8=======>

2021-12-30 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0198
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.41%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
35.8%
in alpha space · 78.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.93%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.94030.922035-1.94%0.9356-0.50%0.0477✗1.6929.3M2021-12-31
SUSHISushiEthereum10.2510.1136-1.33%9.42-8.10%0.0452✓1.3316.5M2021-12-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.9312.7915-1.07%12.7-1.78%0.0081✓-0.054.6M2021-12-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.724.67-1.06%4.55-3.60%0.0065✓1.0015.2M2021-12-31
HIVEHivenative1.51791.5028-0.99%1.4896-1.86%0.0184✗1.406.4M2021-12-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum40.3239.9373-0.95%39.69-1.56%0.0265✗1.673.0M2021-12-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6340.628097-0.93%0.612-3.47%0.0012✓1.272.8M2021-12-31
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28793.2573-0.93%3.2677-0.62%0.0216✗0.957.1M2021-12-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.9811.8718-0.90%12.22+2.00%0.0400✗0.571.4M2021-12-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.72991.715-0.86%1.6589-4.10%0.0115✓1.1231.7M2021-12-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6432.6215-0.81%2.574-2.61%0.0016✓1.022.2M2021-12-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0337990.033526-0.81%0.033825+0.08%0.0293✗1.058.9M2021-12-31
ZECZcashZcash153.9152.7324-0.76%146.46-4.83%0.0154✓1.3611.8M2021-12-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021660.021498-0.75%0.02346+8.31%0.1069✗1.0034.3M2021-12-31
UOSUltraEthereum1.48451.4741-0.70%1.5666+5.53%0.0800✗0.984.8M2021-12-31
GITCOINGITCOIN12.77512.6896-0.67%12.734-0.32%0.0014✓-0.11119k2021-12-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.42661.4171-0.66%1.3658-4.26%0.0187✓0.9323.6M2021-12-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.6974.6666-0.65%4.508-4.02%0.0209✓0.701.0M2021-12-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07870.078205-0.63%0.0763-3.05%0.0024✓1.391.7M2021-12-31
LRCLoopringEthereum1.99751.9851-0.62%2.0908+4.67%0.0896✗1.931.5M2021-12-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.69560.691305-0.62%0.6864-1.32%0.0188✗1.333.2M2021-12-31
STORJStorjEthereum1.7551.7442-0.61%1.7428-0.69%0.0146✗0.79946k2021-12-31
API3Api3Ethereum4.424.3932-0.61%4.22-4.52%0.0207✓1.001.2M2021-12-31
XVGVergenative0.017110.017009-0.59%0.01703-0.47%0.0246✗1.202.5M2021-12-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.115.0802-0.58%5.32+4.11%0.0721✗1.3328.7M2021-12-31
UMAUMAEthereum9.329.2659-0.58%9.11-2.25%0.0049✓1.124.1M2021-12-31
MINAMina Protocolnative3.593.5692-0.58%3.54-1.39%0.0127✗1.07787k2021-12-31
RADRadworksEthereum10.8310.7673-0.58%10.85+0.18%0.0244✗0.861.3M2021-12-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.33490.332965-0.58%0.3279-2.09%0.0031✓0.94293k2021-12-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0617870.061431-0.58%0.063529+2.82%0.0613✗1.427.9M2021-12-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.28960.287936-0.57%0.2833-2.18%0.0093✗1.315.6M2021-12-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.1930.0166-0.57%32.43+7.42%0.0950✗0.9141.9M2021-12-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.0411.971-0.57%11.78-2.16%0.0196✓-0.183.7M2021-12-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5793.5588-0.57%3.496-2.32%0.0017✓1.002.7M2021-12-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.19471.188-0.56%1.2039+0.77%0.0482✗1.791.4M2021-12-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72830.72429-0.55%0.7078-2.81%0.0018✓1.276.2M2021-12-31
ZENHorizenBase61.5861.2412-0.55%60.57-1.64%0.0185✗1.511.0M2021-12-31
IMXImmutableEthereum5.145.1117-0.55%4.91-4.47%0.0207✓1.002.8M2021-12-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.574.5449-0.55%4.7425+3.77%0.0570✗0.7425k2021-12-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13170.131025-0.51%0.1283-2.58%0.0001✓1.07344k2021-12-31
XMRMoneroMonero225.01223.8632-0.51%228.93+1.74%0.0415✗0.982.9M2021-12-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.20.198985-0.51%0.19688-1.56%0.0204✗1.599,2352021-12-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.370.368123-0.51%0.3655-1.22%0.0179✗1.284.3M2021-12-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.2031.1969-0.51%1.2282+2.09%0.0533✗1.412.3M2021-12-31
LUNATerraTerra 284.8484.4183-0.50%85.56+0.85%0.0330✗1.005.3M2021-12-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche101.73101.2271-0.49%109.4+7.54%0.0996✗1.13127.7M2021-12-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019450.019356-0.49%0.01908-1.90%0.0021✓0.6343k2021-12-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum39.0638.872-0.48%38.92-0.36%0.0369✗1.836.8M2021-12-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.691.6819-0.48%1.62-4.14%0.0039✓1.721.2M2021-12-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4030.4011-0.47%0.426+5.71%0.0749✗0.7545k2021-12-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100850.10038-0.47%0.1009+0.05%0.0178✗0.6574k2021-12-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.69111.6833-0.46%1.62-4.20%0.0224✓0.824.7M2021-12-31
SCSiacoinnative0.015310.01524-0.46%0.01518-0.85%0.0148✗0.96910k2021-12-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0484.0296-0.46%4.018-0.74%0.0098✗0.65514k2021-12-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.91990.915718-0.45%0.9088-1.21%0.0119✗1.00146k2021-12-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.093.076-0.45%2.93-5.18%0.0232✓1.303.2M2021-12-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.3028.2648-0.45%8.1-2.43%0.0046✗1.27392k2021-12-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033760.00003361-0.44%0.00003342-1.01%0.0191✗1.272.1M2021-12-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.0123.9054-0.44%24.41+1.67%0.0415✗1.061.5M2021-12-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.048920.048714-0.42%0.04828-1.31%0.0089✗0.919.1M2021-12-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.06546.0403-0.41%5.8862-2.95%0.0023✓1.20653k2021-12-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum30,177.9030,053.77-0.41%33,038.28+9.48%0.1062✗0.5910.4M2021-12-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.334.3128-0.40%4.34+0.23%0.0258✗1.003.6M2021-12-31
MOVRMoonriverBase185.6988184.963-0.40%181.8528-2.07%0.0057✗1.16648k2021-12-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.016530.016465-0.40%0.01579-4.48%0.0165✓1.302.4M2021-12-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.0631.9335-0.39%31.4-2.06%0.0038✓0.67518k2021-12-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1711830.170509-0.39%0.170222-0.56%0.0201✗1.115.5M2021-12-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.079110.078799-0.39%0.08513+7.61%0.1018✗1.2621.7M2021-12-31
KCSKuCoinnative21.04820.966-0.39%21.376+1.56%0.0516✗1.6517.5M2021-12-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41890.41731-0.38%0.4139-1.19%0.0193✗1.41793k2021-12-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0795.0598-0.38%5.023-1.10%0.0043✗0.60798k2021-12-31
FTTFTXEthereum38.8938.7442-0.37%38.25-1.65%0.0077✗1.0520.7M2021-12-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.728.6876-0.37%8.41-3.56%0.0176✓0.761.1M2021-12-31
LSKLiskEthereum2.44172.4327-0.37%2.397-1.83%0.0076✗1.14147k2021-12-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.2080.20723-0.37%0.2023-2.74%0.0000✓1.235.7M2021-12-31
XLMStellarStellar0.2680.267029-0.36%0.266478-0.57%0.0179✗1.0229.6M2021-12-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1110.0737-0.36%10.11+0.00%0.0183✗0.751.4M2021-12-31
ADACardanoCardano1.35851.3537-0.35%1.3082-3.70%0.0131✓1.08114.6M2021-12-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.37130.37001-0.35%0.3547-4.47%0.0135✓1.474.4M2021-12-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.18560.18496-0.34%0.1752-5.60%0.0317✓1.152.9M2021-12-31
UNIUniswapEthereum17.8117.7492-0.34%16.98-4.66%0.0190✓1.2915.5M2021-12-31
AAVEAaveEthereum262.93262.0338-0.34%253.92-3.43%0.0094✓1.1311.4M2021-12-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09810.097769-0.34%0.0971-1.02%0.0201✗1.381.9M2021-12-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.9933.8765-0.33%33.06-2.74%0.0055✗1.531.3M2021-12-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.088510.088216-0.33%0.08767-0.95%0.0222✗1.454.0M2021-12-31
XEMNEMnative0.12550.125088-0.33%0.1227-2.23%0.0023✓1.11158k2021-12-31
BANDBandEthereum5.135.1134-0.32%5.01-2.34%0.0032✓1.212.4M2021-12-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum95.0394.7279-0.32%93.21-1.92%0.0029✓0.977.4M2021-12-31
DODODODOEthereum0.8630.860274-0.32%0.843-2.32%0.0087✗1.488.7M2021-12-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05490.054727-0.32%0.05331-2.90%0.0046✓1.1115k2021-12-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin147.94147.4743-0.31%146.15-1.21%0.0175✗1.3649.4M2021-12-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.1265-0.31%1.13+0.00%0.0227✗1.002.3M2021-12-31
XECeCashnative0.000109590.000109246-0.31%0.00010819-1.28%0.0098✗1.009.0M2021-12-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.4515.4018-0.31%15.07-2.46%0.0084✓0.681.4M2021-12-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.9634.852-0.31%34.24-2.06%0.0025✓1.0323.3M2021-12-31
KSMKusamaHydration280.04279.1939-0.30%276.22-1.36%0.0111✗1.121.5M2021-12-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64660.644654-0.30%0.6421-0.70%0.0215✗1.3011.8M2021-12-31
XVSVenusEthereum15.3715.3243-0.30%15.14-1.50%0.0102✗1.144.7M2021-12-31
QTUMQtumQtum8.83848.8122-0.30%8.736-1.16%0.0194✗1.44280k2021-12-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.273.2603-0.30%3.21-1.83%0.0040✗1.001.1M2021-12-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.32221.3183-0.30%1.2796-3.22%0.0087✓1.081.0M2021-12-31
QNTQuantEthereum178.71178.2007-0.28%179.22+0.29%0.0247✗0.979.8M2021-12-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,122.0846,988.02-0.28%46,211.24-1.93%0.0028✓1.00750.8M2021-12-31
DASHDashDash133.04132.6653-0.28%133.78+0.56%0.0334✗1.282.0M2021-12-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.3299.3045-0.26%8.873-4.89%0.0360✓0.59368k2021-12-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.5327.4608-0.25%26.67-3.12%0.0042✓1.2875.5M2021-12-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2671.2638-0.25%1.259-0.63%0.0147✗0.952.8M2021-12-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111260.110987-0.25%0.11271+1.30%0.0374✗1.1229k2021-12-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.17713.1694-0.24%3.1464-0.97%0.0164✗1.223.3M2021-12-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.555.5368-0.24%5.48-1.26%0.0121✗1.154.3M2021-12-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.9419.8931-0.24%19.51-2.16%0.0067✗1.3469.7M2021-12-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.878.8493-0.23%8.8-0.79%0.0063✗0.611.0M2021-12-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5331.5294-0.23%1.542+0.59%0.0333✗1.293.8M2021-12-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.70814.6972-0.23%4.6064-2.16%0.0059✗1.305.0M2021-12-31
XYMSymbolnative0.1880.187571-0.23%0.1945+3.46%0.0468✗0.54393k2021-12-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.5734.4914-0.23%34.06-1.48%0.0079✗1.054.7M2021-12-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0221420.022092-0.22%0.021822-1.45%0.0114✗1.212.4M2021-12-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20070.200256-0.22%0.1984-1.15%0.0083✗0.90655k2021-12-31
COMPCompoundEthereum199.64199.2031-0.22%199.58-0.03%0.0245✗1.16220k2021-12-31
GTGateEthereum6.81526.8004-0.22%6.5555-3.81%0.0204✓0.834.0M2021-12-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.137.1151-0.21%7.06-0.98%0.0047✗0.641.1M2021-12-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.462.455-0.20%2.39-2.85%0.0063✓1.054.2M2021-12-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash431.58430.735-0.20%430.15-0.33%0.0184✗1.019.8M2021-12-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.80783.8006-0.19%3.7613-1.22%0.0128✓-0.12409k2021-12-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08280.082646-0.19%0.0823-0.60%0.0170✗1.0918k2021-12-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.7824.7339-0.19%24.42-1.45%0.0152✗1.4324.1M2021-12-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,186.0047,101.08-0.18%46,060.20-2.39%0.0033✓0.989,2042021-12-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0632.0598-0.16%2.058-0.24%0.0213✗1.143.2M2021-12-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV122.49122.3052-0.15%121.02-1.20%0.0082✗0.963.7M2021-12-31
XTZTezosTezos4.34074.3343-0.15%4.3404-0.01%0.0273✗1.334.9M2021-12-31
SOLSolanaSolana172.52172.2852-0.14%169.88-1.53%0.0065✗1.05248.9M2021-12-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7954090.794353-0.13%0.802611+0.91%0.0321✗1.122.8M2021-12-31
NANOnanopayBase3.48683.4824-0.13%3.4015-2.45%0.0028✓1.06819k2021-12-31
CBKCobakEthereum2.912.9065-0.12%2.882-0.96%0.0087✗0.8865k2021-12-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6241.6221-0.12%1.634+0.62%0.0337✗1.357.9M2021-12-31
ETHEthereumEthereum3,710.023,706.22-0.10%3,675.80-0.92%0.0122✗1.05752.6M2021-12-31
TRXTRONTron0.0778530.0778-0.07%0.075477-3.05%0.0118✓0.95607k2021-12-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.