2021-12-25 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0732

137 of 137 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+1.24%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

52.6%

in alpha space · 50.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.74%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.389	6.4094	+0.32%	6.7502	+5.65%	0.0459	✓	0.80	4.3M	2021-12-26
XMR	Monero	Monero	211.35	211.8709	+0.25%	216.57	+2.47%	0.0147	✓	0.99	2.8M	2021-12-26
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.73	2.7361	+0.22%	2.76	+1.10%	0.0012	✓	1.02	4.4M	2021-12-26
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.2814	5.2909	+0.18%	5.3426	+1.16%	0.0003	✓	1.35	5.4M	2021-12-26
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5524	3.5587	+0.18%	3.4826	-1.96%	0.0210	✗	-0.09	384k	2021-12-26
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	4,097.43	4,104.71	+0.18%	4,065.91	-0.77%	0.0172	✗	1.05	768.5M	2021-12-26
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	25.62	25.6581	+0.15%	25.82	+0.78%	0.0016	✗	1.07	2.7M	2021-12-26
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.023808	0.023822	+0.06%	0.024422	+2.58%	0.0160	✓	1.20	2.2M	2021-12-26
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	51,009.40	51,036.51	+0.05%	50,987.30	-0.04%	0.0082	✗	0.98	8,566	2021-12-26
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		128.21	128.2667	+0.04%	127.5	-0.55%	0.0133	✗	0.99	3.2M	2021-12-26
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.081715	0.08175	+0.04%	0.081508	-0.25%	0.0101	✗	0.96	655k	2021-12-26
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.55	3.5514	+0.04%	3.61	+1.69%	0.0091	✓	0.99	1.2M	2021-12-26
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	9.34	9.3435	+0.04%	9.4	+0.64%	0.0003	✓	0.77	934k	2021-12-26
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0895	0.089533	+0.04%	0.0896	+0.11%	0.0073	✗	1.09	19k	2021-12-26
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.952	1.9525	+0.02%	1.942	-0.51%	0.0151	✗	1.32	7.9M	2021-12-26
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.12333	0.123352	+0.02%	0.12458	+1.01%	0.0018	✓	1.10	29k	2021-12-26
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	50,428.31	50,436.62	+0.02%	50,801.79	+0.74%	0.0002	✗	1.00	750.8M	2021-12-26
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.28	4.2806	+0.01%	4.37	+2.10%	0.0145	✓	0.83	719k	2021-12-26
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.57	12.5705	+0.00%	12.67	+0.80%	0.0100	✓	-0.28	4.9M	2021-12-26
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.05	4.0499	-0.00%	4.113	+1.56%	0.0102	✗	0.71	473k	2021-12-26
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	293.74	293.6808	-0.02%	322.4	+9.76%	0.0853	✗	1.09	1.5M	2021-12-26
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.5842	3.5831	-0.03%	3.66	+2.11%	0.0120	✗	1.25	3.4M	2021-12-26
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.47	5.4683	-0.03%	5.487	+0.31%	0.0014	✓	0.65	846k	2021-12-26
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04956	0.049545	-0.03%	0.05082	+2.54%	0.0187	✗	0.91	11.3M	2021-12-26
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	17.01	17.0031	-0.04%	16.92	-0.53%	0.0100	✓	0.69	1.4M	2021-12-26
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.31	2.309	-0.04%	2.289	-0.91%	0.0169	✓	1.11	3.3M	2021-12-26
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2174	0.217297	-0.05%	0.219	+0.74%	0.0014	✗	0.87	756k	2021-12-26
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	8.05	8.0455	-0.06%	7.96	-1.12%	0.0153	✓	0.63	1.0M	2021-12-26
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.5192	2.5177	-0.06%	2.4928	-1.05%	0.0187	✓	1.18	147k	2021-12-26
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	22.12	22.1069	-0.06%	22.99	+3.93%	0.0295	✗	1.30	69.7M	2021-12-26
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	34.44	34.4153	-0.07%	34.4	-0.12%	0.0054	✓	0.67	611k	2021-12-26
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.5838	4.5804	-0.07%	4.8691	+6.22%	0.0516	✗	1.29	5.4M	2021-12-26
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.952	9.9438	-0.08%	9.727	-2.26%	0.0267	✓	0.63	388k	2021-12-26
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.13	3.1272	-0.09%	3.08	-1.60%	0.0247	✓	1.29	3.2M	2021-12-26
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	195.44	195.2469	-0.10%	194.3	-0.58%	0.0118	✓	0.94	12.0M	2021-12-26
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01996	0.019937	-0.11%	0.01958	-1.90%	0.0224	✓	0.59	53k	2021-12-26
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	16.46	16.4393	-0.13%	17.11	+3.95%	0.0316	✗	1.13	4.9M	2021-12-26
SOL	Solana	Solana	193.06	192.8082	-0.13%	198	+2.56%	0.0191	✗	1.02	257.1M	2021-12-26
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.21629	0.215997	-0.14%	0.20968	-3.06%	0.0416	✓	1.62	23k	2021-12-26
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.10179	0.101646	-0.14%	0.09987	-1.89%	0.0285	✓	1.47	4.8M	2021-12-26
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.302	1.3	-0.15%	1.317	+1.15%	0.0059	✗	0.96	3.7M	2021-12-26
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05902	0.058927	-0.16%	0.05866	-0.61%	0.0128	✓	1.11	16k	2021-12-26
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.190748	0.190448	-0.16%	0.190018	-0.38%	0.0104	✓	1.11	6.1M	2021-12-26
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	158	157.7427	-0.16%	155.96	-1.29%	0.0216	✓	1.39	56.9M	2021-12-26
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.331	3.3255	-0.16%	3.279	-1.56%	0.0203	✓	0.84	99k	2021-12-26
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	10.0526	10.0344	-0.18%	9.8982	-1.54%	0.0243	✓	1.44	309k	2021-12-26
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	38.1	38.0312	-0.18%	37.92	-0.47%	0.0107	✓	1.05	5.9M	2021-12-26
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	9.95	9.932	-0.18%	9.64	-3.12%	0.0348	✓	0.67	1.0M	2021-12-26
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	2	1.9962	-0.19%	2.196	+9.80%	0.0905	✗	0.66	7.5M	2021-12-26
METRONOME	METRONOME		5.1706	5.1607	-0.19%	4.9306	-4.64%	0.0511	✓	0.75	28k	2021-12-26
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2424	0.241926	-0.20%	0.2394	-1.24%	0.0140	✓	0.47	393k	2021-12-26
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.75	5.7386	-0.20%	5.85	+1.74%	0.0104	✗	1.19	3.0M	2021-12-26
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	9.001	8.9831	-0.20%	9.232	+2.57%	0.0175	✗	1.33	455k	2021-12-26
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	37.02	36.9429	-0.21%	37.29	+0.73%	0.0019	✓	1.01	22.7M	2021-12-26
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.86	6.844	-0.23%	6.8179	-0.61%	0.0126	✓	1.19	819k	2021-12-26
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	27.29	27.2254	-0.24%	26.72	-2.09%	0.0291	✓	1.40	24.1M	2021-12-26
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4098	1.4063	-0.25%	1.3933	-1.17%	0.0172	✓	1.07	1.3M	2021-12-26
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.78	3.77	-0.27%	3.8689	+2.35%	0.0181	✗	1.06	819k	2021-12-26
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11267	0.112363	-0.27%	0.11329	+0.55%	0.0040	✗	0.57	113k	2021-12-26
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.7199	0.717919	-0.28%	0.7354	+2.15%	0.0146	✗	1.28	13.2M	2021-12-26
ZEN	Horizen	Base	70.77	70.5629	-0.29%	70.3	-0.66%	0.0149	✓	1.51	1.3M	2021-12-26
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.639	1.6342	-0.29%	1.668	+1.77%	0.0109	✗	1.30	4.8M	2021-12-26
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	228.44	227.7655	-0.30%	235.5	+3.09%	0.0253	✗	1.10	239k	2021-12-26
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.59	3.5793	-0.30%	3.81	+6.13%	0.0550	✗	1.02	787k	2021-12-26
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.88	5.8622	-0.30%	6.24	+6.12%	0.0543	✗	1.11	4.6M	2021-12-26
XEM	NEM	native	0.137	0.136584	-0.30%	0.1412	+3.07%	0.0252	✗	1.10	199k	2021-12-26
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.4542	1.4497	-0.31%	1.4549	+0.05%	0.0043	✓	1.06	120.7M	2021-12-26
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.92	22.8469	-0.32%	22.898	-0.10%	0.0102	✓	1.68	20.1M	2021-12-26
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.290047	0.289108	-0.32%	0.291987	+0.67%	0.0025	✓	1.00	35.1M	2021-12-26
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003772	0.000037593	-0.34%	0.00003825	+1.41%	0.0099	✗	1.00	2.1M	2021-12-26
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7916	0.788936	-0.34%	0.7893	-0.29%	0.0088	✓	1.25	7.7M	2021-12-26
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	169.64	169.0661	-0.34%	167.45	-1.29%	0.0193	✓	1.32	12.7M	2021-12-26
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011988	0.000119472	-0.34%	0.00012144	+1.30%	0.0091	✗	0.99	11.6M	2021-12-26
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.08801	0.08769	-0.36%	0.08785	-0.18%	0.0070	✓	1.20	21.7M	2021-12-26
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	17.47	17.405	-0.37%	18.67	+6.87%	0.0605	✗	1.31	14.6M	2021-12-26
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	455.36	453.6439	-0.38%	451.86	-0.77%	0.0115	✓	1.03	13.1M	2021-12-26
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3389	1.3338	-0.38%	1.3324	-0.49%	0.0141	✓	1.76	1.6M	2021-12-26
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01881	0.018735	-0.40%	0.01869	-0.64%	0.0116	✓	1.25	2.9M	2021-12-26
DASH	Dash	Dash	150	149.3889	-0.41%	149.09	-0.61%	0.0113	✓	1.27	2.1M	2021-12-26
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.941	0.937027	-0.42%	1.002	+6.48%	0.0562	✗	1.46	8.9M	2021-12-26
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	28.86	28.7365	-0.43%	31.34	+8.59%	0.0775	✗	1.25	77.3M	2021-12-26
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01675	0.016676	-0.44%	0.01668	-0.42%	0.0067	✓	0.93	1.3M	2021-12-26
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3974	0.395633	-0.44%	0.4265	+7.32%	0.0657	✗	1.27	5.3M	2021-12-26
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.862461	0.858147	-0.50%	0.879132	+1.93%	0.0162	✗	1.08	3.4M	2021-12-26
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.5748	1.5669	-0.50%	1.6079	+2.10%	0.0179	✗	1.07	33.5M	2021-12-26
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.18	11.1237	-0.50%	11.25	+0.63%	0.0056	✗	0.77	1.4M	2021-12-26
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	114.86	114.2715	-0.51%	115.07	+0.18%	0.0014	✓	1.13	136.0M	2021-12-26
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	185.5458	184.588	-0.52%	187.2077	+0.90%	0.0057	✗	1.14	704k	2021-12-26
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.74	42.5072	-0.54%	42.59	-0.35%	0.0059	✓	1.06	21.2M	2021-12-26
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.78	9.7257	-0.55%	10.41	+6.44%	0.0600	✗	1.08	4.1M	2021-12-26
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4703	0.467601	-0.57%	0.469	-0.28%	0.0075	✓	1.42	1.1M	2021-12-26
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.08	11.014	-0.60%	10.61	-4.24%	0.0444	✓	0.95	2.0M	2021-12-26
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.315	1.307	-0.60%	1.3907	+5.76%	0.0544	✗	1.04	22.8M	2021-12-26
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1406	0.139708	-0.63%	0.1438	+2.28%	0.0211	✗	1.06	413k	2021-12-26
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.2841	2.2694	-0.64%	2.3444	+2.64%	0.0181	✗	1.95	1.9M	2021-12-26
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2345	0.232972	-0.65%	0.24	+2.35%	0.0207	✗	1.22	6.2M	2021-12-26
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	2.0162	2.0029	-0.66%	2.0712	+2.73%	0.0284	✗	0.70	1.3M	2021-12-26
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	263.91	262.1443	-0.67%	268.05	+1.57%	0.0144	✗	1.07	11.4M	2021-12-26
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.79	29.5836	-0.69%	32.17	+7.99%	0.0775	✗	0.85	39.4M	2021-12-26
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.1181	1.1101	-0.72%	1.1705	+4.69%	0.0421	✗	1.48	2.4M	2021-12-26
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.27	1.2607	-0.73%	1.28	+0.79%	0.0078	✗	1.00	2.4M	2021-12-26
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,196.71	30,965.87	-0.74%	31,193.34	-0.01%	0.0035	✓	0.52	7.7M	2021-12-26
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.72	4.6848	-0.75%	4.72	+0.00%	0.0001	✓	1.00	2.5M	2021-12-26
XVG	Verge	native	0.01838	0.018243	-0.75%	0.01937	+5.39%	0.0512	✗	1.18	2.8M	2021-12-26
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.06464	0.064141	-0.77%	0.06404	-0.93%	0.0124	✓	1.46	9.2M	2021-12-26
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	109.28	108.4146	-0.79%	107.53	-1.60%	0.0153	✓	0.96	8.4M	2021-12-26
HIVE	Hive	native	1.6509	1.6377	-0.80%	1.7664	+7.00%	0.0659	✗	1.32	8.6M	2021-12-26
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.65	7.5885	-0.80%	7.93	+3.66%	0.0338	✗	1.38	15.1M	2021-12-26
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.94	1.9244	-0.81%	2.22	+14.43%	0.1304	✗	1.70	1.5M	2021-12-26
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	39.41	39.0852	-0.82%	38.9	-1.29%	0.0159	✓	1.51	1.3M	2021-12-26
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.037845	0.037521	-0.86%	0.03765	-0.52%	0.0041	✓	1.02	11.6M	2021-12-26
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3659	0.362722	-0.87%	0.371	+1.39%	0.0159	✗	0.91	356k	2021-12-26
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0826	0.081873	-0.88%	0.084	+1.69%	0.0160	✗	1.31	2.3M	2021-12-26
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1109	0.109911	-0.89%	0.113	+1.89%	0.0177	✗	1.36	3.0M	2021-12-26
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.2058	0.203949	-0.90%	0.2011	-2.28%	0.0225	✓	1.14	4.2M	2021-12-26
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3183	0.315404	-0.91%	0.3303	+3.77%	0.0367	✗	1.28	5.8M	2021-12-26
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	98.4	97.4881	-0.93%	99.78	+1.40%	0.0159	✗	1.00	6.1M	2021-12-26
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	46.41	45.9647	-0.96%	45.66	-1.62%	0.0203	✓	1.85	8.6M	2021-12-26
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.29	5.238	-0.98%	5.23	-1.13%	0.0089	✓	1.00	6.5M	2021-12-26
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.7241	1.7063	-1.03%	1.6918	-1.87%	0.0159	✓	1.00	6.2M	2021-12-26
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.1799	1.1672	-1.07%	1.0806	-8.42%	0.0845	✓	1.00	184k	2021-12-26
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.292	4.2449	-1.10%	4.307	+0.35%	0.0071	✓	1.00	3.6M	2021-12-26
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02284	0.022576	-1.15%	0.02201	-3.63%	0.0328	✓	1.00	35.6M	2021-12-26
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.7354	0.726898	-1.16%	0.7068	-3.89%	0.0410	✓	1.76	17.7M	2021-12-26
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.91	4.8511	-1.20%	4.79	-2.44%	0.0200	✓	1.00	1.3M	2021-12-26
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.4176	0.412586	-1.20%	0.4225	+1.17%	0.0125	✗	1.52	4.4M	2021-12-26
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	3.134	3.0936	-1.29%	3.19	+1.79%	0.0235	✗	0.97	2.2M	2021-12-26
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		16.057	15.8409	-1.35%	15.136	-5.74%	0.0449	✓	-0.08	134k	2021-12-26
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.84	5.7598	-1.37%	5.75	-1.54%	0.0114	✓	1.31	28.7M	2021-12-26
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.7481	3.6959	-1.39%	3.862	+3.04%	0.0375	✗	0.88	8.6M	2021-12-26
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.7869	0.773711	-1.68%	0.8093	+2.85%	0.0355	✗	1.28	4.0M	2021-12-26
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	13.23	12.9994	-1.74%	13.1	-0.98%	0.0038	✓	0.53	2.7M	2021-12-26
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.721	0.707826	-1.83%	0.73	+1.25%	0.0217	✗	1.24	3.0M	2021-12-26
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	44.57	43.6906	-1.97%	43.55	-2.29%	0.0159	✓	1.71	4.2M	2021-12-26
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	5.01	4.8814	-2.57%	5.75	+14.77%	0.1564	✗	1.00	12.1M	2021-12-26
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	16.15	15.7122	-2.71%	15.17	-6.07%	0.0350	✓	-0.02	5.1M	2021-12-26
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.536	0.507827	-5.26%	0.494	-7.84%	0.0330	✓	0.73	45k	2021-12-26

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.