2022-01-08 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0925

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-1.92%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

68.3%

in alpha space · 76.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.46%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.377	1.3892	+0.89%	1.36	-1.23%	0.0274	✗	1.34	5.2M	2022-01-09
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,080.48	3,107.22	+0.87%	3,151.66	+2.31%	0.0095	✓	1.03	619.8M	2022-01-09
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.07	1.0793	+0.87%	1.0474	-2.11%	0.0343	✗	0.95	3.7M	2022-01-09
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.47	9.5465	+0.81%	10.01	+5.70%	0.0477	✓	-0.07	1.8M	2022-01-09
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.95	21.1043	+0.74%	20.9	-0.24%	0.0131	✗	0.73	1.2M	2022-01-09
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0197	1.027	+0.72%	1.0347	+1.47%	0.0005	✓	1.74	1.0M	2022-01-09
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.12	2.1347	+0.69%	2.15	+1.42%	0.0024	✓	1.03	3.6M	2022-01-09
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	27.71	27.9003	+0.69%	27.98	+0.97%	0.0056	✓	1.84	5.4M	2022-01-09
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.5246	1.5343	+0.64%	1.5757	+3.35%	0.0179	✓	1.90	1.3M	2022-01-09
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.9971	4.0224	+0.63%	4.018	+0.52%	0.0069	✗	1.26	4.4M	2022-01-09
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002775	0.000027924	+0.63%	0.00002828	+1.91%	0.0070	✓	1.24	1.7M	2022-01-09
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1327	0.133531	+0.63%	0.1676	+26.30%	0.2217	✓	1.21	2.1M	2022-01-09
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01495	0.015042	+0.61%	0.01542	+3.14%	0.0190	✓	1.27	2.2M	2022-01-09
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.42	3.4409	+0.61%	3.76	+9.94%	0.0822	✓	1.40	2.5M	2022-01-09
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.515	1.5243	+0.61%	1.5581	+2.84%	0.0180	✓	0.85	663k	2022-01-09
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,684.84	41,939.87	+0.61%	41,876.52	+0.46%	0.0061	✓	1.00	743.8M	2022-01-09
XMR	Monero	Monero	183.67	184.789	+0.61%	191	+3.99%	0.0287	✓	0.95	3.0M	2022-01-09
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.065402	0.0658	+0.61%	0.066121	+1.10%	0.0006	✓	0.93	556k	2022-01-09
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5732	0.576653	+0.60%	0.5841	+1.90%	0.0073	✓	1.20	12.2M	2022-01-09
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.742	0.746453	+0.60%	0.749	+0.94%	0.0030	✓	1.40	7.7M	2022-01-09
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.84	6.8808	+0.60%	6.813	-0.39%	0.0155	✗	1.22	291k	2022-01-09
SOL	Solana	Solana	142.17	142.9982	+0.58%	140.83	-0.94%	0.0200	✗	1.02	203.4M	2022-01-09
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0944	0.094949	+0.58%	0.0897	-4.98%	0.0615	✗	1.00	33.0M	2022-01-09
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1998	1.2067	+0.58%	1.2503	+4.21%	0.0309	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-01-09
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04346	0.04371	+0.58%	0.0428	-1.52%	0.0252	✗	0.90	8.2M	2022-01-09
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.44	9.4944	+0.58%	9.59	+1.59%	0.0070	✓	0.65	1.2M	2022-01-09
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.886	1.8967	+0.57%	1.89	+0.21%	0.0088	✗	1.14	2.4M	2022-01-09
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	83.91	84.3749	+0.55%	89.34	+6.47%	0.0522	✓	1.09	115.7M	2022-01-09
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.04	1.0457	+0.55%	1.065	+2.40%	0.0140	✓	0.94	2.2M	2022-01-09
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	240.09	241.3958	+0.54%	246.6	+2.71%	0.0162	✓	1.12	1.3M	2022-01-09
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018696	0.018797	+0.54%	0.018973	+1.48%	0.0037	✓	1.23	2.5M	2022-01-09
ZEN	Horizen	Base	54.36	54.6512	+0.54%	55.93	+2.89%	0.0167	✓	1.40	802k	2022-01-09
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.3573	5.3859	+0.54%	5.3537	-0.07%	0.0112	✗	1.13	457k	2022-01-09
XVG	Verge	native	0.01392	0.013993	+0.52%	0.01403	+0.79%	0.0029	✓	1.20	2.1M	2022-01-09
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,892.20	42,111.10	+0.52%	42,503.10	+1.46%	0.0048	✓	0.98	9,204	2022-01-09
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.37	29.5215	+0.52%	29.74	+1.26%	0.0028	✓	1.00	3.3M	2022-01-09
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.94	28.084	+0.52%	28.07	+0.47%	0.0035	✓	0.66	385k	2022-01-09
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1789	6.2101	+0.51%	6.2854	+1.72%	0.0084	✓	0.79	3.7M	2022-01-09
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.839	10.8937	+0.50%	11.301	+4.26%	0.0363	✓	0.08	68k	2022-01-09
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.946	19.0415	+0.50%	19.32	+1.97%	0.0072	✓	1.61	13.6M	2022-01-09
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0811	0.081509	+0.50%	0.0832	+2.59%	0.0142	✓	1.38	1.2M	2022-01-09
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	212.32	213.3889	+0.50%	209.53	-1.31%	0.0234	✗	1.12	17.6M	2022-01-09
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	143.63	144.3452	+0.50%	144.28	+0.45%	0.0062	✗	1.26	10.6M	2022-01-09
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01623	0.01631	+0.49%	0.01643	+1.23%	0.0045	✓	0.61	30k	2022-01-09
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.875	2.889	+0.49%	2.9326	+2.00%	0.0097	✓	1.16	2.6M	2022-01-09
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3129	0.31442	+0.49%	0.3161	+1.02%	0.0005	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-01-09
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.23	1.236	+0.48%	1.261	+2.52%	0.0140	✓	1.32	3.3M	2022-01-09
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.088	8.1271	+0.48%	7.759	-4.07%	0.0495	✗	0.67	231k	2022-01-09
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		107.28	107.7972	+0.48%	108.94	+1.55%	0.0063	✓	0.93	2.8M	2022-01-09
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.24	14.3086	+0.48%	14.27	+0.21%	0.0057	✗	0.65	1.1M	2022-01-09
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.15079	0.151506	+0.47%	0.150483	-0.20%	0.0117	✗	1.08	4.6M	2022-01-09
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	129.51	130.1225	+0.47%	130.91	+1.08%	0.0001	✓	1.33	36.2M	2022-01-09
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.708399	0.711725	+0.47%	0.724063	+2.21%	0.0122	✓	1.09	2.8M	2022-01-09
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.4	8.4389	+0.46%	8.56	+1.90%	0.0101	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-01-09
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.354	0.355637	+0.46%	0.359	+1.41%	0.0062	✓	0.71	39k	2022-01-09
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5755	0.57815	+0.46%	0.5856	+1.75%	0.0066	✓	1.34	2.8M	2022-01-09
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0509	2.0604	+0.46%	2.053	+0.10%	0.0083	✗	1.03	90k	2022-01-09
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2557	0.256859	+0.45%	0.261	+2.07%	0.0100	✓	1.30	4.6M	2022-01-09
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1747	0.175479	+0.45%	0.1759	+0.69%	0.0017	✓	0.89	490k	2022-01-09
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6366	0.63941	+0.44%	0.6473	+1.68%	0.0066	✓	1.23	4.5M	2022-01-09
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.933	2.946	+0.44%	2.9369	+0.13%	0.0077	✗	1.00	5.5M	2022-01-09
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1827	1.1878	+0.43%	1.1707	-1.01%	0.0194	✗	1.07	97.2M	2022-01-09
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029005	0.02913	+0.43%	0.029296	+1.00%	0.0010	✓	1.02	6.6M	2022-01-09
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	35.22	35.3707	+0.43%	37.15	+5.48%	0.0443	✓	1.03	20.0M	2022-01-09
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10244	0.102877	+0.43%	0.10346	+1.00%	0.0006	✓	1.10	23k	2022-01-09
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.81	7.8433	+0.43%	7.81	+0.00%	0.0076	✗	0.73	771k	2022-01-09
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.44	1.4461	+0.43%	1.46	+1.39%	0.0020	✓	1.65	831k	2022-01-09
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0592	0.05945	+0.42%	0.0618	+4.39%	0.0326	✓	1.34	1.5M	2022-01-09
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3208	1.3263	+0.42%	1.3331	+0.93%	0.0012	✓	1.37	4.8M	2022-01-09
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.9606	0.964593	+0.42%	0.9806	+2.08%	0.0101	✓	1.40	1.6M	2022-01-09
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.815	2.8265	+0.41%	2.823	+0.28%	0.0084	✗	1.56	1.3M	2022-01-09
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	66.84	67.1102	+0.40%	74.48	+11.43%	0.0996	✓	1.00	7.2M	2022-01-09
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.164	0.164645	+0.39%	0.1698	+3.54%	0.0253	✓	1.20	4.5M	2022-01-09
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.55	6.5754	+0.39%	6.55	+0.00%	0.0068	✗	0.63	686k	2022-01-09
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.02	5.0392	+0.38%	5.09	+1.39%	0.0048	✓	1.14	3.3M	2022-01-09
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.613	4.6306	+0.38%	4.617	+0.09%	0.0058	✗	0.62	488k	2022-01-09
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.5972	7.6261	+0.38%	7.6651	+0.89%	0.0011	✓	1.36	263k	2022-01-09
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0739	0.074181	+0.38%	0.075	+1.49%	0.0063	✓	1.03	16k	2022-01-09
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009632	0.000096684	+0.38%	0.00009617	-0.16%	0.0099	✗	0.99	6.8M	2022-01-09
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0756	1.0796	+0.37%	1.0712	-0.41%	0.0122	✗	0.95	21.4M	2022-01-09
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.85	7.8788	+0.37%	7.84	-0.13%	0.0077	✗	0.60	788k	2022-01-09
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.75	2.76	+0.36%	2.87	+4.36%	0.0331	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-01-09
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0005	4.0151	+0.36%	4.2164	+5.40%	0.0428	✓	1.33	4.7M	2022-01-09
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.24	3.2515	+0.36%	3.35	+3.40%	0.0252	✓	1.01	715k	2022-01-09
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.06	3.0707	+0.35%	3.68	+20.26%	0.1754	✓	1.23	3.2M	2022-01-09
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.07	3.0805	+0.34%	3.16	+2.93%	0.0211	✓	0.96	977k	2022-01-09
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07317	0.073419	+0.34%	0.072	-1.60%	0.0251	✗	1.22	19.5M	2022-01-09
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.657	3.6694	+0.34%	3.77	+3.09%	0.0239	✓	0.68	483k	2022-01-09
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01469	0.014739	+0.33%	0.015	+2.11%	0.0066	✓	2.38	27.8M	2022-01-09
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.7251	3.7374	+0.33%	3.8039	+2.12%	0.0145	✓	0.69	4,332	2022-01-09
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	28.84	28.9354	+0.33%	29.94	+3.81%	0.0275	✓	1.45	1.0M	2022-01-09
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1115	0.111863	+0.33%	0.1126	+0.99%	0.0015	✓	1.11	296k	2022-01-09
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.257	2.2643	+0.32%	2.298	+1.82%	0.0099	✓	1.06	1.8M	2022-01-09
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01326	0.013303	+0.32%	0.01348	+1.66%	0.0088	✓	0.97	764k	2022-01-09
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.303	4.3159	+0.30%	4.282	-0.49%	0.0114	✗	0.77	942k	2022-01-09
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.52	3.5305	+0.30%	3.65	+3.69%	0.0277	✓	1.23	10.4M	2022-01-09
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.93	4.9442	+0.29%	5.32	+7.91%	0.0683	✓	1.07	2.1M	2022-01-09
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.01	1.0129	+0.28%	1.01	+0.00%	0.0109	✗	1.76	1.7M	2022-01-09
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.92	13.9593	+0.28%	14.09	+1.22%	0.0041	✓	1.13	3.4M	2022-01-09
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3151	0.315987	+0.28%	0.3333	+5.78%	0.0468	✓	1.42	3.8M	2022-01-09
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04885	0.048987	+0.28%	0.04947	+1.27%	0.0049	✓	1.08	16k	2022-01-09
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	156.3963	156.8292	+0.28%	160.3372	+2.52%	0.0177	✓	0.97	560k	2022-01-09
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	70.29	70.4835	+0.28%	71.89	+2.28%	0.0150	✓	1.03	6.3M	2022-01-09
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17662	0.17709	+0.27%	0.17635	-0.15%	0.0113	✗	1.55	5,957	2022-01-09
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3854	1.389	+0.26%	1.4009	+1.12%	0.0035	✓	1.10	30.5M	2022-01-09
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.86	8.8828	+0.26%	8.98	+1.35%	0.0065	✓	0.96	4.3M	2022-01-09
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	29.46	29.5342	+0.25%	30.18	+2.44%	0.0169	✓	1.04	21.2M	2022-01-09
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.515	0.516279	+0.25%	0.526	+2.14%	0.0128	✓	1.27	2.1M	2022-01-09
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0541	3.0617	+0.25%	3.0073	-1.53%	0.0229	✗	1.08	710k	2022-01-09
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.604	2.6104	+0.25%	2.87	+10.22%	0.0907	✓	0.89	33k	2022-01-09
XYM	Symbol	native	0.185	0.185445	+0.24%	0.1838	-0.65%	0.0119	✗	0.65	441k	2022-01-09
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7737	3.7822	+0.23%	3.7652	-0.23%	0.0041	✗	-0.08	364k	2022-01-09
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	372.84	373.6373	+0.21%	376.94	+1.10%	0.0042	✓	1.00	8.8M	2022-01-09
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	172.86	173.2059	+0.20%	170.38	-1.43%	0.0207	✗	0.93	7.7M	2022-01-09
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09231	0.092479	+0.18%	0.09282	+0.55%	0.0005	✓	0.69	52k	2022-01-09
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.255091	0.255517	+0.17%	0.261185	+2.39%	0.0173	✓	1.01	24.9M	2022-01-09
XEM	NEM	native	0.1141	0.114282	+0.16%	0.1152	+0.96%	0.0034	✓	1.01	69k	2022-01-09
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24	24.0371	+0.15%	24.63	+2.62%	0.0185	✓	1.27	71.0M	2022-01-09
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3125	0.312802	+0.10%	0.3224	+3.17%	0.0256	✓	1.00	293k	2022-01-09
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8854	0.886238	+0.09%	0.8848	-0.07%	0.0062	✗	1.00	137k	2022-01-09
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	14.92	14.9323	+0.08%	15.79	+5.83%	0.0501	✓	1.26	13.4M	2022-01-09
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	189.37	189.4657	+0.05%	193.57	+2.22%	0.0162	✓	1.13	195k	2022-01-09
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	35	35.0162	+0.05%	37.02	+5.77%	0.0482	✓	1.62	2.8M	2022-01-09
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.77	9.7722	+0.02%	9.85	+0.82%	0.0046	✓	0.74	1.1M	2022-01-09
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.81	3.8107	+0.02%	3.82	+0.26%	0.0008	✗	0.70	848k	2022-01-09
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.059866	0.05986	-0.01%	0.064749	+8.16%	0.0727	✗	1.27	7.3M	2022-01-09
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.56	6.5553	-0.07%	6.93	+5.64%	0.0497	✗	1.28	18.2M	2022-01-09
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.76	10.7487	-0.10%	11.38	+5.76%	0.0564	✗	0.14	2.8M	2022-01-09
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.79	141.6354	-0.11%	153.16	+8.02%	0.0727	✗	1.21	1.9M	2022-01-09
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.0767	0.076597	-0.13%	0.098665	+28.64%	0.2486	✗	1.00	3.0M	2022-01-09
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.61	4.6032	-0.15%	4.49	-2.60%	0.0312	✓	1.38	30.4M	2022-01-09
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	25.31	25.2371	-0.29%	27.54	+8.81%	0.0821	✗	1.14	69.2M	2022-01-09
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6336	0.631588	-0.32%	0.6607	+4.28%	0.0371	✗	1.74	40.0M	2022-01-09
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	33,111.98	32,991.11	-0.37%	32,662.92	-1.36%	0.0130	✓	0.65	23.0M	2022-01-09
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	32.9	32.7154	-0.56%	36.14	+9.85%	0.0932	✗	1.38	24.8M	2022-01-09
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	35.87	35.6677	-0.56%	34.99	-2.45%	0.0234	✓	0.92	45.6M	2022-01-09
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4941	0.490715	-0.69%	0.6539	+32.34%	0.2806	✗	1.41	650k	2022-01-09
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.1003	0.099307	-0.99%	0.08615	-14.11%	0.1488	✓	1.46	2.5M	2022-01-09
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.6022	1.5662	-2.24%	1.4847	-7.33%	0.0575	✓	0.88	922k	2022-01-09

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.