EMBER
embercurve · Solana · lstm_s2
- token id
- #783
- symbol
- EMBER
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 5dvXTZ5qwgafnHtwu3Ls3QrWx1U4LQsFeCuJgkk4QEC6
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-11
- predictions
- 96
Track record at +1d
assessed
31
of 32 predictions shown
direction hit
54.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1334
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0035
actual -0.0513
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002465 | 0.002467 | +0.07% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.002424 | 0.00243 | +0.23% | 0.002465 | +1.69% | 0.0190 | ✓ | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.002855 | 0.002862 | +0.24% | 0.002424 | -15.11% | 0.1888 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003005 | 0.003012 | +0.22% | 0.002855 | -4.98% | 0.0498 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003031 | 0.003046 | +0.48% | 0.003005 | -0.87% | 0.0264 | ✗ | 1.68 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002896 | 0.002913 | +0.61% | 0.003031 | +4.70% | 0.0422 | ✓ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003313 | 0.003326 | +0.38% | 0.002896 | -12.60% | 0.1260 | ✗ | 1.64 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002646 | 0.002661 | +0.56% | 0.003313 | +25.18% | 0.2086 | ✓ | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003509 | 0.003519 | +0.27% | 0.002646 | -24.58% | 0.2625 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00415 | 0.004162 | +0.29% | 0.003509 | -15.45% | 0.1933 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005229 | 0.005194 | -0.67% | 0.00415 | -20.64% | 0.2009 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005076 | 0.005061 | -0.29% | 0.005229 | +3.02% | 0.0234 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005148 | 0.005141 | -0.15% | 0.005076 | -1.40% | 0.0171 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005587 | 0.005577 | -0.18% | 0.005148 | -7.86% | 0.0904 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.006234 | 0.006183 | -0.81% | 0.005587 | -10.38% | 0.0822 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005932 | 0.005871 | -1.04% | 0.006234 | +5.09% | 0.0869 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.004325 | 0.004305 | -0.46% | 0.005932 | +37.16% | 0.3230 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.004877 | 0.004839 | -0.78% | 0.004325 | -11.32% | 0.1035 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005381 | 0.005362 | -0.36% | 0.004877 | -9.37% | 0.1155 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006784 | 0.006732 | -0.77% | 0.005381 | -20.68% | 0.2267 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007134 | 0.007057 | -1.07% | 0.006784 | -4.89% | 0.0353 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006565 | 0.00653 | -0.54% | 0.007134 | +8.66% | 0.0731 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00693 | 0.006883 | -0.67% | 0.006565 | -5.27% | 0.0464 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00905 | 0.008956 | -1.04% | 0.00693 | -23.43% | 0.2587 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01286 | 0.012782 | -0.61% | 0.00905 | -29.63% | 0.3333 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013545 | 0.013465 | -0.59% | 0.01286 | -5.06% | 0.0465 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013929 | -0.58% | 0.013545 | -3.32% | 0.0318 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0134 | 0.013333 | -0.50% | 0.01401 | +4.55% | 0.0530 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01968 | 0.019473 | -1.05% | 0.0134 | -31.91% | 0.3739 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01742 | 0.017294 | -0.73% | 0.01968 | +12.97% | 0.1506 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.01335 | 0.013305 | -0.34% | 0.01742 | +30.49% | 0.2741 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011735 | 0.011625 | -0.94% | 0.01335 | +13.76% | 0.0736 | ✗ | 1.00 |