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2021-12-26 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2506
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+27.07%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
86.1%
in alpha space · 96.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-27.21%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0815080.081547+0.05%0.055872-31.45%0.0732✗0.96648k2022-01-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.374.3378-0.74%3.073-29.68%0.0804✓0.83719k2022-01-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash451.86448.3586-0.77%291.7-35.44%0.1047✓1.0211.4M2022-01-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.48263.4479-1.00%3.525+1.22%0.0062✓-0.09384k2022-01-25
XVSVenusEthereum17.1116.8956-1.25%8.13-52.48%0.3701✓1.144.8M2022-01-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1134.0506-1.52%2.907-29.32%0.1046✓0.72473k2022-01-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6681.6401-1.67%0.852-48.92%0.2409✓1.304.3M2022-01-25
GTGateEthereum6.75026.6273-1.82%6.2549-7.34%0.1980✗0.814.3M2022-01-25
ETHEthereumEthereum4,065.913,981.12-2.09%2,460.68-39.48%0.1501✓1.04760.7M2022-01-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.613.5318-2.17%2.33-35.46%0.1024✓0.991.2M2022-01-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum26.7226.1196-2.25%20.06-24.93%0.1797✗1.4022.9M2022-01-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.4875.3574-2.36%3.801-30.73%0.1379✓0.65798k2022-01-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.649.4098-2.39%5.59-42.01%0.3095✓0.67952k2022-01-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.967.7633-2.47%4.91-38.32%0.2582✓0.63986k2022-01-25
XYMSymbolnative0.23940.233473-2.48%0.1597-33.29%0.2310✓0.47392k2022-01-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.099870.097372-2.50%0.04882-51.12%0.2257✓1.464.8M2022-01-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV127.5124.255-2.55%90.34-29.15%0.0054✓0.993.2M2022-01-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.7279.4714-2.63%6.296-35.27%0.2101✓0.62455k2022-01-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3171.2816-2.69%0.709-46.17%0.2852✓0.973.4M2022-01-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0244220.02376-2.71%0.014419-40.96%0.1170✓1.202.3M2022-01-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.058660.057059-2.73%0.03703-36.87%0.0792✓1.1116k2022-01-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.9236.8827-2.74%24.07-36.52%0.0947✓1.055.6M2022-01-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.124580.121156-2.75%0.08097-35.01%0.0542✓1.1029k2022-01-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.762.684-2.75%1.59-42.39%0.2008✓1.024.1M2022-01-25
LSKLiskEthereum2.49282.4207-2.89%1.7009-31.77%0.0224✓1.18147k2022-01-25
AAVEAaveEthereum268.05260.2198-2.92%152.06-43.27%0.1969✓1.0711.4M2022-01-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.49.1208-2.97%5.6-40.43%0.2419✓0.77934k2022-01-25
SOLSolanaSolana198192.0894-2.99%94.76-52.14%0.3825✓1.02255.1M2022-01-25
XTZTezosTezos4.86914.7222-3.02%2.9206-40.02%0.0688✓1.305.3M2022-01-25
XMRMoneroMonero216.57209.9725-3.05%144.83-33.13%0.0571✓0.992.7M2022-01-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.2936.136-3.09%18.16-51.30%0.3658✓1.0122.1M2022-01-25
COMPCompoundEthereum235.5228.1625-3.12%127.15-46.01%0.2349✓1.10236k2022-01-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8791320.848819-3.45%0.520192-40.83%0.1462✓1.083.2M2022-01-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08960.086489-3.47%0.0592-33.93%0.0330✓1.0918k2022-01-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.082.9726-3.49%1.76-42.86%0.1169✓1.283.0M2022-01-25
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9421.8743-3.49%1.245-35.89%0.0076✓1.317.9M2022-01-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,801.7949,019.91-3.51%36,980.00-27.21%0.0357✗1.00744.5M2022-01-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2892.2067-3.60%1.425-37.75%0.0869✓1.103.3M2022-01-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,987.3049,151.32-3.60%36,572.80-28.27%0.0162✓0.988,5662022-01-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.9922.1581-3.62%15.49-32.62%0.0576✗1.3169.7M2022-01-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.39331.341-3.75%1.6576+18.97%0.5517✗1.071.3M2022-01-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73540.707561-3.79%0.4145-43.64%0.1284✓1.2812.8M2022-01-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.246.0033-3.79%4.28-31.41%0.0168✓1.124.6M2022-01-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.2190.21054-3.86%0.1273-41.87%0.2276✓0.87748k2022-01-25
MOVRMoonriverBase187.2077179.8823-3.91%77.9071-58.38%0.4756✓1.14674k2022-01-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.433.0531-3.92%20.45-40.55%0.2679✓0.67572k2022-01-25
NANOnanopayBase3.86893.717-3.93%2.3437-39.42%0.1239✓1.06798k2022-01-25
KSMKusamaHydration322.4309.4902-4.00%173.57-46.16%0.2282✓1.101.5M2022-01-25
XECeCashnative0.000121440.00011655-4.03%0.00007213-40.60%0.1659✓0.9911.0M2022-01-25
UNIUniswapEthereum18.6717.9113-4.06%10.59-43.28%0.1067✓1.3214.2M2022-01-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1900180.18229-4.07%0.142925-24.78%0.1082✗1.115.5M2022-01-25
DASHDashDash149.09142.8989-4.15%89.59-39.91%0.0655✓1.262.0M2022-01-25
QNTQuantEthereum194.3186.1982-4.17%103.44-46.76%0.2899✓0.9411.9M2022-01-25
SUSHISushiEthereum7.937.5965-4.21%4.54-42.75%0.0756✓1.3815.1M2022-01-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.96149.3984-4.21%107.9-30.82%0.1147✗1.3954.4M2022-01-25
KCSKuCoinnative22.89821.9332-4.21%16.01-30.08%0.2184✗1.6819.5M2022-01-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.937.2283-4.30%18.99-51.18%0.1945✓1.511.3M2022-01-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.34265.1117-4.32%3.0512-42.89%0.0858✓1.355.4M2022-01-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.113290.108393-4.32%0.06302-44.37%0.3613✓0.57113k2022-01-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.663.5017-4.32%2.6858-26.62%0.1327✗1.253.1M2022-01-25
ADACardanoCardano1.45491.3913-4.37%1.043-28.31%0.0495✗1.06120.2M2022-01-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.281.2228-4.46%0.68-46.88%0.2693✓1.002.3M2022-01-25
CBKCobakEthereum3.2793.1322-4.48%2.039-37.82%0.1626✓0.8497k2022-01-25
XLMStellarStellar0.2919870.278782-4.52%0.196794-32.60%0.0299✓1.0034.1M2022-01-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.050820.048492-4.58%0.02893-43.07%0.2255✓0.9210.6M2022-01-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019580.01867-4.65%0.01209-38.25%0.2484✓0.5946k2022-01-25
BANDBandEthereum5.855.5763-4.68%3.5-40.17%0.0870✓1.192.8M2022-01-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot31.3429.8674-4.70%18.32-41.54%0.0892✓1.2677.1M2022-01-25
DODODODOEthereum1.0020.954024-4.79%0.502-49.90%0.1748✓1.478.9M2022-01-25
XEMNEMnative0.14120.134275-4.90%0.0957-32.22%0.0102✓1.10178k2022-01-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.39071.3219-4.95%0.8103-41.73%0.1573✓1.0522.8M2022-01-25
FTTFTXEthereum42.5940.481-4.95%36.46-14.39%0.2309✗1.0620.7M2022-01-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.9216.0784-4.97%12.48-26.24%0.0349✓0.691.4M2022-01-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018690.017756-5.00%0.01045-44.09%0.1344✓1.252.8M2022-01-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.53102.0448-5.10%50.79-52.77%0.3944✓0.967.9M2022-01-25
QTUMQtumQtum9.89829.3922-5.11%5.5513-43.92%0.0694✓1.44285k2022-01-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.8224.4963-5.13%13.07-49.38%0.2875✓1.072.2M2022-01-25
IMXImmutableEthereum4.724.472-5.25%2.35-50.21%0.3259✓1.002.5M2022-01-25
RADRadworksEthereum10.6110.0458-5.32%4.9-53.82%0.4181✓0.941.6M2022-01-25
MINAMina Protocolnative3.813.6038-5.41%2.32-39.11%0.1153✓1.02787k2022-01-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.93064.6511-5.67%2.8609-41.98%0.2504✓0.7427k2022-01-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.6711.9507-5.68%6.12-51.70%0.7588✓-0.284.5M2022-01-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14380.135572-5.72%0.0797-44.58%0.1949✓1.06376k2022-01-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.20110.189442-5.80%0.1006-49.98%0.2719✓1.143.9M2022-01-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.60791.5126-5.93%0.9223-42.64%0.1538✓1.0731.7M2022-01-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0840.079017-5.93%0.0337-59.88%0.4358✓1.312.1M2022-01-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,193.3429,336.87-5.95%24,507.83-21.43%0.0140✓0.528.3M2022-01-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.2510.5717-6.03%8.63-23.29%0.0428✓0.771.4M2022-01-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.1730.1858-6.17%35.92+11.66%0.4482✗0.8639.4M2022-01-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4940.463286-6.22%0.243-50.81%0.4190✓0.7145k2022-01-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos9.2328.6444-6.37%5.904-36.05%0.0419✓1.33411k2022-01-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.42250.395399-6.41%0.2593-38.63%0.0607✓1.524.4M2022-01-25
LUNATerraTerra 299.7893.3221-6.47%62.78-37.08%0.0789✓1.004.9M2022-01-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.240.22415-6.60%0.1133-52.79%0.2941✓1.226.1M2022-01-25
ZECZcashZcash167.45156.3663-6.62%90.46-45.98%0.1305✓1.3111.8M2022-01-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.33241.2431-6.70%0.79477-40.35%0.1108✗1.761.5M2022-01-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000038250.000035668-6.75%0.00002106-44.94%0.2093✓1.002.2M2022-01-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.17051.0884-7.02%0.5734-51.01%0.1668✓1.492.3M2022-01-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.81796.3365-7.06%4.2137-38.20%0.0310✓1.19764k2022-01-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.234.8537-7.19%2.37-54.68%0.3993✓1.005.7M2022-01-25
STORJStorjEthereum2.07121.9188-7.36%1.0136-51.06%0.4154✓0.701.2M2022-01-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.087850.081264-7.50%0.04971-43.41%0.1107✓1.2021.7M2022-01-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche115.07106.358-7.57%68.08-40.84%0.0876✓1.13127.7M2022-01-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.1130.104343-7.66%0.0566-49.91%0.1783✓1.362.5M2022-01-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78930.727665-7.81%0.513-35.01%0.0474✓1.257.3M2022-01-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.755.2905-7.99%3.01-47.65%0.1503✓1.3028.7M2022-01-25
CELLCellframeEthereum1.08060.992705-8.13%0.8523-21.13%0.1651✗1.00178k2022-01-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.192.9277-8.22%1.532-51.97%0.3395✓0.972.2M2022-01-25
API3Api3Ethereum4.794.3954-8.24%3.79-20.88%0.1694✗1.001.2M2022-01-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.42650.390192-8.51%0.2283-46.47%0.1294✓1.285.3M2022-01-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.064040.058465-8.71%0.038883-39.28%0.0552✓1.468.7M2022-01-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.3710.338186-8.84%0.2141-42.29%0.1688✓0.91356k2022-01-25
GITCOINGITCOIN15.13613.758-9.10%6.883-54.53%0.7218✓-0.09133k2022-01-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4690.425804-9.21%0.523+11.51%0.6581✗1.431.1M2022-01-25
LRCLoopringEthereum2.34442.1217-9.50%1.0337-55.91%0.1022✓1.941.8M2022-01-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum2.222.0077-9.56%0.81-63.51%0.3626✓1.721.5M2022-01-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022010.019855-9.79%0.00833-62.15%0.5510✓1.0034.3M2022-01-25
SCSiacoinnative0.016680.014984-10.17%0.00946-43.29%0.1639✓0.931.3M2022-01-25
UMAUMAEthereum10.419.3424-10.26%5.92-43.13%0.1117✓1.084.1M2022-01-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.80930.724502-10.48%0.4382-45.85%0.0962✓1.283.8M2022-01-25
ZENHorizenBase70.362.602-10.95%34.97-50.26%0.1036✓1.511.3M2022-01-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.70680.628138-11.13%0.5541-21.60%0.4301✗1.7517.7M2022-01-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.6640.4206-11.47%16.59-63.67%0.3074✓1.848.5M2022-01-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.111.5573-11.78%5.54-57.71%0.5689✓0.522.1M2022-01-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3073.7641-12.60%2.615-39.28%0.0467✓1.003.5M2022-01-25
UOSUltraEthereum1.69181.474-12.88%0.99943-40.93%0.0734✓0.995.7M2022-01-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.037650.032717-13.10%0.020821-44.70%0.1284✓1.0211.0M2022-01-25
XVGVergenative0.019370.016831-13.11%0.00972-49.82%0.1708✓1.192.8M2022-01-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.33030.286287-13.33%0.1718-47.99%0.1043✓1.285.8M2022-01-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.1713.053-13.95%6.89-54.58%0.6495✓-0.035.1M2022-01-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.209680.18023-14.05%0.16966-19.09%0.4518✗1.6122k2022-01-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum43.5537.3213-14.30%23.69-45.60%0.0873✓1.713.7M2022-01-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.754.7463-17.46%1.94-66.26%0.5771✓1.0012.3M2022-01-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.730.600982-17.67%0.322-55.89%0.2314✓1.243.0M2022-01-25
HIVEHivenative1.76641.443-18.31%0.8391-52.50%0.1218✓1.328.3M2022-01-25
MANADecentralandEthereum3.8623.1444-18.58%2.1037-45.53%0.1238✓0.888.3M2022-01-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.1961.6213-26.17%0.4433-79.81%1.0844✓0.676.7M2022-01-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.