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2021-12-30 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2380
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.51%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
83.2%
in alpha space · 97.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.95%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0778530.077756-0.12%0.060341-22.49%0.0543✓0.95607k2022-01-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash431.58427.3487-0.98%299.03-30.71%0.1441✓1.019.8M2022-01-29
XVSVenusEthereum15.3715.2089-1.05%8.22-46.52%0.3751✓1.144.7M2022-01-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0221420.021857-1.29%0.014518-34.43%0.1540✓1.212.4M2022-01-29
XYMSymbolnative0.1880.18505-1.57%0.1739-7.50%0.0509✗0.54393k2022-01-29
ETHEthereumEthereum3,710.023,647.29-1.69%2,603.74-29.82%0.1168✓1.05752.6M2022-01-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5331.5065-1.73%0.924-39.73%0.2188✓1.293.8M2022-01-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.6974.6152-1.74%3.258-30.64%0.2011✓0.701.0M2022-01-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.80783.7377-1.84%3.4878-8.40%0.0948✓-0.12409k2022-01-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0483.972-1.88%3.009-25.67%0.1408✓0.65514k2022-01-29
NANOnanopayBase3.48683.4194-1.93%2.3362-33.00%0.1580✓1.06819k2022-01-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.273.2039-2.02%2.42-25.99%0.0705✓1.001.1M2022-01-29
SOLSolanaSolana172.52168.8467-2.13%96.25-44.21%0.3405✓1.05248.9M2022-01-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.088510.086584-2.18%0.06396-27.74%0.0026✓1.454.0M2022-01-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08280.080891-2.31%0.0653-21.14%0.0142✓1.0918k2022-01-29
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6241.5865-2.31%1.364-16.01%0.1332✗1.357.9M2022-01-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.136.9613-2.37%5.16-27.63%0.1652✓0.641.1M2022-01-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin147.94144.4239-2.38%110.84-25.08%0.0209✓1.3649.4M2022-01-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7954090.776454-2.38%0.565434-28.91%0.0827✓1.122.8M2022-01-29
COMPCompoundEthereum199.64194.7932-2.43%123.06-38.36%0.2163✓1.16220k2022-01-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.878.6486-2.50%5.93-33.15%0.2492✓0.611.0M2022-01-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.7824.1601-2.50%20.18-18.56%0.1213✗1.4324.1M2022-01-29
GTGateEthereum6.81526.6441-2.51%6.7736-0.61%0.1940✗0.834.0M2022-01-29
XTZTezosTezos4.34074.231-2.53%3.0915-28.78%0.0350✓1.334.9M2022-01-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.9419.4335-2.54%16.24-18.56%0.1021✗1.3469.7M2022-01-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64660.629949-2.58%0.4104-36.53%0.1547✓1.3011.8M2022-01-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0794.9479-2.58%4.042-20.42%0.0771✓0.60798k2022-01-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.5733.6597-2.63%25.34-26.70%0.0638✓1.054.7M2022-01-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05490.05343-2.68%0.04089-25.52%0.0350✓1.1115k2022-01-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,186.0045,890.84-2.74%38,181.60-19.08%0.0213✓0.989,2042022-01-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.728.4773-2.78%6.08-30.28%0.1728✓0.761.1M2022-01-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.462.3911-2.80%1.72-30.08%0.1087✓1.054.2M2022-01-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111260.108115-2.83%0.08979-19.30%0.0506✗1.1229k2022-01-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.3299.0648-2.83%6.001-35.67%0.2884✓0.59368k2022-01-29
AAVEAaveEthereum262.93255.4146-2.86%154.04-41.41%0.2686✓1.1311.4M2022-01-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.17713.085-2.90%2.9824-6.13%0.2216✗1.223.3M2022-01-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,122.0845,736.94-2.94%38,191.10-18.95%0.0298✗1.00750.8M2022-01-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.555.3855-2.96%5.4-2.70%0.2445✗1.154.3M2022-01-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV122.49118.8473-2.97%92.7-24.32%0.0459✓0.963.7M2022-01-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2671.2277-3.11%0.731-42.30%0.3185✓0.952.8M2022-01-29
KSMKusamaHydration280.04270.8247-3.29%171.16-38.88%0.2245✓1.121.5M2022-01-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.9633.8018-3.31%20.29-41.96%0.2931✓1.0323.3M2022-01-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.70814.5434-3.50%3.1573-32.94%0.0908✓1.305.0M2022-01-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.5326.5601-3.52%18.75-31.89%0.0786✓1.2875.5M2022-01-29
DASHDashDash133.04128.2082-3.63%96.55-27.43%0.0142✓1.282.0M2022-01-29
UNIUniswapEthereum17.8117.1613-3.64%11.16-37.34%0.1582✓1.2915.5M2022-01-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.0888-3.65%0.66-41.59%0.2904✓1.002.3M2022-01-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09810.094474-3.70%0.0636-35.17%0.1057✓1.381.9M2022-01-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0631.9861-3.73%1.493-27.63%0.0464✓1.143.2M2022-01-29
QNTQuantEthereum178.71172.033-3.74%97.51-45.44%0.3629✓0.979.8M2022-01-29
DODODODOEthereum0.8630.830686-3.74%0.508-41.14%0.1799✓1.488.7M2022-01-29
XECeCashnative0.000109590.0001054-3.82%0.00007692-29.81%0.1053✓1.009.0M2022-01-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1711830.164625-3.83%0.143169-16.36%0.0946✗1.115.5M2022-01-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.32221.2715-3.83%1.7284+30.72%0.5339✗1.081.0M2022-01-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.9932.6787-3.86%20.73-39.01%0.1329✓1.531.3M2022-01-29
LSKLiskEthereum2.44172.3475-3.86%1.6081-34.14%0.1379✓1.14147k2022-01-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20070.192943-3.87%0.1205-39.96%0.2816✓0.90655k2022-01-29
KCSKuCoinnative21.04820.228-3.90%17.542-16.66%0.2048✗1.6517.5M2022-01-29
XMRMoneroMonero225.01216.0357-3.99%153.67-31.71%0.1349✓0.982.9M2022-01-29
QTUMQtumQtum8.83848.4843-4.01%5.9616-32.55%0.0510✓1.44280k2022-01-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.079110.075921-4.03%0.05052-36.14%0.1432✓1.2621.7M2022-01-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0617870.059285-4.05%0.039999-35.26%0.0947✓1.427.9M2022-01-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.0630.7512-4.08%26.24-18.15%0.0181✓0.67518k2022-01-29
ADACardanoCardano1.35851.3027-4.10%1.0603-21.95%0.0210✓1.08114.6M2022-01-29
BANDBandEthereum5.134.9149-4.19%3.51-31.58%0.0824✓1.212.4M2022-01-29
XLMStellarStellar0.2680.25676-4.19%0.203491-24.07%0.0173✓1.0229.6M2022-01-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.4514.8008-4.20%13.15-14.89%0.0255✓0.681.4M2022-01-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.092.96-4.21%1.92-37.86%0.1592✓1.303.2M2022-01-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.016530.015825-4.27%0.0104-37.08%0.1472✓1.302.4M2022-01-29
MOVRMoonriverBase185.6988177.7655-4.27%79.3124-57.29%0.5631✓1.16648k2022-01-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100850.096518-4.30%0.0727-27.91%0.1474✓0.6574k2022-01-29
XEMNEMnative0.12550.120082-4.32%0.1047-16.57%0.0954✗1.11158k2022-01-29
FTTFTXEthereum38.8937.1963-4.36%41.73+7.30%0.3361✗1.0520.7M2022-01-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum95.0390.8569-4.39%49.58-47.83%0.4010✓0.977.4M2022-01-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.2080.19883-4.41%0.121-41.83%0.2376✓1.235.7M2022-01-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.048920.046724-4.49%0.03035-37.96%0.2394✓0.919.1M2022-01-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.119.6537-4.51%9.17-9.30%0.1067✗0.751.4M2022-01-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4030.384504-4.59%0.251-37.72%0.2682✓0.7545k2022-01-29
CBKCobakEthereum2.912.7733-4.70%2.245-22.85%0.0267✓0.8865k2022-01-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.691.6099-4.74%0.85-49.70%0.2768✓1.721.2M2022-01-29
SCSiacoinnative0.015310.014565-4.87%0.01015-33.70%0.1589✓0.96910k2022-01-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72830.692859-4.87%0.5251-27.90%0.0099✓1.276.2M2022-01-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.1928.6975-4.94%29.1-3.61%0.2043✗0.9141.9M2022-01-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.42661.3551-5.01%0.8302-41.81%0.2938✓0.9323.6M2022-01-29
IMXImmutableEthereum5.144.882-5.02%2.83-44.94%0.3351✓1.002.8M2022-01-29
MINAMina Protocolnative3.593.409-5.04%2.31-35.65%0.1644✓1.07787k2022-01-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.06545.7527-5.16%4.851-20.02%0.0825✗1.20653k2022-01-29
ZECZcashZcash153.9145.9547-5.16%96.39-37.37%0.1296✓1.3611.8M2022-01-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.37130.352095-5.17%0.31-16.51%0.1821✗1.474.4M2022-01-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.18560.175963-5.19%0.11-40.73%0.2275✓1.152.9M2022-01-29
RADRadworksEthereum10.8310.2563-5.30%5.34-50.69%0.4727✓0.861.3M2022-01-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13170.124601-5.39%0.0817-37.97%0.1972✓1.07344k2022-01-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019450.018387-5.47%0.01347-30.75%0.1797✓0.6343k2022-01-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.0122.6907-5.49%14.12-41.19%0.2522✓1.061.5M2022-01-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.69111.5979-5.51%0.4988-70.50%0.9928✓0.824.7M2022-01-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07870.074352-5.52%0.0362-54.00%0.4282✓1.391.7M2022-01-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.3027.8388-5.58%6.128-26.19%0.0198✓1.27392k2022-01-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.370.349156-5.63%0.2425-34.46%0.0951✓1.284.3M2022-01-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033760.000031849-5.66%0.00002166-35.84%0.1185✓1.272.1M2022-01-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.114.7981-6.10%2.99-41.49%0.1936✓1.3328.7M2022-01-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum30,177.9028,324.31-6.14%24,297.65-19.49%0.0294✓0.5910.4M2022-01-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.2031.1284-6.20%0.5968-50.39%0.3411✓1.412.3M2022-01-29
LUNATerraTerra 284.8479.4824-6.31%50.93-39.97%0.2349✓1.005.3M2022-01-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.19471.1186-6.37%0.84787-29.03%0.0988✗1.791.4M2022-01-29
XVGVergenative0.017110.016016-6.39%0.01002-41.44%0.2176✓1.202.5M2022-01-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.0411.2351-6.69%6.65-44.77%0.5619✓-0.183.7M2022-01-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.69560.648784-6.73%0.4637-33.34%0.0566✓1.333.2M2022-01-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41890.390485-6.78%0.5693+35.90%0.6736✗1.41793k2022-01-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.33490.31216-6.79%0.2671-20.24%0.0424✓0.94293k2022-01-29
GITCOINGITCOIN12.77511.8766-7.03%7.324-42.67%0.5057✓-0.11119k2022-01-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.28960.268641-7.24%0.1844-36.33%0.1013✓1.315.6M2022-01-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche101.7394.3196-7.28%71.95-29.27%0.0340✓1.13127.7M2022-01-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6432.4493-7.33%1.758-33.48%0.1169✓1.022.2M2022-01-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.72991.6018-7.41%0.9693-43.97%0.2678✓1.1231.7M2022-01-29
UMAUMAEthereum9.328.607-7.65%6.08-34.76%0.1117✓1.124.1M2022-01-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.574.2129-7.81%3.0631-32.97%0.1634✓0.7425k2022-01-29
SUSHISushiEthereum10.259.4444-7.86%4.19-59.12%0.5339✓1.3316.5M2022-01-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.91990.846766-7.95%0.9037-1.76%0.2752✗1.00146k2022-01-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum39.0635.8904-8.11%20.07-48.62%0.1975✓1.836.8M2022-01-29
STORJStorjEthereum1.7551.6122-8.13%1.154-34.24%0.1681✓0.79946k2022-01-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.333.9698-8.32%2.34-45.96%0.3184✓1.003.6M2022-01-29
API3Api3Ethereum4.424.0442-8.50%3.69-16.52%0.1185✗1.001.2M2022-01-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5793.2745-8.51%2.667-25.48%0.0049✓1.002.7M2022-01-29
ZENHorizenBase61.5856.2402-8.67%41.64-32.38%0.0169✓1.511.0M2022-01-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum40.3236.7421-8.87%27.09-32.81%0.0471✓1.673.0M2022-01-29
LRCLoopringEthereum1.99751.8154-9.12%0.9684-51.52%0.2222✓1.931.5M2022-01-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021660.019668-9.20%0.00723-66.62%0.7906✓1.0034.3M2022-01-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0337990.030566-9.57%0.022029-34.82%0.1077✓1.058.9M2022-01-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.724.2572-9.80%2.36-50.00%0.3798✓1.0015.2M2022-01-29
UOSUltraEthereum1.48451.333-10.21%1.0479-29.41%0.0349✓0.984.8M2022-01-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.9810.75-10.27%6.1-49.08%0.4469✓0.571.4M2022-01-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.94030.840361-10.63%0.6022-35.96%0.0229✓1.6929.3M2022-01-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6340.565921-10.74%0.333-47.48%0.2637✓1.272.8M2022-01-29
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28792.9157-11.32%2.372-27.86%0.0076✓0.957.1M2022-01-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.20.176707-11.65%0.18677-6.62%0.3898✗1.599,2352022-01-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.9311.3481-12.23%7.35-43.16%0.4444✓-0.054.6M2022-01-29
HIVEHivenative1.51791.3261-12.64%0.952-37.28%0.0380✓1.406.4M2022-01-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.