2021-12-22 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0951

136 of 136 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+2.75%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

52.9%

in alpha space · 39.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+4.60%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.7654	1.7753	+0.56%	2.2356	+26.63%	0.2070	✓	0.52	8.5M	2021-12-23
XMR	Monero	Monero	190.53	191.22	+0.36%	210.04	+10.24%	0.0511	✓	0.95	2.8M	2021-12-23
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.47	2.4782	+0.33%	2.83	+14.57%	0.0902	✓	0.95	4.7M	2021-12-23
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.125	6.1449	+0.32%	6.259	+2.19%	0.0182	✗	0.81	4.7M	2021-12-23
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.357	0.35803	+0.29%	0.372	+4.20%	0.0049	✓	0.74	49k	2021-12-23
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.51	24.5759	+0.27%	25.85	+5.47%	0.0027	✓	1.06	2.7M	2021-12-23
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.0655	5.079	+0.27%	5.2309	+3.27%	0.0319	✗	1.37	5.0M	2021-12-23
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,981.12	3,991.54	+0.26%	4,113.08	+3.31%	0.0177	✗	1.06	768.5M	2021-12-23
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.079046	0.07924	+0.24%	0.08261	+4.51%	0.0016	✓	0.96	787k	2021-12-23
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0712	0.071363	+0.23%	0.0701	-1.54%	0.0792	✗	1.37	2.7M	2021-12-23
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.801	1.8048	+0.21%	1.983	+10.11%	0.0362	✓	1.29	6.8M	2021-12-23
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.18	12.2057	+0.21%	12.52	+2.79%	0.0395	✓	-0.31	5.4M	2021-12-23
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	273.22	273.7075	+0.18%	291.44	+6.67%	0.0142	✓	1.08	1.5M	2021-12-23
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5995	3.6054	+0.16%	3.6067	+0.20%	0.0044	✓	-0.09	372k	2021-12-23
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	48,803.20	48,882.48	+0.16%	50,984.80	+4.47%	0.0021	✗	0.98	12k	2021-12-23
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.34	23.3777	+0.16%	27.01	+15.72%	0.0844	✓	1.34	21.2M	2021-12-23
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2372	3.2423	+0.16%	3.5141	+8.55%	0.0263	✓	1.21	4.0M	2021-12-23
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022989	0.023025	+0.16%	0.024113	+4.89%	0.0082	✗	1.21	2.0M	2021-12-23
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.024	4.0302	+0.15%	4.331	+7.63%	0.0359	✓	0.80	714k	2021-12-23
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.258	8.2703	+0.15%	8.852	+7.19%	0.0086	✓	1.32	635k	2021-12-23
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	48,608.62	48,680.26	+0.15%	50,842.20	+4.60%	0.0015	✓	1.00	750.8M	2021-12-23
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		123.67	123.8415	+0.14%	129.81	+4.96%	0.0028	✓	0.98	2.8M	2021-12-23
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0942	0.094326	+0.13%	0.09675	+2.71%	0.0424	✗	1.51	6.4M	2021-12-23
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.151	5.1579	+0.13%	5.4	+4.83%	0.0175	✓	0.63	936k	2021-12-23
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1865	1.188	+0.12%	1.3425	+13.15%	0.0439	✓	1.74	1.6M	2021-12-23
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.83	8.8402	+0.12%	9.17	+3.85%	0.0020	✓	0.77	934k	2021-12-23
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.227	2.2294	+0.11%	2.334	+4.80%	0.0041	✗	1.11	3.4M	2021-12-23
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	19.92	19.9399	+0.10%	22.19	+11.40%	0.0497	✓	1.27	67.0M	2021-12-23
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.862	3.8658	+0.10%	4.157	+7.64%	0.0421	✓	0.68	487k	2021-12-23
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11507	0.115181	+0.10%	0.12079	+4.97%	0.0019	✗	1.10	30k	2021-12-23
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.79	8.7983	+0.09%	9.28	+5.57%	0.0238	✓	0.66	1.1M	2021-12-23
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.31	3.313	+0.09%	3.71	+12.08%	0.0696	✓	0.97	807k	2021-12-23
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.39	3.3929	+0.08%	3.57	+5.31%	0.0067	✓	0.98	1.3M	2021-12-23
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20351	0.203681	+0.08%	0.21713	+6.69%	0.0093	✗	1.63	34k	2021-12-23
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05029	0.050332	+0.08%	0.05048	+0.38%	0.0396	✗	0.95	16.3M	2021-12-23
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4567	2.4587	+0.08%	2.5126	+2.28%	0.0324	✗	1.20	147k	2021-12-23
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.79	15.8017	+0.07%	16.85	+6.71%	0.0344	✓	0.66	1.5M	2021-12-23
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	206.48	206.6325	+0.07%	247.2	+19.72%	0.1359	✓	0.97	11.4M	2021-12-23
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0865	0.08655	+0.06%	0.0898	+3.82%	0.0126	✗	1.10	22k	2021-12-23
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	33.08	33.0981	+0.05%	34.18	+3.33%	0.0022	✓	0.67	711k	2021-12-23
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.973	2.9739	+0.03%	3.111	+4.64%	0.0072	✓	0.84	103k	2021-12-23
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2424	0.242476	+0.03%	0.2518	+3.88%	0.0172	✓	0.46	428k	2021-12-23
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.6	1.6004	+0.03%	1.75	+9.37%	0.0131	✓	1.70	1.6M	2021-12-23
SOL	Solana	Solana	178.45	178.4977	+0.03%	190.07	+6.51%	0.0175	✓	1.01	265.5M	2021-12-23
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.5418	4.5427	+0.02%	4.7731	+5.09%	0.0089	✗	1.30	5.1M	2021-12-23
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	35.67	35.6753	+0.01%	37.56	+5.30%	0.0046	✓	1.04	6.2M	2021-12-23
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	10.14	10.1412	+0.01%	10.269	+1.27%	0.0164	✗	0.64	455k	2021-12-23
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.07	3.0703	+0.01%	3.28	+6.84%	0.0083	✓	1.29	3.2M	2021-12-23
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.173188	0.173204	+0.01%	0.184934	+6.78%	0.0162	✓	1.10	5.5M	2021-12-23
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2078	0.207818	+0.01%	0.214	+2.98%	0.0100	✗	0.87	776k	2021-12-23
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	182.5	182.5055	+0.00%	195.7	+7.23%	0.0287	✓	0.91	12.1M	2021-12-23
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3641	1.3641	-0.00%	1.4697	+7.74%	0.0274	✗	1.05	35.5M	2021-12-23
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7367	0.736581	-0.02%	0.8173	+10.94%	0.0493	✗	1.22	7.7M	2021-12-23
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.56	15.5561	-0.02%	16.16	+3.86%	0.0132	✓	1.14	5.7M	2021-12-23
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.271	1.2707	-0.03%	1.301	+2.36%	0.0204	✓	0.98	4.4M	2021-12-23
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.5402	6.5383	-0.03%	6.9038	+5.56%	0.0011	✗	1.19	833k	2021-12-23
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.4299	9.427	-0.03%	10.0476	+6.55%	0.0013	✓	1.45	349k	2021-12-23
ZEN	Horizen	Base	68	67.9628	-0.05%	72.45	+6.54%	0.0043	✓	1.52	1.7M	2021-12-23
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	206.65	206.5274	-0.06%	230.55	+11.57%	0.0628	✗	1.05	236k	2021-12-23
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.36	5.3567	-0.06%	5.73	+6.90%	0.0142	✗	1.18	2.8M	2021-12-23
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.435	21.4211	-0.06%	23.316	+8.78%	0.0089	✗	1.69	22.7M	2021-12-23
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.63	35.6044	-0.07%	37.35	+4.83%	0.0024	✗	1.01	22.5M	2021-12-23
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	165.84	165.7151	-0.08%	167.41	+0.95%	0.0510	✓	1.36	13.6M	2021-12-23
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011055	0.000110463	-0.08%	0.00011442	+3.50%	0.0094	✓	0.99	12.0M	2021-12-23
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10602	0.105932	-0.08%	0.11374	+7.28%	0.0467	✗	0.54	143k	2021-12-23
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3279	1.3268	-0.09%	1.4743	+11.02%	0.0593	✗	1.03	128.9M	2021-12-23
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3628	1.3616	-0.09%	1.4381	+5.53%	0.0064	✗	1.07	1.5M	2021-12-23
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	155.44	155.2866	-0.10%	163.74	+5.34%	0.0098	✓	1.40	60.2M	2021-12-23
DASH	Dash	Dash	135.16	135.0234	-0.10%	146.65	+8.50%	0.0266	✗	1.25	2.2M	2021-12-23
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	181.9072	181.723	-0.10%	189.2792	+4.05%	0.0105	✓	1.14	748k	2021-12-23
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.4753	3.4717	-0.10%	3.7505	+7.92%	0.0304	✗	1.04	819k	2021-12-23
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.59	3.5863	-0.10%	3.94	+9.75%	0.0491	✗	1.00	11.9M	2021-12-23
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3774	0.376984	-0.11%	0.389	+3.07%	0.0269	✓	1.30	6.6M	2021-12-23
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2856	0.285271	-0.12%	0.3131	+9.63%	0.0365	✗	1.26	6.6M	2021-12-23
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	10.02	10.0084	-0.12%	10.52	+4.99%	0.0072	✗	0.95	1.9M	2021-12-23
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.53	5.5234	-0.12%	6.07	+9.76%	0.0458	✗	1.08	5.3M	2021-12-23
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05685	0.056779	-0.12%	0.05928	+4.27%	0.0074	✓	1.12	20k	2021-12-23
METRONOME	METRONOME		5.0079	5.0017	-0.12%	5.1126	+2.09%	0.0122	✓	0.76	31k	2021-12-23
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0194	0.019376	-0.13%	0.02116	+9.07%	0.0633	✗	0.55	61k	2021-12-23
XEM	NEM	native	0.1305	0.130328	-0.13%	0.1393	+6.74%	0.0178	✗	1.09	202k	2021-12-23
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6944	0.693447	-0.14%	0.7336	+5.65%	0.0015	✓	1.29	14.9M	2021-12-23
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.898	0.89675	-0.14%	0.955	+6.35%	0.0031	✓	1.47	9.7M	2021-12-23
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.000035	0.000034948	-0.15%	0.00003868	+10.51%	0.0565	✗	1.00	1.9M	2021-12-23
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.569	1.5665	-0.16%	1.645	+4.84%	0.0102	✓	1.32	5.4M	2021-12-23
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.267724	0.267285	-0.16%	0.287776	+7.49%	0.0295	✗	0.99	39.0M	2021-12-23
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.93	7.9164	-0.17%	8.15	+2.77%	0.0007	✓	0.63	1.1M	2021-12-23
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.824208	0.822731	-0.18%	0.886127	+7.51%	0.0263	✗	1.07	4.7M	2021-12-23
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	33.76	33.6985	-0.18%	37.11	+9.92%	0.0289	✗	1.50	1.6M	2021-12-23
XVG	Verge	native	0.01724	0.017206	-0.19%	0.01843	+6.90%	0.0158	✗	1.18	2.9M	2021-12-23
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3293	0.328633	-0.20%	0.3861	+17.25%	0.0959	✗	1.45	4.4M	2021-12-23
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3409	0.340209	-0.20%	0.3628	+6.42%	0.0244	✗	0.89	401k	2021-12-23
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.0179	0.017863	-0.21%	0.01858	+3.80%	0.0171	✓	1.26	3.6M	2021-12-23
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01601	0.015976	-0.21%	0.01705	+6.50%	0.0236	✗	0.92	1.5M	2021-12-23
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	16.21	16.172	-0.23%	18.18	+12.15%	0.0600	✗	1.27	14.1M	2021-12-23
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	11.08	11.0537	-0.24%	11.75	+6.05%	0.0382	✗	0.51	3.4M	2021-12-23
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.46	9.4375	-0.24%	9.83	+3.91%	0.0081	✓	1.09	4.1M	2021-12-23
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4511	0.450025	-0.24%	0.4768	+5.70%	0.0060	✓	1.42	1.6M	2021-12-23
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.24	27.1741	-0.24%	29.17	+7.09%	0.0151	✗	1.24	75.5M	2021-12-23
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2077	0.207191	-0.24%	0.2297	+10.59%	0.0495	✗	1.19	7.6M	2021-12-23
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1026	0.102341	-0.25%	0.1116	+8.77%	0.0260	✗	1.35	3.3M	2021-12-23
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0877	0.087476	-0.26%	0.08995	+2.57%	0.0279	✓	1.24	22.6M	2021-12-23
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.759	3.749	-0.27%	3.838	+2.10%	0.0215	✓	1.00	3.6M	2021-12-23
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.060937	0.060771	-0.27%	0.06319	+3.70%	0.0280	✓	1.49	11.0M	2021-12-23
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	438.3	437.0296	-0.29%	455.7	+3.97%	0.0045	✓	1.03	14.2M	2021-12-23
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0889	1.0856	-0.31%	1.1094	+1.88%	0.0465	✓	1.52	3.0M	2021-12-23
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.36	6.3402	-0.31%	7.3	+14.78%	0.0819	✗	1.31	13.8M	2021-12-23
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2895	3.2792	-0.31%	3.6798	+11.87%	0.0771	✗	0.85	9.3M	2021-12-23
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.1998	2.1917	-0.37%	2.316	+5.28%	0.0348	✓	2.00	2.3M	2021-12-23
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.579	2.5695	-0.37%	2.972	+15.24%	0.1043	✗	0.92	2.8M	2021-12-23
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.33	41.1714	-0.38%	43.08	+4.23%	0.0024	✓	1.06	23.4M	2021-12-23
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.37	10.3292	-0.39%	10.97	+5.79%	0.0268	✗	0.74	1.6M	2021-12-23
HIVE	Hive	native	1.5055	1.4992	-0.42%	1.6503	+9.62%	0.0371	✗	1.31	11.9M	2021-12-23
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	101.56	101.0696	-0.48%	107.4	+5.75%	0.0178	✗	0.96	9.8M	2021-12-23
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.39	27.257	-0.49%	28.38	+3.61%	0.0014	✓	0.87	41.0M	2021-12-23
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6893	0.685812	-0.51%	0.7834	+13.65%	0.0777	✗	1.23	6.5M	2021-12-23
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1365	0.135782	-0.53%	0.1394	+2.12%	0.0223	✓	1.08	508k	2021-12-23
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	45.03	44.7887	-0.54%	49.54	+10.02%	0.0176	✗	1.85	10.6M	2021-12-23
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.2709	1.264	-0.54%	1.2952	+1.91%	0.0235	✓	1.07	23.6M	2021-12-23
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	116.66	115.9826	-0.58%	121.37	+4.04%	0.0065	✓	1.15	158.3M	2021-12-23
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.58	10.5181	-0.59%	11.764	+11.19%	0.1198	✗	-0.18	129k	2021-12-23
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.036887	0.036663	-0.61%	0.039008	+5.75%	0.0162	✗	1.02	13.9M	2021-12-23
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.53	4.5018	-0.62%	4.77	+5.30%	0.0130	✗	1.00	2.8M	2021-12-23
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.21	1.202	-0.66%	1.27	+4.96%	0.0101	✗	1.00	2.3M	2021-12-23
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.9655	1.9522	-0.68%	2.0846	+6.06%	0.0345	✗	0.69	1.3M	2021-12-23
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.634	0.629619	-0.69%	0.689	+8.68%	0.0352	✗	1.22	3.2M	2021-12-23
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,630.71	31,404.92	-0.71%	31,557.56	-0.23%	0.0193	✓	0.54	6.8M	2021-12-23
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.6078	1.5946	-0.83%	1.6908	+5.16%	0.0135	✗	1.01	7.8M	2021-12-23
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.2119	0.209869	-0.96%	0.2212	+4.39%	0.0010	✓	1.15	4.2M	2021-12-23
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.45	5.3908	-1.09%	5.92	+8.62%	0.0487	✗	1.00	6.8M	2021-12-23
API3	Api3	Ethereum	5.04	4.9767	-1.26%	5.18	+2.78%	0.0049	✓	1.00	1.8M	2021-12-23
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.05	4.9812	-1.36%	5.19	+2.77%	0.0197	✓	1.35	28.7M	2021-12-23
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6721	0.662564	-1.42%	0.6665	-0.83%	0.0767	✓	1.84	12.6M	2021-12-23
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	41.49	40.88	-1.47%	44.43	+7.09%	0.0054	✓	1.73	5.2M	2021-12-23
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.31	1.2894	-1.57%	1.37	+4.58%	0.0157	✓	1.00	196k	2021-12-23
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02388	0.023451	-1.80%	0.02368	-0.84%	0.0352	✓	1.00	34.3M	2021-12-23
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.62	10.4055	-2.02%	11.89	+11.96%	0.1387	✗	-0.12	4.2M	2021-12-23

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.