415	-0.23%	5.1021	-4.70%	0.0444	✓	1.19	446k	2022-01-10
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.749	0.747295	-0.23%	0.704	-6.01%	0.0579	✓	1.44	7.6M	2022-01-10
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1698	0.169417	-0.23%	0.1582	-6.83%	0.0670	✓	1.24	4.3M	2022-01-10
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1838	0.183386	-0.23%	0.1815	-1.25%	0.0095	✓	0.65	428k	2022-01-10
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.018	4.009	-0.22%	3.8683	-3.73%	0.0341	✓	1.26	4.2M	2022-01-10
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.6651	7.648	-0.22%	7.2356	-5.60%	0.0536	✓	1.42	263k	2022-01-10
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0618	0.061666	-0.22%	0.0556	-10.03%	0.1019	✓	1.35	1.5M	2022-01-10
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0712	1.0689	-0.22%	1.1115	+3.76%	0.0403	✗	0.98	21.2M	2022-01-10
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009617	0.000095964	-0.21%	0.00009039	-6.01%	0.0586	✓	1.00	6.7M	2022-01-10
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0897	0.08951	-0.21%	0.0772	-13.94%	0.1467	✓	1.00	30.6M	2022-01-10
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1759	0.175549	-0.20%	0.1739	-1.14%	0.0083	✓	0.91	484k	2022-01-10
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018973	0.018936	-0.20%	0.018158	-4.30%	0.0404	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-01-10
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.93	6.9166	-0.19%	6.56	-5.34%	0.0513	✓	1.30	18.2M	2022-01-10
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24.63	24.5826	-0.19%	23.72	-3.69%	0.0341	✓	1.30	71.0M	2022-01-10
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.76	3.7528	-0.19%	3.79	+0.80%	0.0117	✗	1.43	2.4M	2022-01-10
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.075	0.074859	-0.19%	0.0707	-5.73%	0.0558	✓	1.07	16k	2022-01-10
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.79	15.7603	-0.19%	15.11	-4.31%	0.0405	✓	1.29	13.1M	2022-01-10
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.55	6.5379	-0.19%	6.41	-2.14%	0.0190	✓	0.64	674k	2022-01-10
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.15	2.1461	-0.18%	2.07	-3.72%	0.0347	✓	1.08	3.5M	2022-01-10
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.053	2.0493	-0.18%	2.0021	-2.48%	0.0219	✓	1.11	90k	2022-01-10
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.01	1.0082	-0.18%	0.94	-6.93%	0.0678	✓	1.76	1.6M	2022-01-10
XMR	Monero	Monero	191	190.6645	-0.18%	182.5	-4.45%	0.0425	✓	1.03	2.9M	2022-01-10
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.2164	4.209	-0.17%	4.0324	-4.36%	0.0412	✓	1.35	4.6M	2022-01-10
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.89	1.8867	-0.17%	1.785	-5.56%	0.0540	✓	1.15	2.4M	2022-01-10
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.072	0.071882	-0.16%	0.06891	-4.29%	0.0407	✓	1.23	18.4M	2022-01-10
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	160.3372	160.0762	-0.16%	155.6792	-2.91%	0.0265	✓	1.11	540k	2022-01-10
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		108.94	108.7649	-0.16%	105.99	-2.71%	0.0247	✓	0.95	2.6M	2022-01-10
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.74	29.6922	-0.16%	28.48	-4.24%	0.0404	✓	1.04	3.2M	2022-01-10
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.84	7.8275	-0.16%	7.57	-3.44%	0.0327	✓	0.61	760k	2022-01-10
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3161	0.315625	-0.15%	0.299	-5.41%	0.0525	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-01-10
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	376.94	376.3774	-0.15%	363.56	-3.55%	0.0334	✓	1.02	8.5M	2022-01-10
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002828	0.000028238	-0.15%	0.0000267	-5.59%	0.0544	✓	1.24	1.7M	2022-01-10
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.09	5.0824	-0.15%	4.88	-4.13%	0.0392	✓	1.15	3.3M	2022-01-10
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7652	3.7598	-0.14%	3.7419	-0.62%	0.0049	✓	-0.08	364k	2022-01-10
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3333	0.332833	-0.14%	0.3129	-6.12%	0.0599	✓	1.49	3.8M	2022-01-10
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.261	0.260656	-0.13%	0.251	-3.83%	0.0361	✓	1.32	4.5M	2022-01-10
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.823	2.8196	-0.12%	2.704	-4.22%	0.0399	✓	1.56	1.2M	2022-01-10
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.261	1.2595	-0.12%	1.188	-5.79%	0.0568	✓	1.33	3.1M	2022-01-10
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.759	7.7498	-0.12%	7.507	-3.25%	0.0310	✓	0.64	231k	2022-01-10
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	71.89	71.8227	-0.09%	68.4	-4.85%	0.0475	✓	1.03	6.3M	2022-01-10
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.56	8.5522	-0.09%	7.85	-8.29%	0.0846	✓	0.90	1.1M	2022-01-10
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0832	0.083125	-0.09%	0.0794	-4.57%	0.0441	✓	1.38	1.1M	2022-01-10
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.724063	0.723482	-0.08%	0.689086	-4.83%	0.0473	✓	1.14	2.6M	2022-01-10
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.065	1.0642	-0.08%	1.031	-3.19%	0.0305	✓	0.96	2.2M	2022-01-10
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0073	3.0052	-0.07%	2.8841	-4.10%	0.0398	✓	1.10	699k	2022-01-10
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,151.66	3,149.59	-0.07%	3,083.51	-2.16%	0.0199	✓	1.06	591.9M	2022-01-10
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.2854	6.2817	-0.06%	6.1496	-2.16%	0.0202	✓	0.84	3.5M	2022-01-10
SOL	Solana	Solana	140.83	140.7538	-0.05%	135.89	-3.51%	0.0338	✓	1.11	198.8M	2022-01-10
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.066121	0.066101	-0.03%	0.063485	-3.99%	0.0392	✓	0.95	552k	2022-01-10
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.9806	0.980391	-0.02%	1.0287	+4.91%	0.0499	✗	1.40	1.5M	2022-01-10
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.36	1.3598	-0.02%	1.327	-2.43%	0.0227	✓	1.35	5.2M	2022-01-10
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.5757	1.5756	-0.00%	1.468	-6.84%	0.0683	✓	1.93	1.3M	2022-01-10
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.015	0.015004	+0.02%	0.01395	-7.00%	0.0698	✗	2.39	27.1M	2022-01-10
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	209.53	209.6241	+0.04%	199.9	-4.60%	0.0460	✗	1.16	17.6M	2022-01-10
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	27.98	28.0205	+0.14%	25.38	-9.29%	0.0967	✗	1.84	5.4M	2022-01-10
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.0474	1.0519	+0.43%	0.9491	-9.39%	0.1017	✗	0.91	3.4M	2022-01-10

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.