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2021-12-19 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2909
135 of 135 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+20.40%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.9%
in alpha space · 75.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0384950.030363-21.13%0.027164-29.43%0.0124✓1.0215.0M2022-01-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.27680.225083-18.68%0.1293-53.29%0.4363✓1.223.7M2022-01-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6040.51928-14.03%0.499-17.38%0.0807✓1.243.4M2022-01-18
HIVEHivenative1.46421.2635-13.70%1.2149-17.03%0.0903✓1.3312.4M2022-01-18
MANADecentralandEthereum3.25672.8162-13.53%2.859-12.21%0.1006✓0.8812.2M2022-01-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.47011.2902-12.24%1.236-15.92%0.0547✓1.017.8M2022-01-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.69.3134-12.14%8.78-17.17%0.0106✓0.504.2M2022-01-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.016890.014891-11.84%0.01274-24.57%0.0590✓1.0033.0M2022-01-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.203670.179965-11.64%0.19779-2.89%0.2543✗1.6537k2022-01-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche107.695.4043-11.33%86.02-20.06%0.0065✓1.13164.3M2022-01-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum35.1431.2428-11.09%34.09-2.99%0.2577✗1.766.8M2022-01-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3352.0895-10.51%2.277-2.48%0.1751✗0.923.4M2022-01-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.65181.4808-10.35%0.8648-47.64%0.4908✓0.489.0M2022-01-18
LRCLoopringEthereum2.05191.8395-10.35%1.1612-43.41%0.2689✓1.972.3M2022-01-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.68471.5131-10.18%1.5502-7.98%0.0876✓0.651.4M2022-01-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.28.2804-10.00%11.41+24.02%0.3052✗-0.163.7M2022-01-18
UMAUMAEthereum9.098.2156-9.62%7.94-12.65%0.0735✓1.114.1M2022-01-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6283.2833-9.50%3.378-6.89%0.1255✗1.003.8M2022-01-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.8336.9525-9.50%23.4-42.69%0.2685✓1.9413.8M2022-01-18
ZECZcashZcash157.78142.8472-9.46%131.97-16.36%0.0554✓1.3915.2M2022-01-18
ZENHorizenBase65.5259.8192-8.70%52.32-20.15%0.0160✓1.552.2M2022-01-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.13121.034-8.60%1.0043-11.22%0.1435✗1.781.6M2022-01-18
API3Api3Ethereum4.23.839-8.59%4.64+10.48%0.2865✗1.001.7M2022-01-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.533.2276-8.57%3.54+0.28%0.1894✗1.0012.1M2022-01-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.725.249-8.23%3.25-43.18%0.3823✓1.0011.5M2022-01-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.32520.299142-8.01%0.3128-3.81%0.1302✗0.88775k2022-01-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.4290.394874-7.95%0.9154+113.38%1.0159✗1.8010.2M2022-01-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.26310.242947-7.66%0.259-1.56%0.1868✗1.277.4M2022-01-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.43510.402946-7.39%0.6027+38.52%0.4997✗1.001.8M2022-01-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.64580.600609-7.00%0.6093-5.65%0.1337✗1.238.7M2022-01-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030760.000028612-6.98%0.00002811-8.62%0.0793✗1.001.8M2022-01-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.020350.018971-6.78%0.01679-17.49%0.0678✓0.5661k2022-01-18
IMXImmutableEthereum4.54.2034-6.59%3.72-17.33%0.0251✓1.003.1M2022-01-18
SCSiacoinnative0.015370.0144-6.31%0.0133-13.47%0.0097✓0.922.1M2022-01-18
GITCOINGITCOIN9.2798.7039-6.20%11.382+22.66%0.2475✗-0.21119k2022-01-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,997.5130,020.56-6.18%32,596.41+1.87%0.1381✗0.575.5M2022-01-18
XVGVergenative0.016740.015718-6.11%0.01322-21.03%0.0582✓1.183.6M2022-01-18
KCSKuCoinnative21.2319.9694-5.94%20.371-4.05%0.1876✗1.7324.3M2022-01-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13650.128408-5.93%0.105-23.08%0.0945✓1.10648k2022-01-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.171.1056-5.51%0.98-16.24%0.0235✓1.002.4M2022-01-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.07691.0177-5.50%0.9593-10.92%0.0888✗1.523.6M2022-01-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0608960.05761-5.40%0.052076-14.48%0.0453✓1.5113.9M2022-01-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7323.4107-5.33%19.56-20.91%0.0762✓1.073.0M2022-01-18
RADRadworksEthereum9.99.3732-5.32%7.44-24.85%0.1373✓0.971.9M2022-01-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017610.016689-5.23%0.01425-19.08%0.0359✓1.263.6M2022-01-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.9087.4972-5.19%7-11.48%0.0631✗1.36640k2022-01-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.173.9592-5.05%4.56+9.35%0.2699✗1.3328.7M2022-01-18
FTTFTXEthereum39.7437.7571-4.99%44.97+13.16%0.2782✗1.0726.1M2022-01-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.8811.2986-4.89%8.79-26.01%0.2835✓-0.335.9M2022-01-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35641.2903-4.87%1.3179-2.84%0.1236✗1.0638.2M2022-01-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36580.348988-4.60%0.3129-14.46%0.0181✓1.317.0M2022-01-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum95.2990.9984-4.50%73.86-22.49%0.1159✓0.9610.9M2022-01-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.0480.045854-4.47%0.03887-19.02%0.0722✓0.9615.8M2022-01-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100480.09606-4.40%0.08843-11.99%0.0313✓0.53143k2022-01-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07090.067785-4.39%0.06479-8.62%0.0523✗1.0123.2M2022-01-18
MINAMina Protocolnative3.183.0437-4.29%3.45+8.49%0.2207✗0.98821k2022-01-18
MOVRMoonriverBase183.3809175.6048-4.24%126.385-31.08%0.2175✓1.151.2M2022-01-18
BANDBandEthereum5.124.9127-4.05%5.05-1.37%0.1423✗1.182.8M2022-01-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.2530.945-4.05%27.26-15.47%0.0626✓0.66754k2022-01-18
QNTQuantEthereum182.22174.8499-4.04%146.04-19.86%0.0930✓0.9012.3M2022-01-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.9842.8646-4.00%2.691-9.82%0.0208✓0.86105k2022-01-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.93344.7366-3.99%4.0803-17.29%0.0739✓0.7831k2022-01-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19220.184549-3.98%0.1541-19.82%0.0633✓1.218.9M2022-01-18
LSKLiskEthereum2.33162.2421-3.84%2.0816-10.73%0.0412✗1.19191k2022-01-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.73624.5562-3.80%4.1197-13.02%0.0322✓1.375.2M2022-01-18
QTUMQtumQtum9.08398.7407-3.78%7.8307-13.80%0.0332✓1.48356k2022-01-18
XLMStellarStellar0.2538850.24446-3.71%0.253995+0.04%0.1341✗0.9939.3M2022-01-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27851.2321-3.63%1.473+15.21%0.2843✗1.091.6M2022-01-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1312.0537-3.63%1.794-15.81%0.0263✓1.123.4M2022-01-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.551.494-3.61%1.28-17.42%0.0097✓1.692.1M2022-01-18
DODODODOEthereum0.8260.796239-3.60%0.739-10.53%0.0682✗1.4712.1M2022-01-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.3229.9517-3.59%7.355-28.74%0.2378✓0.67374k2022-01-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.95595.7442-3.55%5.9429-0.22%0.1492✗1.19876k2022-01-18
ADACardanoCardano1.24431.2002-3.54%1.4589+17.25%0.2954✗1.03131.8M2022-01-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.169530.163547-3.53%0.165155-2.58%0.1183✗1.125.3M2022-01-18
DASHDashDash129.18124.6596-3.50%130.54+1.05%0.1677✗1.252.2M2022-01-18
XECeCashnative0.000108670.00010487-3.50%0.00009565-11.98%0.0054✓1.0014.3M2022-01-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20120.19421-3.47%0.1749-13.07%0.0197✓0.88776k2022-01-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09470.091416-3.47%0.0808-14.68%0.0086✓1.363.6M2022-01-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07070.068254-3.46%0.0499-29.42%0.1791✓1.383.5M2022-01-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.06411.0274-3.45%1.1015+3.51%0.1623✗0.9523.6M2022-01-18
XEMNEMnative0.12880.124378-3.43%0.1142-11.34%0.0221✓1.11191k2022-01-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.055640.053808-3.29%0.04814-13.48%0.0011✓1.1422k2022-01-18
XYMSymbolnative0.25770.249364-3.23%0.1864-27.67%0.2453✓0.47434k2022-01-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,160.0045,635.72-3.23%42,495.40-9.89%0.0250✓0.9915k2022-01-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08460.081936-3.15%0.0796-5.91%0.0792✗1.1124k2022-01-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.8430.8391-3.14%27.84-12.56%0.0449✗1.521.6M2022-01-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.30630.296868-3.08%0.4092+33.59%0.4639✗1.474.9M2022-01-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.834.7047-3.06%28.48-20.45%0.0973✓1.0320.8M2022-01-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.588.3212-3.02%10.34+20.51%0.2851✗0.701.9M2022-01-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.712.6291-2.99%2.55-5.90%0.0937✗1.282.9M2022-01-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3630.352326-2.94%0.376+3.58%0.1376✗0.7554k2022-01-18
KSMKusamaHydration274.31266.2801-2.93%253.4-7.62%0.0583✗1.111.5M2022-01-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,687.1945,326.92-2.91%42,369.74-9.25%0.0296✗1.00744.5M2022-01-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7551.7053-2.83%1.348-23.19%0.1093✓1.307.6M2022-01-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0231720.022521-2.81%0.019469-15.98%0.0254✓1.241.9M2022-01-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.8933.9566-2.68%32.64-6.45%0.0633✗1.066.9M2022-01-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64820.630892-2.67%0.5309-18.10%0.0527✓1.2414.9M2022-01-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4513.0914-2.67%14.74+9.59%0.1840✗0.671.6M2022-01-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111040.10809-2.66%0.10541-5.07%0.0836✗1.1231k2022-01-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.02332.9476-2.50%3.2233+6.62%0.2071✗1.214.7M2022-01-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69090.673744-2.48%0.6816-1.35%0.1287✗1.218.2M2022-01-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.7824.1668-2.47%25.15+1.49%0.1613✗1.2575.1M2022-01-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092060.089844-2.41%0.07514-18.38%0.0371✓1.467.0M2022-01-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2191.1899-2.39%1.008-17.31%0.0693✓1.005.1M2022-01-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos22.1821.6574-2.36%38.27+72.54%0.6501✗0.8342.5M2022-01-18
SOLSolanaSolana179.95175.711-2.36%141.35-21.45%0.1181✓1.02281.0M2022-01-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.770370.752497-2.32%0.720057-6.53%0.0606✗1.084.8M2022-01-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.348.1563-2.20%7.81-6.35%0.0328✗0.79824k2022-01-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.215.0953-2.20%5.03-3.45%0.0919✗1.085.5M2022-01-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.422.3673-2.18%2.19-9.50%0.0153✓0.964.9M2022-01-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin153.31149.9855-2.17%141.53-7.68%0.0812✗1.4463.2M2022-01-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV123.02120.5072-2.04%108.41-11.88%0.0089✓1.002.3M2022-01-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7224.6269-2.01%4.936+4.53%0.1259✗0.63961k2022-01-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.223.1555-2.00%3.02-6.21%0.0523✗0.991.3M2022-01-18
XMRMoneroMonero183.97180.3243-1.98%204.44+11.13%0.2202✗0.982.9M2022-01-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.8818.5217-1.90%22.98+21.72%0.3407✗1.2969.7M2022-01-18
XTZTezosTezos4.13834.0616-1.85%4.1162-0.53%0.1414✗1.324.2M2022-01-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.6722.2663-1.78%29.38+29.60%0.4068✗1.3320.5M2022-01-18
ETHEthereumEthereum3,925.793,855.91-1.78%3,160.81-19.49%0.0936✓1.08768.5M2022-01-18
UNIUniswapEthereum14.9714.7168-1.69%15.98+6.75%0.2072✗1.2914.2M2022-01-18
SUSHISushiEthereum5.335.2444-1.61%6.21+16.51%0.2953✗1.3012.7M2022-01-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.646.5396-1.51%6.43-3.16%0.0453✗0.641.1M2022-01-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.967.849-1.39%7.79-2.14%0.0565✗0.661.1M2022-01-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.47743.4343-1.24%3.6709+5.56%0.0569✗-0.10372k2022-01-18
COMPCompoundEthereum195.44193.082-1.21%178.35-8.74%0.0241✗1.07228k2022-01-18
GTGateEthereum5.79835.7394-1.02%7.0464+21.53%0.2845✗0.825.2M2022-01-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.553.5167-0.94%3.727+4.99%0.1232✗0.67532k2022-01-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4531.4401-0.89%1.273-12.39%0.0052✓1.335.6M2022-01-18
NANOnanopayBase3.35563.3264-0.87%2.9248-12.84%0.0273✓1.04781k2022-01-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8893.86-0.75%4.117+5.86%0.1441✗0.82780k2022-01-18
XVSVenusEthereum15.4815.379-0.65%13.04-15.76%0.0526✓1.166.6M2022-01-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash432.94430.1499-0.64%381.47-11.89%0.0181✓1.0514.2M2022-01-18
TRXTRONTron0.0795040.079631+0.16%0.068419-13.94%0.0560✗0.99735k2022-01-18
AAVEAaveEthereum183.44184.6184+0.64%232.45+26.72%0.3252✓0.9810.9M2022-01-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.