8=======>

2022-01-08 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0702
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.74%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
33.1%
in alpha space · 25.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.46%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.60221.5732-1.81%1.4847-7.33%0.0620✓0.89922k2022-01-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.10030.099265-1.03%0.08615-14.11%0.1484✓1.462.5M2022-01-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49410.489825-0.87%0.6539+32.34%0.2824✗1.41650k2022-01-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.3125.1386-0.68%27.54+8.81%0.0857✗1.2069.2M2022-01-09
MANADecentralandEthereum2.9332.9148-0.62%2.9369+0.13%0.0029✓1.015.5M2022-01-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.176620.175547-0.61%0.17635-0.15%0.0026✓1.575,9572022-01-09
HIVEHivenative1.32081.3129-0.60%1.3331+0.93%0.0089✗1.394.8M2022-01-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos35.8735.662-0.58%34.99-2.45%0.0232✓0.9245.6M2022-01-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.7610.698-0.58%11.38+5.76%0.0613✗0.112.8M2022-01-09
DASHDashDash141.79140.9948-0.56%153.16+8.02%0.0771✗1.241.9M2022-01-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum32.932.7169-0.56%36.14+9.85%0.0931✗1.4024.8M2022-01-09
ZECZcashZcash143.63142.9723-0.46%144.28+0.45%0.0030✓1.3310.6M2022-01-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0598660.059602-0.44%0.064749+8.16%0.0768✗1.307.3M2022-01-09
XEMNEMnative0.11410.11364-0.40%0.1152+0.96%0.0088✗1.0569k2022-01-09
UMAUMAEthereum8.868.8243-0.40%8.98+1.35%0.0131✗0.954.3M2022-01-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,111.9832,982.05-0.39%32,662.92-1.36%0.0127✓0.6423.0M2022-01-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.092310.09195-0.39%0.09282+0.55%0.0063✗0.6952k2022-01-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum3534.8642-0.39%37.02+5.77%0.0525✗1.632.8M2022-01-09
BANDBandEthereum4.934.9111-0.38%5.32+7.91%0.0749✗1.102.1M2022-01-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2572.2488-0.36%2.298+1.82%0.0167✗1.081.8M2022-01-09
QNTQuantEthereum172.86172.2335-0.36%170.38-1.43%0.0152✓0.957.7M2022-01-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.752.7401-0.36%2.87+4.36%0.0402✗1.323.2M2022-01-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.63360.631333-0.36%0.6607+4.28%0.0373✗1.7740.0M2022-01-09
XLMStellarStellar0.2550910.254187-0.35%0.261185+2.39%0.0225✗1.0224.9M2022-01-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.88540.882271-0.35%0.8848-0.07%0.0017✓1.00137k2022-01-09
API3Api3Ethereum3.813.7966-0.35%3.82+0.26%0.0029✓0.70848k2022-01-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.72513.7125-0.34%3.8039+2.12%0.0209✗0.754,3322022-01-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.31250.31144-0.34%0.3224+3.17%0.0300✗1.00293k2022-01-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11150.111124-0.34%0.1126+0.99%0.0081✗1.11296k2022-01-09
FTTFTXEthereum35.2235.1013-0.34%37.15+5.48%0.0518✗1.0820.0M2022-01-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.01971.0163-0.34%1.0347+1.47%0.0098✗1.781.0M2022-01-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.9427.8459-0.34%28.07+0.47%0.0048✗0.69385k2022-01-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.150790.150284-0.34%0.150483-0.20%0.0037✓1.094.6M2022-01-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.817.784-0.33%7.81+0.00%0.0001✓0.76771k2022-01-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014950.014901-0.33%0.01542+3.14%0.0283✗1.302.2M2022-01-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.9520.8822-0.32%20.9-0.24%0.0039✓1.041.2M2022-01-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.779.7396-0.31%9.85+0.82%0.0079✗0.741.1M2022-01-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.073.0606-0.31%3.16+2.93%0.0275✗0.98977k2022-01-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.57550.573743-0.31%0.5856+1.75%0.0143✗1.352.8M2022-01-09
GITCOINGITCOIN10.83910.8061-0.30%11.301+4.26%0.0446✗0.0568k2022-01-09
MINAMina Protocolnative3.243.2303-0.30%3.35+3.40%0.0316✗1.04715k2022-01-09
STORJStorjEthereum1.5151.5105-0.30%1.5581+2.84%0.0271✗0.85663k2022-01-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3540.352944-0.30%0.359+1.41%0.0137✗0.7239k2022-01-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.043460.043333-0.29%0.0428-1.52%0.0166✓0.928.2M2022-01-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,892.2041,770.95-0.29%42,503.10+1.46%0.0129✗0.989,2042022-01-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.38541.3814-0.29%1.4009+1.12%0.0088✗1.1430.5M2022-01-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.449.4133-0.28%9.59+1.59%0.0156✗0.661.2M2022-01-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.09440.094145-0.27%0.0897-4.98%0.0529✓1.0033.0M2022-01-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.846.8215-0.27%6.813-0.39%0.0070✓1.26291k2022-01-09
ADACardanoCardano1.18271.1795-0.27%1.1707-1.01%0.0125✓1.1097.2M2022-01-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.07670.076496-0.27%0.098665+28.64%0.2499✗1.003.0M2022-01-09
COMPCompoundEthereum189.37188.8688-0.26%193.57+2.22%0.0193✗1.16195k2022-01-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3034.2917-0.26%4.282-0.49%0.0059✓0.78942k2022-01-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.2414.2038-0.25%14.27+0.21%0.0016✓0.661.1M2022-01-09
XVSVenusEthereum13.9213.8851-0.25%14.09+1.22%0.0094✗1.143.4M2022-01-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.8752.8678-0.25%2.9326+2.00%0.0170✗1.162.6M2022-01-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.479.4464-0.25%10.01+5.70%0.0583✗-0.071.8M2022-01-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5150.513718-0.25%0.526+2.14%0.0177✗1.292.1M2022-01-09
SCSiacoinnative0.013260.013227-0.25%0.01348+1.66%0.0145✗0.98764k2022-01-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.614.5989-0.24%4.49-2.60%0.0304✓1.4130.4M2022-01-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6134.6022-0.23%4.617+0.09%0.0003✓0.63488k2022-01-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.63660.63514-0.23%0.6473+1.68%0.0132✗1.254.5M2022-01-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.102440.102206-0.23%0.10346+1.00%0.0070✗1.1223k2022-01-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.57320.571891-0.23%0.5841+1.90%0.0152✗1.3012.2M2022-01-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.048850.048744-0.22%0.04947+1.27%0.0096✗1.1316k2022-01-09
ZENHorizenBase54.3654.245-0.21%55.93+2.89%0.0238✗1.49802k2022-01-09
KSMKusamaHydration240.09239.5839-0.21%246.6+2.71%0.0236✗1.151.3M2022-01-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin129.51129.2374-0.21%130.91+1.08%0.0067✗1.3436.2M2022-01-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.441.437-0.21%1.46+1.39%0.0082✗1.68831k2022-01-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.523.5126-0.21%3.65+3.69%0.0327✗1.2310.4M2022-01-09
XVGVergenative0.013920.013891-0.21%0.01403+0.79%0.0044✗1.212.1M2022-01-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin29.4629.399-0.21%30.18+2.44%0.0214✗1.0521.2M2022-01-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,684.8441,599.28-0.21%41,876.52+0.46%0.0021✗1.00743.8M2022-01-09
XYMSymbolnative0.1850.184625-0.20%0.1838-0.65%0.0075✓0.65441k2022-01-09
KCSKuCoinnative18.94618.9079-0.20%19.32+1.97%0.0141✗1.6313.6M2022-01-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6573.6497-0.20%3.77+3.09%0.0293✗0.68483k2022-01-09
DODODODOEthereum0.7420.740538-0.20%0.749+0.94%0.0048✗1.447.7M2022-01-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0290050.028948-0.20%0.029296+1.00%0.0073✗1.026.6M2022-01-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016230.016199-0.19%0.01643+1.23%0.0111✗0.6830k2022-01-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.07561.0736-0.19%1.0712-0.41%0.0067✓0.9821.4M2022-01-09
XECeCashnative0.000096320.00009614-0.19%0.00009617-0.16%0.0043✓1.006.8M2022-01-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.35735.3474-0.18%5.3537-0.07%0.0043✓1.19457k2022-01-09
QTUMQtumQtum7.59727.5832-0.18%7.6651+0.89%0.0042✗1.42263k2022-01-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.99713.9899-0.18%4.018+0.52%0.0012✓1.264.4M2022-01-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.8428.7918-0.17%29.94+3.81%0.0321✗1.521.0M2022-01-09
LSKLiskEthereum2.05092.0475-0.17%2.053+0.10%0.0024✓1.1190k2022-01-09
CBKCobakEthereum2.6042.5997-0.16%2.87+10.22%0.0948✗0.8933k2022-01-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.073170.073057-0.15%0.072-1.60%0.0202✓1.2319.5M2022-01-09
LUNATerraTerra 266.8466.7391-0.15%74.48+11.43%0.1052✗1.007.2M2022-01-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.011.0085-0.15%1.01+0.00%0.0066✓1.761.7M2022-01-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.556.5402-0.15%6.55+0.00%0.0014✓0.63686k2022-01-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.77373.7681-0.15%3.7652-0.23%0.0004✓-0.08364k2022-01-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.0888.076-0.15%7.759-4.07%0.0430✓0.64231k2022-01-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8861.8833-0.14%1.89+0.21%0.0017✓1.152.4M2022-01-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07390.073796-0.14%0.075+1.49%0.0113✗1.0716k2022-01-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0186960.018671-0.14%0.018973+1.48%0.0105✗1.222.5M2022-01-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17470.174463-0.14%0.1759+0.69%0.0040✗0.91490k2022-01-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.122.1172-0.13%2.15+1.42%0.0104✗1.083.6M2022-01-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot2423.9684-0.13%24.63+2.62%0.0213✗1.3071.0M2022-01-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.857.8402-0.13%7.84-0.13%0.0028✓0.61788k2022-01-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05920.059128-0.12%0.0618+4.39%0.0381✗1.341.5M2022-01-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1640.163806-0.12%0.1698+3.54%0.0303✗1.244.5M2022-01-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.025.0143-0.11%5.09+1.39%0.0097✗1.153.3M2022-01-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.3729.3387-0.11%29.74+1.26%0.0088✗1.043.3M2022-01-09
XMRMoneroMonero183.67183.4762-0.11%191+3.99%0.0355✗1.023.0M2022-01-09
XTZTezosTezos4.00053.9964-0.10%4.2164+5.40%0.0474✗1.354.7M2022-01-09
MOVRMoonriverBase156.3963156.2388-0.10%160.3372+2.52%0.0208✗1.11560k2022-01-09
UNIUniswapEthereum14.9214.905-0.10%15.79+5.83%0.0518✗1.2913.4M2022-01-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash372.84372.4784-0.10%376.94+1.10%0.0072✗1.028.8M2022-01-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV107.28107.1791-0.09%108.94+1.55%0.0120✗0.952.8M2022-01-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31290.312608-0.09%0.3161+1.02%0.0053✗1.262.2M2022-01-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.25570.255476-0.09%0.261+2.07%0.0154✗1.324.6M2022-01-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027750.00002773-0.07%0.00002828+1.91%0.0140✗1.241.7M2022-01-09
UOSUltraEthereum1.19981.1991-0.06%1.2503+4.21%0.0372✗1.013.4M2022-01-09
NANOnanopayBase3.05413.0523-0.06%3.0073-1.53%0.0199✓1.10710k2022-01-09
SUSHISushiEthereum6.566.5564-0.05%6.93+5.64%0.0495✗1.2918.2M2022-01-09
RADRadworksEthereum8.48.396-0.05%8.56+1.90%0.0152✗0.891.1M2022-01-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.231.2295-0.04%1.261+2.52%0.0192✗1.333.3M2022-01-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.31510.314977-0.04%0.3333+5.78%0.0497✗1.493.8M2022-01-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7083990.70813-0.04%0.724063+2.21%0.0170✗1.142.8M2022-01-09
IMXImmutableEthereum3.423.4188-0.04%3.76+9.94%0.0887✗1.402.5M2022-01-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche83.9183.8872-0.03%89.34+6.47%0.0577✗1.15115.7M2022-01-09
GTGateEthereum6.17896.1773-0.03%6.2854+1.72%0.0135✗0.843.7M2022-01-09
SOLSolanaSolana142.17142.1458-0.02%140.83-0.94%0.0144✓1.11203.4M2022-01-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8152.8147-0.01%2.823+0.28%0.0042✓1.561.3M2022-01-09
ETHEthereumEthereum3,080.483,080.24-0.01%3,151.66+2.31%0.0181✗1.05619.8M2022-01-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.041.04-0.00%1.065+2.40%0.0194✗0.952.2M2022-01-09
TRXTRONTron0.0654020.065403+0.00%0.066121+1.10%0.0066✓0.95556k2022-01-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08110.081103+0.00%0.0832+2.59%0.0192✓1.371.2M2022-01-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum70.2970.2979+0.01%71.89+2.28%0.0177✓1.036.3M2022-01-09
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3771.3772+0.01%1.36-1.23%0.0188✗1.355.2M2022-01-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.96060.960892+0.03%0.9806+2.08%0.0139✓1.401.6M2022-01-09
AAVEAaveEthereum212.32212.4642+0.07%209.53-1.31%0.0192✗1.1617.6M2022-01-09
LRCLoopringEthereum1.52461.5268+0.14%1.5757+3.35%0.0227✓1.931.3M2022-01-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.014690.014718+0.19%0.015+2.11%0.0081✓2.3827.8M2022-01-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.13270.133013+0.24%0.1676+26.30%0.2256✓1.212.1M2022-01-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum27.7127.7862+0.28%27.98+0.97%0.0015✓1.845.4M2022-01-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.071.0738+0.35%1.0474-2.11%0.0290✗0.913.7M2022-01-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.063.0725+0.41%3.68+20.26%0.1748✓1.233.2M2022-01-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.