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2022-01-07 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2656
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.44%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
21.0%
in alpha space · 22.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.29%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.08821.0979+0.89%1.07-1.67%0.0284✗0.953.8M2022-01-08
ETHEthereumEthereum3,198.823,226.70+0.87%3,080.48-3.70%0.0493✗1.04619.8M2022-01-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.269.3347+0.81%9.47+2.27%0.0146✓-0.071.8M2022-01-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.921.0632+0.78%20.95+0.24%0.0075✓0.731.2M2022-01-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5061.5177+0.77%1.377-8.57%0.1011✗1.355.3M2022-01-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.07121.0787+0.69%1.0197-4.81%0.0613✗1.751.1M2022-01-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,565.1841,852.37+0.69%41,684.84+0.29%0.0069✗1.00748.4M2022-01-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.182.195+0.69%2.12-2.75%0.0377✗1.043.6M2022-01-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum30.0130.2122+0.67%27.71-7.66%0.0918✗1.855.4M2022-01-08
SOLSolanaSolana136.37137.2507+0.65%142.17+4.25%0.0323✓1.02203.4M2022-01-08
LRCLoopringEthereum1.6681.6786+0.64%1.5246-8.60%0.1017✗1.921.4M2022-01-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.9897.0333+0.63%6.84-2.13%0.0314✗1.22315k2022-01-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.043490.043764+0.63%0.04346-0.07%0.0096✗0.908.2M2022-01-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,663.1041,924.37+0.63%41,892.20+0.55%0.0036✓0.9810k2022-01-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.19284.219+0.63%3.9971-4.67%0.0577✗1.264.5M2022-01-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8571.8686+0.62%1.886+1.56%0.0060✓1.132.4M2022-01-08
TRXTRONTron0.0681280.068551+0.62%0.065402-4.00%0.0497✗0.94589k2022-01-08
STORJStorjEthereum1.56361.5731+0.61%1.515-3.11%0.0401✗0.86663k2022-01-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028950.000029126+0.61%0.00002775-4.15%0.0520✗1.251.7M2022-01-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.59360.597109+0.59%0.5732-3.44%0.0443✗1.2011.8M2022-01-08
ZECZcashZcash139.74140.5656+0.59%143.63+2.78%0.0179✓1.269.6M2022-01-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.9428.1043+0.59%27.94+0.00%0.0078✗0.66385k2022-01-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0541.0601+0.58%1.04-1.33%0.0218✗0.942.3M2022-01-08
UOSUltraEthereum1.26221.2695+0.57%1.1998-4.95%0.0594✗1.013.5M2022-01-08
GTGateEthereum6.17376.2084+0.56%6.1789+0.08%0.0070✗0.793.9M2022-01-08
IMXImmutableEthereum3.773.791+0.56%3.42-9.28%0.1059✗1.002.5M2022-01-08
XMRMoneroMonero194.72195.7968+0.55%183.67-5.67%0.0667✗0.963.0M2022-01-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.7987.2671+0.55%83.91-3.32%0.0424✗1.09119.5M2022-01-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015620.015706+0.55%0.01495-4.29%0.0530✗1.282.2M2022-01-08
ZENHorizenBase55.5755.8738+0.55%54.36-2.18%0.0315✗1.41805k2022-01-08
AAVEAaveEthereum211.6212.7546+0.55%212.32+0.34%0.0053✓1.1216.2M2022-01-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10040.100943+0.54%0.0944-5.98%0.0699✗1.0034.7M2022-01-08
KCSKuCoinnative19.1919.2932+0.54%18.946-1.27%0.0228✗1.6113.6M2022-01-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.49475.5239+0.53%5.3573-2.50%0.0339✗1.14480k2022-01-08
FTTFTXEthereum35.5135.6946+0.52%35.22-0.82%0.0164✗1.0420.0M2022-01-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.15430.155075+0.50%0.1327-14.00%0.1593✗1.232.1M2022-01-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.103460.10398+0.50%0.10244-0.99%0.0181✗1.1124k2022-01-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin131.34131.9992+0.50%129.51-1.39%0.0229✗1.3336.7M2022-01-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0196250.019723+0.50%0.018696-4.73%0.0570✗1.242.5M2022-01-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.1838.224+0.50%8.088-1.16%0.0186✗0.68251k2022-01-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17630.177174+0.50%0.1747-0.91%0.0166✗0.89490k2022-01-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.4530.5999+0.49%29.37-3.55%0.0439✗1.003.4M2022-01-08
DODODODOEthereum0.8020.805944+0.49%0.742-7.48%0.0867✗1.418.1M2022-01-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31920.320763+0.49%0.3129-1.97%0.0284✗1.262.6M2022-01-08
XVGVergenative0.014540.014611+0.49%0.01392-4.26%0.0519✗1.212.1M2022-01-08
KSMKusamaHydration250.4251.619+0.49%240.09-4.12%0.0501✗1.121.3M2022-01-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV109.72110.231+0.47%107.28-2.22%0.0298✗0.932.8M2022-01-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.6380.640942+0.46%0.6366-0.22%0.0103✗1.234.5M2022-01-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1548350.155549+0.46%0.15079-2.61%0.0342✗1.094.6M2022-01-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01690.016977+0.45%0.01623-3.96%0.0468✗0.6230k2022-01-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0295570.029691+0.45%0.029005-1.87%0.0263✗1.036.8M2022-01-08
LSKLiskEthereum2.13922.1488+0.45%2.0509-4.13%0.0496✗1.0494k2022-01-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.078950.079304+0.45%0.1003+27.04%0.2308✓1.442.5M2022-01-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08550.085882+0.45%0.0811-5.15%0.0613✗1.391.2M2022-01-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5974.6171+0.44%4.613+0.35%0.0027✓0.62489k2022-01-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11110.111586+0.44%0.1115+0.36%0.0040✓1.11304k2022-01-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8892.9015+0.43%2.815-2.56%0.0347✗1.561.4M2022-01-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.26380.264926+0.43%0.2557-3.07%0.0392✗1.304.6M2022-01-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3061.3116+0.43%1.23-5.82%0.0680✗1.323.3M2022-01-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1274.1443+0.42%4.303+4.26%0.0354✓0.77942k2022-01-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0760.076317+0.42%0.0739-2.76%0.0352✗1.0316k2022-01-08
ADACardanoCardano1.20931.2143+0.41%1.1827-2.20%0.0295✗1.0797.2M2022-01-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.038.063+0.41%7.81-2.74%0.0340✗0.73771k2022-01-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.646.6672+0.41%6.55-1.36%0.0196✗0.63713k2022-01-08
LUNATerraTerra 268.6968.9715+0.41%66.84-2.69%0.0343✗1.007.4M2022-01-08
RADRadworksEthereum8.98.9362+0.41%8.4-5.62%0.0645✗0.901.2M2022-01-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.02723.0395+0.41%2.875-5.03%0.0590✗1.162.7M2022-01-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3690.370493+0.40%0.354-4.07%0.0476✗0.7139k2022-01-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.172550.173246+0.40%0.17662+2.36%0.0148✓1.555,9572022-01-08
QTUMQtumQtum7.86797.8995+0.40%7.5972-3.44%0.0429✗1.37268k2022-01-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.59990.60227+0.40%0.5755-4.07%0.0493✗1.352.8M2022-01-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.113.1222+0.39%3.07-1.29%0.0196✗0.96995k2022-01-08
XECeCashnative0.000098550.000098931+0.39%0.00009632-2.26%0.0296✗0.996.9M2022-01-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.073.0818+0.38%3.06-0.33%0.0100✗1.003.2M2022-01-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum11.0038+0.38%1.01+1.00%0.0011✓1.761.9M2022-01-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.832.8405+0.37%2.75-2.83%0.0361✗1.313.2M2022-01-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.57143.5846+0.37%3.7737+5.66%0.0516✓-0.09364k2022-01-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1730.173639+0.37%0.164-5.20%0.0606✗1.214.6M2022-01-08
XVSVenusEthereum13.9213.9711+0.37%13.92+0.00%0.0069✗1.133.5M2022-01-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0915.1438+0.36%14.24-5.63%0.0634✗0.661.1M2022-01-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7525580.755229+0.35%0.708399-5.87%0.0672✗1.102.8M2022-01-08
MINAMina Protocolnative3.363.3718+0.35%3.24-3.57%0.0428✗1.01715k2022-01-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.00671.0102+0.35%0.9606-4.58%0.0544✗1.401.7M2022-01-08
MANADecentralandEthereum3.053.0604+0.34%2.933-3.84%0.0454✗1.015.6M2022-01-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07490.075153+0.34%0.07317-2.31%0.0302✗1.2220.3M2022-01-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.049460.049626+0.33%0.04885-1.23%0.0188✗1.0816k2022-01-08
XTZTezosTezos4.25644.2706+0.33%4.0005-6.01%0.0692✗1.334.9M2022-01-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.188.2069+0.33%7.85-4.03%0.0462✗0.60801k2022-01-08
SCSiacoinnative0.013580.013624+0.33%0.01326-2.36%0.0299✗0.97777k2022-01-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.11441.118+0.33%1.0756-3.48%0.0414✗0.9622.3M2022-01-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.015090.015139+0.32%0.01469-2.65%0.0370✗2.4029.0M2022-01-08
HIVEHivenative1.36121.3655+0.31%1.3208-2.97%0.0372✗1.385.0M2022-01-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.90993.9219+0.31%3.7251-4.73%0.0535✗0.698,5232022-01-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.4273.6448+0.31%70.29-4.26%0.0496✗1.046.3M2022-01-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8113.8226+0.31%3.657-4.04%0.0463✗0.68483k2022-01-08
NANOnanopayBase3.09093.0999+0.29%3.0541-1.19%0.0180✗1.08715k2022-01-08
XYMSymbolnative0.18050.181021+0.29%0.185+2.49%0.0199✓0.65428k2022-01-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3442.3507+0.29%2.257-3.71%0.0438✗1.071.9M2022-01-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.623.6304+0.29%3.52-2.76%0.0344✗1.2310.6M2022-01-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.1510.1789+0.29%9.44-7.00%0.0773✗0.661.2M2022-01-08
MOVRMoonriverBase163.2907163.7371+0.27%156.3963-4.22%0.0487✗0.98574k2022-01-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.551.554+0.26%1.44-7.10%0.0810✗1.66862k2022-01-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06690.067068+0.25%0.0592-11.51%0.1287✗1.361.5M2022-01-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.09420.094429+0.24%0.09231-2.01%0.0247✗0.6955k2022-01-08
CBKCobakEthereum2.6612.6671+0.23%2.604-2.14%0.0265✗0.8934k2022-01-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.45.4121+0.22%5.02-7.04%0.0785✗1.143.3M2022-01-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.9731.0367+0.22%28.84-6.88%0.0776✗1.461.1M2022-01-08
XLMStellarStellar0.2570210.257571+0.21%0.255091-0.75%0.0126✗1.0124.9M2022-01-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5460.547165+0.21%0.515-5.68%0.0642✗1.272.2M2022-01-08
GITCOINGITCOIN12.09812.1232+0.21%10.839-10.41%0.1122✗0.0974k2022-01-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.4451.448+0.21%1.3854-4.12%0.0474✗1.1030.5M2022-01-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin31.5331.5915+0.19%29.46-6.57%0.0729✗1.0522.1M2022-01-08
QNTQuantEthereum177.7178.0407+0.19%172.86-2.72%0.0322✗0.937.9M2022-01-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash385.43386.1687+0.19%372.84-3.27%0.0380✗1.009.0M2022-01-08
BANDBandEthereum5.275.2788+0.17%4.93-6.45%0.0715✗1.082.1M2022-01-08
XEMNEMnative0.11660.116785+0.16%0.1141-2.14%0.0262✗1.0189k2022-01-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.8824.9099+0.12%24-3.54%0.0409✗1.2871.0M2022-01-08
API3Api3Ethereum3.793.7944+0.11%3.81+0.53%0.0012✓1.00929k2022-01-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.33780.33818+0.11%0.3151-6.72%0.0748✗1.433.4M2022-01-08
COMPCompoundEthereum192.9193.0722+0.09%189.37-1.83%0.0226✗1.13195k2022-01-08
UMAUMAEthereum9.419.4169+0.07%8.86-5.84%0.0637✗0.974.1M2022-01-08
DASHDashDash134.68134.7704+0.07%141.79+5.28%0.0473✓1.201.9M2022-01-08
UNIUniswapEthereum15.7515.76+0.06%14.92-5.27%0.0584✗1.2713.8M2022-01-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0593080.059336+0.05%0.059866+0.94%0.0053✓1.277.3M2022-01-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.0110.0135+0.04%9.77-2.40%0.0267✗0.741.2M2022-01-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.92150.921517+0.00%0.8854-3.92%0.0429✗1.00141k2022-01-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum30.2230.1805-0.13%32.9+8.87%0.0823✗1.3724.4M2022-01-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.33090.330398-0.15%0.3125-5.56%0.0586✓1.01293k2022-01-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum37.0236.9511-0.19%35-5.46%0.0589✓1.632.8M2022-01-08
SUSHISushiEthereum7.177.1563-0.19%6.56-8.51%0.0907✓1.2918.2M2022-01-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.9725.8542-0.45%25.31-2.54%0.0246✓1.1469.2M2022-01-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.69830.695063-0.46%0.6336-9.27%0.0976✓1.7635.9M2022-01-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum54.9767-0.47%4.61-7.80%0.0805✓1.3930.4M2022-01-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum35,821.0835,622.68-0.55%33,111.98-7.56%0.0750✓0.6621.5M2022-01-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.5438.2784-0.68%35.87-6.93%0.0676✓0.9343.4M2022-01-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51620.512311-0.75%0.4941-4.28%0.0403✓1.42650k2022-01-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.1212.0029-0.97%10.76-11.22%0.1098✓0.153.0M2022-01-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.051.9124-6.71%1.6022-21.84%0.1796✓0.91922k2022-01-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.