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2022-01-02 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2666
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.83%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
86.2%
in alpha space · 96.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.14%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.75680.590601-21.96%0.5575-26.33%0.2139✓1.36650k2022-02-01
HIVEHivenative1.72491.4508-15.89%0.9549-44.64%0.1439✓1.375.5M2022-02-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum14.7512.6871-13.99%8.06-45.36%0.4570✓-0.023.9M2022-02-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.20380.179821-11.77%0.20659+1.37%0.4528✗1.576,6152022-02-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.94350.834233-11.58%0.5296-43.87%0.1155✓1.6931.1M2022-02-01
MANADecentralandEthereum3.34012.9591-11.41%2.6803-19.75%0.0883✓0.946.2M2022-02-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.55521.3946-10.33%1.1475-26.21%0.0050✓0.954.0M2022-02-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.353.9223-9.83%2.1-51.72%0.4245✓1.003.4M2022-02-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.024020.021691-9.70%0.00684-71.52%0.9539✓1.0029.5M2022-02-01
GITCOINGITCOIN14.89813.4568-9.67%8.052-45.95%0.5284✓-0.07111k2022-02-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum39,116.5135,388.89-9.53%25,472.18-34.88%0.2081✓0.6015.7M2022-02-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.03460.031338-9.43%0.020954-39.44%0.1978✓1.027.8M2022-02-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5643.2446-8.96%2.683-24.72%0.1312✗1.602.1M2022-02-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum41.0837.4278-8.89%19.38-52.82%0.2991✓1.796.1M2022-02-01
CELLCellframeEthereum1.0070.919268-8.71%0.8834-12.27%0.1604✗1.00146k2022-02-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.12080.110313-8.68%0.0861-28.73%0.0476✓1.0033.0M2022-02-01
ZENHorizenBase65.0659.4531-8.62%39.21-39.73%0.1143✓1.51872k2022-02-01
LRCLoopringEthereum2.0951.9151-8.59%0.9652-53.93%0.3100✓1.871.5M2022-02-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.9912.7949-8.54%6.27-55.18%0.5958✓0.591.3M2022-02-01
API3Api3Ethereum4.343.9763-8.38%3.57-17.74%0.0924✗1.001.1M2022-02-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.223.8773-8.12%2.03-51.90%0.3842✓1.3111.9M2022-02-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.7140.656746-8.02%0.4737-33.66%0.0617✓1.322.9M2022-02-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.39570.36413-7.98%0.2826-28.58%0.0559✓0.99293k2022-02-01
UMAUMAEthereum9.498.7458-7.84%5.98-36.99%0.1571✓1.114.1M2022-02-01
XVGVergenative0.017670.016287-7.82%0.01018-42.39%0.2311✓1.192.2M2022-02-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum40.6437.4612-7.82%26.67-34.38%0.0079✓1.662.8M2022-02-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum6.055.6047-7.36%3.46-42.81%0.2084✓1.3729.3M2022-02-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6420.594854-7.34%0.328-48.91%0.3420✓1.272.2M2022-02-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.57654.2437-7.27%3.2091-29.88%0.1403✓0.7019k2022-02-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.7110.8592-7.27%6.66-43.13%0.5229✓-0.172.3M2022-02-01
STORJStorjEthereum1.92631.7877-7.19%1.1512-40.24%0.2807✓0.80741k2022-02-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6988.1014-6.86%5.979-31.26%0.0513✓1.26367k2022-02-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.21105.5221-6.79%73.37-35.19%0.1417✓1.11121.7M2022-02-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.30011.2127-6.72%0.84367-35.11%0.0092✓1.771.3M2022-02-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.67391.5638-6.58%0.967-42.23%0.2548✓1.1330.0M2022-02-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.2651.1821-6.55%0.7231-42.84%0.2108✓1.402.0M2022-02-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.21210.198258-6.53%0.1189-43.94%0.2758✓1.182.4M2022-02-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.115310.107855-6.47%0.07836-32.04%0.1924✓0.6355k2022-02-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos35.5433.258-6.42%28.86-18.80%0.0442✓0.9343.4M2022-02-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.8592.6787-6.31%1.837-35.75%0.1731✓1.022.0M2022-02-01
LUNATerraTerra 289.3583.8114-6.20%52.21-41.57%0.2731✓1.005.3M2022-02-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.02080.01952-6.15%0.01283-38.32%0.2910✓0.6439k2022-02-01
SUSHISushiEthereum8.938.3909-6.04%4.35-51.29%0.3960✓1.3018.1M2022-02-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.831.7199-6.02%1.17-36.07%0.0420✓1.711.1M2022-02-01
MINAMina Protocolnative3.783.5527-6.01%2.65-29.89%0.0780✓1.07643k2022-02-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.31190.293506-5.90%0.1885-39.56%0.1823✓1.304.8M2022-02-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13680.128825-5.83%0.0822-39.91%0.2343✓1.07315k2022-02-01
CBKCobakEthereum3.1272.9484-5.71%2.247-28.14%0.0989✓0.8641k2022-02-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000034050.000032122-5.66%0.00002176-36.09%0.1404✓1.241.7M2022-02-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.423.0364-5.59%14.66-39.92%0.2445✓1.041.4M2022-02-01
MOVRMoonriverBase200.0687188.9057-5.58%76.2874-61.87%0.6748✓1.16586k2022-02-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.38360.362664-5.46%0.3087-19.53%0.1385✗1.503.7M2022-02-01
ZECZcashZcash153.06144.8265-5.38%98.97-35.34%0.1103✓1.3510.9M2022-02-01
XEMNEMnative0.13070.123695-5.36%0.104-20.43%0.0465✓1.10121k2022-02-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4170.394756-5.33%0.255-38.85%0.2901✓0.7343k2022-02-01
SCSiacoinnative0.016180.015318-5.32%0.01011-37.52%0.2248✓0.95847k2022-02-01
RADRadworksEthereum11.1410.5524-5.28%5.6-49.73%0.4646✓0.841.2M2022-02-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.295.9611-5.23%4.8991-22.11%0.0447✓1.20621k2022-02-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.519.9628-5.21%9.72-7.52%0.1256✗0.751.3M2022-02-01
XLMStellarStellar0.2922730.277064-5.20%0.202028-30.88%0.1119✓1.0225.7M2022-02-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.55871.478-5.18%0.4327-72.24%1.0658✓0.814.6M2022-02-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.37231.3024-5.10%0.8391-38.85%0.2513✓0.9422.3M2022-02-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0790.075007-5.05%0.0358-54.68%0.4616✓1.391.7M2022-02-01
IMXImmutableEthereum4.964.7101-5.04%2.88-41.94%0.2917✓1.002.5M2022-02-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38220.363284-4.95%0.2456-35.74%0.1367✓1.273.7M2022-02-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.245.9314-4.95%5.37-13.94%0.1348✗1.173.3M2022-02-01
FTTFTXEthereum40.1638.2073-4.86%45.2+12.55%0.3801✗1.0619.4M2022-02-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.23.0464-4.80%1.98-38.12%0.1682✓1.313.2M2022-02-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21210.202018-4.75%0.1161-45.26%0.3059✓1.244.9M2022-02-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2252.1198-4.73%1.525-31.46%0.1033✓1.132.7M2022-02-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.42431.3571-4.72%1.8742+31.59%0.5429✗1.10947k2022-02-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum96.4291.9615-4.62%53.47-44.54%0.3499✓0.966.3M2022-02-01
DODODODOEthereum0.9230.880903-4.56%0.488-47.13%0.2957✓1.478.1M2022-02-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot29.728.3486-4.55%19.58-34.07%0.1107✓1.3072.5M2022-02-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.048990.046785-4.50%0.03008-38.60%0.2592✓0.918.2M2022-02-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0650840.062155-4.50%0.03834-41.09%0.2049✓1.397.5M2022-02-01
QNTQuantEthereum187.33178.9376-4.48%104.95-43.98%0.3427✓0.958.8M2022-02-01
BANDBandEthereum5.285.0464-4.42%3.49-33.90%0.1274✓1.212.1M2022-02-01
XMRMoneroMonero239.56228.9833-4.42%146.32-38.92%0.2474✓1.003.2M2022-02-01
DASHDashDash141.99135.7222-4.41%97.23-31.52%0.0797✓1.272.0M2022-02-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20550.196431-4.41%0.1425-30.66%0.1402✓0.90556k2022-02-01
UNIUniswapEthereum18.4117.5986-4.41%11.11-39.65%0.2020✓1.2914.1M2022-02-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.5533.9892-4.39%20.94-41.10%0.1762✓1.541.1M2022-02-01
ADACardanoCardano1.37791.3176-4.38%1.0965-20.42%0.0350✓1.09100.2M2022-02-01
XECeCashnative0.000113340.00010839-4.37%0.00007722-31.87%0.1407✓0.997.4M2022-02-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.3114.6527-4.29%14.46-5.55%0.1243✗0.691.3M2022-02-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.1830.8121-4.25%25.47-20.85%0.0549✓0.68402k2022-02-01
KCSKuCoinnative22.62421.679-4.18%18.496-18.25%0.1685✗1.6314.9M2022-02-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.016610.015921-4.15%0.00957-42.38%0.2479✓1.302.2M2022-02-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1744010.167204-4.13%0.142489-18.30%0.0604✗1.105.1M2022-02-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.1259.714-4.06%5.958-41.16%0.3689✓0.60310k2022-02-01
QTUMQtumQtum9.23638.8638-4.03%6.1797-33.09%0.0765✓1.42273k2022-02-01
KSMKusamaHydration295.23283.3999-4.01%170.69-42.18%0.2836✓1.121.3M2022-02-01
LSKLiskEthereum2.40892.314-3.94%1.6048-33.38%0.1410✓1.12100k2022-02-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.7634.3727-3.88%20.92-41.50%0.2881✓1.0423.6M2022-02-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.084440.08117-3.87%0.0446-47.18%0.3543✓1.2220.9M2022-02-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.654.4786-3.69%3.1868-31.47%0.0803✓1.305.0M2022-02-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.171.1269-3.68%0.7-40.17%0.2759✓1.002.0M2022-02-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.8821.0782-3.66%17-22.30%0.0539✗1.3469.2M2022-02-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.122510.118035-3.65%0.08902-27.34%0.0614✓1.1026k2022-02-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV124.05119.6348-3.56%91.69-26.09%0.0750✓0.953.7M2022-02-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8884520.857186-3.52%0.582133-34.48%0.1603✓1.132.8M2022-02-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,299.0745,676.13-3.43%38,716.88-18.14%0.0349✗1.00744.5M2022-02-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.562.4743-3.35%1.7-33.59%0.1626✓1.064.1M2022-02-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10010.096789-3.31%0.062-38.06%0.1714✓1.371.6M2022-02-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1955.0255-3.26%4.228-18.61%0.0517✓0.60657k2022-02-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin151.2146.323-3.23%115.11-23.87%0.0300✓1.3540.5M2022-02-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.3226.4391-3.22%20.15-26.24%0.0139✓1.4324.2M2022-02-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7761.7188-3.22%1.316-25.90%0.0042✓1.356.3M2022-02-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2661.2255-3.20%0.756-40.28%0.2947✓0.942.6M2022-02-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.568.2885-3.17%6.28-26.64%0.1239✓0.77799k2022-02-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.17493.0753-3.14%3.0959-2.49%0.2475✗1.203.1M2022-02-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.3834.2819-3.10%26.8-24.25%0.0380✓1.044.1M2022-02-01
XTZTezosTezos4.67034.5277-3.05%3.7479-19.75%0.0802✗1.344.9M2022-02-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.67650.655906-3.04%0.4393-35.06%0.1420✓1.2911.4M2022-02-01
AAVEAaveEthereum265.45257.4764-3.00%164.05-38.20%0.2233✓1.1412.6M2022-02-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.858.5892-2.95%6.24-29.49%0.1976✓0.61914k2022-02-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.057530.055836-2.94%0.04034-29.88%0.1047✓1.1015k2022-02-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.7270.705651-2.94%0.565-22.28%0.0315✗1.275.6M2022-02-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.196.9794-2.93%5.37-25.31%0.1336✓0.64948k2022-02-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0880.08548-2.86%0.0658-25.23%0.0471✓1.0721k2022-02-01
COMPCompoundEthereum211.43205.5934-2.76%128.16-39.38%0.2405✓1.16210k2022-02-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1724.0617-2.64%3.125-25.10%0.1290✓0.67514k2022-02-01
SOLSolanaSolana176.32171.8235-2.55%110.1-37.56%0.2323✓1.06220.6M2022-02-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.0124.8849-2.54%3.337-33.42%0.2302✓0.751.0M2022-02-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092330.090012-2.51%0.05811-37.06%0.1464✓1.453.1M2022-02-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6671.6257-2.48%0.932-44.09%0.2981✓1.293.5M2022-02-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.43.3214-2.31%2.53-25.59%0.0714✓1.00995k2022-02-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,411.9046,328.95-2.28%38,691.90-18.39%0.0153✓0.9810k2022-02-01
NANOnanopayBase3.57643.4981-2.19%2.1518-39.83%0.2717✓1.07798k2022-02-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.022330.021866-2.08%0.015173-32.05%0.1238✓1.212.4M2022-02-01
ETHEthereumEthereum3,828.873,750.00-2.06%2,789.66-27.14%0.0880✓1.04679.6M2022-02-01
GTGateEthereum6.60576.4713-2.03%6.9364+5.01%0.2372✗0.843.9M2022-02-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.78453.7113-1.93%4.2589+12.54%0.1153✗-0.11393k2022-02-01
XVSVenusEthereum16.0415.762-1.73%8.13-49.31%0.4311✓1.153.7M2022-02-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash447.91440.9451-1.55%287.95-35.71%0.2240✓1.019.4M2022-02-01
XYMSymbolnative0.20930.206145-1.51%0.1825-12.80%0.0024✓0.60428k2022-02-01
TRXTRONTron0.0776430.077551-0.12%0.059831-22.94%0.0709✓0.94556k2022-02-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.