DARK
Darkwoods · Robinhood · lstm_s2
- token id
- #795
- symbol
- DARK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2023-11-23
- predictions
- 456
Track record at +1d
assessed
149
of 152 predictions shown
direction hit
62.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0988
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0074
actual -0.0378
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001307 | 0.001301 | -0.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.000949 | 0.00094447 | -0.48% | 0.001307 | +37.72% | 0.3278 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001394 | -0.19% | 0.000949 | -32.07% | 0.3982 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001845 | 0.001835 | -0.54% | 0.001397 | -24.26% | 0.2704 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002037 | 0.002025 | -0.60% | 0.001845 | -9.45% | 0.1009 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-08-04 | oos | 0.002796 | 0.002767 | -1.06% | – | pending | – | – | 3.62 |
| 2025-08-03 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002377 | -0.53% | 0.002796 | +17.03% | 0.1375 | ✗ | 3.45 |
| 2025-08-02 | oos | 0.002305 | 0.002298 | -0.31% | 0.00239 | +3.67% | 0.0116 | ✓ | 3.43 |
| 2025-08-01 | oos | 0.002374 | 0.002361 | -0.54% | 0.002305 | -2.91% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-31 | oos | 0.002516 | 0.002494 | -0.88% | 0.002374 | -5.64% | 0.0286 | ✗ | 3.55 |
| 2025-07-30 | oos | 0.002592 | 0.002569 | -0.88% | 0.002516 | -2.93% | 0.0435 | ✗ | 3.63 |
| 2025-07-29 | oos | 0.00286 | 0.002838 | -0.75% | 0.002592 | -9.37% | 0.0879 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-28 | oos | 0.003153 | 0.003132 | -0.66% | 0.00286 | -9.29% | 0.0870 | ✓ | 3.38 |
| 2025-07-27 | oos | 0.003054 | 0.003038 | -0.53% | 0.003153 | +3.24% | 0.0775 | ✗ | 3.44 |
| 2025-07-26 | oos | 0.002947 | 0.002926 | -0.73% | 0.003054 | +3.63% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 3.34 |
| 2025-07-25 | oos | 0.003035 | 0.003009 | -0.84% | 0.002947 | -2.90% | 0.0306 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-24 | oos | 0.003066 | 0.00304 | -0.84% | 0.003035 | -1.01% | 0.0199 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-07-23 | oos | 0.003233 | 0.003204 | -0.89% | 0.003066 | -5.17% | 0.0326 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-07-22 | oos | 0.003309 | 0.00328 | -0.88% | 0.003233 | -2.30% | 0.0194 | ✗ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-21 | oos | 0.003192 | 0.003154 | -1.18% | 0.003309 | +3.67% | 0.0248 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-20 | oos | 0.002797 | 0.002762 | -1.26% | 0.003192 | +14.12% | 0.1404 | ✗ | 4.40 |
| 2025-07-19 | oos | 0.002741 | 0.002708 | -1.20% | 0.002797 | +2.04% | 0.0529 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-18 | oos | 0.002851 | 0.002819 | -1.14% | 0.002741 | -3.86% | 0.0242 | ✓ | 4.05 |
| 2025-07-17 | oos | 0.002938 | 0.00291 | -0.95% | 0.002851 | -2.96% | 0.0224 | ✗ | 4.07 |
| 2025-07-16 | oos | 0.002999 | 0.002968 | -1.03% | 0.002938 | -2.03% | 0.0302 | ✓ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-15 | oos | 0.002946 | 0.002912 | -1.17% | 0.002999 | +1.80% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-14 | oos | 0.002694 | 0.002671 | -0.87% | 0.002946 | +9.35% | 0.1714 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-13 | oos | 0.002897 | 0.00287 | -0.95% | 0.002694 | -7.01% | 0.0888 | ✓ | 4.18 |
| 2025-07-12 | oos | 0.003098 | 0.003057 | -1.32% | 0.002897 | -6.49% | 0.1128 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-11 | oos | 0.003358 | 0.003304 | -1.60% | 0.003098 | -7.74% | 0.0605 | ✓ | 4.20 |
| 2025-07-10 | oos | 0.003002 | 0.002947 | -1.82% | 0.003358 | +11.86% | 0.0751 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-09 | oos | 0.002724 | 0.002676 | -1.75% | 0.003002 | +10.21% | 0.0614 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-08 | oos | 0.002578 | 0.002539 | -1.51% | 0.002724 | +5.66% | 0.0186 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-07 | oos | 0.002644 | 0.002604 | -1.52% | 0.002578 | -2.50% | 0.0366 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-06 | oos | 0.002814 | 0.002765 | -1.74% | 0.002644 | -6.04% | 0.0080 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-05 | oos | 0.002657 | 0.002619 | -1.44% | 0.002814 | +5.91% | 0.0344 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-04 | oos | 0.002586 | 0.002555 | -1.20% | 0.002657 | +2.75% | 0.0307 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-03 | oos | 0.002754 | 0.002715 | -1.41% | 0.002586 | -6.10% | 0.0136 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-02 | oos | 0.002885 | 0.002842 | -1.47% | 0.002754 | -4.54% | 0.0604 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-01 | oos | 0.002573 | 0.002566 | -0.27% | 0.002885 | +12.13% | 0.0074 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-06-30 | oos | 0.003278 | 0.003224 | -1.64% | 0.002573 | -21.51% | 0.1692 | ✓ | 4.11 |
| 2025-06-29 | oos | 0.003167 | 0.003117 | -1.58% | 0.003278 | +3.50% | 0.0975 | ✗ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-28 | oos | 0.002957 | 0.002931 | -0.88% | 0.003167 | +7.10% | 0.0375 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-27 | oos | 0.003523 | 0.00347 | -1.50% | 0.002957 | -16.07% | 0.1694 | ✓ | 4.16 |
| 2025-06-26 | oos | 0.004013 | 0.003939 | -1.84% | 0.003523 | -12.21% | 0.1148 | ✓ | 4.15 |
| 2025-06-25 | oos | 0.004036 | 0.003962 | -1.83% | 0.004013 | -0.57% | 0.0271 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-24 | oos | 0.004267 | 0.004184 | -1.94% | 0.004036 | -5.41% | 0.0854 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-23 | oos | 0.004368 | 0.004284 | -1.93% | 0.004267 | -2.31% | 0.0325 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-22 | oos | 0.004004 | 0.004003 | -0.03% | 0.004368 | +9.09% | 0.0960 | ✓ | 4.28 |
| 2025-06-21 | oos | 0.003983 | 0.003967 | -0.41% | 0.004004 | +0.53% | 0.0591 | ✗ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-20 | oos | 0.004445 | 0.004393 | -1.18% | 0.003983 | -10.39% | 0.0491 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-19 | oos | 0.004911 | 0.004828 | -1.70% | 0.004445 | -9.49% | 0.0261 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-18 | oos | 0.005086 | 0.004997 | -1.75% | 0.004911 | -3.44% | 0.0073 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-17 | oos | 0.005041 | 0.004964 | -1.52% | 0.005086 | +0.89% | 0.0107 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-16 | oos | 0.005281 | 0.005182 | -1.87% | 0.005041 | -4.54% | 0.0677 | ✗ | 4.45 |
| 2025-06-15 | oos | 0.005917 | 0.005789 | -2.16% | 0.005281 | -10.75% | 0.1450 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-14 | oos | 0.006217 | 0.006066 | -2.43% | 0.005917 | -4.83% | 0.0306 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-13 | oos | 0.005012 | 0.004954 | -1.16% | 0.006217 | +24.04% | 0.2556 | ✗ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-12 | oos | 0.005304 | 0.005244 | -1.14% | 0.005012 | -5.51% | 0.0624 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-11 | oos | 0.006633 | 0.006485 | -2.23% | 0.005304 | -20.04% | 0.0754 | ✓ | 4.57 |
| 2025-06-10 | oos | 0.005894 | 0.005814 | -1.35% | 0.006633 | +12.54% | 0.2034 | ✗ | 4.81 |
| 2025-06-09 | oos | 0.006098 | 0.006023 | -1.24% | 0.005894 | -3.35% | 0.0215 | ✓ | 4.82 |
| 2025-06-08 | oos | 0.005929 | 0.005898 | -0.52% | 0.006098 | +2.85% | 0.1785 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-07 | oos | 0.005997 | 0.005981 | -0.27% | 0.005929 | -1.13% | 0.0166 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-06 | oos | 0.005891 | 0.005902 | +0.18% | 0.005997 | +1.80% | 0.0429 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-05 | oos | 0.005238 | 0.005291 | +1.00% | 0.005891 | +12.47% | 0.0303 | ✗ | 5.02 |
| 2025-06-04 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006334 | +0.37% | 0.005238 | -16.99% | 0.0334 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-03 | oos | 0.00767 | 0.007643 | -0.35% | 0.00631 | -17.73% | 0.1586 | ✓ | 5.00 |
| 2025-06-02 | oos | 0.007135 | 0.007138 | +0.05% | 0.00767 | +7.50% | 0.0938 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-06-01 | oos | 0.007398 | 0.0074 | +0.02% | 0.007135 | -3.56% | 0.0464 | ✗ | 5.09 |
| 2025-05-31 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.006733 | +0.55% | 0.007398 | +10.48% | 0.0436 | ✓ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-30 | oos | 0.006587 | 0.006631 | +0.67% | 0.006696 | +1.65% | 0.0199 | ✗ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-29 | oos | 0.007919 | 0.007917 | -0.02% | 0.006587 | -16.82% | 0.1107 | ✓ | 4.98 |
| 2025-05-28 | oos | 0.00946 | 0.009376 | -0.89% | 0.007919 | -16.29% | 0.0644 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-27 | oos | 0.010931 | 0.010831 | -0.91% | 0.00946 | -13.46% | 0.0827 | ✓ | 4.92 |
| 2025-05-26 | oos | 0.01142 | 0.011313 | -0.93% | 0.010931 | -4.28% | 0.0124 | ✓ | 4.95 |
| 2025-05-25 | oos | 0.011277 | 0.011181 | -0.85% | 0.01142 | +1.27% | 0.0023 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-24 | oos | 0.012084 | 0.011967 | -0.97% | 0.011277 | -6.68% | 0.1171 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-23 | oos | 0.012392 | 0.012273 | -0.96% | 0.012084 | -2.49% | 0.0371 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-22 | oos | 0.015393 | 0.015192 | -1.31% | 0.012392 | -19.50% | 0.0034 | ✓ | 5.16 |
| 2025-05-21 | oos | 0.012423 | 0.012306 | -0.94% | 0.015393 | +23.91% | 0.1326 | ✗ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-20 | oos | 0.011758 | 0.011652 | -0.90% | 0.012423 | +5.66% | 0.0662 | ✓ | 5.01 |
| 2025-05-19 | oos | 0.012125 | 0.011999 | -1.04% | 0.011758 | -3.03% | 0.0802 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-05-18 | oos | 0.011663 | 0.011562 | -0.87% | 0.012125 | +3.96% | 0.0898 | ✗ | 5.22 |
| 2025-05-17 | oos | 0.011383 | 0.011243 | -1.23% | 0.011663 | +2.46% | 0.1336 | ✓ | 5.39 |
| 2025-05-16 | oos | 0.011643 | 0.011518 | -1.07% | 0.011383 | -2.23% | 0.0085 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-15 | oos | 0.012234 | 0.012138 | -0.79% | 0.011643 | -4.83% | 0.0388 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-14 | oos | 0.013635 | 0.013542 | -0.68% | 0.012234 | -10.28% | 0.1039 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-13 | oos | 0.016633 | 0.016498 | -0.81% | 0.013635 | -18.02% | 0.1850 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-12 | oos | 0.018853 | 0.018687 | -0.88% | 0.016633 | -11.78% | 0.1293 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-11 | oos | 0.017499 | 0.017358 | -0.81% | 0.018853 | +7.74% | 0.0956 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-10 | oos | 0.016775 | 0.016649 | -0.75% | 0.017499 | +4.32% | 0.0563 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-09 | oos | 0.01342 | 0.013346 | -0.55% | 0.016775 | +25.00% | 0.2111 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-08 | in | 0.015819 | 0.015714 | -0.67% | 0.01342 | -15.17% | 0.1552 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-07 | in | 0.011052 | 0.010951 | -0.92% | 0.015819 | +43.13% | 0.3059 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-06 | in | 0.01415 | 0.013985 | -1.16% | 0.011052 | -21.89% | 0.2377 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-05 | in | 0.015996 | 0.015811 | -1.16% | 0.01415 | -11.54% | 0.1330 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-04 | in | 0.017052 | 0.016847 | -1.20% | 0.015996 | -6.19% | 0.0567 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-03 | in | 0.01703 | 0.0168 | -1.35% | 0.017052 | +0.13% | 0.0316 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-02 | in | 0.023187 | 0.022915 | -1.17% | 0.01703 | -26.55% | 0.2857 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-01 | in | 0.0163 | 0.016088 | -1.30% | 0.023187 | +42.25% | 0.3613 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-30 | in | 0.02036 | 0.020105 | -1.25% | 0.0163 | -19.94% | 0.2344 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-29 | in | 0.024322 | 0.024099 | -0.92% | 0.02036 | -16.29% | 0.1677 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-28 | in | 0.025719 | 0.02552 | -0.77% | 0.024322 | -5.43% | 0.0399 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-27 | in | 0.030589 | 0.030313 | -0.90% | 0.025719 | -15.92% | 0.1777 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-26 | in | 0.03442 | 0.034054 | -1.06% | 0.030589 | -11.13% | 0.0979 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-01-16 | in | 0.000009 | 0.000009016 | +0.18% | – | pending | – | – | -1.27 |
| 2024-01-15 | in | 0.0000157 | 0.000015842 | +0.91% | 0.000009 | -42.68% | 0.5492 | ✗ | -1.09 |
| 2024-01-14 | in | 0.0000149 | 0.000015082 | +1.22% | 0.0000157 | +5.37% | 0.0616 | ✓ | -1.13 |
| 2024-01-13 | in | 0.00001622 | 0.000016308 | +0.54% | 0.0000149 | -8.14% | 0.1231 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2024-01-12 | in | 0.0000257 | 0.000025433 | -1.04% | 0.00001622 | -36.89% | 0.4479 | ✓ | -1.23 |
| 2024-01-11 | in | 0.00002504 | 0.000024875 | -0.66% | 0.0000257 | +2.64% | 0.0804 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2024-01-10 | in | 0.00002673 | 0.000026546 | -0.69% | 0.00002504 | -6.32% | 0.0684 | ✓ | -1.44 |
| 2024-01-09 | in | 0.00003347 | 0.000033249 | -0.66% | 0.00002673 | -20.14% | 0.2021 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2024-01-08 | in | 0.00002866 | 0.000028563 | -0.34% | 0.00003347 | +16.78% | 0.1349 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2024-01-07 | in | 0.00002885 | 0.000028508 | -1.19% | 0.00002866 | -0.66% | 0.1066 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2024-01-06 | in | 0.00003261 | 0.000032112 | -1.53% | 0.00002885 | -11.53% | 0.1086 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-05 | in | 0.0000316 | 0.000031172 | -1.35% | 0.00003261 | +3.20% | 0.0384 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-04 | in | 0.000032 | 0.000031591 | -1.28% | 0.0000316 | -1.25% | 0.0001 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-03 | in | 0.00003349 | 0.000033157 | -1.00% | 0.000032 | -4.45% | 0.0115 | ✗ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-02 | in | 0.0000337 | 0.000033459 | -0.71% | 0.00003349 | -0.62% | 0.0823 | ✓ | -1.73 |
| 2024-01-01 | in | 0.00003166 | 0.000031385 | -0.87% | 0.0000337 | +6.44% | 0.1015 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2023-12-31 | in | 0.00003167 | 0.000031631 | -0.12% | 0.00003166 | -0.03% | 0.0910 | ✗ | -2.01 |
| 2023-12-30 | in | 0.00003168 | 0.000031684 | +0.01% | 0.00003167 | -0.03% | 0.0066 | ✓ | -2.02 |
| 2023-12-29 | in | 0.00003798 | 0.000037675 | -0.80% | 0.00003168 | -16.59% | 0.1696 | ✓ | -2.03 |
| 2023-12-28 | in | 0.0000381 | 0.000037732 | -0.97% | 0.00003798 | -0.31% | 0.0185 | ✓ | -2.05 |
| 2023-12-27 | in | 0.00002929 | 0.000029274 | -0.06% | 0.0000381 | +30.08% | 0.2283 | ✗ | -1.70 |
| 2023-12-26 | in | 0.00003903 | 0.000038791 | -0.61% | 0.00002929 | -24.96% | 0.2491 | ✓ | -1.43 |
| 2023-12-25 | in | 0.00004557 | 0.000045768 | +0.43% | 0.00003903 | -14.35% | 0.2038 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2023-12-24 | in | 0.00005145 | 0.000051645 | +0.38% | 0.00004557 | -11.43% | 0.1026 | ✗ | -1.73 |
| 2023-12-23 | in | 0.00004727 | 0.000047491 | +0.47% | 0.00005145 | +8.84% | 0.0534 | ✓ | -1.65 |
| 2023-12-22 | in | 0.00003765 | 0.0000378 | +0.40% | 0.00004727 | +25.55% | 0.2301 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-21 | in | 0.00004179 | 0.000042013 | +0.53% | 0.00003765 | -9.91% | 0.1128 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-20 | in | 0.00004502 | 0.000045274 | +0.56% | 0.00004179 | -7.17% | 0.0847 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-19 | in | 0.00005 | 0.000050448 | +0.90% | 0.00004502 | -9.96% | 0.1466 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-18 | in | 0.000056 | 0.000056294 | +0.53% | 0.00005 | -10.71% | 0.1095 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | in | 0.00005097 | 0.00005143 | +0.90% | 0.000056 | +9.87% | 0.0542 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-16 | in | 0.000045 | 0.000045209 | +0.47% | 0.00005097 | +13.27% | 0.1412 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-15 | in | 0.00004838 | 0.000048455 | +0.16% | 0.000045 | -6.99% | 0.0812 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-14 | in | 0.00004328 | 0.000043394 | +0.26% | 0.00004838 | +11.78% | 0.1345 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-13 | in | 0.00004588 | 0.000045954 | +0.16% | 0.00004328 | -5.67% | 0.0633 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-12 | in | 0.00006089 | 0.000060722 | -0.28% | 0.00004588 | -24.65% | 0.3137 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-11 | in | 0.00006109 | 0.000060829 | -0.43% | 0.00006089 | -0.33% | 0.0050 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | in | 0.00006163 | 0.000061393 | -0.38% | 0.00006109 | -0.88% | 0.0554 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-09 | in | 0.00005702 | 0.000056858 | -0.28% | 0.00006163 | +8.08% | 0.0790 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-08 | in | 0.00005751 | 0.000057381 | -0.22% | 0.00005702 | -0.85% | 0.0044 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-07 | in | 0.00006009 | 0.000059883 | -0.34% | 0.00005751 | -4.29% | 0.0613 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-06 | in | 0.0000579 | 0.000057818 | -0.14% | 0.00006009 | +3.78% | 0.0497 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-05 | in | 0.00005568 | 0.000055697 | +0.03% | 0.0000579 | +3.99% | 0.0461 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-04 | in | 0.00006001 | 0.00005996 | -0.08% | 0.00005568 | -7.22% | 0.1228 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-03 | in | 0.00006997 | 0.000069605 | -0.52% | 0.00006001 | -14.23% | 0.1972 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-02 | in | 0.00006388 | 0.000063561 | -0.50% | 0.00006997 | +9.53% | 0.0833 | ✗ | 1.00 |