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2022-01-04 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2149
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.74%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
71.7%
in alpha space · 93.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0759890.075925-0.08%0.071153-6.36%0.0148✓0.94556k2022-01-05
GTGateEthereum6.49016.4832-0.11%6.1854-4.69%0.0023✓0.843.9M2022-01-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.77953.774-0.15%3.7977+0.48%0.0004✓-0.11364k2022-01-05
SOLSolanaSolana167.72167.4593-0.16%154.44-7.92%0.0241✓1.07211.5M2022-01-05
AAVEAaveEthereum251.96251.5604-0.16%230.12-8.67%0.0285✓1.1414.7M2022-01-05
ETHEthereumEthereum3,785.003,778.67-0.17%3,539.00-6.50%0.0103✓1.04619.8M2022-01-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6781.6751-0.17%1.533-8.64%0.0162✓1.365.7M2022-01-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV120.8120.5793-0.18%114.04-5.60%0.0049✓0.953.2M2022-01-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2231.2206-0.19%1.178-3.68%0.0146✗0.942.4M2022-01-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.768.7406-0.22%8.19-6.51%0.0328✓0.60828k2022-01-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,006.0045,902.38-0.23%43,367.50-5.74%0.0048✓0.9810k2022-01-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.167.1438-0.23%6.84-4.47%0.0095✓0.64801k2022-01-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19570.195257-0.23%0.1832-6.39%0.0154✓0.91506k2022-01-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash427.38426.3771-0.23%399.79-6.46%0.0104✓1.019.0M2022-01-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.09033.0829-0.24%2.8503-7.77%0.0147✓1.202.9M2022-01-05
NANOnanopayBase3.71433.7054-0.24%3.3854-8.86%0.0339✓1.06798k2022-01-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.482.4738-0.25%2.32-6.45%0.0077✓1.064.0M2022-01-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5074.4957-0.25%4.2873-4.87%0.0213✗1.294.7M2022-01-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.1134.0217-0.26%31.96-6.30%0.0071✓1.043.7M2022-01-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08560.085375-0.26%0.0819-4.32%0.0155✗1.0718k2022-01-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0414.9984-0.28%14.28-5.05%0.0126✓0.691.1M2022-01-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin45,814.6145,685.66-0.28%43,436.04-5.19%0.0028✗1.00727.0M2022-01-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0223170.022249-0.30%0.020489-8.19%0.0184✓1.202.4M2022-01-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69450.692386-0.30%0.646-6.98%0.0017✓1.275.2M2022-01-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2282.2212-0.31%2.079-6.69%0.0063✓1.122.5M2022-01-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.369.3307-0.31%8.683-7.23%0.0394✓0.61299k2022-01-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032450.000032348-0.32%0.00003037-6.41%0.0033✗1.251.7M2022-01-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09910.098786-0.32%0.0912-7.97%0.0073✓1.361.5M2022-01-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.151.1463-0.32%1.11-3.48%0.0211✗1.001.8M2022-01-05
DASHDashDash134.69134.2591-0.32%122.47-9.07%0.0242✓1.271.9M2022-01-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.44841.4437-0.32%1.2813-11.54%0.0756✓0.824.4M2022-01-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36730.366113-0.32%0.3554-3.24%0.0382✗1.273.0M2022-01-05
SUSHISushiEthereum8.078.0438-0.32%7.64-5.33%0.0185✗1.3118.2M2022-01-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.893.8771-0.33%3.69-5.14%0.0038✗1.003.3M2022-01-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8884310.885491-0.33%0.826502-6.97%0.0090✓1.122.8M2022-01-05
MOVRMoonriverBase185.4543184.839-0.33%198.6558+7.12%0.1341✗1.16574k2022-01-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.6928.5946-0.33%26.71-6.90%0.0007✓1.2971.0M2022-01-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.06176.0413-0.34%5.6004-7.61%0.0118✓1.20553k2022-01-05
LSKLiskEthereum2.33982.3319-0.34%2.1886-6.46%0.0035✓1.12100k2022-01-05
ADACardanoCardano1.30921.3047-0.34%1.2304-6.02%0.0003✓1.0997.2M2022-01-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19950.198819-0.34%0.1904-4.56%0.0229✗1.244.8M2022-01-05
XMRMoneroMonero222.22221.4475-0.35%206.96-6.87%0.0139✓1.013.2M2022-01-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.18721.1831-0.35%1.099-7.43%0.0011✓1.401.7M2022-01-05
QNTQuantEthereum179.48178.851-0.35%166.2-7.40%0.0224✓0.968.3M2022-01-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1075.0891-0.35%4.727-7.44%0.0417✓0.60549k2022-01-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6461.6402-0.35%1.465-11.00%0.0443✓1.293.4M2022-01-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.083880.083583-0.35%0.07653-8.76%0.0232✓1.2220.9M2022-01-05
DODODODOEthereum0.8730.869906-0.35%0.829-5.04%0.0304✗1.478.1M2022-01-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.34271.3379-0.35%1.2498-6.92%0.0093✓1.10922k2022-01-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.089270.088949-0.36%0.08369-6.25%0.0165✗1.452.9M2022-01-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06950.069249-0.36%0.0676-2.73%0.0506✗1.401.6M2022-01-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1124.097-0.36%3.808-7.39%0.0378✓0.66483k2022-01-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum92.8892.5405-0.37%80.37-13.47%0.0897✓0.966.3M2022-01-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.58.4689-0.37%8.07-5.06%0.0076✓0.76773k2022-01-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.44145.8906-0.38%135.32-7.59%0.0034✓1.3536.7M2022-01-05
UNIUniswapEthereum18.2118.1411-0.38%17.11-6.04%0.0099✗1.2814.1M2022-01-05
QTUMQtumQtum8.99398.9595-0.38%8.2328-8.46%0.0091✓1.42268k2022-01-05
XVSVenusEthereum15.9215.8586-0.39%15.17-4.71%0.0168✗1.153.5M2022-01-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.30250.301325-0.39%0.2787-7.87%0.0086✓1.304.6M2022-01-05
XEMNEMnative0.12520.124709-0.39%0.1297+3.59%0.0979✗1.10115k2022-01-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.1335.9869-0.40%33.09-8.41%0.0288✓1.0322.7M2022-01-05
XYMSymbolnative0.21010.209265-0.40%0.1904-9.38%0.0629✓0.59441k2022-01-05
IMXImmutableEthereum4.744.721-0.40%4.41-6.96%0.0148✓1.002.5M2022-01-05
XECeCashnative0.000112920.000112465-0.40%0.00010469-7.29%0.0192✓0.987.2M2022-01-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.27881.2736-0.40%1.171-8.43%0.0336✓0.9521.2M2022-01-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1684740.167782-0.41%0.158936-5.66%0.0045✗1.104.6M2022-01-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.2731.1414-0.41%29.76-4.83%0.0093✓0.68385k2022-01-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.641.6333-0.41%1.56-4.88%0.0460✗1.72964k2022-01-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.19430.193497-0.41%0.1723-11.32%0.0529✓1.182.1M2022-01-05
KSMKusamaHydration296.29295.0594-0.42%266.77-9.96%0.0416✓1.111.3M2022-01-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.6734.6536-0.42%4.395-5.95%0.0166✓0.761.1M2022-01-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.119720.119222-0.42%0.10913-8.85%0.0297✓1.1026k2022-01-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.67840.675542-0.42%0.6298-7.16%0.0015✓1.2911.4M2022-01-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.055130.054897-0.42%0.0501-9.12%0.0327✓1.1015k2022-01-05
KCSKuCoinnative22.04621.952-0.43%21.226-3.72%0.0535✗1.6313.6M2022-01-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.8335.677-0.43%33.42-6.73%0.0161✗1.531.1M2022-01-05
XTZTezosTezos5.0395.0174-0.43%4.5093-10.51%0.0361✓1.334.9M2022-01-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.393.3754-0.43%3.3-2.65%0.0306✗1.00995k2022-01-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5610.5139-0.44%10-5.30%0.0104✓0.741.2M2022-01-05
XLMStellarStellar0.2793080.278089-0.44%0.26604-4.75%0.0101✗1.0224.9M2022-01-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.39340.391682-0.44%0.3671-6.69%0.0144✗1.493.4M2022-01-05
UMAUMAEthereum9.038.9897-0.45%11.01+21.93%0.2623✗1.123.9M2022-01-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4090.407143-0.45%0.4-2.20%0.0213✗0.7339k2022-01-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche103.3102.8253-0.46%97.36-5.75%0.0051✗1.12115.7M2022-01-05
COMPCompoundEthereum223.02221.9919-0.46%204.79-8.17%0.0197✓1.14211k2022-01-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3633.3473-0.47%3.067-8.80%0.0025✓1.591.8M2022-01-05
API3Api3Ethereum4.14.0805-0.48%4.14+0.98%0.0678✗1.00967k2022-01-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.6738.4844-0.48%33.82-12.54%0.0334✓1.805.4M2022-01-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2398.1991-0.48%7.866-4.53%0.0258✗1.26336k2022-01-05
SCSiacoinnative0.015470.015395-0.49%0.01446-6.53%0.0117✓0.96783k2022-01-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019730.019634-0.49%0.01856-5.93%0.0217✓0.6535k2022-01-05
RADRadworksEthereum11.2711.2147-0.49%10.08-10.56%0.0620✓0.841.2M2022-01-05
LUNATerraTerra 284.5684.1409-0.50%78.41-7.27%0.0172✓1.006.3M2022-01-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.06230.061987-0.50%0.067553+8.43%0.1602✗1.397.4M2022-01-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.0223.8992-0.50%22.63-5.79%0.0003✓1.031.2M2022-01-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.4323.3067-0.53%25.22+7.64%0.1494✗1.3269.2M2022-01-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021110.020998-0.53%0.01834-13.12%0.0820✓1.0028.5M2022-01-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13240.131669-0.55%0.1229-7.18%0.0117✓1.07304k2022-01-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.049290.049016-0.56%0.04681-5.03%0.0021✓0.908.2M2022-01-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.923.8981-0.56%3.55-9.44%0.0236✓1.3110.7M2022-01-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.5111.4437-0.58%10.74-6.69%0.0724✓-0.172.2M2022-01-05
BANDBandEthereum5.665.6272-0.58%6.23+10.07%0.1650✗1.192.1M2022-01-05
STORJStorjEthereum1.79181.7811-0.60%1.6291-9.08%0.0462✓0.81668k2022-01-05
ZECZcashZcash147.34146.457-0.60%136.6-7.29%0.0024✓1.3510.1M2022-01-05
CBKCobakEthereum3.153.131-0.60%2.861-9.17%0.0447✓0.8541k2022-01-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6932.6767-0.61%2.442-9.32%0.0370✓1.031.9M2022-01-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.67141.6612-0.61%1.5562-6.89%0.0056✓1.1230.0M2022-01-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.28291.275-0.62%1.1756-8.37%0.0128✗1.761.2M2022-01-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.724.6907-0.62%4.1357-12.38%0.0893✓0.6917k2022-01-05
MINAMina Protocolnative3.713.6865-0.63%3.86+4.04%0.1033✗1.08626k2022-01-05
LRCLoopringEthereum2.06512.0518-0.65%1.8048-12.60%0.0282✓1.881.4M2022-01-05
ZENHorizenBase64.4264.0021-0.65%60.33-6.35%0.0211✗1.50807k2022-01-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.204040.202699-0.66%0.18607-8.81%0.0023✓1.566,4462022-01-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.71330.708556-0.67%0.643-9.86%0.0268✓1.322.8M2022-01-05
UOSUltraEthereum1.46021.4504-0.67%1.3601-6.85%0.0132✓0.963.6M2022-01-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0334060.033181-0.67%0.03194-4.39%0.0165✗1.027.3M2022-01-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6620.657477-0.68%0.595-10.12%0.0329✓1.262.2M2022-01-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.35740.354911-0.70%0.3305-7.53%0.0180✓1.00293k2022-01-05
FTTFTXEthereum41.3541.0585-0.71%38.06-7.96%0.0199✓1.0519.4M2022-01-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.11920.118357-0.71%0.1017-14.68%0.0984✓1.0033.0M2022-01-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.423.3952-0.72%3.1-9.36%0.0219✓1.303.0M2022-01-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.66.5516-0.73%6.37-3.48%0.0331✗1.153.3M2022-01-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2912.1997-0.73%11.18-9.03%0.0549✓0.611.2M2022-01-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum36,282.4736,013.34-0.74%32,578.76-10.21%0.0676✓0.6117.3M2022-01-05
XVGVergenative0.017210.017079-0.76%0.01601-6.97%0.0011✓1.192.2M2022-01-05
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03511.0271-0.78%0.9503-8.19%0.0244✓1.00145k2022-01-05
MANADecentralandEthereum3.17443.1485-0.82%2.9141-8.20%0.0269✓0.955.7M2022-01-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum6.086.0301-0.82%5.4-11.18%0.0378✓1.3629.4M2022-01-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.019470.019308-0.83%0.01768-9.19%0.0203✓1.272.2M2022-01-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110.109074-0.84%0.10219-7.10%0.0310✓0.6455k2022-01-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum33.8233.5272-0.87%30.63-9.43%0.0165✓1.3924.2M2022-01-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum42.8342.4511-0.88%42.44-0.91%0.0874✗1.642.8M2022-01-05
GITCOINGITCOIN15.67215.5019-1.09%13.46-14.11%0.1452✓-0.0786k2022-01-05
HIVEHivenative1.59251.5742-1.15%1.5149-4.87%0.0353✗1.385.2M2022-01-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.83810.827941-1.21%0.7389-11.84%0.0223✓1.7233.4M2022-01-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos42.0541.3924-1.56%38.67-8.04%0.0202✓0.9043.4M2022-01-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.715.4534-1.57%13.31-15.22%0.1504✓-0.023.9M2022-01-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62060.602278-2.95%0.5593-9.88%0.0002✓1.39650k2022-01-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.