2021-12-27 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2137

137 of 137 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+3.11%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

65.0%

in alpha space · 92.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-6.26%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8843	0.865422	-2.13%	0.7896	-10.71%	0.0217	✗	1.75	23.5M	2021-12-28
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	2.0783	2.0357	-2.05%	1.71	-17.72%	0.1312	✓	0.67	6.3M	2021-12-28
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	5.18	5.0811	-1.91%	4.38	-15.44%	0.0838	✓	1.00	12.4M	2021-12-28
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.7429	3.6785	-1.72%	3.3399	-10.77%	0.0400	✓	0.87	8.0M	2021-12-28
HIVE	Hive	native	1.852	1.8205	-1.70%	1.6115	-12.99%	0.0363	✓	1.32	7.3M	2021-12-28
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.723	0.710742	-1.70%	0.64	-11.48%	0.0249	✓	1.24	2.9M	2021-12-28
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0262	0.025805	-1.51%	0.02187	-16.53%	0.1008	✓	1.00	35.6M	2021-12-28
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	14.16	13.9504	-1.48%	14.64	+3.39%	0.0460	✗	-0.03	4.8M	2021-12-28
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.22849	0.225293	-1.40%	0.2085	-8.75%	0.0269	✗	1.61	18k	2021-12-28
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3372	0.332656	-1.35%	0.3033	-10.05%	0.0096	✓	1.28	5.8M	2021-12-28
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	43.58	43.0002	-1.33%	38.45	-11.77%	0.0016	✓	1.71	3.1M	2021-12-28
XVG	Verge	native	0.01908	0.018837	-1.28%	0.0176	-7.76%	0.0091	✓	1.19	2.8M	2021-12-28
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.7264	1.7055	-1.21%	1.6826	-2.54%	0.0506	✗	0.99	5.4M	2021-12-28
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.037325	0.036877	-1.20%	0.033967	-9.00%	0.0164	✓	1.02	10.0M	2021-12-28
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	9.15	9.0433	-1.17%	9.06	-0.98%	0.0914	✗	1.39	15.8M	2021-12-28
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.312	4.262	-1.16%	3.891	-9.76%	0.0264	✓	1.00	3.3M	2021-12-28
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	12.74	12.5943	-1.14%	11.57	-9.18%	0.0510	✓	0.52	1.5M	2021-12-28
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	10.75	10.6303	-1.11%	9.59	-10.79%	0.0328	✓	1.09	4.1M	2021-12-28
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.8111	0.802077	-1.11%	0.7106	-12.39%	0.0383	✓	1.28	3.6M	2021-12-28
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	2.01	1.9885	-1.07%	1.77	-11.94%	0.0056	✓	1.71	1.5M	2021-12-28
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	3.08	3.0476	-1.05%	2.754	-10.58%	0.0386	✓	0.97	2.2M	2021-12-28
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.466	0.46113	-1.05%	0.423	-9.23%	0.0403	✓	0.71	45k	2021-12-28
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		14.106	13.9662	-0.99%	14.59	+3.43%	0.0376	✗	-0.09	129k	2021-12-28
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1161	0.115009	-0.94%	0.1045	-9.99%	0.0076	✓	1.37	2.5M	2021-12-28
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01713	0.01697	-0.93%	0.01563	-8.76%	0.0220	✓	0.93	1.2M	2021-12-28
ZEN	Horizen	Base	70.72	70.0695	-0.92%	63.32	-10.46%	0.0038	✓	1.51	1.2M	2021-12-28
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	169.76	168.2143	-0.91%	149.45	-11.96%	0.0334	✓	1.31	11.8M	2021-12-28
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7943	0.787074	-0.91%	0.7165	-9.79%	0.0131	✓	1.25	6.8M	2021-12-28
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	10.034	9.9432	-0.90%	10.128	+0.94%	0.1047	✗	1.33	411k	2021-12-28
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.3056	1.2938	-0.90%	1.2569	-3.73%	0.0679	✗	1.50	2.3M	2021-12-28
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.4183	0.414547	-0.90%	0.3842	-8.15%	0.0067	✓	1.28	4.9M	2021-12-28
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	44.44	44.0534	-0.87%	39.7	-10.67%	0.0145	✗	1.83	8.0M	2021-12-28
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.744	4.7037	-0.85%	5.349	+12.75%	0.1825	✗	0.83	719k	2021-12-28
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3756	0.372452	-0.84%	0.342	-8.95%	0.0266	✓	0.91	328k	2021-12-28
API3	Api3	Ethereum	5.13	5.0885	-0.81%	4.56	-11.11%	0.0450	✓	1.00	1.2M	2021-12-28
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.2578	2.2397	-0.80%	2.0752	-8.09%	0.0492	✗	1.94	1.6M	2021-12-28
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.063833	0.063328	-0.79%	0.05923	-7.21%	0.0274	✗	1.46	8.2M	2021-12-28
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.86	3.8296	-0.79%	3.52	-8.81%	0.0181	✓	1.02	787k	2021-12-28
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11486	0.113967	-0.78%	0.10316	-10.19%	0.0628	✓	0.57	113k	2021-12-28
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	211.5789	209.9503	-0.77%	190.178	-10.11%	0.0252	✓	1.14	674k	2021-12-28
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	5.5	5.4598	-0.73%	4.87	-11.45%	0.0497	✓	1.00	2.5M	2021-12-28
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.08443	0.083814	-0.73%	0.07538	-10.72%	0.0286	✓	1.20	21.1M	2021-12-28
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3823	1.3723	-0.72%	1.2203	-11.71%	0.0037	✓	1.76	1.5M	2021-12-28
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.874	6.8245	-0.72%	6.2683	-8.81%	0.0082	✓	1.19	764k	2021-12-28
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	2.0541	2.0393	-0.72%	1.8135	-11.71%	0.0720	✓	0.70	1.2M	2021-12-28
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.361	4.3299	-0.71%	4.564	+4.65%	0.0990	✗	0.72	487k	2021-12-28
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4709	0.467619	-0.70%	0.4301	-8.66%	0.0086	✗	1.43	1.0M	2021-12-28
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.28	5.2437	-0.69%	4.72	-10.61%	0.0211	✓	1.30	26.8M	2021-12-28
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.1	1.0924	-0.69%	1.027	-6.64%	0.0029	✓	1.00	165k	2021-12-28
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003905	0.000038783	-0.68%	0.00003492	-10.58%	0.0403	✓	1.00	2.4M	2021-12-28
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.6631	1.6522	-0.66%	1.4667	-11.81%	0.0496	✓	1.07	31.7M	2021-12-28
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.02154	0.021399	-0.65%	0.01993	-7.47%	0.0331	✓	0.59	46k	2021-12-28
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2396	0.238086	-0.63%	0.2199	-8.22%	0.0004	✓	1.22	6.1M	2021-12-28
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	277.6	275.8862	-0.62%	252.64	-8.99%	0.0187	✓	1.07	11.4M	2021-12-28
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	13.03	12.9515	-0.60%	12.05	-7.52%	0.0903	✓	-0.28	4.5M	2021-12-28
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.3793	1.371	-0.60%	1.4291	+3.61%	0.1091	✗	1.05	23.6M	2021-12-28
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	113.96	113.2872	-0.59%	107.05	-6.06%	0.0163	✗	1.13	127.7M	2021-12-28
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05341	0.053095	-0.59%	0.05063	-5.21%	0.0118	✗	0.92	10.6M	2021-12-28
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	1.017	1.0111	-0.58%	0.911	-10.42%	0.0091	✓	1.47	9.2M	2021-12-28
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	39.59	39.3673	-0.56%	35.02	-11.54%	0.0196	✓	1.51	1.3M	2021-12-28
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.16	11.0973	-0.56%	10.76	-3.58%	0.0191	✗	0.77	1.4M	2021-12-28
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.39	3.371	-0.56%	3.03	-10.62%	0.0236	✓	1.28	3.0M	2021-12-28
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1453	0.144494	-0.56%	0.1358	-6.54%	0.0064	✗	1.06	376k	2021-12-28
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	91.01	90.5057	-0.55%	85.17	-6.42%	0.0039	✓	1.00	6.1M	2021-12-28
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.21	0.208847	-0.55%	0.1923	-8.43%	0.0089	✓	1.14	3.8M	2021-12-28
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.06	5.0322	-0.55%	4.5	-11.07%	0.0471	✓	1.00	4.9M	2021-12-28
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.09	11.0294	-0.55%	11.66	+5.14%	0.1167	✗	0.95	1.3M	2021-12-28
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01876	0.018661	-0.53%	0.01651	-11.99%	0.0419	✓	1.25	2.8M	2021-12-28
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.68	29.5239	-0.53%	26.57	-10.48%	0.0497	✓	0.86	40.2M	2021-12-28
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2391	0.237856	-0.52%	0.2158	-9.74%	0.0670	✓	0.47	392k	2021-12-28
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	6.44	6.4067	-0.52%	5.85	-9.16%	0.0186	✓	1.12	5.1M	2021-12-28
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	26.71	26.5725	-0.51%	25.42	-4.83%	0.0251	✗	1.07	1.6M	2021-12-28
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.4014	0.399392	-0.50%	0.3781	-5.80%	0.0434	✗	1.52	4.7M	2021-12-28
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,759.20	31,601.89	-0.50%	28,691.22	-9.66%	0.0628	✓	0.52	8.7M	2021-12-28
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.5164	1.5089	-0.49%	1.3998	-7.69%	0.0063	✓	1.06	120.2M	2021-12-28
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	19.11	19.0157	-0.49%	18.4	-3.72%	0.0524	✗	1.32	14.6M	2021-12-28
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.300288	0.298811	-0.49%	0.274101	-8.72%	0.0215	✓	1.00	33.6M	2021-12-28
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.187814	0.186908	-0.48%	0.173745	-7.49%	0.0015	✓	1.11	5.5M	2021-12-28
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.32	1.3136	-0.48%	1.18	-10.61%	0.0427	✓	1.00	2.4M	2021-12-28
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.7375	0.734001	-0.47%	0.6659	-9.71%	0.0147	✓	1.28	12.5M	2021-12-28
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.976	22.8685	-0.47%	21.506	-6.40%	0.0471	✗	1.68	18.6M	2021-12-28
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.9574	4.9343	-0.47%	4.8047	-3.08%	0.0213	✗	0.74	27k	2021-12-28
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	322.27	320.7671	-0.47%	294.8	-8.52%	0.0131	✓	1.10	1.5M	2021-12-28
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	206.05	205.094	-0.46%	188.78	-8.38%	0.0222	✓	0.94	11.9M	2021-12-28
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.6	42.4026	-0.46%	40.01	-6.08%	0.0102	✗	1.06	20.7M	2021-12-28
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.5	5.4746	-0.46%	5.695	+3.55%	0.0813	✗	0.65	798k	2021-12-28
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	155.78	155.0743	-0.45%	145.67	-6.49%	0.0270	✗	1.39	54.4M	2021-12-28
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.87	5.8436	-0.45%	5.34	-9.03%	0.0130	✓	1.19	2.6M	2021-12-28
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.6103	3.5942	-0.45%	3.3661	-6.76%	0.0155	✗	1.25	3.1M	2021-12-28
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	107.04	106.567	-0.44%	99.74	-6.82%	0.0045	✓	0.96	7.6M	2021-12-28
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0741	0.073775	-0.44%	0.0659	-11.07%	0.0287	✓	1.30	2.1M	2021-12-28
XEM	NEM	native	0.1391	0.138495	-0.43%	0.1284	-7.69%	0.0047	✓	1.10	175k	2021-12-28
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.09816	0.097737	-0.43%	0.08977	-8.55%	0.0095	✗	1.46	4.8M	2021-12-28
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.9988	9.9562	-0.43%	9.0923	-9.07%	0.0022	✓	1.44	299k	2021-12-28
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.81	16.7387	-0.42%	16.17	-3.81%	0.0099	✗	0.69	1.4M	2021-12-28
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	9.33	9.2907	-0.42%	9.08	-2.68%	0.0271	✗	0.77	1.1M	2021-12-28
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	23.02	22.9254	-0.41%	20.36	-11.56%	0.0341	✓	1.31	69.7M	2021-12-28
DASH	Dash	Dash	151.04	150.4194	-0.41%	134.75	-10.79%	0.0283	✓	1.26	2.0M	2021-12-28
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.9652	3.9489	-0.41%	3.7465	-5.51%	0.0161	✗	1.06	798k	2021-12-28
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	30.97	30.8441	-0.41%	27.84	-10.11%	0.0211	✓	1.26	77.1M	2021-12-28
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	237.34	236.3985	-0.40%	209	-11.94%	0.0520	✓	1.10	239k	2021-12-28
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	34.59	34.4538	-0.39%	33.51	-3.12%	0.0154	✗	0.67	572k	2021-12-28
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	39.2	39.046	-0.39%	36.25	-7.53%	0.0086	✓	1.02	22.1M	2021-12-28
XMR	Monero	Monero	220.72	219.8896	-0.38%	208.62	-5.48%	0.0114	✗	0.99	2.8M	2021-12-28
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.024165	0.024074	-0.38%	0.021978	-9.05%	0.0133	✓	1.20	2.3M	2021-12-28
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.2921	5.2722	-0.38%	5.0292	-4.97%	0.0404	✗	1.36	5.2M	2021-12-28
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011859	0.000118159	-0.36%	0.00010951	-7.66%	0.0121	✓	0.99	10.2M	2021-12-28
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.6	3.5871	-0.36%	3.34	-7.22%	0.0075	✓	0.99	1.2M	2021-12-28
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	16.84	16.782	-0.34%	15.54	-7.72%	0.0033	✓	1.14	4.8M	2021-12-28
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.5471	2.5385	-0.34%	2.4846	-2.45%	0.0550	✗	1.18	147k	2021-12-28
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.415	1.4103	-0.34%	1.3011	-8.05%	0.0114	✓	1.07	1.2M	2021-12-28
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	50,717.77	50,550.51	-0.33%	47,543.09	-6.26%	0.0033	✗	1.00	744.5M	2021-12-28
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	5.1016	5.0849	-0.33%	4.4909	-11.97%	0.0404	✓	1.30	5.3M	2021-12-28
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05816	0.057979	-0.31%	0.05427	-6.69%	0.0058	✗	1.11	16k	2021-12-28
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.12484	0.124457	-0.31%	0.11446	-8.31%	0.0127	✓	1.10	29k	2021-12-28
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2194	0.218736	-0.30%	0.1998	-8.93%	0.0344	✓	0.87	701k	2021-12-28
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.799	9.7695	-0.30%	9.798	-0.01%	0.0433	✗	0.62	455k	2021-12-28
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	8.01	7.9861	-0.30%	7.57	-5.49%	0.0128	✓	0.63	1.0M	2021-12-28
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.686	1.681	-0.30%	1.537	-8.84%	0.0053	✓	1.30	4.1M	2021-12-28
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	28.24	28.1566	-0.30%	24.71	-12.50%	0.0402	✓	1.40	22.9M	2021-12-28
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	9.45	9.4224	-0.29%	9.7	+2.65%	0.0720	✗	0.66	1.0M	2021-12-28
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.8	2.792	-0.29%	2.54	-9.29%	0.0289	✓	1.02	4.4M	2021-12-28
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8395	6.8209	-0.27%	6.459	-5.56%	0.0024	✓	0.81	4.3M	2021-12-28
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0897	0.089458	-0.27%	0.0838	-6.58%	0.0051	✗	1.09	18k	2021-12-28
SOL	Solana	Solana	195.74	195.2213	-0.26%	177.27	-9.44%	0.0305	✓	1.02	255.1M	2021-12-28
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	37.61	37.512	-0.26%	34.96	-7.05%	0.0029	✓	1.05	5.1M	2021-12-28
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.884	1.8792	-0.26%	1.664	-11.68%	0.0368	✓	1.31	7.9M	2021-12-28
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.337	2.3314	-0.24%	2.108	-9.80%	0.0294	✓	1.10	3.3M	2021-12-28
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	465.3	464.1864	-0.24%	438.74	-5.71%	0.0098	✗	1.02	12.3M	2021-12-28
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.325	1.3219	-0.24%	1.28	-3.40%	0.0303	✗	0.97	3.1M	2021-12-28
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.876137	0.874079	-0.23%	0.798687	-8.84%	0.0203	✓	1.08	3.0M	2021-12-28
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.267	3.26	-0.21%	2.98	-8.78%	0.0355	✓	0.84	95k	2021-12-28
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		127.41	127.1883	-0.17%	121.77	-4.43%	0.0203	✗	0.99	3.7M	2021-12-28
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	4,038.64	4,031.88	-0.17%	3,793.67	-6.07%	0.0065	✗	1.04	760.7M	2021-12-28
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	51,195.60	51,125.35	-0.14%	47,383.60	-7.45%	0.0125	✓	0.98	8,566	2021-12-28
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.4608	3.4584	-0.07%	3.6	+4.02%	0.0344	✗	-0.09	395k	2021-12-28
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.081167	0.08111	-0.07%	0.077218	-4.87%	0.0129	✗	0.96	648k	2021-12-28

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.