GRVT
GRVT Token · Ethereum · lstm_s2
- token id
- #373
- symbol
- GRVT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-30
- predictions
- 225
Track record at +1d
assessed
74
of 75 predictions shown
direction hit
40.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0371
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0039
actual -0.0039
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.2669 | 0.265624 | -0.48% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.25965 | 0.25774 | -0.74% | 0.2669 | +2.79% | 0.0353 | ✗ | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.23295 | 0.232294 | -0.28% | 0.25965 | +11.46% | 0.1100 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.21595 | 0.21589 | -0.03% | 0.23295 | +7.87% | 0.0763 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.21555 | 0.215326 | -0.10% | 0.21595 | +0.19% | 0.0020 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.217686 | -0.10% | 0.21555 | -1.08% | 0.0097 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2297 | 0.229295 | -0.18% | 0.2179 | -5.14% | 0.0503 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2142 | 0.214078 | -0.06% | 0.2297 | +7.24% | 0.0698 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20665 | 0.206628 | -0.01% | 0.2142 | +3.65% | 0.0381 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2119 | 0.211837 | -0.03% | 0.20665 | -2.48% | 0.0268 | ✓ | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.23087 | -0.23% | 0.2119 | -8.43% | 0.0845 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.234 | 0.233288 | -0.30% | 0.2314 | -1.11% | 0.0086 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.22515 | 0.22446 | -0.31% | 0.234 | +3.93% | 0.0414 | ✗ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2283 | 0.227297 | -0.44% | 0.22515 | -1.38% | 0.0101 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.223 | 0.222035 | -0.43% | 0.2283 | +2.38% | 0.0293 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.2265 | 0.225516 | -0.43% | 0.223 | -1.55% | 0.0095 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.22355 | 0.222379 | -0.52% | 0.2265 | +1.32% | 0.0185 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.22175 | 0.220578 | -0.53% | 0.22355 | +0.81% | 0.0140 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.214352 | -0.72% | 0.22175 | +2.71% | 0.0328 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2158 | 0.214175 | -0.75% | 0.2159 | +0.05% | 0.0079 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.20775 | 0.205964 | -0.86% | 0.2158 | +3.87% | 0.0469 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2074 | 0.205614 | -0.86% | 0.20775 | +0.17% | 0.0093 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.2034 | 0.201865 | -0.75% | 0.2074 | +1.97% | 0.0271 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.2057 | 0.203824 | -0.91% | 0.2034 | -1.12% | 0.0022 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2017 | 0.199634 | -1.02% | 0.2057 | +1.98% | 0.0309 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.20385 | 0.20173 | -1.04% | 0.2017 | -1.05% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.20935 | 0.207203 | -1.03% | 0.20385 | -2.63% | 0.0166 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2047 | 0.202876 | -0.89% | 0.20935 | +2.27% | 0.0317 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1944 | 0.192859 | -0.79% | 0.2047 | +5.30% | 0.0596 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.19575 | 0.194628 | -0.57% | 0.1944 | -0.69% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.19225 | 0.191229 | -0.53% | 0.19575 | +1.82% | 0.0239 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.1913 | 0.18922 | -1.09% | 0.19225 | +0.50% | 0.0096 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.1938 | 0.191544 | -1.16% | 0.1913 | -1.29% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1894 | 0.187186 | -1.17% | 0.1938 | +2.32% | 0.0343 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1787 | 0.176981 | -0.96% | 0.1894 | +5.99% | 0.0706 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1675 | 0.166379 | -0.67% | 0.1787 | +6.69% | 0.0716 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.16815 | 0.167249 | -0.54% | 0.1675 | -0.39% | 0.0018 | ✓ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.1705 | 0.169292 | -0.71% | 0.16815 | -1.38% | 0.0088 | ✓ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.17025 | 0.169179 | -0.63% | 0.1705 | +0.15% | 0.0090 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.170562 | -0.66% | 0.17025 | -0.84% | 0.0022 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.17495 | 0.173767 | -0.68% | 0.1717 | -1.86% | 0.0119 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.16865 | 0.16771 | -0.56% | 0.17495 | +3.74% | 0.0430 | ✗ | -0.08 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.16025 | 0.159666 | -0.36% | 0.16865 | +5.24% | 0.0547 | ✗ | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1672 | 0.166966 | -0.14% | 0.16025 | -4.16% | 0.0411 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.1687 | 0.16877 | +0.04% | 0.1672 | -0.89% | 0.0094 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1635 | 0.163733 | +0.14% | 0.1687 | +3.18% | 0.0304 | ✓ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1627 | 0.162975 | +0.17% | 0.1635 | +0.49% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1619 | 0.162345 | +0.27% | 0.1627 | +0.49% | 0.0021 | ✓ | 0.04 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.162946 | +0.46% | 0.1619 | -0.18% | 0.0054 | ✗ | 0.05 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1587 | 0.158496 | -0.13% | 0.1622 | +2.21% | 0.0248 | ✗ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1504 | 0.150094 | -0.20% | 0.1587 | +5.52% | 0.0557 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.1633 | 0.163467 | +0.10% | 0.1504 | -7.90% | 0.0848 | ✗ | -0.10 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.1744 | 0.174376 | -0.01% | 0.1633 | -6.36% | 0.0647 | ✓ | -0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.1704 | 0.170408 | +0.00% | 0.1744 | +2.35% | 0.0228 | ✓ | -0.05 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1649 | 0.164793 | -0.06% | 0.1704 | +3.34% | 0.0284 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.171843 | +0.08% | 0.1649 | -3.96% | 0.0104 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1827 | 0.182799 | +0.05% | 0.1717 | -6.02% | 0.0783 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1968 | 0.197011 | +0.11% | 0.1827 | -7.16% | 0.0818 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.2039 | 0.204325 | +0.21% | 0.1968 | -3.48% | 0.0317 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.2315 | 0.232057 | +0.24% | 0.2039 | -11.92% | 0.1453 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2462 | 0.24686 | +0.27% | 0.2315 | -5.97% | 0.0730 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.2856 | 0.286158 | +0.20% | 0.2462 | -13.80% | 0.1340 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2785 | 0.279115 | +0.22% | 0.2856 | +2.55% | 0.0473 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.3042 | 0.303871 | -0.11% | 0.2785 | -8.45% | 0.1394 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.2932 | 0.292047 | -0.39% | 0.3042 | +3.75% | 0.0282 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.2813 | 0.280205 | -0.39% | 0.2932 | +4.23% | 0.0422 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.2828 | 0.281611 | -0.42% | 0.2813 | -0.53% | 0.0269 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.2924 | 0.291089 | -0.45% | 0.2828 | -3.28% | 0.0260 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.3029 | 0.301504 | -0.46% | 0.2924 | -3.47% | 0.0314 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.3229 | 0.321017 | -0.58% | 0.3029 | -6.19% | 0.0510 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.3174 | 0.315625 | -0.56% | 0.3229 | +1.73% | 0.0226 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.3169 | 0.315049 | -0.58% | 0.3174 | +0.16% | 0.0093 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.3277 | 0.325308 | -0.73% | 0.3169 | -3.30% | 0.0202 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.3111 | 0.309294 | -0.58% | 0.3277 | +5.34% | 0.0724 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.2961 | 0.294497 | -0.54% | 0.3111 | +5.07% | 0.0558 | ✗ | 1.00 |