8=======>

2021-12-24 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1133
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.21%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
14.0%
in alpha space · 19.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum6.31286.3074-0.09%6.389+1.21%0.0195✗0.804.6M2021-12-25
TRXTRONTron0.0808920.080817-0.09%0.081715+1.02%0.0191✗0.96659k2021-12-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.58143.5769-0.13%3.5524-0.81%0.0076✓-0.09384k2021-12-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,714.6050,630.31-0.17%51,009.40+0.58%0.0157✗0.989,2792021-12-25
CBKCobakEthereum3.1393.1336-0.17%3.331+6.12%0.0682✗0.85100k2021-12-25
ETHEthereumEthereum4,049.654,042.37-0.18%4,097.43+1.18%0.0223✗1.05768.5M2021-12-25
XTZTezosTezos4.49014.481-0.20%4.5838+2.09%0.0335✗1.295.4M2021-12-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash452.27451.3316-0.21%455.36+0.68%0.0175✗1.0313.7M2021-12-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2871.2843-0.21%1.302+1.17%0.0218✗0.974.1M2021-12-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2662.2608-0.23%2.31+1.94%0.0308✗1.113.4M2021-12-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3680.367153-0.23%0.536+45.65%0.3847✗0.7645k2021-12-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8506110.8485-0.25%0.862461+1.39%0.0254✗1.083.7M2021-12-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.059.0274-0.25%9.95+9.94%0.1030✗0.681.0M2021-12-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5931.589-0.25%1.639+2.89%0.0419✗1.315.2M2021-12-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV129.58129.2471-0.26%128.21-1.06%0.0002✓0.993.2M2021-12-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1574.1463-0.26%4.28+2.96%0.0387✗0.83714k2021-12-25
SOLSolanaSolana190.65190.1591-0.26%193.06+1.26%0.0237✗1.02257.1M2021-12-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.725.7048-0.27%5.88+2.80%0.0396✗1.115.0M2021-12-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.4237.3197-0.27%38.1+1.82%0.0295✗1.056.1M2021-12-25
XVSVenusEthereum15.8315.7856-0.28%16.46+3.98%0.0513✗1.145.0M2021-12-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.12190.12155-0.29%0.12333+1.17%0.0237✗1.1030k2021-12-25
XMRMoneroMonero204.44203.8305-0.30%211.35+3.38%0.0445✗0.992.7M2021-12-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.752.7418-0.30%2.73-0.73%0.0042✗1.024.7M2021-12-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.1728.0853-0.30%28.86+2.45%0.0376✗1.2577.3M2021-12-25
MOVRMoonriverBase188.1748187.6041-0.30%185.5458-1.40%0.0015✓1.14720k2021-12-25
NANOnanopayBase3.64213.631-0.30%3.78+3.79%0.0491✗1.06819k2021-12-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2755.2589-0.31%5.47+3.70%0.0448✗0.65846k2021-12-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.4736.3577-0.31%37.02+1.51%0.0265✗1.0223.1M2021-12-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08880.088523-0.31%0.0895+0.79%0.0201✗1.0921k2021-12-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21620.215505-0.32%0.2174+0.56%0.0160✗0.87776k2021-12-25
KSMKusamaHydration288.88287.9463-0.32%293.74+1.68%0.0290✗1.091.5M2021-12-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.767.7349-0.32%8.05+3.74%0.0452✗0.631.0M2021-12-25
XYMSymbolnative0.24450.243694-0.33%0.2424-0.86%0.0014✓0.47410k2021-12-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.0144.9973-0.33%5.2814+5.33%0.0666✗1.365.2M2021-12-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.38561.3809-0.34%1.4098+1.75%0.0297✗1.081.4M2021-12-25
LSKLiskEthereum2.57592.5671-0.34%2.5192-2.20%0.0089✓1.18152k2021-12-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092570.092253-0.34%0.10179+9.96%0.1107✗1.484.8M2021-12-25
UNIUniswapEthereum17.517.4385-0.35%17.47-0.17%0.0128✗1.3114.6M2021-12-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.0239.9877-0.35%9.952-0.71%0.0017✓0.63455k2021-12-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.4721.3943-0.35%22.12+3.03%0.0443✗1.3169.7M2021-12-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,851.3850,670.74-0.36%50,428.31-0.83%0.0036✓1.00750.8M2021-12-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.057980.057774-0.36%0.05902+1.79%0.0307✗1.1217k2021-12-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.533.5174-0.36%3.55+0.57%0.0175✗0.991.3M2021-12-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum34.9234.7947-0.36%39.41+12.86%0.1373✗1.521.3M2021-12-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.6327.5245-0.38%27.29-1.23%0.0032✓1.4024.1M2021-12-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.0133.875-0.40%34.44+1.26%0.0221✗0.67649k2021-12-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.11831.1138-0.40%1.1181-0.02%0.0162✗1.492.5M2021-12-25
ADACardanoCardano1.39351.3879-0.40%1.4542+4.36%0.0556✗1.07124.4M2021-12-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0043.9879-0.40%4.05+1.15%0.0214✗0.71473k2021-12-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.023260.023166-0.40%0.023808+2.36%0.0374✗1.202.2M2021-12-25
XECeCashnative0.00011730.000116826-0.40%0.00011988+2.20%0.0341✗0.9911.7M2021-12-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.40933.3955-0.40%3.5842+5.13%0.0646✗1.253.4M2021-12-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.049440.049238-0.41%0.04956+0.24%0.0142✗0.9112.1M2021-12-25
XLMStellarStellar0.2786280.277475-0.41%0.290047+4.10%0.0527✗1.0136.2M2021-12-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.079.0325-0.41%9.34+2.98%0.0400✗0.78836k2021-12-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.083.067-0.42%3.13+1.62%0.0311✗1.293.2M2021-12-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.6970.694063-0.42%0.7199+3.29%0.0473✗1.2814.0M2021-12-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.3425.2327-0.42%25.62+1.10%0.0242✗1.072.7M2021-12-25
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9991.9904-0.43%1.952-2.35%0.0085✓1.317.9M2021-12-25
COMPCompoundEthereum230.2229.206-0.43%228.44-0.76%0.0058✗1.10239k2021-12-25
QNTQuantEthereum199.57198.7006-0.44%195.44-2.07%0.0087✓0.9412.0M2021-12-25
XEMNEMnative0.13590.135307-0.44%0.137+0.81%0.0216✗1.10202k2021-12-25
DODODODOEthereum0.9090.905013-0.44%0.941+3.52%0.0512✗1.479.3M2021-12-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.8726.7509-0.44%29.79+10.87%0.1148✗0.8640.2M2021-12-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum104.62104.1564-0.44%109.28+4.45%0.0561✗0.968.8M2021-12-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.71.6924-0.45%1.94+14.12%0.1508✗1.711.5M2021-12-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.231.2244-0.46%1.27+3.25%0.0449✗1.002.4M2021-12-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6818.6409-0.46%9.001+3.69%0.0520✗1.33511k2021-12-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.3412.2822-0.47%12.57+1.86%0.0208✗-0.284.9M2021-12-25
QTUMQtumQtum9.79219.7457-0.47%10.0526+2.66%0.0431✗1.44349k2021-12-25
IMXImmutableEthereum4.634.6078-0.48%4.72+1.94%0.0324✗1.002.5M2021-12-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7416.6587-0.49%17.01+1.61%0.0266✗0.691.4M2021-12-25
BANDBandEthereum5.635.6026-0.49%5.75+2.13%0.0359✗1.193.0M2021-12-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13790.137226-0.49%0.1406+1.96%0.0331✗1.06445k2021-12-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110160.10961-0.50%0.11267+2.28%0.0323✗0.57143k2021-12-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019720.019621-0.50%0.01996+1.22%0.0221✗0.5960k2021-12-25
FTTFTXEthereum42.6842.4648-0.50%42.74+0.14%0.0153✗1.0621.8M2021-12-25
DASHDashDash149.49148.7175-0.52%150+0.34%0.0192✗1.272.2M2021-12-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1863160.185349-0.52%0.190748+2.38%0.0380✗1.116.1M2021-12-25
KCSKuCoinnative22.8122.6896-0.53%22.92+0.48%0.0242✗1.6821.0M2021-12-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.2195.1909-0.54%5.1706-0.93%0.0023✓0.7529k2021-12-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.28491.2777-0.56%1.315+2.34%0.0375✗1.0422.8M2021-12-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.20280.201653-0.57%0.2058+1.48%0.0299✗1.144.3M2021-12-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07810.077653-0.57%0.0826+5.76%0.0727✗1.312.5M2021-12-25
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.7874-0.58%11.08+2.12%0.0347✗0.951.6M2021-12-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.018651-0.58%0.01881+0.27%0.0189✗1.253.2M2021-12-25
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.5189-0.60%3.59+1.41%0.0285✗1.02807k2021-12-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.5761.5663-0.62%1.5748-0.08%0.0144✗1.0734.9M2021-12-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.515.4752-0.63%5.29-3.99%0.0261✓1.006.5M2021-12-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin161.35160.2996-0.65%158-2.08%0.0028✓1.3958.6M2021-12-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.0811.007-0.66%11.18+0.90%0.0221✗0.771.5M2021-12-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7933.7667-0.69%4.292+13.16%0.1389✗1.003.5M2021-12-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.46290.459598-0.71%0.4703+1.60%0.0349✗1.431.2M2021-12-25
API3Api3Ethereum4.834.7945-0.73%4.91+1.66%0.0321✗1.001.5M2021-12-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,577.6332,336.73-0.74%31,196.71-4.24%0.0315✓0.527.0M2021-12-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38260.379668-0.77%0.3974+3.87%0.0563✗1.276.2M2021-12-25
LRCLoopringEthereum2.21292.1959-0.77%2.2841+3.22%0.0556✗1.952.1M2021-12-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.31381.3037-0.77%1.3389+1.91%0.0414✗1.761.6M2021-12-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.93114.0198-0.79%114.86-0.06%0.0168✗1.13142.8M2021-12-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000036140.000035853-0.79%0.00003772+4.37%0.0591✗1.002.2M2021-12-25
STORJStorjEthereum1.94691.9313-0.80%2.0162+3.56%0.0489✗0.701.3M2021-12-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.36110.358185-0.81%0.3659+1.33%0.0289✗0.91388k2021-12-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21710.21533-0.82%0.2345+8.01%0.0955✗1.236.5M2021-12-25
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1891.1788-0.86%1.1799-0.77%0.0093✗1.00190k2021-12-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10860.107641-0.88%0.1109+2.12%0.0412✗1.373.0M2021-12-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.773.7366-0.89%5.01+32.89%0.3016✗1.0011.9M2021-12-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.195.1441-0.89%5.84+12.52%0.1379✗1.3228.7M2021-12-25
UMAUMAEthereum9.569.4715-0.93%9.78+2.30%0.0411✗1.084.1M2021-12-25
SUSHISushiEthereum7.947.8662-0.93%7.65-3.65%0.0164✓1.3814.9M2021-12-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.082840.082058-0.94%0.08801+6.24%0.0801✗1.2121.7M2021-12-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.40620.402207-0.98%0.4176+2.81%0.0503✗1.524.4M2021-12-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0622170.061604-0.99%0.06464+3.89%0.0604✗1.479.5M2021-12-25
ZENHorizenBase70.5369.8321-0.99%70.77+0.34%0.0260✗1.511.4M2021-12-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.214830.212654-1.01%0.21629+0.68%0.0305✗1.6224k2021-12-25
SCSiacoinnative0.016510.016341-1.03%0.01675+1.45%0.0326✗0.941.4M2021-12-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.68076.6118-1.03%6.86+2.68%0.0468✗1.19876k2021-12-25
AAVEAaveEthereum270.33267.5308-1.04%263.91-2.37%0.0047✓1.0711.4M2021-12-25
ZECZcashZcash165.18163.4335-1.06%169.64+2.70%0.0483✗1.3213.6M2021-12-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.7245.234-1.06%46.41+1.51%0.0411✗1.858.8M2021-12-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.30160.298265-1.11%0.3183+5.54%0.0757✗1.286.2M2021-12-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79660.786986-1.21%0.7916-0.63%0.0163✗1.257.7M2021-12-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021910.021634-1.26%0.02284+4.24%0.0626✗1.0039.8M2021-12-25
XVGVergenative0.017980.017752-1.27%0.01838+2.22%0.0447✗1.192.8M2021-12-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7932.7575-1.27%3.134+12.21%0.1362✗0.982.2M2021-12-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.75960.749861-1.28%0.7869+3.59%0.0589✗1.285.1M2021-12-25
UOSUltraEthereum1.7511.7276-1.34%1.7241-1.54%0.0063✓1.006.7M2021-12-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.1111.9417-1.39%13.23+9.25%0.1069✗0.532.7M2021-12-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382470.037684-1.47%0.037845-1.05%0.0128✓1.0212.1M2021-12-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.89671.8686-1.48%2+5.45%0.0735✗0.668.1M2021-12-25
MANADecentralandEthereum3.53.4448-1.58%3.7481+7.09%0.0917✗0.889.0M2021-12-25
HIVEHivenative1.5931.5673-1.62%1.6509+3.63%0.0630✗1.3210.4M2021-12-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6730.661369-1.73%0.721+7.13%0.0967✗1.243.0M2021-12-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.1543.3064-1.91%44.57+0.95%0.0431✗1.714.7M2021-12-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.76220.746942-2.00%0.7354-3.52%0.0009✓1.7614.6M2021-12-25
GITCOINGITCOIN15.61115.2719-2.17%16.057+2.86%0.0495✗-0.08133k2021-12-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.715.2188-3.07%16.15+2.87%0.0592✗-0.024.8M2021-12-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.