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2022-08-16 · +1d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0717
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.77%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
76.1%
in alpha space · 88.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21130.211392+0.04%0.1954-7.52%0.0475✗1.421,3972022-08-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.355270.355262-0.00%0.34491-2.92%0.0067✓1.0514k2022-08-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.623.6197-0.01%3.413-5.72%0.0437✓0.69976k2022-08-17
TRXTRONTron0.0697640.069736-0.04%0.068126-2.35%0.0100✓0.61182k2022-08-17
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002020.002019-0.06%0.001955-3.22%0.0102✓1.00901k2022-08-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.25075.2476-0.06%5.3011+0.96%0.0131✗0.14225k2022-08-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0246040.024584-0.08%0.023935-2.72%0.0091✓0.8113k2022-08-17
SCSiacoinnative0.004760.004755-0.10%0.00468-1.68%0.0063✗1.02158k2022-08-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.15611.1547-0.12%1.1115-3.86%0.0178✓0.9312k2022-08-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04260.042539-0.14%0.0439+3.05%0.0527✗0.9776k2022-08-17
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031360.031314-0.15%0.0299-4.66%0.0179✓1.293,2032022-08-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9670.965565-0.15%0.909-6.00%0.0498✓0.484.4M2022-08-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052050.051969-0.16%0.05073-2.54%0.0087✓0.7016k2022-08-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.044427-0.16%0.0427-4.04%0.0197✓0.9111k2022-08-17
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.68e-7-0.18%9.60e-7-1.03%0.0085✗0.785.4M2022-08-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.027890.02784-0.18%0.02575-7.67%0.0572✓0.9514.3M2022-08-17
STXStacksnative0.47620.475306-0.19%0.4567-4.09%0.0158✓1.10808k2022-08-17
MANADecentralandEthereum1.02991.0279-0.19%0.96777-6.03%0.0396✓0.95623k2022-08-17
GTGateEthereum4.89324.8837-0.20%4.8449-0.99%0.0079✗0.72912k2022-08-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.429220.428303-0.21%0.40986-4.51%0.0225✓0.9896k2022-08-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.206554-0.22%0.1975-4.59%0.0216✓1.061,7402022-08-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0548020.054683-0.22%0.053519-2.34%0.0108✓0.4936k2022-08-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.25351.2508-0.22%1.2119-3.32%0.0126✓0.8756k2022-08-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.58970.588382-0.22%0.5653-4.14%0.0221✓0.82784k2022-08-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1230.122717-0.23%0.1209-1.71%0.0017✓0.764,2082022-08-17
DASHDashDash52.4652.3375-0.23%52.87+0.78%0.0314✗0.97595k2022-08-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.14891.1461-0.24%1.092-4.95%0.0347✓0.633.9M2022-08-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0384.0282-0.24%3.89-3.67%0.0296✓0.242.1M2022-08-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50470.503452-0.25%0.4701-6.86%0.0437✓1.1460k2022-08-17
XMRMoneroMonero169.61169.1742-0.26%168.3-0.77%0.0159✗0.961.2M2022-08-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17980.179336-0.26%0.1697-5.62%0.0318✓1.07616k2022-08-17
KCSKuCoinnative10.3910.3631-0.26%10.256-1.29%0.0110✗0.982.0M2022-08-17
FTTFTXEthereum30.6730.5897-0.26%30.11-1.83%0.0044✗0.929.2M2022-08-17
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.47490.473646-0.26%0.4371-7.96%0.0507✓1.35211k2022-08-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,857.9323,794.90-0.26%23,341.17-2.17%0.0026✓1.00482.6M2022-08-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169550.169091-0.27%0.15873-6.38%0.0359✓1.25250k2022-08-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7522.7445-0.27%2.525-8.25%0.0581✓1.1564k2022-08-17
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.942.9319-0.27%2.92-0.68%0.0074✗0.5296k2022-08-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26450.263773-0.27%0.2535-4.16%0.0178✓1.0091k2022-08-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.408580.407436-0.28%0.38327-6.19%0.0412✓0.91446k2022-08-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3160.315102-0.28%0.303-4.11%0.0228✓0.751.0M2022-08-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0870410.086792-0.29%0.080115-7.96%0.0579✓1.011.8M2022-08-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.411.4059-0.29%1.37-2.84%0.0016✓1.261.2M2022-08-17
NANOnanopayBase1.02261.0197-0.29%0.97823-4.34%0.0253✓0.7477k2022-08-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12650.126125-0.30%0.1214-4.03%0.0193✓0.86317k2022-08-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.27012.2631-0.31%2.2016-3.02%0.0045✓1.0538k2022-08-17
XVGVergenative0.004010.003998-0.31%0.00378-5.74%0.0334✓1.03554k2022-08-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33920.338143-0.31%0.3198-5.72%0.0346✓0.973.6M2022-08-17
XECeCashnative0.000044980.00004484-0.31%0.00004333-3.67%0.0151✓0.872.0M2022-08-17
SOLSolanaSolana43.0942.9548-0.31%40.55-5.89%0.0318✓1.1881.1M2022-08-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5450.543274-0.32%0.515-5.50%0.0320✓0.9811k2022-08-17
IMXImmutableEthereum1.02211.0188-0.32%0.9651-5.58%0.0282✓1.192.3M2022-08-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44640.444966-0.32%0.4188-6.18%0.0331✓1.25255k2022-08-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.710.707718-0.32%0.654-7.89%0.0529✓1.192,7912022-08-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.954.9338-0.33%4.94-0.20%0.0107✗0.431.2M2022-08-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.082580.082308-0.33%0.07755-6.09%0.0427✓0.778802022-08-17
COMPCompoundEthereum61.0960.8865-0.33%58.31-4.55%0.0164✓1.2323k2022-08-17
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085780.085488-0.34%0.0832-3.01%0.0220✓0.231.1M2022-08-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14370.143209-0.34%0.1381-3.90%0.0135✓1.0443k2022-08-17
DIADIAEthereum0.471920.470299-0.34%0.46051-2.42%0.0043✓0.7670k2022-08-17
XVSVenusEthereum5.965.9394-0.35%6+0.67%0.0330✗1.041.5M2022-08-17
XEMNEMnative0.0519690.051788-0.35%0.050295-3.22%0.0097✓0.8943k2022-08-17
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1976.1754-0.35%6.107-1.45%0.0180✗1.3312.6M2022-08-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.28531.2808-0.35%1.1821-8.03%0.0492✓1.416.4M2022-08-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046810.046646-0.35%0.04518-3.48%0.0146✓0.792,5822022-08-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.146.1185-0.35%6.22+1.30%0.0254✗0.411.1M2022-08-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.3361.1138-0.35%60.52-1.32%0.0125✗1.0213.5M2022-08-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.870.866882-0.36%0.804-7.59%0.0442✓1.424.6M2022-08-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9517.8857-0.36%16.88-5.96%0.0316✓1.201.7M2022-08-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash136.34135.8459-0.36%133.83-1.84%0.0091✗1.105.1M2022-08-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4647-0.36%1.4-4.76%0.0455✓-0.01124k2022-08-17
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.0000019.96e-7-0.37%9.70e-7-3.00%0.0101✓0.7621k2022-08-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.692520.689986-0.37%0.65284-5.73%0.0272✓1.2951k2022-08-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6720.669536-0.37%0.643-4.32%0.0149✓1.17115k2022-08-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.697406-0.37%0.672-4.00%0.0107✓1.21135k2022-08-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9241.9168-0.37%1.854-3.64%0.0087✓1.12170k2022-08-17
ELAElastosEthereum2.0612.0533-0.37%1.991-3.40%0.0091✓0.99181k2022-08-17
RADRadworksEthereum2.362.3511-0.38%2.37+0.42%0.0281✗0.92520k2022-08-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08110.080793-0.38%0.0793-2.22%0.0006✓0.82134k2022-08-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.8398.8056-0.38%8.372-5.28%0.0281✓1.0214.8M2022-08-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009710.000096726-0.38%0.0000951-2.06%0.0039✗0.95336k2022-08-17
RARESuperRareEthereum0.26360.262584-0.39%0.2486-5.69%0.0328✓1.00111k2022-08-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56770.565494-0.39%0.5401-4.86%0.0216✓1.11388k2022-08-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.6351.6286-0.39%1.7066+4.38%0.0746✗1.27598k2022-08-17
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260177-0.39%0.2613+0.04%0.0046✗0.0159k2022-08-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.445.4187-0.39%5.52+1.47%0.0265✗0.372.0M2022-08-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.7737.7424-0.39%7.38-5.06%0.0265✓0.985.4M2022-08-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.16860.9264-0.40%59.922-2.04%0.0014✓0.69365k2022-08-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.4538.4196-0.40%8.061-4.64%0.0200✓1.0820.0M2022-08-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.39611.3506-0.40%11.75+3.11%0.0595✗1.1413.2M2022-08-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13010.129579-0.40%0.1226-5.76%0.0316✓1.083.9M2022-08-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8180.81471-0.40%0.773-5.50%0.0323✓0.93357k2022-08-17
XLMStellarStellar0.121780.121289-0.40%0.121305-0.39%0.0194✗0.887.8M2022-08-17
FORTFortaEthereum0.30190.300678-0.40%0.294-2.62%0.0011✓1.07178k2022-08-17
STEEMSteemnative0.270.268904-0.41%0.2756+2.07%0.0435✗0.86550k2022-08-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.11380.113338-0.41%0.1091-4.13%0.0163✓1.00456k2022-08-17
PROPropyEthereum0.810.806704-0.41%0.78-3.70%0.0249✓0.40105k2022-08-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.12123.1084-0.41%3.0983-0.73%0.0082✗0.521.3M2022-08-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159660.0159-0.41%0.015184-4.90%0.0325✓0.622.1M2022-08-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15460.153956-0.42%0.1453-6.02%0.0444✓0.624.4M2022-08-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.353420.351913-0.43%0.32972-6.71%0.0460✓0.88402k2022-08-17
ADACardanoCardano0.55710.55468-0.43%0.5386-3.32%0.0070✓1.0243.6M2022-08-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067670.006738-0.43%0.00652-3.66%0.0174✓0.713,2222022-08-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3620390.360463-0.44%0.348082-3.86%0.0122✓1.04962k2022-08-17
BANDBandEthereum1.6751.6677-0.44%1.563-6.69%0.0365✓1.30520k2022-08-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.063919-0.44%0.0599-6.70%0.0423✓1.04877k2022-08-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum1514.9334-0.44%15.74+4.93%0.0779✗1.162.6M2022-08-17
DODODODOEthereum0.16760.166853-0.45%0.159-5.13%0.0272✓0.962.3M2022-08-17
ZENHorizenBase20.1220.0302-0.45%19.01-5.52%0.0275✓1.13121k2022-08-17
KSMKusamaHydration56.0755.8195-0.45%54.77-2.32%0.0033✓1.02645k2022-08-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2711.2653-0.45%1.218-4.17%0.0111✓1.241.1M2022-08-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0162.0068-0.45%1.899-5.80%0.0294✓1.18157k2022-08-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05390.053654-0.46%0.0509-5.57%0.0311✓0.99220k2022-08-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008540.008501-0.46%0.00814-4.68%0.0196✓1.08463k2022-08-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10240.101924-0.47%0.0997-2.64%0.0038✓0.83220k2022-08-17
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18830.187422-0.47%0.1794-4.73%0.0052✗2.236712022-08-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.840.836059-0.47%0.781-7.02%0.0478✓0.93280k2022-08-17
QNTQuantEthereum116.11115.5607-0.47%109.91-5.34%0.0322✓0.823.6M2022-08-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25560.254383-0.48%0.241-5.71%0.0248✓1.34131k2022-08-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025390.025267-0.48%0.02486-2.09%0.0025✓0.86271k2022-08-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07840.07802-0.49%0.0778-0.77%0.0227✗1.171.4M2022-08-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,861.5023,745.30-0.49%23,298.30-2.36%0.0022✓0.977,5932022-08-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39850.396559-0.49%0.3741-6.12%0.0343✓1.10101k2022-08-17
GITCOINGITCOIN3.30123.2851-0.49%2.9261-11.36%0.0885✓1.2413k2022-08-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.194.1692-0.50%4.144-1.10%0.0017✓0.361.6M2022-08-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.7412-0.50%1.61-8.00%0.0564✓1.00190k2022-08-17
QTUMQtumQtum4.01273.9926-0.50%4.012-0.02%0.0261✗0.9750k2022-08-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017530.017441-0.51%0.01808+3.14%0.0534✗0.79153k2022-08-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.296.2579-0.51%6.3+0.16%0.0149✗0.371.4M2022-08-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.008280.008238-0.51%0.00794-4.11%0.0229✓0.641.6M2022-08-17
HIVEHivenative0.61150.608368-0.51%0.5961-2.52%0.0002✓0.942.1M2022-08-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9670.962015-0.52%0.9842+1.78%0.0569✗1.56244k2022-08-17
XTZTezosTezos1.88871.8789-0.52%1.8847-0.21%0.0273✗1.11488k2022-08-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6512.6372-0.52%2.476-6.60%0.0252✓1.73144k2022-08-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.30010.298541-0.52%0.2913-2.93%0.0044✓0.9281k2022-08-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.4268.3822-0.52%8.193-2.77%0.0048✓0.839.5M2022-08-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06880.068441-0.52%0.0662-3.78%0.0158✓0.80119k2022-08-17
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3468.3023-0.52%7.961-4.61%0.0138✓1.2910.1M2022-08-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.683.6607-0.52%3.505-4.76%0.0093✓1.565.3M2022-08-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017610.001751-0.54%0.00168-4.60%0.0254✓0.749,4152022-08-17
ZECZcashZcash75.9575.5368-0.54%74.22-2.28%0.0065✗1.102.1M2022-08-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.4172-0.55%1.36-4.56%0.0193✓1.002.5M2022-08-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,876.571,866.26-0.55%1,834.61-2.24%0.0118✗1.32534.1M2022-08-17
MOVRMoonriverBase15.077914.9936-0.56%14.8272-1.66%0.0098✗0.9658k2022-08-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.07340.072989-0.56%0.0708-3.54%0.0051✓1.16331k2022-08-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10690.106296-0.57%0.1018-4.77%0.0210✓1.0110k2022-08-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069370.006897-0.57%0.00675-2.70%0.0116✓0.4655k2022-08-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.45590.4533-0.57%0.4206-7.74%0.0507✓1.10190k2022-08-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.3612.2888-0.58%11.36-8.09%0.0541✓1.12313k2022-08-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.18610.185019-0.58%0.1769-4.94%0.0228✓1.01140k2022-08-17
AAVEAaveEthereum109.79109.1402-0.59%100.14-8.79%0.0525✓1.536.4M2022-08-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.3220.1993-0.59%19.42-4.43%0.0245✓0.682.2M2022-08-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.898.8364-0.60%8.75-1.57%0.0028✓0.321.8M2022-08-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2440.242527-0.60%0.217-11.07%0.0862✓1.14696k2022-08-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.18751.1803-0.61%1.2042+1.41%0.0448✗1.1313k2022-08-17
GMTGMTEthereum1.0721.0654-0.62%0.967-9.79%0.0658✓1.42469k2022-08-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5143.4922-0.62%3.4712-1.22%0.0011✓0.331.7M2022-08-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.1126.9408-0.62%25.56-5.72%0.0233✓1.3430.5M2022-08-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9590.953005-0.63%0.928-3.23%0.0001✓1.221.3M2022-08-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.06960.069164-0.63%0.063-9.48%0.0708✓1.03253k2022-08-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011540.011467-0.63%0.01086-5.89%0.0380✓0.755.8M2022-08-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0041010.004075-0.63%0.003936-4.02%0.0175✓0.781.0M2022-08-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.8839.6231-0.64%40.29+1.03%0.0468✗1.3716.5M2022-08-17
METISMetisEthereum38.938.6478-0.65%38.79-0.28%0.0470✗1.98408k2022-08-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.72393.6997-0.65%3.8114+2.35%0.0403✗0.481.9M2022-08-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.091210.090593-0.68%0.0871-4.51%0.0143✓1.1529k2022-08-17
API3Api3Ethereum2.4092.3926-0.68%2.266-5.94%0.0338✓0.94680k2022-08-17
UMAUMAEthereum3.3343.3109-0.69%3.263-2.13%0.0037✓0.84696k2022-08-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35260.350075-0.72%0.3408-3.35%0.0066✓0.928.3M2022-08-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0185.9748-0.72%5.616-6.68%0.0597✓0.103.4M2022-08-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.089960.089298-0.74%0.08598-4.42%0.0129✓1.142.4M2022-08-17
FLOWFlownative2.6852.6651-0.74%2.565-4.47%0.0103✓1.28873k2022-08-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.263.2342-0.79%2.92-10.43%0.0754✓1.22269k2022-08-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256380.025429-0.81%0.021964-14.33%0.1424✓0.19232k2022-08-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.6140.2642-0.85%40.09-1.28%0.0195✗1.091.8M2022-08-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.1910.1017-0.87%9.4-7.75%0.0482✓1.09592k2022-08-17
OPTIMOptimism1.4541.4407-0.92%1.321-9.15%0.0448✓1.923.7M2022-08-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.8895.8332-0.95%5.966+1.31%0.0285✗0.271.2M2022-08-17
FISStafiEthereum0.45140.446888-1.00%0.4142-8.24%0.0569✓0.871922022-08-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000015810.000015649-1.02%0.00001476-6.64%0.0378✓0.94827k2022-08-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.47061.4555-1.03%1.4107-4.07%0.0103✓0.961.0M2022-08-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8763.8356-1.04%3.682-5.01%0.0223✓0.85124k2022-08-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.20970.207323-1.13%0.2222+5.96%0.0880✗0.861.2M2022-08-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015870.001568-1.14%0.001546-2.57%0.0031✓0.811.6M2022-08-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,010.1910,877.04-1.21%11,164.62+1.40%0.0551✗1.326.5M2022-08-17
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.09875.0257-1.43%4.6577-8.65%0.0541✓1.00111k2022-08-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.051130.050392-1.44%0.04685-8.37%0.0517✓0.9721k2022-08-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.44e-77.23e-7-2.84%6.87e-7-7.61%0.0361✓0.65164k2022-08-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.