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2022-01-01 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0825
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.15%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
21.7%
in alpha space · 42.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.91%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0766250.076567-0.08%0.077643+1.33%0.0226✗0.94589k2022-01-02
CBKCobakEthereum2.9142.9101-0.13%3.127+7.31%0.0798✗0.8744k2022-01-02
ETHEthereumEthereum3,765.723,760.09-0.15%3,828.87+1.68%0.0276✗1.04685.0M2022-01-02
NANOnanopayBase3.583.574-0.17%3.5764-0.10%0.0105✗1.07819k2022-01-02
GTGateEthereum6.76356.7517-0.17%6.6057-2.33%0.0142✓0.844.0M2022-01-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.79893.7922-0.18%3.7845-0.38%0.0031✓-0.11405k2022-01-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV123.03122.8113-0.18%124.05+0.83%0.0188✗0.963.7M2022-01-02
SOLSolanaSolana179.21178.8444-0.20%176.32-1.61%0.0045✓1.06226.4M2022-01-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7481.744-0.23%1.776+1.60%0.0306✗1.366.8M2022-01-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum25.6125.5504-0.23%27.32+6.68%0.0801✗1.4324.2M2022-01-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1332.128-0.24%2.225+4.31%0.0549✗1.132.9M2022-01-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.247.2224-0.24%7.19-0.69%0.0014✓0.641.1M2022-01-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08390.083695-0.24%0.088+4.89%0.0600✗1.0820k2022-01-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.948.9173-0.25%8.85-1.01%0.0020✓0.61998k2022-01-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.532.5236-0.25%2.56+1.19%0.0241✗1.064.1M2022-01-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2761.2727-0.26%1.266-0.78%0.0034✗0.942.6M2022-01-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.8734.7782-0.26%35.38+1.46%0.0267✗1.044.3M2022-01-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash445.07443.8884-0.27%447.91+0.64%0.0183✗1.019.8M2022-01-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.1939.1684-0.27%10.125+10.14%0.1048✗0.61324k2022-01-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.75584.743-0.27%4.65-2.22%0.0079✓1.305.0M2022-01-02
XTZTezosTezos4.74944.7367-0.27%4.6703-1.67%0.0018✓1.345.2M2022-01-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.20783.1992-0.27%3.1749-1.03%0.0034✗1.203.3M2022-01-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20610.205515-0.28%0.2055-0.29%0.0082✗0.90585k2022-01-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0224630.022397-0.29%0.02233-0.59%0.0080✗1.212.4M2022-01-02
COMPCompoundEthereum210.69210.0733-0.29%211.43+0.35%0.0170✗1.16210k2022-01-02
AAVEAaveEthereum266.48265.6785-0.30%265.45-0.39%0.0095✗1.1412.0M2022-01-02
QTUMQtumQtum8.96138.9343-0.30%9.2363+3.07%0.0463✗1.42278k2022-01-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.114760.114408-0.31%0.12251+6.75%0.0785✗1.1126k2022-01-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum20.7520.686-0.31%21.88+5.45%0.0684✗1.3569.7M2022-01-02
UNIUniswapEthereum17.4717.4157-0.31%18.41+5.38%0.0673✗1.2914.5M2022-01-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8757360.872965-0.32%0.888452+1.45%0.0280✗1.132.8M2022-01-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.415.351-0.32%15.31-0.58%0.0036✗0.691.4M2022-01-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,733.4347,580.77-0.32%47,299.07-0.91%0.0032✓1.00750.8M2022-01-02
QNTQuantEthereum179.87179.2877-0.32%187.33+4.15%0.0526✗0.968.9M2022-01-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.6128.517-0.32%29.7+3.81%0.0525✗1.3074.7M2022-01-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum94.193.7918-0.33%96.42+2.47%0.0364✗0.966.5M2022-01-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6511.6455-0.33%1.667+0.97%0.0248✗1.293.6M2022-01-02
LSKLiskEthereum2.39652.3885-0.34%2.4089+0.52%0.0188✗1.12111k2022-01-02
DODODODOEthereum0.8750.871959-0.35%0.923+5.49%0.0704✗1.488.1M2022-01-02
DASHDashDash138.03137.5497-0.35%141.99+2.87%0.0434✗1.272.1M2022-01-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.353.3383-0.35%3.4+1.49%0.0275✗1.001.0M2022-01-02
KSMKusamaHydration289.04288.0276-0.35%295.23+2.14%0.0349✗1.121.3M2022-01-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.8835.7531-0.35%35.76-0.33%0.0097✗1.0423.7M2022-01-02
XECeCashnative0.000110770.000110378-0.35%0.00011334+2.32%0.0356✗0.997.6M2022-01-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10010.099744-0.36%0.1001+0.00%0.0161✗1.371.6M2022-01-02
BANDBandEthereum5.185.1615-0.36%5.28+1.93%0.0338✗1.212.2M2022-01-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.66470.662308-0.36%0.6765+1.78%0.0330✗1.3011.8M2022-01-02
XEMNEMnative0.1260.125546-0.36%0.1307+3.73%0.0503✗1.10137k2022-01-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.171.1658-0.36%1.17+0.00%0.0128✗1.002.1M2022-01-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.18850.187799-0.37%0.2121+12.52%0.1325✗1.192.4M2022-01-02
XVSVenusEthereum16.0816.0195-0.38%16.04-0.25%0.0118✗1.153.8M2022-01-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2115.1914-0.38%5.195-0.31%0.0062✗0.61738k2022-01-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.985.9574-0.38%6.24+4.35%0.0571✗1.173.8M2022-01-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.658.6167-0.39%8.56-1.04%0.0004✓0.77979k2022-01-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.2735.134-0.39%35.55+0.79%0.0259✗1.541.2M2022-01-02
ADACardanoCardano1.37971.3744-0.39%1.3779-0.13%0.0126✗1.09102.6M2022-01-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.38051.3751-0.39%1.4243+3.17%0.0452✗1.10987k2022-01-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.10946.0854-0.39%6.29+2.96%0.0441✗1.21649k2022-01-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0930.092626-0.40%0.09233-0.72%0.0101✗1.453.5M2022-01-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3710.3273-0.41%10.51+1.35%0.0244✗0.751.3M2022-01-02
MOVRMoonriverBase189.4715188.6833-0.42%200.0687+5.59%0.0692✗1.16600k2022-01-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21280.211914-0.42%0.2121-0.33%0.0122✗1.245.1M2022-01-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.38790.386282-0.42%0.3836-1.11%0.0067✗1.504.0M2022-01-02
XLMStellarStellar0.2768020.275644-0.42%0.292273+5.59%0.0679✗1.0226.4M2022-01-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.016540.016471-0.42%0.01661+0.42%0.0204✗1.312.2M2022-01-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.4632.3231-0.42%32.18-0.86%0.0017✓0.68463k2022-01-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1731180.172386-0.42%0.174401+0.74%0.0217✗1.105.5M2022-01-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin150.83150.1813-0.43%151.2+0.25%0.0191✗1.3541.9M2022-01-02
IMXImmutableEthereum4.834.809-0.44%4.96+2.69%0.0401✗1.002.8M2022-01-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.049640.049422-0.44%0.04899-1.31%0.0004✓0.918.4M2022-01-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.054880.054635-0.45%0.05753+4.83%0.0617✗1.1015k2022-01-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2214.202-0.45%4.172-1.16%0.0011✓0.67514k2022-01-02
FTTFTXEthereum40.240.0186-0.45%40.16-0.10%0.0132✗1.0620.0M2022-01-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73020.726854-0.46%0.727-0.44%0.0118✗1.276.0M2022-01-02
KCSKuCoinnative22.38622.283-0.46%22.624+1.06%0.0301✗1.6415.7M2022-01-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000034160.000034002-0.46%0.00003405-0.32%0.0128✗1.251.8M2022-01-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.62811.6206-0.46%1.5587-4.26%0.0315✓0.814.6M2022-01-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.086250.085849-0.46%0.08444-2.10%0.0054✓1.2221.1M2022-01-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.13.0856-0.47%3.2+3.23%0.0484✗1.323.2M2022-01-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.42640.424388-0.47%0.7568+77.49%0.5913✗1.40650k2022-01-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.102950.102461-0.48%0.11531+12.01%0.1240✗0.6455k2022-01-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.71.6919-0.48%1.83+7.65%0.0942✗1.721.1M2022-01-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.37750.375685-0.48%0.3822+1.25%0.0288✗1.273.9M2022-01-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.398.3488-0.49%8.698+3.67%0.0525✗1.27379k2022-01-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.29520.293745-0.49%0.3119+5.66%0.0719✗1.315.0M2022-01-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.5224.3979-0.50%24.4-0.49%0.0096✗1.041.5M2022-01-02
SCSiacoinnative0.015540.015462-0.50%0.01618+4.12%0.0541✗0.96859k2022-01-02
RADRadworksEthereum1110.9445-0.50%11.14+1.27%0.0254✗0.851.2M2022-01-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,429.6047,186.30-0.51%47,411.90-0.04%0.0137✗0.9810k2022-01-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.374.3466-0.54%4.35-0.46%0.0099✗1.003.4M2022-01-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.55174.5272-0.54%4.5765+0.54%0.0172✗0.7019k2022-01-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.02020.020091-0.54%0.0208+2.97%0.0406✗0.6441k2022-01-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.430.427663-0.54%0.417-3.02%0.0186✓0.7345k2022-01-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.4111.4033-0.54%1.3723-2.74%0.0138✓0.9423.0M2022-01-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13390.13316-0.55%0.1368+2.17%0.0368✗1.08315k2022-01-02
UMAUMAEthereum9.339.2772-0.57%9.49+1.71%0.0329✗1.124.1M2022-01-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.200320.199175-0.57%0.2038+1.74%0.0373✗1.577,2812022-01-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.26113.6052-0.57%113.21-0.92%0.0066✗1.11123.8M2022-01-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.7611.6918-0.58%11.71-0.43%0.0000✓-0.172.8M2022-01-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.29121.2837-0.58%1.265-2.03%0.0018✓1.402.1M2022-01-02
LUNATerraTerra 291.6691.1124-0.60%89.35-2.52%0.0104✓1.005.3M2022-01-02
API3Api3Ethereum4.364.3336-0.61%4.34-0.46%0.0106✗1.001.1M2022-01-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6330.629154-0.61%0.642+1.42%0.0318✗1.272.3M2022-01-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0642080.063816-0.61%0.065084+1.36%0.0324✗1.397.6M2022-01-02
MINAMina Protocolnative3.733.7072-0.61%3.78+1.34%0.0293✗1.08667k2022-01-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.25821.2505-0.61%1.3001+3.33%0.0550✗1.771.3M2022-01-02
SUSHISushiEthereum9.149.0834-0.62%8.93-2.30%0.0051✓1.3018.1M2022-01-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.97930.973104-0.63%1.007+2.83%0.0434✗1.00146k2022-01-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6093.5861-0.63%3.564-1.25%0.0085✗1.612.3M2022-01-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.1739.9144-0.64%41.08+2.27%0.0452✗1.806.3M2022-01-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07970.079192-0.64%0.079-0.88%0.0103✗1.391.7M2022-01-02
STORJStorjEthereum1.8351.8231-0.65%1.9263+4.98%0.0624✗0.80828k2022-01-02
ZECZcashZcash150.36149.3722-0.66%153.06+1.80%0.0368✗1.3511.0M2022-01-02
ZENHorizenBase63.9463.5059-0.68%65.06+1.75%0.0380✗1.51924k2022-01-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6812.6627-0.68%2.859+6.64%0.0805✗1.022.0M2022-01-02
XMRMoneroMonero250.04248.2857-0.70%239.56-4.19%0.0266✓1.003.2M2022-01-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.12490.124006-0.72%0.1208-3.28%0.0171✓1.0035.9M2022-01-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.74331.7307-0.72%1.6739-3.98%0.0231✓1.1330.5M2022-01-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.0695.0315-0.74%5.012-1.12%0.0030✓0.751.0M2022-01-02
XVGVergenative0.017750.017619-0.74%0.01767-0.45%0.0138✗1.192.3M2022-01-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.7150.709451-0.78%0.714-0.14%0.0185✗1.323.0M2022-01-02
LRCLoopringEthereum2.082.0639-0.78%2.095+0.72%0.0321✗1.871.5M2022-01-02
GITCOINGITCOIN13.6913.5799-0.80%14.898+8.82%0.0920✗-0.07111k2022-01-02
XYMSymbolnative0.22450.222662-0.82%0.2093-6.77%0.0565✓0.59428k2022-01-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0338630.033583-0.83%0.0346+2.18%0.0392✗1.027.8M2022-01-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.0740.7289-0.83%40.64-1.05%0.0130✗1.662.8M2022-01-02
UOSUltraEthereum1.57871.5654-0.84%1.5552-1.49%0.0021✓0.954.2M2022-01-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023330.023131-0.85%0.02402+2.96%0.0468✗1.0031.2M2022-01-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.494.451-0.87%4.22-6.01%0.0413✓1.3111.9M2022-01-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.36710.363627-0.95%0.3957+7.79%0.0936✗0.99293k2022-01-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.213.0716-0.97%13.99+5.98%0.0733✗0.591.3M2022-01-02
MANADecentralandEthereum3.35013.316-1.02%3.3401-0.30%0.0158✗0.936.6M2022-01-02
HIVEHivenative1.52381.5081-1.03%1.7249+13.20%0.1469✗1.385.5M2022-01-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum36,545.6936,165.96-1.04%39,116.51+7.03%0.0840✗0.6115.4M2022-01-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.5813.4218-1.17%14.75+8.62%0.0943✗-0.013.9M2022-01-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos36.3335.9065-1.17%35.54-2.17%0.0018✓0.9343.4M2022-01-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum6.216.1372-1.17%6.05-2.58%0.0018✓1.3729.2M2022-01-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum1.00260.98569-1.69%0.9435-5.89%0.0283✓1.6931.1M2022-01-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.