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2022-08-30 · +1d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0449
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.35%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
64.0%
in alpha space · 42.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.3122.3866+0.34%19.03-14.70%0.1710✗0.721.5M2022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061420.061601+0.29%0.061277-0.23%0.0178✗1.061.6M2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001551+0.21%0.001503-2.91%0.0431✗0.98433k2022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020380.020416+0.17%0.02026-0.59%0.0175✗0.8411.4M2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum95.6395.7503+0.13%96.47+0.88%0.0026✗0.863.5M2022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.072.0716+0.08%2.03-1.93%0.0263✗0.5197k2022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.14640.146505+0.07%0.1445-1.30%0.0260✗1.03138k2022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana31.4831.5016+0.07%31.5+0.06%0.0138✗1.1665.9M2022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum0.770640.771136+0.06%0.77191+0.16%0.0094✗0.88509k2022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.65660.656973+0.06%0.6723+2.39%0.0067✓1.39226k2022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.002920.002922+0.05%0.00335+14.73%0.1251✓1.00486k2022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.319820.319986+0.05%0.31794-0.59%0.0165✗0.85350k2022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96330.963559+0.03%0.9535-1.02%0.0164✗0.503.6M2022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.05061.0506+0.00%1.0347-1.51%0.0297✗1.23973k2022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.0647050.064704-0.00%0.063428-1.97%0.0271✓0.61129k2022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30980.309788-0.00%0.3041-1.84%0.0312✓1.07111k2022-08-31
STXStacksnative0.36130.361281-0.01%0.365+1.02%0.0035✓1.17393k2022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.035298-0.01%0.0349-1.13%0.0222✓0.9287k2022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33410.334077-0.01%0.3462+3.62%0.0210✗1.24176k2022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.25494.2544-0.01%4.3008+1.08%0.0017✗0.77775k2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,813.1719,809.99-0.02%20,048.26+1.19%0.0002✓1.00490.8M2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.004018-0.04%0.00404+0.50%0.0064✓1.00152k2022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.14864-0.04%0.1531+2.96%0.0165✗1.111,5282022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.07682.0757-0.05%2.1594+3.98%0.0264✗1.1113k2022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20890.208759-0.07%0.2112+1.10%0.0006✓1.0459k2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13890.138805-0.07%0.1395+0.43%0.0070✓1.01510k2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.0970.096933-0.07%0.1003+3.40%0.0256✗0.722,7842022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.54020.539821-0.07%0.55118+2.03%0.0053✗1.3237k2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum26.626.5809-0.07%26.73+0.49%0.0059✓0.977.3M2022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative8.9738.9663-0.07%9.001+0.31%0.0074✓0.961.5M2022-08-31
DASHDashDash45.5145.4746-0.08%44.55-2.11%0.0320✓0.97438k2022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.04581.045-0.08%1.0708+2.39%0.0141✗0.8748k2022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336470.336189-0.08%0.33416-0.69%0.0178✓1.0046k2022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.4663-0.08%4.79+7.16%0.0638✗0.531.1M2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum4.8094.8049-0.08%4.761-1.00%0.0250✓1.348.7M2022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32520.324908-0.09%0.3203-1.51%0.0281✓1.17138k2022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6690.668392-0.09%0.673+0.60%0.0073✓1.204.3M2022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.127484-0.09%0.1276+0.00%0.0112✓1.031.7M2022-08-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.00620.006194-0.09%0.00619-0.16%0.0082✓0.631.0M2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.212.188-0.10%12.5+2.46%0.0127✗1.061.9M2022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.102597-0.10%0.1033+0.58%0.0033✓0.86192k2022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5586.5513-0.10%6.628+1.07%0.0008✓1.0617.7M2022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero148.87148.7168-0.10%149.22+0.24%0.0086✓1.021.3M2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3819.3596-0.11%19.13-1.29%0.0273✓1.3023.0M2022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1746.1674-0.11%6.142-0.52%0.0195✓1.309.5M2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.376440.376034-0.11%0.3717-1.26%0.0229✓0.9640k2022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0087.0003-0.11%7.033+0.36%0.0076✓1.0411.6M2022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7115.7046-0.11%5.746+0.61%0.0029✓0.869.5M2022-08-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44710.446594-0.11%0.4594+2.75%0.0148✗1.14364k2022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0492.0467-0.11%2.012-1.81%0.0305✓1.1444k2022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0152.9483-0.12%53.84+1.57%0.0051✗0.9812.7M2022-08-31
AAVEAaveEthereum84.3884.2779-0.12%84.85+0.56%0.0112✓1.526.3M2022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.8536-0.13%4.86+0.00%0.0088✓0.861.5M2022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.293320.292924-0.14%0.31172+6.27%0.0499✗1.0412k2022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.69114.5284-0.14%115.16+0.41%0.0080✓1.144.6M2022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.514272-0.14%0.515+0.00%0.0121✓1.1483k2022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063270.063179-0.14%0.06211-1.83%0.0297✓1.072.1M2022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0360.035947-0.15%0.0357-0.83%0.0163✓0.809,5472022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131480.013129-0.15%0.013176+0.21%0.0038✓0.631.0M2022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1030.102845-0.15%0.1026-0.39%0.0151✓1.083.3M2022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1024110.102255-0.15%0.104365+1.91%0.0108✗0.817.0M2022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06250.062402-0.16%0.0595-4.80%0.0579✓0.87105k2022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,524.811,522.42-0.16%1,554.00+1.91%0.0044✗1.37628.3M2022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.24610.245712-0.16%0.2325-5.53%0.0660✓0.9176k2022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.2260.225639-0.16%0.2291+1.37%0.0045✗0.91501k2022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95130.949778-0.16%0.9427-0.90%0.0218✓1.21963k2022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28790.287436-0.16%0.2809-2.43%0.0344✓0.963.1M2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.08890.088753-0.16%0.0899+1.12%0.0016✓0.95393k2022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.04832-0.17%0.0484+0.00%0.0101✓0.99796k2022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.06351.0617-0.17%1.1463+7.79%0.0588✗1.514.5M2022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5190.518129-0.17%0.528+1.73%0.0064✗1.0677k2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase15.815.7734-0.17%15.53-1.71%0.0287✓1.1193k2022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.650877-0.17%0.663+1.69%0.0071✗0.97207k2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13520.134964-0.17%0.13698+1.32%0.0006✓1.20200k2022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8613.8358-0.17%14.14+2.02%0.0088✗1.10909k2022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.4530.452193-0.18%0.4458-1.59%0.0254✓0.9537.8M2022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase0.9005080.898888-0.18%0.894603-0.66%0.0146✓0.8363k2022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0434150.043335-0.18%0.043941+1.21%0.0039✗0.8530k2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18110.180761-0.19%0.1824+0.72%0.0073✓1.382,2912022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2576.2451-0.19%6.25-0.11%0.0098✓0.905.0M2022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08150.081343-0.19%0.0821+0.74%0.0019✓0.9513k2022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.496043-0.19%0.475-4.43%0.0577✓1.222,7102022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.58251.4824-0.19%51.915+0.65%0.0005✓0.75322k2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum0.883310.881586-0.20%0.89656+1.50%0.0048✗1.0214k2022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0214610.021419-0.20%0.02152+0.27%0.0049✓0.8114k2022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029930.002987-0.20%0.002994+0.03%0.0085✓0.921.1M2022-08-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1690.168656-0.20%0.168-0.59%0.0155✓0.98340k2022-08-31
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19560.195202-0.20%0.201+2.76%0.0175✗1.00121k2022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012180.000012155-0.21%0.00001208-0.82%0.0174✓0.95828k2022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4250.424117-0.21%0.418-1.65%0.0266✓1.028,1172022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024740.024687-0.22%0.02455-0.77%0.0207✓1.283,3752022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0429660.042872-0.22%0.043128+0.38%0.0001✓0.5228k2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum31.0530.9816-0.22%31.03-0.06%0.0209✓1.90288k2022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.114.1009-0.22%4.449+8.25%0.0788✗0.232.3M2022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.2331.2302-0.23%1.275+3.41%0.0218✗1.19460k2022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash59.8759.731-0.23%59.88+0.02%0.0112✓1.161.7M2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum1.6321.6282-0.23%1.65+1.10%0.0024✗0.93579k2022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014220.014187-0.23%0.01358-4.50%0.0516✓0.67174k2022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum4746.887-0.24%47.14+0.30%0.0093✓1.2411k2022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04290.042795-0.25%0.044+2.56%0.0164✗0.97156k2022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.39185.3785-0.25%5.8014+7.60%0.0746✗0.10115k2022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.195.1772-0.25%5.61+8.09%0.0750✗0.442.0M2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.24420.243592-0.25%0.2447+0.20%0.0070✓0.9881k2022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.4263-0.26%1.43+0.00%0.0112✓1.17123k2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.78e-7-0.26%8.80e-7+0.00%0.0067✓0.792.0M2022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.78e-7-0.27%8.70e-7-1.14%0.0182✓0.8016k2022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12270.122368-0.27%0.1236+0.73%0.0025✓1.0625k2022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81681.8118-0.28%1.7939-1.26%0.0227✓1.0833k2022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.057438-0.28%0.0577+0.17%0.0088✓1.13258k2022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008640.008616-0.28%0.00858-0.69%0.0127✓0.735.6M2022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51230.510837-0.29%0.5054-1.35%0.0197✓0.76579k2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.891.8846-0.29%1.915+1.32%0.0038✓1.6890k2022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83240.830011-0.29%0.8327+0.04%0.0091✓1.041.8M2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9772.9684-0.29%2.959-0.60%0.0214✓1.543.8M2022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.062.054-0.29%2.13+3.40%0.0274✗0.76329k2022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046610.046471-0.30%0.04593-1.46%0.0201✓0.7116k2022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066520.066321-0.30%0.06618-0.51%0.0118✓0.829142022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071090.070875-0.30%0.07274+2.32%0.0122✗1.1726k2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037990.037874-0.30%0.03845+1.21%0.0055✗0.812,8422022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22110.220423-0.31%0.2184-1.22%0.0246✓1.31135k2022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.8231.8173-0.31%1.818-0.27%0.0104✓0.91121k2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13250.132086-0.31%0.1324-0.08%0.0039✓0.533.6M2022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.49731.4926-0.31%1.5108+0.90%0.0011✓1.12296k2022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration47.4747.3209-0.31%47.42-0.11%0.0096✓0.99543k2022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2989690.298029-0.31%0.29809-0.29%0.0127✓1.09549k2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.0910.0581-0.32%10.1+0.10%0.0103✓1.22318k2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.28308-0.32%0.282-0.70%0.0124✓0.72686k2022-08-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001481-0.32%0.00156+4.98%0.0437✗0.699,0932022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6710.668822-0.32%0.663-1.19%0.0189✓0.86228k2022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.072.063-0.34%2.15+3.86%0.0278✗1.14232k2022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082370.082086-0.34%0.08149-1.07%0.0079✓0.05478k2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43010.428615-0.35%0.439+2.07%0.0103✗1.1596k2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5561.5505-0.36%1.522-2.19%0.0324✓1.1877k2022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.05070.050513-0.37%0.0503-0.79%0.0158✓0.98237k2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.146.1169-0.38%6.7+9.12%0.0855✗0.471.7M2022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.06146-0.39%0.0622+0.81%0.0030✓1.27908k2022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.25978-0.39%0.247-5.29%0.0506✓0.0191k2022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,869.3019,791.59-0.39%19,990.40+0.61%0.0011✓0.9413k2022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.0122.0037-0.41%2.072+2.98%0.0176✗1.351.3M2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase12.316712.2654-0.42%12.38+0.51%0.0021✓0.9732k2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3317.2577-0.42%17.27-0.35%0.0075✓0.69880k2022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.183-0.42%1.205+1.43%0.0067✗0.991.7M2022-08-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057870.005763-0.43%0.005668-2.05%0.0246✓0.692,3002022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum3.11583.1021-0.44%3.149+1.06%0.0031✓1.0125k2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0994.0807-0.45%4.337+5.81%0.0555✗0.462.0M2022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05790.057633-0.46%0.0574-0.86%0.0150✓0.9398k2022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.740.736561-0.46%0.73-1.35%0.0124✓0.2979k2022-08-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1333.1184-0.47%2.922-6.73%0.0711✓0.51650k2022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.036.0018-0.47%6.4+6.14%0.0585✗0.482.1M2022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.987.9424-0.47%7.66-4.01%0.0491✓1.09462k2022-08-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.3136-0.48%1.31-0.76%0.0135✓0.91121k2022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.18811.1823-0.49%1.1394-4.10%0.0475✓0.891.3M2022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.7752.7615-0.49%2.728-1.69%0.0225✓0.88706k2022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.318.2694-0.49%8.84+6.38%0.0610✗0.481.9M2022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29170.290274-0.49%0.2885-1.10%0.0168✓0.916.5M2022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008060.00802-0.49%0.00799-0.87%0.0171✓1.12477k2022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227850.022673-0.49%0.030314+33.04%0.2893✗0.10266k2022-08-31
HIVEHivenative0.54890.546167-0.50%0.5573+1.53%0.0101✗0.861.3M2022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024050.023929-0.50%0.02304-4.20%0.0474✓0.81459k2022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73011.7214-0.50%1.7276-0.14%0.0078✓0.971.2M2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.345820.344009-0.52%0.35+1.21%0.0063✗0.93347k2022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7515.7206-0.53%6.047+5.15%0.0500✗0.474.4M2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.153790.152978-0.53%0.15568+1.23%0.0065✓2.046042022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.92811.8635-0.54%11.825-0.86%0.0164✓1.1110.8M2022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0065370.006501-0.55%0.006495-0.64%0.0058✓0.4258k2022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35610.353913-0.61%0.3513-1.35%0.0202✓1.09131k2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,874.588,817.64-0.64%9,021.07+1.65%0.0066✗1.376.2M2022-08-31
OPTIMOptimism1.0831.0759-0.65%1.129+4.25%0.0275✗1.753.2M2022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.3132.0922-0.67%32.41+0.31%0.0079✓1.5012.9M2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.61895.5806-0.68%6.6294+17.98%0.1698✗0.215.4M2022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035290.035046-0.69%0.03519-0.28%0.0079✓1.0240k2022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.84293.8141-0.75%4.0516+5.43%0.0534✗0.603.8M2022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013480.001338-0.77%0.001342-0.46%0.0062✓0.792.1M2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.19670.195061-0.83%0.2179+10.78%0.1009✗0.843.1M2022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.5963-0.85%1.52-5.59%0.0477✓-0.11116k2022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7953.7622-0.87%3.743-1.37%0.0167✓0.98252k2022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11150.110531-0.87%0.1161+4.13%0.0407✗0.71220k2022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9940.98475-0.93%0.91-8.45%0.0835✓0.384.2M2022-08-31
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.31864.2783-0.93%4.8276+11.79%0.1090✗1.00147k2022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.48112.3609-0.96%13.005+4.20%0.0446✗0.528.9M2022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.00235.9423-1.00%7.8611+30.97%0.2761✗0.326.5M2022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0191.0079-1.09%1.078+5.79%0.0524✗1.251.4M2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000045890.000045379-1.11%0.00004452-2.99%0.0294✓0.871.7M2022-08-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010890.000001074-1.37%9.25e-7-14.99%0.1587✓0.851.1M2022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000158370.000156058-1.46%0.00022156+39.90%0.3422✗0.70429k2022-08-31
ORCAOrcaSolana0.91920.905723-1.47%0.9023-1.84%0.0209✓1.45167k2022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.