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2021-12-31 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0534
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.93%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.4%
in alpha space · 43.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.29%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.621.63+0.62%1.6281+0.50%0.0294✗0.874.6M2022-01-01
ETHEthereumEthereum3,675.803,690.47+0.40%3,765.72+2.45%0.0129✗1.02716.9M2022-01-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6341.64+0.36%1.748+6.98%0.0207✓1.337.6M2022-01-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.60644.6227+0.35%4.7558+3.24%0.0136✗1.305.0M2022-01-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.3983+0.35%2.53+5.86%0.0208✓1.014.1M2022-01-01
ZECZcashZcash146.46146.9568+0.34%150.36+2.66%0.0187✗1.2811.8M2022-01-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,211.2446,351.51+0.30%47,733.43+3.29%0.0030✓1.00750.8M2022-01-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015790.015835+0.28%0.01654+4.75%0.0023✓1.272.3M2022-01-01
TRXTRONTron0.0754770.075683+0.27%0.076625+1.52%0.0180✗0.94607k2022-01-01
XYMSymbolnative0.19450.195014+0.26%0.2245+15.42%0.1234✓0.54410k2022-01-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.8738.894+0.24%9.193+3.61%0.0125✓0.63338k2022-01-01
GTGateEthereum6.55556.5706+0.23%6.7635+3.17%0.0037✓0.784.0M2022-01-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08230.08248+0.22%0.0839+1.94%0.0168✗1.0520k2022-01-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.5119.5423+0.17%20.75+6.36%0.0191✓1.2669.7M2022-01-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0715.0925+0.15%15.4+2.19%0.0017✗0.681.4M2022-01-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.88625.8949+0.15%6.1094+3.79%0.0012✓1.14649k2022-01-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.196880.197171+0.15%0.20032+1.75%0.0349✗1.568,4562022-01-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.112710.112875+0.15%0.11476+1.82%0.0190✗1.1029k2022-01-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76133.7668+0.15%3.7989+1.00%0.0123✓-0.12409k2022-01-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0218220.021854+0.15%0.022463+2.94%0.0122✗1.232.4M2022-01-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.14643.1508+0.14%3.2078+1.95%0.0212✗1.213.3M2022-01-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64210.643001+0.14%0.6647+3.52%0.0055✗1.1911.8M2022-01-01
XMRMoneroMonero228.93229.248+0.14%250.04+9.22%0.0576✓0.903.0M2022-01-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.4124.443+0.14%24.52+0.45%0.0199✗0.711.5M2022-01-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.213.2143+0.13%3.35+4.36%0.0098✓0.971.1M2022-01-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.087670.087772+0.12%0.093+6.08%0.0109✓1.453.9M2022-01-01
KSMKusamaHydration276.22276.5345+0.11%289.04+4.64%0.0091✓1.081.4M2022-01-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.418.4189+0.11%8.65+2.85%0.0035✓0.731.1M2022-01-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0582.06+0.10%2.133+3.64%0.0015✗1.123.1M2022-01-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.7811.7913+0.10%11.76-0.17%0.0026✓-0.163.4M2022-01-01
ZENHorizenBase60.5760.6262+0.09%63.94+5.56%0.0074✓1.411.0M2022-01-01
SOLSolanaSolana169.88170.014+0.08%179.21+5.49%0.0217✓0.96236.5M2022-01-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.067.0649+0.07%7.24+2.55%0.0039✓0.631.1M2022-01-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.02121.1026+0.07%123.03+1.66%0.0148✗0.943.7M2022-01-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.431.4208+0.07%32.46+3.38%0.0118✓0.64503k2022-01-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19840.19853+0.07%0.2061+3.88%0.0090✓0.88622k2022-01-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.932.9317+0.06%3.1+5.80%0.0140✓1.293.2M2022-01-01
CBKCobakEthereum2.8822.8836+0.05%2.914+1.11%0.0176✗0.8753k2022-01-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.4224.4316+0.05%25.61+4.87%0.0016✓1.4024.2M2022-01-01
XTZTezosTezos4.34044.3423+0.04%4.7494+9.42%0.0474✓1.304.9M2022-01-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.74254.7445+0.04%4.5517-4.02%0.0630✗0.6622k2022-01-01
BANDBandEthereum5.015.0121+0.04%5.18+3.39%0.0049✗1.172.4M2022-01-01
STORJStorjEthereum1.74281.7435+0.04%1.835+5.29%0.0253✓0.80889k2022-01-01
XEMNEMnative0.12270.122748+0.04%0.126+2.69%0.0083✗1.06153k2022-01-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0235.0244+0.03%5.211+3.74%0.0177✓0.58773k2022-01-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.085130.085154+0.03%0.08625+1.32%0.0268✗1.2221.7M2022-01-01
QNTQuantEthereum179.22179.2666+0.03%179.87+0.36%0.0273✗0.959.4M2022-01-01
QTUMQtumQtum8.7368.7381+0.02%8.9613+2.58%0.0190✗1.36280k2022-01-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.20391.2042+0.02%1.2582+4.51%0.0125✗1.741.4M2022-01-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41390.413998+0.02%0.4264+3.02%0.0160✗1.40722k2022-01-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1702220.170258+0.02%0.173118+1.70%0.0189✗1.105.5M2022-01-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.88.8018+0.02%8.94+1.59%0.0038✗0.60999k2022-01-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0184.0185+0.01%4.221+5.05%0.0281✓0.65502k2022-01-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.0634.0629+0.01%34.87+2.38%0.0091✗1.004.7M2022-01-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019080.019081+0.00%0.0202+5.87%0.0391✓0.5542k2022-01-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.048280.04828-0.00%0.04964+2.82%0.0011✓0.898.6M2022-01-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36550.36548-0.01%0.3775+3.28%0.0091✓1.284.2M2022-01-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.18.0995-0.01%8.39+3.58%0.0044✓1.22391k2022-01-01
ADACardanoCardano1.30821.308-0.01%1.3797+5.47%0.0193✗1.05106.2M2022-01-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033420.000033412-0.02%0.00003416+2.21%0.0188✓1.262.0M2022-01-01
COMPCompoundEthereum199.58199.5195-0.03%210.69+5.57%0.0183✗1.12210k2022-01-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.9238.906-0.04%40.17+3.21%0.0270✓1.826.6M2022-01-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.15146.0953-0.04%150.83+3.20%0.0114✓1.3446.1M2022-01-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche109.4109.3568-0.04%114.26+4.44%0.0099✗1.05127.7M2022-01-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0338250.033808-0.05%0.033863+0.11%0.0323✓1.058.5M2022-01-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2591.2582-0.06%1.276+1.35%0.0161✓0.932.7M2022-01-01
NANOnanopayBase3.40153.3991-0.07%3.58+5.25%0.0181✗1.04798k2022-01-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.2434.2136-0.08%35.88+4.79%0.0144✗1.0223.7M2022-01-01
DASHDashDash133.78133.6761-0.08%138.03+3.18%0.0081✓1.242.1M2022-01-01
XVSVenusEthereum15.1415.1279-0.08%16.08+6.21%0.0245✗1.134.3M2022-01-01
DODODODOEthereum0.8430.842321-0.08%0.875+3.80%0.0086✓1.448.5M2022-01-01
FTTFTXEthereum38.2538.2171-0.09%40.2+5.10%0.0182✗1.0020.7M2022-01-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70780.707188-0.09%0.7302+3.16%0.0084✓1.256.1M2022-01-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.485.4752-0.09%5.98+9.12%0.0515✗1.134.3M2022-01-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,060.2046,016.42-0.10%47,429.60+2.97%0.0013✓0.979,2042022-01-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27961.2784-0.10%1.3805+7.89%0.0423✗1.06987k2022-01-01
UMAUMAEthereum9.119.0997-0.11%9.33+2.41%0.0114✓1.124.1M2022-01-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053310.053247-0.12%0.05488+2.95%0.0039✓1.0515k2022-01-01
XLMStellarStellar0.2664780.266126-0.13%0.276802+3.87%0.0066✗1.0127.7M2022-01-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09710.096972-0.13%0.1001+3.09%0.0132✓1.391.8M2022-01-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5084.5017-0.14%5.069+12.44%0.0962✗0.691.0M2022-01-01
KCSKuCoinnative21.37621.3449-0.15%22.386+4.72%0.0050✓1.6216.6M2022-01-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5421.5396-0.15%1.651+7.07%0.0287✗1.273.6M2022-01-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4260.42528-0.17%0.43+0.94%0.0125✓0.7346k2022-01-01
LRCLoopringEthereum2.09082.0873-0.17%2.08-0.52%0.0650✓1.901.5M2022-01-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.17520.174903-0.17%0.1885+7.59%0.0373✗1.162.8M2022-01-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8026110.801173-0.18%0.875736+9.11%0.0546✗1.062.8M2022-01-01
UNIUniswapEthereum16.9816.9492-0.18%17.47+2.89%0.0109✓1.2715.5M2022-01-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.6726.6193-0.19%28.61+7.27%0.0315✗1.2575.1M2022-01-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1110.089-0.21%10.37+2.57%0.0032✗0.751.3M2022-01-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.621.6165-0.21%1.7+4.94%0.0044✓1.691.1M2022-01-01
SCSiacoinnative0.015180.015148-0.21%0.01554+2.37%0.0052✓0.95868k2022-01-01
XECeCashnative0.000108190.000107958-0.21%0.00011077+2.38%0.0063✓0.998.0M2022-01-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4963.4881-0.23%3.609+3.23%0.0178✓1.602.5M2022-01-01
LSKLiskEthereum2.3972.3916-0.23%2.3965-0.02%0.0323✓1.06128k2022-01-01
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.5313-0.25%3.73+5.37%0.0211✗1.04723k2022-01-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.0632.9757-0.25%35.27+6.68%0.0199✗1.461.3M2022-01-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.1271-0.26%1.17+3.54%0.0050✗1.002.2M2022-01-01
HIVEHivenative1.48961.4857-0.26%1.5238+2.30%0.0192✓1.375.8M2022-01-01
AAVEAaveEthereum253.92253.2259-0.27%266.48+4.95%0.0158✗1.0911.5M2022-01-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.10090.100619-0.28%0.10295+2.03%0.0018✓0.6564k2022-01-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.15428.9537-0.28%445.07+3.47%0.0048✗0.999.8M2022-01-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20230.201697-0.30%0.2128+5.19%0.0148✗1.205.4M2022-01-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07630.076069-0.30%0.0797+4.46%0.0017✓1.391.7M2022-01-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.28330.282415-0.31%0.2952+4.20%0.0025✓1.295.5M2022-01-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5742.5659-0.32%2.681+4.16%0.0112✗1.012.1M2022-01-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.90880.905734-0.34%0.9793+7.76%0.0457✗1.00146k2022-01-01
XVGVergenative0.017030.01697-0.35%0.01775+4.23%0.0064✗1.192.4M2022-01-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.56661.561-0.36%1.5787+0.77%0.0201✓0.974.3M2022-01-01
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26773.2559-0.36%3.3501+2.52%0.0022✓0.956.9M2022-01-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.32790.326721-0.36%0.3671+11.95%0.0859✗0.94293k2022-01-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.344.3238-0.37%4.37+0.69%0.0218✓1.003.4M2022-01-01
IMXImmutableEthereum4.914.8911-0.39%4.83-1.63%0.0450✓1.003.0M2022-01-01
API3Api3Ethereum4.224.2033-0.40%4.36+3.32%0.0042✗1.001.1M2022-01-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum93.2192.8285-0.41%94.1+0.95%0.0181✓0.987.0M2022-01-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.35470.353232-0.41%0.3879+9.36%0.0481✗1.404.3M2022-01-01
MOVRMoonriverBase181.8528181.0478-0.44%189.4715+4.19%0.0128✗1.01622k2022-01-01
LUNATerraTerra 285.5685.1145-0.52%91.66+7.13%0.0417✗1.006.3M2022-01-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12830.127625-0.53%0.1339+4.36%0.0133✗1.07324k2022-01-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0635290.063155-0.59%0.064208+1.07%0.0278✓1.377.9M2022-01-01
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.7835-0.61%11+1.38%0.0079✓0.861.2M2022-01-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68640.68202-0.64%0.715+4.17%0.0044✓1.323.1M2022-01-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.65891.648-0.65%1.7433+5.09%0.0213✗1.0831.7M2022-01-01
GITCOINGITCOIN12.73412.6501-0.66%13.69+7.51%0.0810✗-0.06111k2022-01-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.36581.3563-0.70%1.411+3.31%0.0099✗0.9123.6M2022-01-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,038.2832,796.91-0.73%36,545.69+10.62%0.0894✗0.5813.3M2022-01-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6120.607266-0.77%0.633+3.43%0.0010✓1.252.5M2022-01-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.4332.166-0.81%36.33+12.03%0.0931✗0.8842.6M2022-01-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.325.273-0.88%6.21+16.73%0.1217✗1.2928.7M2022-01-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum39.6939.3369-0.89%41.07+3.48%0.0109✓1.672.9M2022-01-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2212.1076-0.92%13.2+8.02%0.0683✗0.561.3M2022-01-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.554.5048-0.99%4.49-1.32%0.0469✓1.3412.3M2022-01-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023460.023225-1.00%0.02333-0.55%0.0279✓1.0033.0M2022-01-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.22821.2158-1.01%1.2912+5.13%0.0149✗1.402.1M2022-01-01
SUSHISushiEthereum9.429.3246-1.01%9.14-2.97%0.0630✓1.3317.1M2022-01-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.93560.925557-1.07%1.0026+7.16%0.0257✗1.6730.1M2022-01-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.712.5092-1.50%13.58+6.93%0.0822✗-0.004.2M2022-01-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.