DARK

Darkwoods · Robinhood · lstm_s3

token id: #795
symbol: DARK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

149

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

66.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1005

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0016

actual -0.0378

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001307	0.001304	-0.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.000949	0.000948924	-0.01%	0.001307	+37.72%	0.3231	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.001397	0.001395	-0.18%	0.000949	-32.07%	0.3983	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.001845	0.001837	-0.39%	0.001397	-24.26%	0.2719	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.002037	0.002028	-0.43%	0.001845	-9.45%	0.1027	✓	1.00
2025-08-04	oos	0.002796	0.002788	-0.32%	–	pending	–	–	3.62
2025-08-03	oos	0.00239	0.002386	-0.13%	0.002796	+17.03%	0.1335	✗	3.45
2025-08-02	oos	0.002305	0.002304	-0.05%	0.00239	+3.67%	0.0141	✓	3.43
2025-08-01	oos	0.002374	0.002372	-0.06%	0.002305	-2.91%	0.0078	✓	3.37
2025-07-31	oos	0.002516	0.002513	-0.11%	0.002374	-5.64%	0.0209	✗	3.55
2025-07-30	oos	0.002592	0.002589	-0.12%	0.002516	-2.93%	0.0358	✗	3.63
2025-07-29	oos	0.00286	0.002855	-0.17%	0.002592	-9.37%	0.0937	✓	3.37
2025-07-28	oos	0.003153	0.003145	-0.24%	0.00286	-9.29%	0.0912	✓	3.38
2025-07-27	oos	0.003054	0.003048	-0.19%	0.003153	+3.24%	0.0742	✗	3.44
2025-07-26	oos	0.002947	0.002942	-0.18%	0.003054	+3.63%	0.0046	✓	3.34
2025-07-25	oos	0.003035	0.003029	-0.21%	0.002947	-2.90%	0.0369	✓	3.37
2025-07-24	oos	0.003066	0.00306	-0.21%	0.003035	-1.01%	0.0136	✗	3.35
2025-07-23	oos	0.003233	0.003225	-0.24%	0.003066	-5.17%	0.0392	✓	3.29
2025-07-22	oos	0.003309	0.003301	-0.24%	0.003233	-2.30%	0.0129	✗	3.32
2025-07-21	oos	0.003192	0.003184	-0.26%	0.003309	+3.67%	0.0340	✓	3.32
2025-07-20	oos	0.002797	0.002792	-0.18%	0.003192	+14.12%	0.1296	✗	4.40
2025-07-19	oos	0.002741	0.002736	-0.17%	0.002797	+2.04%	0.0425	✗	4.02
2025-07-18	oos	0.002851	0.002846	-0.19%	0.002741	-3.86%	0.0337	✓	4.05
2025-07-17	oos	0.002938	0.002932	-0.19%	0.002851	-2.96%	0.0147	✗	4.07
2025-07-16	oos	0.002999	0.002993	-0.20%	0.002938	-2.03%	0.0385	✓	4.02
2025-07-15	oos	0.002946	0.00294	-0.20%	0.002999	+1.80%	0.0108	✓	4.02
2025-07-14	oos	0.002694	0.00269	-0.17%	0.002946	+9.35%	0.1643	✗	4.17
2025-07-13	oos	0.002897	0.002891	-0.19%	0.002694	-7.01%	0.0963	✓	4.18
2025-07-12	oos	0.003098	0.003091	-0.23%	0.002897	-6.49%	0.1237	✓	4.21
2025-07-11	oos	0.003358	0.003348	-0.29%	0.003098	-7.74%	0.0738	✓	4.20
2025-07-10	oos	0.003002	0.002994	-0.25%	0.003358	+11.86%	0.0592	✗	4.17
2025-07-09	oos	0.002724	0.002719	-0.19%	0.003002	+10.21%	0.0771	✓	4.22
2025-07-08	oos	0.002578	0.002575	-0.11%	0.002724	+5.66%	0.0327	✓	4.21
2025-07-07	oos	0.002644	0.002641	-0.11%	0.002578	-2.50%	0.0508	✓	4.21
2025-07-06	oos	0.002814	0.002809	-0.17%	0.002644	-6.04%	0.0238	✓	4.22
2025-07-05	oos	0.002657	0.002655	-0.06%	0.002814	+5.91%	0.0204	✗	4.21
2025-07-04	oos	0.002586	0.002587	+0.03%	0.002657	+2.75%	0.0183	✓	4.21
2025-07-03	oos	0.002754	0.002753	-0.05%	0.002586	-6.10%	0.0001	✓	4.24
2025-07-02	oos	0.002885	0.002884	-0.05%	0.002754	-4.54%	0.0748	✓	4.24
2025-07-01	oos	0.002573	0.00258	+0.28%	0.002885	+12.13%	0.0128	✗	4.21
2025-06-30	oos	0.003278	0.003274	-0.11%	0.002573	-21.51%	0.1847	✓	4.11
2025-06-29	oos	0.003167	0.003166	-0.03%	0.003278	+3.50%	0.0819	✗	4.19
2025-06-28	oos	0.002957	0.002962	+0.16%	0.003167	+7.10%	0.0271	✓	4.17
2025-06-27	oos	0.003523	0.003521	-0.07%	0.002957	-16.07%	0.1838	✓	4.16
2025-06-26	oos	0.004013	0.004004	-0.23%	0.003523	-12.21%	0.1312	✓	4.15
2025-06-25	oos	0.004036	0.004028	-0.21%	0.004013	-0.57%	0.0108	✗	4.17
2025-06-24	oos	0.004267	0.004257	-0.25%	0.004036	-5.41%	0.1026	✓	4.19
2025-06-23	oos	0.004368	0.004357	-0.24%	0.004267	-2.31%	0.0496	✓	4.19
2025-06-22	oos	0.004004	0.004006	+0.06%	0.004368	+9.09%	0.0969	✗	4.28
2025-06-21	oos	0.003983	0.003986	+0.08%	0.004004	+0.53%	0.0541	✓	4.34
2025-06-20	oos	0.004445	0.00444	-0.11%	0.003983	-10.39%	0.0599	✓	4.33
2025-06-19	oos	0.004911	0.004898	-0.27%	0.004445	-9.49%	0.0405	✓	4.33
2025-06-18	oos	0.005086	0.005071	-0.30%	0.004911	-3.44%	0.0219	✓	4.34
2025-06-17	oos	0.005041	0.005029	-0.23%	0.005086	+0.89%	0.0023	✓	4.34
2025-06-16	oos	0.005281	0.005265	-0.30%	0.005041	-4.54%	0.0518	✗	4.45
2025-06-15	oos	0.005917	0.00589	-0.46%	0.005281	-10.75%	0.1622	✓	4.50
2025-06-14	oos	0.006217	0.006185	-0.51%	0.005917	-4.83%	0.0500	✓	4.50
2025-06-13	oos	0.005012	0.005009	-0.06%	0.006217	+24.04%	0.2445	✗	4.64
2025-06-12	oos	0.005304	0.005299	-0.09%	0.005012	-5.51%	0.0729	✓	4.64
2025-06-11	oos	0.006633	0.006601	-0.48%	0.005304	-20.04%	0.0932	✓	4.57
2025-06-10	oos	0.005894	0.005879	-0.25%	0.006633	+12.54%	0.1923	✗	4.81
2025-06-09	oos	0.006098	0.006082	-0.26%	0.005894	-3.35%	0.0314	✓	4.82
2025-06-08	oos	0.005929	0.005924	-0.08%	0.006098	+2.85%	0.1829	✓	5.07
2025-06-07	oos	0.005997	0.005995	-0.04%	0.005929	-1.13%	0.0190	✓	5.07
2025-06-06	oos	0.005891	0.005896	+0.08%	0.005997	+1.80%	0.0419	✗	5.07
2025-06-05	oos	0.005238	0.005257	+0.35%	0.005891	+12.47%	0.0239	✗	5.02
2025-06-04	oos	0.00631	0.006315	+0.08%	0.005238	-16.99%	0.0305	✗	5.07
2025-06-03	oos	0.00767	0.007653	-0.22%	0.00631	-17.73%	0.1600	✓	5.00
2025-06-02	oos	0.007135	0.007132	-0.04%	0.00767	+7.50%	0.0947	✗	5.09
2025-06-01	oos	0.007398	0.007394	-0.05%	0.007135	-3.56%	0.0456	✓	5.09
2025-05-31	oos	0.006696	0.006708	+0.18%	0.007398	+10.48%	0.0473	✓	5.05
2025-05-30	oos	0.006587	0.006605	+0.28%	0.006696	+1.65%	0.0160	✗	5.05
2025-05-29	oos	0.007919	0.00792	+0.02%	0.006587	-16.82%	0.1111	✗	4.98
2025-05-28	oos	0.00946	0.009439	-0.22%	0.007919	-16.29%	0.0712	✓	4.96
2025-05-27	oos	0.010931	0.010891	-0.37%	0.00946	-13.46%	0.0882	✓	4.92
2025-05-26	oos	0.01142	0.011377	-0.38%	0.010931	-4.28%	0.0179	✓	4.95
2025-05-25	oos	0.011277	0.011238	-0.35%	0.01142	+1.27%	0.0028	✓	4.96
2025-05-24	oos	0.012084	0.012037	-0.39%	0.011277	-6.68%	0.1229	✓	4.99
2025-05-23	oos	0.012392	0.012344	-0.39%	0.012084	-2.49%	0.0428	✓	4.99
2025-05-22	oos	0.015393	0.015348	-0.29%	0.012392	-19.50%	0.0068	✓	5.16
2025-05-21	oos	0.012423	0.012386	-0.30%	0.015393	+23.91%	0.1261	✗	4.99
2025-05-20	oos	0.011758	0.011727	-0.27%	0.012423	+5.66%	0.0726	✓	5.01
2025-05-19	oos	0.012125	0.012092	-0.27%	0.011758	-3.03%	0.0879	✓	5.02
2025-05-18	oos	0.011663	0.011641	-0.19%	0.012125	+3.96%	0.0829	✗	5.22
2025-05-17	oos	0.011383	0.011371	-0.11%	0.011663	+2.46%	0.1449	✓	5.39
2025-05-16	oos	0.011643	0.011632	-0.10%	0.011383	-2.23%	0.0183	✓	1.00
2025-05-15	oos	0.012234	0.012218	-0.13%	0.011643	-4.83%	0.0455	✓	1.00
2025-05-14	oos	0.013635	0.013607	-0.21%	0.012234	-10.28%	0.1087	✓	1.00
2025-05-13	oos	0.016633	0.016589	-0.26%	0.013635	-18.02%	0.1905	✓	1.00
2025-05-12	oos	0.018853	0.018784	-0.37%	0.016633	-11.78%	0.1345	✓	1.00
2025-05-11	oos	0.017499	0.017455	-0.25%	0.018853	+7.74%	0.0900	✗	1.00
2025-05-10	oos	0.016775	0.016745	-0.18%	0.017499	+4.32%	0.0505	✗	1.00
2025-05-09	oos	0.01342	0.013422	+0.01%	0.016775	+25.00%	0.2054	✓	1.00
2025-05-08	in	0.015819	0.015801	-0.11%	0.01342	-15.17%	0.1607	✓	1.00
2025-05-07	in	0.011052	0.011078	+0.24%	0.015819	+43.13%	0.2943	✓	1.00
2025-05-06	in	0.01415	0.014145	-0.03%	0.011052	-21.89%	0.2490	✓	1.00
2025-05-05	in	0.015996	0.01597	-0.16%	0.01415	-11.54%	0.1430	✓	1.00
2025-05-04	in	0.017052	0.017017	-0.20%	0.015996	-6.19%	0.0668	✓	1.00
2025-05-03	in	0.01703	0.016997	-0.20%	0.017052	+0.13%	0.0200	✗	1.00
2025-05-02	in	0.023187	0.023094	-0.40%	0.01703	-26.55%	0.2935	✓	1.00
2025-05-01	in	0.0163	0.016278	-0.14%	0.023187	+42.25%	0.3496	✗	1.00
2025-04-30	in	0.02036	0.020299	-0.30%	0.0163	-19.94%	0.2440	✓	1.00
2025-04-29	in	0.024322	0.024235	-0.36%	0.02036	-16.29%	0.1733	✓	1.00
2025-04-28	in	0.025719	0.025624	-0.37%	0.024322	-5.43%	0.0440	✓	1.00
2025-04-27	in	0.030589	0.030447	-0.46%	0.025719	-15.92%	0.1821	✓	1.00
2025-04-26	in	0.03442	0.034237	-0.53%	0.030589	-11.13%	0.1033	✓	1.00
2024-01-16	in	0.000009	0.000009055	+0.61%	–	pending	–	–	-1.27
2024-01-15	in	0.0000157	0.000015766	+0.42%	0.000009	-42.68%	0.5443	✗	-1.09
2024-01-14	in	0.0000149	0.00001498	+0.53%	0.0000157	+5.37%	0.0683	✓	-1.13
2024-01-13	in	0.00001622	0.000016285	+0.40%	0.0000149	-8.14%	0.1217	✗	-1.21
2024-01-12	in	0.0000257	0.000025647	-0.21%	0.00001622	-36.89%	0.4563	✓	-1.23
2024-01-11	in	0.00002504	0.000024994	-0.18%	0.0000257	+2.64%	0.0852	✓	-1.41
2024-01-10	in	0.00002673	0.000026668	-0.23%	0.00002504	-6.32%	0.0730	✓	-1.44
2024-01-09	in	0.00003347	0.000033352	-0.35%	0.00002673	-20.14%	0.2051	✓	-1.38
2024-01-08	in	0.00002866	0.000028602	-0.20%	0.00003347	+16.78%	0.1336	✗	-1.26
2024-01-07	in	0.00002885	0.00002879	-0.21%	0.00002866	-0.66%	0.0968	✗	-1.51
2024-01-06	in	0.00003261	0.000032521	-0.27%	0.00002885	-11.53%	0.1213	✓	-1.54
2024-01-05	in	0.0000316	0.000031524	-0.24%	0.00003261	+3.20%	0.0272	✗	-1.52
2024-01-04	in	0.000032	0.000031943	-0.18%	0.0000316	-1.25%	0.0110	✓	-1.52
2024-01-03	in	0.00003349	0.00003343	-0.18%	0.000032	-4.45%	0.0033	✗	-1.54
2024-01-02	in	0.0000337	0.000033657	-0.13%	0.00003349	-0.62%	0.0882	✓	-1.73
2024-01-01	in	0.00003166	0.000031636	-0.07%	0.0000337	+6.44%	0.0935	✗	-1.80
2023-12-31	in	0.00003167	0.000031658	-0.04%	0.00003166	-0.03%	0.0901	✗	-2.01
2023-12-30	in	0.00003168	0.00003168	+0.00%	0.00003167	-0.03%	0.0067	✓	-2.02
2023-12-29	in	0.00003798	0.000037927	-0.14%	0.00003168	-16.59%	0.1762	✓	-2.03
2023-12-28	in	0.0000381	0.000038049	-0.13%	0.00003798	-0.31%	0.0269	✓	-2.05
2023-12-27	in	0.00002929	0.000029346	+0.19%	0.0000381	+30.08%	0.2258	✓	-1.70
2023-12-26	in	0.00003903	0.000038996	-0.09%	0.00002929	-24.96%	0.2544	✓	-1.43
2023-12-25	in	0.00004557	0.000045517	-0.12%	0.00003903	-14.35%	0.1983	✓	-1.79
2023-12-24	in	0.00005145	0.000051335	-0.22%	0.00004557	-11.43%	0.0965	✓	-1.73
2023-12-23	in	0.00004727	0.000047213	-0.12%	0.00005145	+8.84%	0.0592	✗	-1.65
2023-12-22	in	0.00003765	0.000037651	+0.00%	0.00004727	+25.55%	0.2341	✓	1.00
2023-12-21	in	0.00004179	0.000041765	-0.06%	0.00003765	-9.91%	0.1069	✓	1.00
2023-12-20	in	0.00004502	0.000044975	-0.10%	0.00004179	-7.17%	0.0780	✓	1.00
2023-12-19	in	0.00005	0.00004988	-0.24%	0.00004502	-9.96%	0.1353	✓	1.00
2023-12-18	in	0.000056	0.000055844	-0.28%	0.00005	-10.71%	0.1015	✓	1.00
2023-12-17	in	0.00005097	0.000050822	-0.29%	0.000056	+9.87%	0.0660	✗	1.00
2023-12-16	in	0.000045	0.000044894	-0.24%	0.00005097	+13.27%	0.1482	✗	1.00
2023-12-15	in	0.00004838	0.000048066	-0.65%	0.000045	-6.99%	0.0731	✓	1.00
2023-12-14	in	0.00004328	0.000043269	-0.03%	0.00004838	+11.78%	0.1374	✗	1.00
2023-12-13	in	0.00004588	0.000045856	-0.05%	0.00004328	-5.67%	0.0611	✓	1.00
2023-12-12	in	0.00006089	0.000060723	-0.27%	0.00004588	-24.65%	0.3137	✓	1.00
2023-12-11	in	0.00006109	0.000060911	-0.29%	0.00006089	-0.33%	0.0063	✓	1.00
2023-12-10	in	0.00006163	0.000061558	-0.12%	0.00006109	-0.88%	0.0527	✗	1.00
2023-12-09	in	0.00005702	0.000056949	-0.12%	0.00006163	+8.08%	0.0774	✗	1.00
2023-12-08	in	0.00005751	0.00005745	-0.10%	0.00005702	-0.85%	0.0032	✗	1.00
2023-12-07	in	0.00006009	0.000059947	-0.24%	0.00005751	-4.29%	0.0624	✓	1.00
2023-12-06	in	0.0000579	0.000057804	-0.17%	0.00006009	+3.78%	0.0499	✗	1.00
2023-12-05	in	0.00005568	0.000055603	-0.14%	0.0000579	+3.99%	0.0478	✗	1.00
2023-12-04	in	0.00006001	0.000059837	-0.29%	0.00005568	-7.22%	0.1207	✓	1.00
2023-12-03	in	0.00006997	0.000069658	-0.45%	0.00006001	-14.23%	0.1979	✓	1.00
2023-12-02	in	0.00006388	0.000063606	-0.43%	0.00006997	+9.53%	0.0826	✗	1.00