DOS
DAPPOS · Ethereum · lstm_s2
- token id
- #141
- symbol
- DOS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x951f086a127e280724fd93ccc543f65065afeb5e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-10
- predictions
- 192
Track record at +1d
assessed
63
of 64 predictions shown
direction hit
44.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0385
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0010
actual -0.0061
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.204 | 0.203631 | -0.18% | – | pending | – | – | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.2083 | 0.207255 | -0.50% | 0.204 | -2.06% | 0.0137 | ✓ | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.19055 | 0.190501 | -0.03% | 0.2083 | +9.32% | 0.0800 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.1862 | 0.186183 | -0.01% | 0.19055 | +2.34% | 0.0246 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.18235 | 0.182507 | +0.09% | 0.1862 | +2.11% | 0.0146 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.1833 | 0.183376 | +0.04% | 0.18235 | -0.52% | 0.0046 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.18835 | 0.188405 | +0.03% | 0.1833 | -2.68% | 0.0221 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.1899 | 0.189916 | +0.01% | 0.18835 | -0.82% | 0.0131 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20685 | 0.206264 | -0.28% | 0.1899 | -8.19% | 0.0703 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2327 | 0.231339 | -0.59% | 0.20685 | -11.11% | 0.1236 | ✓ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.27105 | 0.268346 | -1.00% | 0.2327 | -14.15% | 0.1287 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.252 | 0.250654 | -0.53% | 0.27105 | +7.56% | 0.0729 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.23355 | 0.232544 | -0.43% | 0.252 | +7.90% | 0.0778 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2209 | 0.219816 | -0.49% | 0.23355 | +5.73% | 0.0547 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.216927 | -0.45% | 0.2209 | +1.38% | 0.0296 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.21455 | 0.21384 | -0.33% | 0.2179 | +1.56% | 0.0362 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.213094 | -0.38% | 0.21455 | +0.30% | 0.0084 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.2148 | 0.214071 | -0.34% | 0.2139 | -0.42% | 0.0050 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.213091 | -0.38% | 0.2148 | +0.42% | 0.0056 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2155 | 0.214856 | -0.30% | 0.2139 | -0.74% | 0.0063 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.2162 | 0.215485 | -0.33% | 0.2155 | -0.32% | 0.0028 | ✓ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.21385 | 0.213163 | -0.32% | 0.2162 | +1.10% | 0.0040 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.21445 | 0.213785 | -0.31% | 0.21385 | -0.28% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.21085 | 0.210158 | -0.33% | 0.21445 | +1.71% | 0.0188 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2256 | 0.224853 | -0.33% | 0.21085 | -6.54% | 0.0566 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.230573 | -0.36% | 0.2256 | -2.51% | 0.0221 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.22475 | 0.223973 | -0.35% | 0.2314 | +2.96% | 0.0302 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2242 | 0.223684 | -0.23% | 0.22475 | +0.25% | 0.0070 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.2203 | 0.219779 | -0.24% | 0.2242 | +1.77% | 0.0199 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.22085 | 0.220504 | -0.16% | 0.2203 | -0.25% | 0.0138 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.2193 | 0.219096 | -0.09% | 0.22085 | +0.71% | 0.0112 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.212 | 0.211501 | -0.24% | 0.2193 | +3.44% | 0.0079 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.215495 | -0.19% | 0.212 | -1.81% | 0.0157 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.21255 | 0.21212 | -0.20% | 0.2159 | +1.58% | 0.0146 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.2026 | 0.202875 | +0.14% | 0.21255 | +4.91% | 0.0119 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.197 | 0.197708 | +0.36% | 0.2026 | +2.84% | 0.0228 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.2 | 0.200861 | +0.43% | 0.197 | -1.50% | 0.0239 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.21345 | 0.213736 | +0.13% | 0.2 | -6.30% | 0.0474 | ✗ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.2166 | 0.216553 | -0.02% | 0.21345 | -1.45% | 0.0245 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.2156 | 0.215661 | +0.03% | 0.2166 | +0.46% | 0.0079 | ✓ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.21115 | 0.21148 | +0.16% | 0.2156 | +2.11% | 0.0189 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.1993 | 0.199742 | +0.22% | 0.21115 | +5.95% | 0.0504 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.2055 | 0.207167 | +0.81% | 0.1993 | -3.02% | 0.0251 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.21975 | 0.221708 | +0.89% | 0.2055 | -6.48% | 0.0738 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.23365 | 0.235752 | +0.90% | 0.21975 | -5.95% | 0.0621 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.24265 | 0.244477 | +0.75% | 0.23365 | -3.71% | 0.0297 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.2467 | 0.248218 | +0.62% | 0.24265 | -1.64% | 0.0290 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.24235 | 0.243468 | +0.46% | 0.2467 | +1.79% | 0.0112 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.24145 | 0.242295 | +0.35% | 0.24235 | +0.37% | 0.0200 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.23655 | 0.23691 | +0.15% | 0.24145 | +2.07% | 0.0309 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.2577 | 0.257587 | -0.04% | 0.23655 | -8.21% | 0.0840 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.2727 | 0.272201 | -0.18% | 0.2577 | -5.50% | 0.0398 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.3061 | 0.304507 | -0.52% | 0.2727 | -10.91% | 0.1218 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.28175 | 0.280252 | -0.53% | 0.3061 | +8.64% | 0.0955 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.26065 | 0.259397 | -0.48% | 0.28175 | +8.10% | 0.0776 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.2385 | 0.237755 | -0.31% | 0.26065 | +9.29% | 0.1228 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.236 | 0.235579 | -0.18% | 0.2385 | +1.06% | 0.0034 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.2465 | 0.246038 | -0.19% | 0.236 | -4.26% | 0.0480 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.23155 | 0.231475 | -0.03% | 0.2465 | +6.46% | 0.0687 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.22495 | 0.22503 | +0.04% | 0.23155 | +2.93% | 0.0126 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2328 | 0.233006 | +0.09% | 0.22495 | -3.37% | 0.0439 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.25325 | 0.253614 | +0.14% | 0.2328 | -8.08% | 0.0693 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2353 | 0.234885 | -0.18% | 0.25325 | +7.63% | 0.0050 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.2551 | 0.253681 | -0.56% | 0.2353 | -7.76% | 0.1274 | ✓ | 1.00 |