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2022-01-06 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1267
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.60%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
88.4%
in alpha space · 91.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.90%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0710750.071389+0.44%0.064762-8.88%0.0597✗0.95589k2022-02-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash400.02396.3265-0.92%320.74-19.82%0.1711✓1.029.0M2022-02-05
XVSVenusEthereum14.5314.3938-0.94%8.67-40.33%0.4617✓1.143.5M2022-02-05
GTGateEthereum6.27766.1935-1.34%7.0234+11.88%0.1593✗0.843.9M2022-02-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.421.4005-1.37%0.976-31.27%0.3087✓1.323.4M2022-02-05
ETHEthereumEthereum3,406.033,356.86-1.44%3,014.50-11.50%0.0659✓1.05619.8M2022-02-05
AAVEAaveEthereum220.94217.6419-1.49%166.2-24.78%0.2236✓1.1616.0M2022-02-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.773.7121-1.54%4.7941+27.16%0.2515✗-0.11364k2022-02-05
SOLSolanaSolana150.23147.6302-1.73%113.8-24.25%0.2171✓1.09203.4M2022-02-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.080650.079231-1.76%0.05888-26.99%0.2393✓1.452.7M2022-02-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.63850.627259-1.76%0.5995-6.11%0.0053✓1.274.7M2022-02-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,220.9042,388.07-1.93%41,460.80-4.07%0.0169✓0.9810k2022-02-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.233.1653-2.00%2.66-17.65%0.1349✓0.98995k2022-02-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0209680.020532-2.08%0.016433-21.63%0.1745✓1.212.5M2022-02-05
NANOnanopayBase3.36643.2951-2.12%2.1933-34.85%0.3641✓1.08754k2022-02-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3384.2452-2.14%3.6-17.01%0.1341✓0.771.1M2022-02-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1631.1365-2.28%0.778-33.10%0.3420✓0.932.3M2022-02-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5371.5014-2.32%1.519-1.17%0.0662✗1.375.5M2022-02-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum33.1132.3391-2.33%20.04-39.47%0.4057✓1.835.4M2022-02-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.63650.621669-2.33%0.4481-29.60%0.2761✓1.2911.8M2022-02-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09230.090131-2.35%0.069-25.24%0.2128✓1.371.4M2022-02-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.218.016-2.36%6.46-21.32%0.1911✓0.62811k2022-02-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7980090.778708-2.42%0.652675-18.21%0.1314✓1.142.8M2022-02-05
XYMSymbolnative0.19190.187248-2.42%0.1855-3.34%0.0157✓0.63428k2022-02-05
LSKLiskEthereum2.15242.0999-2.44%1.8014-16.31%0.1085✓1.13102k2022-02-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin135.9132.5806-2.44%121.8-10.38%0.0311✓1.3536.7M2022-02-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.6730.8791-2.50%29.42-7.10%0.0069✓1.043.4M2022-02-05
XTZTezosTezos4.4554.3424-2.53%3.9423-11.51%0.0429✓1.354.9M2022-02-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.776.5988-2.53%5.47-19.20%0.1622✓0.64743k2022-02-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.052120.050801-2.53%0.04465-14.33%0.0844✓1.1216k2022-02-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.5088.2921-2.54%6.059-28.78%0.2883✓0.64272k2022-02-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.121.0909-2.60%0.77-31.25%0.2807✓1.701.9M2022-02-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8763.7747-2.61%3.231-16.64%0.1283✓0.68454k2022-02-05
COMPCompoundEthereum204.52199.1244-2.64%136.68-33.17%0.3303✓1.16199k2022-02-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08020.078069-2.66%0.0763-4.86%0.0193✓1.0616k2022-02-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.076780.074647-2.78%0.0405-47.25%0.5621✓1.2420.3M2022-02-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,083.7641,883.79-2.79%41,404.85-3.90%0.0282✗1.00743.8M2022-02-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8054.671-2.79%4.51-6.14%0.0101✓0.63498k2022-02-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.493.3885-2.91%2.21-36.68%0.3752✓1.3110.7M2022-02-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.16620.161364-2.91%0.1181-28.94%0.2637✓1.222.0M2022-02-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum79.0276.7159-2.92%56.8-28.12%0.2599✓1.026.3M2022-02-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3410.331025-2.93%0.2627-22.96%0.1813✓1.252.9M2022-02-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.28110.272838-2.94%0.2088-25.72%0.2153✓1.314.6M2022-02-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.157.9105-2.94%6.52-20.00%0.1629✓0.77771k2022-02-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.00212.9132-2.96%3.2266+7.48%0.1497✗1.202.7M2022-02-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.107790.104528-3.03%0.10107-6.23%0.0111✓1.1226k2022-02-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0621160.060232-3.03%0.040382-34.99%0.3482✓1.307.4M2022-02-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.352.2777-3.08%1.79-23.83%0.1986✓1.063.7M2022-02-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030790.000029832-3.11%0.00002254-26.79%0.2310✓1.241.7M2022-02-05
UNIUniswapEthereum17.0616.5273-3.12%11.27-33.94%0.3320✓1.2814.1M2022-02-05
KSMKusamaHydration269.76261.2526-3.15%185.88-31.09%0.2951✓1.141.3M2022-02-05
KCSKuCoinnative20.96820.2926-3.22%19.686-6.11%0.0337✗1.6113.6M2022-02-05
DODODODOEthereum0.8220.794993-3.29%0.533-35.16%0.3420✓1.468.1M2022-02-05
XMRMoneroMonero205.35198.5596-3.31%168.71-17.84%0.1223✓1.023.2M2022-02-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.22621.1856-3.31%0.4421-63.95%0.9516✓0.883.9M2022-02-05
DASHDashDash124.32120.1271-3.37%103.6-16.67%0.0969✓1.291.9M2022-02-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV111.16107.38-3.40%96.73-12.98%0.0664✓0.962.8M2022-02-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum30.5929.5476-3.41%22.26-27.23%0.2274✓1.4024.4M2022-02-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.0460.044423-3.43%0.03104-32.52%0.3224✓0.918.2M2022-02-05
XECeCashnative0.000103440.000099854-3.47%0.0000839-18.89%0.1345✓1.007.0M2022-02-05
IMXImmutableEthereum4.154.0057-3.48%2.89-30.36%0.2867✓1.002.5M2022-02-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0306510.029581-3.49%0.02206-28.03%0.2527✓1.027.0M2022-02-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.63885.4418-3.49%5.1203-9.20%0.0130✓1.20480k2022-02-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.7125.7763-3.50%21.35-20.07%0.1370✓1.2971.0M2022-02-05
ZECZcashZcash137.22132.3701-3.53%116.08-15.41%0.0774✓1.368.6M2022-02-05
QTUMQtumQtum8.36218.0649-3.55%6.9281-17.15%0.0954✓1.42268k2022-02-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1600070.154253-3.60%0.147026-8.11%0.0043✓1.104.6M2022-02-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin32.9831.7906-3.61%21.97-33.38%0.3277✓1.0522.1M2022-02-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18120.174662-3.61%0.1551-14.40%0.0823✓0.92490k2022-02-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18710.180349-3.61%0.1293-30.89%0.2839✓1.234.6M2022-02-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.965.7439-3.63%5.76-3.36%0.0479✗1.133.3M2022-02-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.1631.9575-3.63%22.45-32.30%0.2927✓1.521.1M2022-02-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.513.9733-3.63%15.87+9.45%0.1548✗0.691.1M2022-02-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07010.067514-3.69%0.0368-47.50%0.5527✓1.361.5M2022-02-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.18411.1399-3.73%0.9491-19.85%0.1445✓0.9721.2M2022-02-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.07041.0303-3.75%0.7727-27.81%0.2320✓1.401.6M2022-02-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30481.2542-3.88%2.054+57.42%0.5374✗1.11922k2022-02-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.3528.2035-3.91%28.35-3.41%0.0324✓0.69385k2022-02-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4514.2768-3.91%3.3404-24.95%0.1968✓1.274.5M2022-02-05
ADACardanoCardano1.27941.2291-3.93%1.1255-12.03%0.0446✓1.0997.2M2022-02-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0261.9462-3.94%1.761-13.08%0.0551✓1.132.5M2022-02-05
FTTFTXEthereum38.6437.108-3.96%46.16+19.46%0.2606✗1.0620.0M2022-02-05
MOVRMoonriverBase185.613178.1992-3.99%85.8205-53.76%0.6877✓1.08574k2022-02-05
SCSiacoinnative0.01450.013918-4.02%0.01154-20.41%0.1489✓0.97777k2022-02-05
RADRadworksEthereum9.599.2016-4.05%5.48-42.86%0.4832✓0.881.2M2022-02-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.019.5972-4.12%10.1+0.90%0.0810✗0.751.2M2022-02-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.012.8852-4.14%2.17-27.91%0.2325✓1.323.0M2022-02-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3860.369573-4.26%0.265-31.35%0.3041✓0.7239k2022-02-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.018160.017386-4.26%0.01353-25.50%0.2242✓0.6730k2022-02-05
XLMStellarStellar0.26750.256054-4.28%0.213222-20.29%0.1427✓1.0224.9M2022-02-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100880.096491-4.35%0.085-15.74%0.1002✓0.6755k2022-02-05
QNTQuantEthereum178.46170.6833-4.36%132.93-25.51%0.2115✓0.977.9M2022-02-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017060.016301-4.45%0.01113-34.76%0.3304✓1.292.2M2022-02-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.651.5762-4.47%1.21-26.67%0.1972✓1.69881k2022-02-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5732.4565-4.53%1.921-25.34%0.2038✓1.061.9M2022-02-05
LRCLoopringEthereum1.8411.7556-4.64%0.9682-47.41%0.5190✓1.921.4M2022-02-05
MINAMina Protocolnative3.683.507-4.70%2.9-21.20%0.1496✓1.02626k2022-02-05
XEMNEMnative0.12320.117364-4.74%0.1129-8.36%0.0027✓1.04111k2022-02-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12150.115722-4.76%0.0869-28.48%0.2433✓1.09304k2022-02-05
SUSHISushiEthereum7.457.0947-4.77%4.68-37.18%0.3642✓1.3118.2M2022-02-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.37080.353027-4.79%0.3102-16.34%0.0705✓1.483.4M2022-02-05
BANDBandEthereum5.835.5495-4.81%3.9-33.10%0.3095✓1.092.1M2022-02-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.5521.4051-5.08%15.3-32.15%0.2949✓1.031.2M2022-02-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.33460.316796-5.32%0.3148-5.92%0.0341✓1.02293k2022-02-05
CBKCobakEthereum2.8162.6628-5.44%2.562-9.02%0.0034✓0.8936k2022-02-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6867.2596-5.55%6.514-15.25%0.0589✓1.25315k2022-02-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.18021.1147-5.55%0.92529-21.60%0.1159✓1.771.1M2022-02-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.56311.4755-5.61%1.0021-35.89%0.3420✓1.1330.0M2022-02-05
LUNATerraTerra 278.3973.9655-5.64%55.39-29.34%0.2495✓1.007.2M2022-02-05
UMAUMAEthereum9.769.2074-5.66%6.4-34.43%0.3256✓0.964.1M2022-02-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.3923.9473-5.68%17.77-30.01%0.2493✓1.2369.2M2022-02-05
XVGVergenative0.015760.01486-5.71%0.01122-28.81%0.2334✓1.202.1M2022-02-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0642.8852-5.84%2.728-10.97%0.0065✓1.571.5M2022-02-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.415.0913-5.89%3.42-36.78%0.3422✓1.4029.4M2022-02-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.043.7981-5.99%3.4881-13.66%0.0553✓0.7514k2022-02-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.017050.016018-6.05%0.00674-60.47%0.7724✓2.3529.0M2022-02-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.8439.2663-6.15%29.81-28.75%0.2118✓1.602.8M2022-02-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5910.552948-6.44%0.354-40.10%0.3950✓1.282.2M2022-02-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.493.2594-6.61%2.31-33.81%0.3046✓1.003.2M2022-02-05
STORJStorjEthereum1.64761.538-6.65%1.3221-19.75%0.1176✓0.84663k2022-02-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos40.0437.3521-6.71%30.76-23.18%0.1575✓0.9243.4M2022-02-05
API3Api3Ethereum43.7304-6.74%3.57-10.75%0.0042✓1.00957k2022-02-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche95.1488.6302-6.84%77.09-18.97%0.0946✓1.13114.6M2022-02-05
GITCOINGITCOIN13.0912.1685-7.04%8.166-37.62%0.3977✓0.0378k2022-02-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum35,933.6933,353.87-7.18%25,186.77-29.91%0.2547✓0.6621.4M2022-02-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95040.881847-7.21%0.9549+0.47%0.1193✗1.00143k2022-02-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10190.09452-7.24%0.1089+6.87%0.1814✗1.0033.0M2022-02-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum10.329.5695-7.27%7.24-29.84%0.2836✓-0.121.9M2022-02-05
ZENHorizenBase57.7953.5024-7.42%45.61-21.08%0.1001✓1.50805k2022-02-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.64920.599974-7.58%0.4932-24.03%0.1426✓1.342.8M2022-02-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.910.0527-7.77%6.67-38.81%0.3843✓0.651.2M2022-02-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.182170.16714-8.25%0.20531+12.70%0.2681✗1.575,9572022-02-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5530.504879-8.70%0.6186+11.86%0.2594✗1.42650k2022-02-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.77860.706799-9.22%0.5202-33.19%0.2368✓1.7535.9M2022-02-05
UOSUltraEthereum1.40751.2758-9.36%1.1381-19.14%0.0754✓0.983.6M2022-02-05
HIVEHivenative1.48681.3419-9.75%1.166-21.58%0.0857✓1.385.2M2022-02-05
MANADecentralandEthereum3.38723.0195-10.86%3.0145-11.00%0.0371✓0.985.6M2022-02-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.111.6291-11.23%8.15-37.79%0.3519✓0.093.5M2022-02-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.