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2021-12-24 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2468
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+22.76%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.7%
in alpha space · 97.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-28.65%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0808920.081132+0.30%0.057499-28.92%0.0192✗0.96659k2022-01-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1574.1541-0.07%3.138-24.51%0.0005✓0.83714k2022-01-23
XVSVenusEthereum15.8315.7658-0.41%8.17-48.39%0.2737✓1.145.0M2022-01-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash452.27449.6174-0.59%302.74-33.06%0.0487✓1.0313.7M2022-01-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0043.9796-0.61%2.945-26.45%0.0599✓0.71473k2022-01-23
GTGateEthereum6.31286.2476-1.03%6.1111-3.20%0.2479✗0.804.6M2022-01-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5931.5755-1.10%0.881-44.70%0.1406✓1.315.2M2022-01-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.58143.5397-1.17%3.5571-0.68%0.0243✓-0.09384k2022-01-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2755.1858-1.69%3.844-27.13%0.0802✓0.65846k2022-01-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092570.090911-1.79%0.05508-40.50%0.0027✓1.484.8M2022-01-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.533.4665-1.80%2.41-31.73%0.0303✓0.991.3M2022-01-23
ETHEthereumEthereum4,049.653,975.04-1.84%2,541.19-37.25%0.0941✓1.05768.5M2022-01-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.767.6117-1.91%5.02-35.31%0.2020✓0.631.0M2022-01-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.058.8677-2.01%5.92-34.59%0.1751✓0.681.0M2022-01-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.6327.0479-2.11%21.28-22.98%0.2333✗1.4024.1M2022-01-23
XTZTezosTezos4.49014.3932-2.16%3.0753-31.51%0.0791✗1.295.4M2022-01-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.725.595-2.19%3.94-31.12%0.0250✗1.115.0M2022-01-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2871.2587-2.20%0.731-43.20%0.2171✓0.974.1M2022-01-23
XYMSymbolnative0.24450.239095-2.21%0.1617-33.87%0.2324✓0.47410k2022-01-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV129.58126.662-2.25%93.79-27.62%0.0332✗0.993.2M2022-01-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.752.6862-2.32%1.7-38.18%0.1146✓1.024.7M2022-01-23
SOLSolanaSolana190.65186.12-2.38%99.82-47.64%0.2788✓1.02257.1M2022-01-23
XMRMoneroMonero204.44199.5462-2.39%156.73-23.34%0.0928✗0.992.7M2022-01-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3680.358993-2.45%0.278-24.46%0.0007✓0.7645k2022-01-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.4236.4929-2.48%25.17-32.74%0.0172✓1.056.1M2022-01-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.023260.022651-2.62%0.015019-35.43%0.0044✓1.202.2M2022-01-23
KSMKusamaHydration288.88281.1905-2.66%191.51-33.71%0.0156✓1.091.5M2022-01-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.078.826-2.69%5.85-35.50%0.1490✓0.78836k2022-01-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.12190.118592-2.71%0.08478-30.45%0.0357✗1.1030k2022-01-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.4720.8814-2.74%16.67-22.36%0.2161✗1.3169.7M2022-01-23
COMPCompoundEthereum230.2223.8388-2.76%128.28-44.27%0.1861✓1.10239k2022-01-23
UNIUniswapEthereum17.517.0162-2.76%11.43-34.69%0.0445✗1.3114.6M2022-01-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.4735.4542-2.79%19.51-46.50%0.2542✓1.0223.1M2022-01-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.6970.676787-2.90%0.4151-40.44%0.0564✓1.2814.0M2022-01-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08880.086022-3.13%0.0613-30.97%0.0299✓1.0921k2022-01-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.1727.2867-3.14%18.82-33.19%0.0503✗1.2577.3M2022-01-23
NANOnanopayBase3.64213.5279-3.14%2.227-38.85%0.1011✓1.06819k2022-01-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,714.6049,121.41-3.14%36,274.40-28.47%0.0290✓0.989,2792022-01-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8506110.82365-3.17%0.54463-35.97%0.0485✓1.083.7M2022-01-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,851.3849,214.92-3.22%36,282.47-28.65%0.0327✗1.00750.8M2022-01-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.0239.6992-3.23%6.129-38.85%0.2468✓0.63455k2022-01-23
LSKLiskEthereum2.57592.4926-3.24%1.6289-36.76%0.0258✓1.18152k2022-01-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.8725.9888-3.28%34.65+28.95%0.5784✗0.8640.2M2022-01-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.40933.2974-3.28%2.7981-17.93%0.2588✗1.253.4M2022-01-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.057980.056049-3.33%0.0379-34.63%0.0144✓1.1217k2022-01-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.082.9758-3.38%1.82-40.91%0.0568✓1.293.2M2022-01-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum34.9233.7143-3.45%19.45-44.30%0.0365✓1.521.3M2022-01-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2662.1871-3.48%1.421-37.29%0.0571✓1.113.4M2022-01-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21620.208574-3.53%0.1477-31.68%0.0519✓0.87776k2022-01-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1863160.17963-3.59%0.141702-23.95%0.1379✗1.116.1M2022-01-23
MOVRMoonriverBase188.1748181.2385-3.69%84.9691-54.85%0.3738✓1.14720k2022-01-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.0132.7534-3.69%22.3-34.43%0.1581✓0.67649k2022-01-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.38561.3342-3.71%1.4593+5.32%0.4525✗1.081.4M2022-01-23
AAVEAaveEthereum270.33260.2895-3.71%158.72-41.29%0.1336✓1.0711.4M2022-01-23
ADACardanoCardano1.39351.3416-3.72%1.1249-19.28%0.1844✗1.07124.4M2022-01-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.0144.8261-3.75%3.1436-37.30%0.0298✓1.365.2M2022-01-23
DASHDashDash149.49143.765-3.83%99.58-33.39%0.0606✗1.272.2M2022-01-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.71.6347-3.84%0.85-50.00%0.0772✓1.711.5M2022-01-23
CBKCobakEthereum3.1393.0178-3.86%2.095-33.26%0.0786✓0.85100k2022-01-23
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9991.9215-3.88%1.154-42.27%0.0664✓1.317.9M2022-01-23
XECeCashnative0.00011730.000112746-3.88%0.00007477-36.26%0.0765✓0.9911.7M2022-01-23
XLMStellarStellar0.2786280.267604-3.96%0.201066-27.84%0.0539✗1.0136.2M2022-01-23
XEMNEMnative0.13590.130388-4.06%0.0976-28.18%0.0805✗1.10202k2022-01-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.049440.04742-4.09%0.02905-41.24%0.1813✓0.9112.1M2022-01-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.231.1796-4.10%0.66-46.34%0.2431✓1.002.4M2022-01-23
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.3924-4.17%2.44-31.07%0.0140✓1.02807k2022-01-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.28491.2303-4.25%0.8156-36.52%0.0596✓1.0422.8M2022-01-23
KCSKuCoinnative22.8121.829-4.30%15.88-30.38%0.2501✗1.6821.0M2022-01-23
DODODODOEthereum0.9090.869272-4.37%0.507-44.22%0.0439✓1.479.3M2022-01-23
QNTQuantEthereum199.57190.829-4.38%109.75-45.01%0.2362✓0.9412.0M2022-01-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum104.6299.9179-4.49%54.81-47.61%0.2754✓0.968.8M2022-01-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019720.018832-4.50%0.01258-36.21%0.2039✓0.5960k2022-01-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110160.105152-4.55%0.06514-40.87%0.2857✓0.57143k2022-01-23
SUSHISushiEthereum7.947.5769-4.57%4.66-41.31%0.0213✓1.3814.9M2022-01-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7415.9688-4.61%12.97-22.52%0.0253✓0.691.4M2022-01-23
BANDBandEthereum5.635.3654-4.70%3.59-36.23%0.0012✓1.193.0M2022-01-23
FTTFTXEthereum42.6840.6366-4.79%35.99-15.67%0.2360✗1.0621.8M2022-01-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07810.074297-4.87%0.0335-57.11%0.3539✓1.312.5M2022-01-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6818.2551-4.91%6.033-30.50%0.1365✗1.33511k2022-01-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.3424.0832-4.96%14.05-44.55%0.1764✓1.072.7M2022-01-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.20280.192723-4.97%0.1069-47.29%0.2034✓1.144.3M2022-01-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.017815-5.04%0.01032-44.99%0.1243✓1.253.2M2022-01-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.3411.7135-5.08%6.52-47.16%0.6812✓-0.284.9M2022-01-23
QTUMQtumQtum9.79219.2865-5.16%5.815-40.62%0.0195✓1.44349k2022-01-23
IMXImmutableEthereum4.634.3904-5.17%2.49-46.22%0.2296✓1.002.5M2022-01-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin161.35152.6855-5.37%112.35-30.37%0.1621✗1.3958.6M2022-01-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,577.6330,813.47-5.42%25,099.20-22.96%0.0296✓0.527.0M2022-01-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.0810.4731-5.48%8.96-19.13%0.1052✗0.771.5M2022-01-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13790.130301-5.51%0.0783-43.22%0.1521✓1.06445k2022-01-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.2194.9269-5.60%2.9942-42.63%0.2449✓0.7529k2022-01-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.5761.4868-5.66%0.9895-37.21%0.0451✓1.0734.9M2022-01-23
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.1959-6.03%5.21-51.98%0.3493✓0.951.6M2022-01-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.40620.380564-6.31%0.2697-33.60%0.1698✗1.524.4M2022-01-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.11831.0466-6.41%0.596-46.70%0.0616✓1.492.5M2022-01-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000036140.000033757-6.59%0.0000225-37.74%0.0681✓1.002.2M2022-01-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.31381.2264-6.66%0.76101-42.08%0.1183✗1.761.6M2022-01-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.194.8397-6.75%3.02-41.81%0.0268✓1.3228.7M2022-01-23
ZECZcashZcash165.18153.3441-7.17%97.58-40.93%0.0066✓1.3213.6M2022-01-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.68076.1946-7.28%4.4346-33.62%0.0680✓1.19876k2022-01-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.515.1064-7.33%2.57-53.36%0.3490✓1.006.5M2022-01-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38260.35394-7.49%0.2414-36.91%0.0477✓1.276.2M2022-01-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10860.100445-7.51%0.0576-46.96%0.0950✓1.373.0M2022-01-23
STORJStorjEthereum1.94691.7986-7.62%1.0945-43.78%0.2597✓0.701.3M2022-01-23
API3Api3Ethereum4.834.4574-7.71%4.37-9.52%0.3178✗1.001.5M2022-01-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.082840.076118-8.11%0.05184-37.42%0.0233✓1.2121.7M2022-01-23
LRCLoopringEthereum2.21292.0283-8.34%0.8591-61.18%0.2018✓1.952.1M2022-01-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.93105.1701-8.49%64.85-43.57%0.1014✓1.13142.8M2022-01-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21710.197999-8.80%0.1139-47.54%0.1388✓1.236.5M2022-01-23
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1891.0817-9.02%0.8434-29.07%0.0887✓1.00190k2022-01-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.36110.328473-9.04%0.2245-37.83%0.0740✓0.91388k2022-01-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.46290.420015-9.26%0.5547+19.83%0.7602✗1.431.2M2022-01-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79660.721026-9.49%0.5301-33.45%0.1152✗1.257.7M2022-01-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0622170.056132-9.78%0.039977-35.75%0.1554✗1.479.5M2022-01-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021910.019731-9.95%0.00841-61.62%0.5152✓1.0039.8M2022-01-23
UMAUMAEthereum9.568.5697-10.36%6.38-33.26%0.0692✓1.084.1M2022-01-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7932.4977-10.57%1.611-42.32%0.1080✓0.982.2M2022-01-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7933.3841-10.78%2.649-30.16%0.0927✓1.003.5M2022-01-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.76220.679499-10.85%0.609-20.10%0.4840✗1.7614.6M2022-01-23
SCSiacoinnative0.016510.014707-10.92%0.00983-40.46%0.0870✓0.941.4M2022-01-23
ZENHorizenBase70.5362.4299-11.48%35.77-49.28%0.0466✓1.511.4M2022-01-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.75960.670566-11.72%0.4546-40.15%0.0439✓1.285.1M2022-01-23
GITCOINGITCOIN15.61113.7278-12.06%7.243-53.60%0.6665✓-0.08133k2022-01-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.7240.1248-12.24%17.17-62.45%0.2252✓1.858.8M2022-01-23
UOSUltraEthereum1.7511.5318-12.52%0.90224-48.47%0.1927✓1.006.7M2022-01-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.773.2851-12.86%2.24-40.58%0.0453✓1.0011.9M2022-01-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.30160.262265-13.04%0.1855-38.49%0.0860✓1.286.2M2022-01-23
XVGVergenative0.017980.015629-13.08%0.00969-46.11%0.0775✓1.192.8M2022-01-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382470.032877-14.04%0.022662-40.75%0.0274✓1.0212.1M2022-01-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.214830.181522-15.50%0.16077-25.16%0.4260✗1.6224k2022-01-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.1110.1443-16.23%5.9-51.28%0.3618✓0.532.7M2022-01-23
MANADecentralandEthereum3.52.9288-16.32%2.1145-39.59%0.0287✓0.889.0M2022-01-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.1536.209-17.99%24.37-44.80%0.1829✓1.714.7M2022-01-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6730.550765-18.16%0.331-50.82%0.0899✓1.243.0M2022-01-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.712.7611-18.72%7.33-53.31%0.5615✓-0.024.8M2022-01-23
HIVEHivenative1.5931.284-19.40%0.839-47.33%0.0200✓1.3210.4M2022-01-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.89671.5171-20.01%0.5018-73.54%0.8835✓0.668.1M2022-01-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.