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2022-01-05 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1050
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.71%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
47.1%
in alpha space · 59.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.81%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55930.548335-1.96%0.553-1.13%0.0200✗1.42650k2022-01-06
UMAUMAEthereum11.0110.8711-1.26%9.76-11.35%0.1001✓0.953.9M2022-01-06
BANDBandEthereum6.236.1586-1.15%5.83-6.42%0.0460✓1.082.1M2022-01-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum42.4441.9812-1.08%41.84-1.41%0.0097✓1.602.8M2022-01-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.6738.2858-0.99%40.04+3.54%0.0523✗0.9243.4M2022-01-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.3113.18-0.98%13.1-1.58%0.0054✓0.093.9M2022-01-06
HIVEHivenative1.51491.5006-0.95%1.4868-1.85%0.0020✓1.385.2M2022-01-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.2225.0078-0.84%25.39+0.67%0.0252✗1.2369.2M2022-01-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0675530.06699-0.83%0.062116-8.05%0.0650✓1.307.4M2022-01-06
XEMNEMnative0.12970.128645-0.81%0.1232-5.01%0.0348✓1.04115k2022-01-06
MINAMina Protocolnative3.863.8298-0.78%3.68-4.66%0.0316✓1.02626k2022-01-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.73890.733508-0.73%0.7786+5.37%0.0740✗1.7635.9M2022-01-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.102190.101517-0.66%0.10088-1.28%0.0008✓0.6755k2022-01-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.376.329-0.64%5.96-6.44%0.0508✓1.133.3M2022-01-06
GITCOINGITCOIN13.4613.3742-0.64%13.09-2.75%0.0212✓0.0382k2022-01-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.1811.1101-0.63%10.9-2.50%0.0138✓0.651.2M2022-01-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,367.5043,104.35-0.61%43,220.90-0.34%0.0107✗0.9810k2022-01-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum30.6330.4443-0.61%30.59-0.13%0.0162✗1.4024.2M2022-01-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017680.017577-0.58%0.01706-3.51%0.0194✓1.292.2M2022-01-06
MOVRMoonriverBase198.6558197.5563-0.55%185.613-6.57%0.0536✓1.08574k2022-01-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.40.397869-0.53%0.386-3.50%0.0244✓0.7239k2022-01-06
MANADecentralandEthereum2.91412.8988-0.52%3.3872+16.24%0.1637✗0.985.6M2022-01-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95030.945333-0.52%0.9504+0.01%0.0135✗1.00144k2022-01-06
FTTFTXEthereum38.0637.8623-0.52%38.64+1.52%0.0290✗1.0719.4M2022-01-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.33050.328808-0.51%0.3346+1.24%0.0257✗1.02293k2022-01-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.13.0843-0.51%3.01-2.90%0.0137✓1.323.0M2022-01-06
XVGVergenative0.016010.015929-0.50%0.01576-1.56%0.0009✓1.202.2M2022-01-06
ZENHorizenBase60.3360.0328-0.49%57.79-4.21%0.0259✓1.50807k2022-01-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.45.3737-0.49%5.41+0.19%0.0181✗1.4029.4M2022-01-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.55621.5488-0.47%1.5631+0.44%0.0184✗1.1330.0M2022-01-06
UOSUltraEthereum1.36011.3537-0.47%1.4075+3.48%0.0469✗0.983.6M2022-01-06
API3Api3Ethereum4.144.1211-0.46%4-3.38%0.0217✓1.00962k2022-01-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.17561.1702-0.45%1.1802+0.40%0.0229✗1.771.1M2022-01-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12290.122365-0.44%0.1215-1.14%0.0017✓1.09304k2022-01-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4422.4314-0.43%2.573+5.36%0.0652✗1.061.9M2022-01-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5950.59242-0.43%0.591-0.67%0.0080✗1.282.2M2022-01-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.13574.1179-0.43%4.04-2.31%0.0130✓0.7517k2022-01-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.6430.640243-0.43%0.6492+0.96%0.0248✗1.342.8M2022-01-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.046810.04661-0.43%0.046-1.73%0.0058✓0.918.2M2022-01-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,578.7632,443.77-0.41%35,933.69+10.30%0.1076✗0.6620.1M2022-01-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.33.2864-0.41%3.23-2.12%0.0093✓0.98995k2022-01-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.8667.8339-0.41%7.686-2.29%0.0089✓1.24336k2022-01-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum10.7410.6962-0.41%10.32-3.91%0.0368✓-0.122.0M2022-01-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.186070.185325-0.40%0.18217-2.10%0.0044✓1.576,3502022-01-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.6322.5397-0.40%22.55-0.35%0.0088✗1.031.2M2022-01-06
STORJStorjEthereum1.62911.6227-0.39%1.6476+1.14%0.0221✗0.85668k2022-01-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.031940.031816-0.39%0.030651-4.04%0.0290✓1.027.3M2022-01-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10170.101306-0.39%0.1019+0.20%0.0140✗1.0030.6M2022-01-06
LUNATerraTerra 278.4178.112-0.38%78.39-0.03%0.0117✗1.007.4M2022-01-06
KCSKuCoinnative21.22621.1455-0.38%20.968-1.22%0.0047✗1.6113.6M2022-01-06
ZECZcashZcash136.6136.0838-0.38%137.22+0.45%0.0194✗1.369.4M2022-01-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche97.3696.9962-0.37%95.14-2.28%0.0101✓1.13115.7M2022-01-06
XLMStellarStellar0.266040.265055-0.37%0.2675+0.55%0.0175✗1.0224.9M2022-01-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.7629.652-0.36%29.35-1.38%0.0047✓0.69385k2022-01-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.018560.018494-0.36%0.01816-2.16%0.0128✓0.6733k2022-01-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1589360.158378-0.35%0.160007+0.67%0.0192✗1.104.6M2022-01-06
SCSiacoinnative0.014460.014411-0.34%0.0145+0.28%0.0141✗0.97783k2022-01-06
CBKCobakEthereum2.8612.8512-0.34%2.816-1.57%0.0052✓0.8939k2022-01-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.4233.3067-0.34%33.16-0.78%0.0080✗1.521.1M2022-01-06
DODODODOEthereum0.8290.826248-0.33%0.822-0.84%0.0067✗1.468.1M2022-01-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.109130.108769-0.33%0.10779-1.23%0.0001✓1.1226k2022-01-06
XVSVenusEthereum15.1715.121-0.32%14.53-4.22%0.0306✓1.143.5M2022-01-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.561.555-0.32%1.65+5.77%0.0731✗1.69928k2022-01-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.62980.627791-0.32%0.6365+1.06%0.0243✗1.2911.4M2022-01-06
COMPCompoundEthereum204.79204.1416-0.32%204.52-0.13%0.0113✗1.16211k2022-01-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana109.9691-0.31%10.01+0.10%0.0102✗0.751.2M2022-01-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.078.0451-0.31%8.15+0.99%0.0192✗0.77771k2022-01-06
RADRadworksEthereum10.0810.0496-0.30%9.59-4.86%0.0396✓0.881.2M2022-01-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3954.3819-0.30%4.338-1.30%0.0038✓0.771.1M2022-01-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin33.0932.9916-0.30%32.98-0.33%0.0082✗1.0522.7M2022-01-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06760.067401-0.29%0.0701+3.70%0.0504✗1.361.6M2022-01-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.36710.366038-0.29%0.3708+1.01%0.0250✗1.483.4M2022-01-06
IMXImmutableEthereum4.414.3974-0.29%4.15-5.90%0.0498✓1.002.5M2022-01-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19040.189855-0.29%0.1871-1.73%0.0046✓1.234.8M2022-01-06
KSMKusamaHydration266.77266.0145-0.28%269.76+1.12%0.0233✗1.141.3M2022-01-06
LRCLoopringEthereum1.80481.7998-0.28%1.841+2.01%0.0382✗1.921.4M2022-01-06
QTUMQtumQtum8.23288.2103-0.27%8.3621+1.57%0.0299✗1.42268k2022-01-06
XECeCashnative0.000104690.000104406-0.27%0.00010344-1.19%0.0012✓1.007.2M2022-01-06
ADACardanoCardano1.23041.2271-0.27%1.2794+3.98%0.0507✗1.1097.2M2022-01-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.018340.018291-0.27%0.01705-7.03%0.0621✓1.0029.0M2022-01-06
UNIUniswapEthereum17.1117.0648-0.26%17.06-0.29%0.0101✗1.2814.1M2022-01-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.1711.1679-0.26%1.1841+1.12%0.0217✗0.9721.2M2022-01-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8083.7983-0.26%3.876+1.79%0.0258✗0.69454k2022-01-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05010.049972-0.26%0.05212+4.03%0.0513✗1.1316k2022-01-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.083690.083476-0.26%0.08065-3.63%0.0227✓1.452.8M2022-01-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.553.541-0.25%3.49-1.69%0.0038✓1.3110.7M2022-01-06
QNTQuantEthereum166.2165.7781-0.25%178.46+7.38%0.0816✗0.977.9M2022-01-06
LSKLiskEthereum2.18862.1831-0.25%2.1524-1.66%0.0050✓1.13100k2022-01-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.24981.2467-0.25%1.3048+4.40%0.0546✗1.11922k2022-01-06
XYMSymbolnative0.19040.189939-0.24%0.1919+0.79%0.0154✗0.63441k2022-01-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7274.7156-0.24%4.805+1.65%0.0239✗0.63498k2022-01-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.35540.354561-0.24%0.341-4.05%0.0288✓1.253.0M2022-01-06
XMRMoneroMonero206.96206.4732-0.24%205.35-0.78%0.0029✗1.023.2M2022-01-06
SUSHISushiEthereum7.647.6222-0.23%7.45-2.49%0.0122✓1.3018.2M2022-01-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin135.32135.007-0.23%135.9+0.43%0.0176✗1.3536.7M2022-01-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.111.1075-0.23%1.12+0.90%0.0194✗1.001.9M2022-01-06
XTZTezosTezos4.50934.4991-0.23%4.455-1.20%0.0012✓1.354.9M2022-01-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.7126.6506-0.22%26.71+0.00%0.0128✗1.2971.0M2022-01-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0792.0744-0.22%2.026-2.55%0.0144✓1.132.5M2022-01-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,436.0443,344.18-0.21%43,083.76-0.81%0.0021✗1.00727.0M2022-01-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0204890.020446-0.21%0.020968+2.34%0.0351✗1.212.4M2022-01-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0673.0606-0.21%3.064-0.10%0.0139✗1.571.5M2022-01-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08190.081732-0.20%0.0802-2.08%0.0103✓1.0618k2022-01-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8265020.824808-0.20%0.798009-3.45%0.0238✓1.132.8M2022-01-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.6838.6654-0.20%8.508-2.02%0.0131✓0.64286k2022-01-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.60045.5892-0.20%5.6388+0.68%0.0187✗1.21522k2022-01-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.6460.644715-0.20%0.6385-1.16%0.0007✓1.275.0M2022-01-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.076530.07638-0.20%0.07678+0.33%0.0153✗1.2420.3M2022-01-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.27870.278154-0.20%0.2811+0.86%0.0212✗1.314.6M2022-01-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4651.4621-0.20%1.42-3.07%0.0185✓1.323.4M2022-01-06
DASHDashDash122.47122.2326-0.19%124.32+1.51%0.0274✗1.291.9M2022-01-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.28734.2791-0.19%4.451+3.82%0.0497✗1.274.5M2022-01-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum80.3780.2188-0.19%79.02-1.68%0.0067✓1.026.3M2022-01-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.2814.2537-0.18%14.5+1.54%0.0228✗0.691.1M2022-01-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.322.3158-0.18%2.35+1.29%0.0233✗1.073.8M2022-01-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.9631.9027-0.18%31.67-0.91%0.0012✓1.043.6M2022-01-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.846.8287-0.17%6.77-1.02%0.0034✓0.64778k2022-01-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.0991.0972-0.16%1.0704-2.60%0.0134✓1.401.7M2022-01-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.17230.172027-0.16%0.1662-3.54%0.0245✓1.222.1M2022-01-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09120.091057-0.16%0.0923+1.21%0.0247✗1.371.5M2022-01-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030370.000030327-0.14%0.00003079+1.38%0.0253✗1.241.7M2022-01-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash399.79399.229-0.14%400.02+0.06%0.0103✗1.029.0M2022-01-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.79773.7924-0.14%3.77-0.73%0.0068✓-0.11364k2022-01-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.85032.8464-0.14%3.0021+5.33%0.0630✗1.202.7M2022-01-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1781.1764-0.13%1.163-1.27%0.0039✓0.932.4M2022-01-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.198.1791-0.13%8.21+0.24%0.0088✗0.62828k2022-01-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18320.182961-0.13%0.1812-1.09%0.0022✓0.92503k2022-01-06
NANOnanopayBase3.38543.3811-0.13%3.3664-0.56%0.0044✗1.08754k2022-01-06
TRXTRONTron0.0711530.071071-0.12%0.071075-0.11%0.0078✗0.95556k2022-01-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV114.04113.9204-0.10%111.16-2.53%0.0167✓0.963.0M2022-01-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum33.8233.7857-0.10%33.11-2.10%0.0053✓1.835.4M2022-01-06
ETHEthereumEthereum3,539.003,535.66-0.09%3,406.03-3.76%0.0288✓1.05619.8M2022-01-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5331.532-0.07%1.537+0.26%0.0145✗1.375.7M2022-01-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.693.688-0.05%3.49-5.42%0.0471✓1.003.3M2022-01-06
SOLSolanaSolana154.44154.3621-0.05%150.23-2.73%0.0183✓1.08211.5M2022-01-06
GTGateEthereum6.18546.1841-0.02%6.2776+1.49%0.0219✗0.853.9M2022-01-06
AAVEAaveEthereum230.12230.0801-0.02%220.94-3.99%0.0311✓1.1614.0M2022-01-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.28131.2815+0.02%1.2262-4.30%0.0370✗0.884.1M2022-01-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.