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2021-12-22 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3049
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+25.36%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.1%
in alpha space · 94.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-25.00%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.4933.8039-18.53%24.86-40.08%0.1912✓1.735.2M2022-01-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6340.527025-16.87%0.352-44.48%0.0516✓1.223.2M2022-01-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.76541.478-16.28%0.5186-70.62%0.8969✓0.528.5M2022-01-21
HIVEHivenative1.50551.2615-16.21%0.906-39.82%0.0460✓1.3111.9M2022-01-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.089.4334-14.86%6.49-41.43%0.2274✓0.513.4M2022-01-21
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28952.8031-14.78%2.2219-32.45%0.0122✓0.859.3M2022-01-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023880.020529-14.03%0.0092-61.47%0.5149✓1.0034.3M2022-01-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0368870.031723-14.00%0.022082-40.14%0.0689✓1.0213.9M2022-01-21
UOSUltraEthereum1.60781.3887-13.63%0.91734-42.95%0.1255✓1.017.8M2022-01-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.203510.176353-13.34%0.16704-17.92%0.4145✗1.6334k2022-01-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.629.2132-13.25%7.97-24.95%0.1791✓-0.124.2M2022-01-21
CELLCellframeEthereum1.311.1435-12.71%0.8913-31.96%0.0385✓1.00196k2022-01-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.0339.3451-12.62%17.88-60.29%0.2558✓1.8510.6M2022-01-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5792.2617-12.30%1.738-32.61%0.0006✓0.922.8M2022-01-21
SCSiacoinnative0.016010.014067-12.13%0.01044-34.79%0.0326✓0.921.5M2022-01-21
ZENHorizenBase6860.1971-11.47%38.94-42.74%0.0011✓1.521.7M2022-01-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.28560.253539-11.23%0.198-30.67%0.1152✓1.266.6M2022-01-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.593.1923-11.08%2.45-31.75%0.0230✓1.0011.9M2022-01-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.67210.598227-10.99%0.6365-5.30%0.5909✗1.8412.6M2022-01-21
UMAUMAEthereum9.468.4214-10.98%6.6-30.23%0.0693✓1.094.1M2022-01-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7593.3707-10.33%2.795-25.65%0.1004✓1.003.6M2022-01-21
LRCLoopringEthereum2.19981.9749-10.23%0.8678-60.55%0.2460✓2.002.3M2022-01-21
XVGVergenative0.017240.015502-10.08%0.01002-41.88%0.0977✓1.182.9M2022-01-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68930.622751-9.65%0.4811-30.20%0.0966✓1.236.5M2022-01-21
ZECZcashZcash165.84149.8966-9.61%102.35-38.28%0.0102✓1.3613.6M2022-01-21
STORJStorjEthereum1.96551.7817-9.35%1.1848-39.72%0.2085✓0.691.3M2022-01-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73670.669034-9.19%0.5619-23.73%0.1758✗1.227.7M2022-01-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.45110.410614-8.98%0.5351+18.62%0.6731✗1.421.6M2022-01-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.34090.310372-8.96%0.2396-29.72%0.0036✓0.89401k2022-01-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche116.66106.4179-8.78%66.07-43.37%0.1445✓1.15158.3M2022-01-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.08770.08021-8.54%0.05552-36.69%0.0109✓1.2422.6M2022-01-21
API3Api3Ethereum5.044.6108-8.52%4.65-7.74%0.2961✗1.001.8M2022-01-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0609370.055976-8.14%0.041641-31.67%0.1336✗1.4911.0M2022-01-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.455.011-8.05%2.29-57.98%0.4954✓1.006.8M2022-01-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.0000350.000032201-8.00%0.00002226-36.40%0.0815✓1.001.9M2022-01-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.054.6547-7.83%3.31-34.46%0.0482✓1.3528.7M2022-01-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.18651.0943-7.77%0.81011-31.72%0.2012✗1.741.6M2022-01-21
GITCOINGITCOIN10.589.8868-6.55%7.826-26.03%0.2843✓-0.18129k2022-01-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.37740.352797-6.52%0.2523-33.15%0.0378✓1.306.6M2022-01-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.21190.198706-6.23%0.0939-55.69%0.4195✓1.154.2M2022-01-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13650.128209-6.07%0.0834-38.90%0.1189✓1.08508k2022-01-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10260.096384-6.06%0.0619-39.67%0.0545✓1.353.3M2022-01-21
RADRadworksEthereum10.029.4224-5.96%5.68-43.31%0.2333✓0.951.9M2022-01-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.08891.0245-5.91%0.6747-38.04%0.0188✓1.523.0M2022-01-21
IMXImmutableEthereum4.534.2669-5.81%2.71-40.18%0.1663✓1.002.8M2022-01-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.54026.1666-5.71%4.7186-27.85%0.0736✗1.19833k2022-01-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.1811.5087-5.51%6.72-44.83%0.6281✓-0.315.4M2022-01-21
KCSKuCoinnative21.43520.2743-5.42%16.808-21.59%0.2983✗1.6922.7M2022-01-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2587.8159-5.35%8.351+1.13%0.4461✗1.32635k2022-01-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.5123.2152-5.28%15.55-36.56%0.0945✓1.062.7M2022-01-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01940.018402-5.14%0.01394-28.14%0.1192✓0.5561k2022-01-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,630.7130,018.68-5.10%25,741.64-18.62%0.0010✓0.546.8M2022-01-21
FTTFTXEthereum41.3339.2303-5.08%38.52-6.80%0.2873✗1.0623.4M2022-01-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01790.016991-5.08%0.01111-37.93%0.0636✓1.263.6M2022-01-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.050290.04788-4.79%0.0303-39.75%0.1853✓0.9516.3M2022-01-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum101.5696.7008-4.78%58.39-42.51%0.2295✓0.969.8M2022-01-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.27091.2103-4.76%0.857-32.57%0.0388✓1.0723.6M2022-01-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.211.1528-4.73%0.73-39.67%0.1692✓1.002.3M2022-01-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.36411.2997-4.72%1.0303-24.47%0.0696✗1.0535.5M2022-01-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.36281.2999-4.61%1.4321+5.09%0.4058✗1.071.5M2022-01-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20770.198117-4.61%0.1206-41.94%0.1530✓1.197.6M2022-01-21
BANDBandEthereum5.365.1175-4.53%3.96-26.12%0.0838✗1.182.8M2022-01-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.106020.101263-4.49%0.07197-32.12%0.1849✓0.54143k2022-01-21
MINAMina Protocolnative3.313.1652-4.37%2.9-12.39%0.1915✗0.97807k2022-01-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.379.9176-4.36%9.4-9.35%0.1604✗0.741.6M2022-01-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.3926.2068-4.32%34.64+26.47%0.5283✗0.8741.0M2022-01-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07120.068198-4.22%0.0363-49.02%0.2378✓1.372.7M2022-01-21
DODODODOEthereum0.8980.860704-4.15%0.561-37.53%0.0049✓1.479.7M2022-01-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.61.5336-4.15%0.97-39.38%0.0300✓1.701.6M2022-01-21
LSKLiskEthereum2.45672.3555-4.12%1.6672-32.14%0.0006✓1.20147k2022-01-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.00794.8024-4.10%3.2277-35.55%0.1787✓0.7631k2022-01-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.7915.143-4.10%13.42-15.01%0.0701✗0.661.5M2022-01-21
QTUMQtumQtum9.42999.0438-4.09%6.1225-35.07%0.0262✓1.45349k2022-01-21
CBKCobakEthereum2.9732.8537-4.01%2.197-26.10%0.0193✓0.84103k2022-01-21
XLMStellarStellar0.2677240.257051-3.99%0.202862-24.23%0.0472✗0.9939.0M2022-01-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.0831.7708-3.96%23.31-29.53%0.1177✓0.67711k2022-01-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.06554.8651-3.96%3.555-29.82%0.0793✗1.375.0M2022-01-21
MOVRMoonriverBase181.9072174.7188-3.95%95-47.78%0.2812✓1.14748k2022-01-21
QNTQuantEthereum182.5175.385-3.90%114.44-37.29%0.1638✓0.9112.1M2022-01-21
ADACardanoCardano1.32791.2767-3.86%1.1211-15.57%0.1653✗1.03128.9M2022-01-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08650.083177-3.84%0.0634-26.71%0.0451✗1.1022k2022-01-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2272.1446-3.70%1.445-35.11%0.0752✓1.113.4M2022-01-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20780.200144-3.68%0.1474-29.07%0.0544✓0.87776k2022-01-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.072.9573-3.67%2-34.85%0.0213✓1.293.2M2022-01-21
XECeCashnative0.000110550.000106523-3.64%0.00007968-27.92%0.0048✓0.9912.0M2022-01-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.32930.317424-3.61%0.2921-11.30%0.3347✗1.454.4M2022-01-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1731880.167003-3.57%0.142057-17.98%0.1542✗1.105.5M2022-01-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.7632.5755-3.51%21.23-37.11%0.0041✓1.501.6M2022-01-21
XEMNEMnative0.13050.125956-3.48%0.097-25.67%0.0511✗1.09202k2022-01-21
DASHDashDash135.16130.5083-3.44%105.73-21.77%0.1483✗1.252.2M2022-01-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.69440.671411-3.31%0.4366-37.13%0.0605✓1.2914.9M2022-01-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.149.8177-3.18%5.957-41.25%0.3145✓0.64455k2022-01-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.2426.3793-3.16%19.67-27.79%0.0634✗1.2475.5M2022-01-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8242080.798381-3.13%0.55846-32.24%0.0505✓1.074.7M2022-01-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.056850.055086-3.10%0.03977-30.04%0.0025✓1.1220k2022-01-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin48,608.6247,100.69-3.10%36,456.94-25.00%0.0315✗1.00750.8M2022-01-21
CTKShentuOsmosis1.8011.7455-3.08%1.209-32.87%0.0036✓1.296.8M2022-01-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,803.2047,304.69-3.07%36,607.80-24.99%0.0269✓0.9812k2022-01-21
SUSHISushiEthereum6.366.1702-2.98%4.96-22.01%0.1597✗1.3113.8M2022-01-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.6334.5698-2.98%21.98-38.31%0.1616✓1.0122.5M2022-01-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.346713-2.88%0.271-24.09%0.0326✓0.7449k2022-01-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.535.3719-2.86%4.17-24.59%0.0577✗1.085.3M2022-01-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2711.2349-2.84%0.764-39.89%0.1984✓0.984.4M2022-01-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.115070.111836-2.81%0.08324-27.66%0.0215✓1.1030k2022-01-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0229890.02235-2.78%0.016171-29.66%0.0245✓1.212.0M2022-01-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.6734.6929-2.74%25.95-27.25%0.0100✓1.046.2M2022-01-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.23723.1497-2.70%3.11-3.93%0.3340✗1.214.0M2022-01-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.44151.2618-2.69%114.51-26.33%0.1240✗1.4060.2M2022-01-21
UNIUniswapEthereum16.2115.8015-2.52%12.63-22.09%0.1411✗1.2714.1M2022-01-21
KSMKusamaHydration273.22266.4614-2.47%213.87-21.72%0.0909✗1.081.5M2022-01-21
XTZTezosTezos4.54184.4298-2.47%3.3417-26.42%0.0919✗1.305.1M2022-01-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.9219.429-2.46%17.44-12.45%0.2581✗1.2767.0M2022-01-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.3422.7652-2.46%24.19+3.64%0.4448✗1.3421.2M2022-01-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.838.6153-2.43%6.56-25.71%0.0506✓0.77934k2022-01-21
XYMSymbolnative0.24240.236602-2.39%0.1639-32.38%0.2358✓0.46428k2022-01-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.472.4123-2.34%1.84-25.51%0.0017✓0.954.7M2022-01-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.09420.092056-2.28%0.05388-42.80%0.1015✓1.516.4M2022-01-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV123.67120.9541-2.20%95.68-22.63%0.0488✗0.982.8M2022-01-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.393.3161-2.18%2.46-27.43%0.0159✓0.981.3M2022-01-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1515.0429-2.10%4.12-20.02%0.0201✓0.63936k2022-01-21
SOLSolanaSolana178.45174.7171-2.09%112.32-37.06%0.1515✓1.01265.5M2022-01-21
XMRMoneroMonero190.53186.7164-2.00%172.82-9.30%0.1963✗0.952.8M2022-01-21
NANOnanopayBase3.47533.4062-1.99%2.3265-33.06%0.0816✓1.04819k2022-01-21
ETHEthereumEthereum3,981.123,906.57-1.87%2,569.01-35.47%0.1139✓1.06768.5M2022-01-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.798.631-1.81%6.31-28.21%0.1245✓0.661.1M2022-01-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.937.7909-1.75%5.64-28.88%0.1411✓0.631.1M2022-01-21
COMPCompoundEthereum206.65203.2132-1.66%139.37-32.56%0.0746✓1.05236k2022-01-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5691.5471-1.39%0.984-37.28%0.0742✓1.325.4M2022-01-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.59953.5494-1.39%3.5345-1.81%0.0299✓-0.09372k2022-01-21
GTGateEthereum6.1256.0432-1.34%6.243+1.93%0.2667✗0.814.7M2022-01-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8623.8152-1.21%3.168-17.97%0.0098✓0.68487k2022-01-21
XVSVenusEthereum15.5615.4044-1.00%9.94-36.12%0.1095✓1.145.7M2022-01-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash438.3434.9449-0.77%315.04-28.12%0.0257✓1.0314.2M2022-01-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.0243.9959-0.70%3.392-15.71%0.0672✗0.80714k2022-01-21
AAVEAaveEthereum206.48205.4816-0.48%171.09-17.14%0.0946✗0.9711.4M2022-01-21
TRXTRONTron0.0790460.079361+0.40%0.061109-22.69%0.0158✓0.96787k2022-01-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.