8=======>

2022-05-19 · +30d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0862
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+22.24%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
26.2%
in alpha space · 88.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-37.41%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13740.142847+3.96%0.0999-27.29%0.1461✓1.0820k2022-06-18
DIADIAEthereum0.571170.585523+2.51%0.35701-37.49%0.2497✗0.5270k2022-06-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.00755.1328+2.50%5.06+1.05%0.0929✓0.23299k2022-06-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.17650.180456+2.24%0.1231-30.25%0.2767✓1.41386k2022-06-18
KCSKuCoinnative15.30715.5512+1.60%9.571-37.47%0.0260✗0.985.0M2022-06-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000011992+1.37%0.00000771-34.83%0.1792✓1.331.2M2022-06-18
MANADecentralandEthereum1.11851.1323+1.23%0.77754-30.49%0.3629✓1.581.2M2022-06-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69160.6953+0.53%0.7155+3.46%0.7169✓1.475.5M2022-06-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.643.6541+0.39%3.39-6.87%0.3387✓0.88521k2022-06-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin72.0272.2232+0.28%47.13-34.56%0.1293✓1.1919.5M2022-06-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,185.7030,257.36+0.24%19,116.80-36.67%0.0043✗0.9776k2022-06-18
FTTFTXEthereum30.9130.9417+0.10%22.79-26.27%0.1446✓0.9612.3M2022-06-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.04342.0442+0.04%1.6728-18.14%0.2640✓0.994.6M2022-06-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.343.3413+0.04%2.97-11.08%0.3757✓1.05557k2022-06-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.2411.2421+0.02%9.79-12.90%0.6028✓1.58159k2022-06-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative20.920.8957-0.02%13.68-34.55%0.1717✗1.273.9M2022-06-18
XVGVergenative0.005280.005269-0.21%0.00273-48.30%0.0130✗1.43922k2022-06-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9581.9518-0.32%1.063-45.71%0.1186✗1.5599k2022-06-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.26740.26646-0.35%0.2039-23.75%0.3763✗1.37167k2022-06-18
ZECZcashZcash104.45104.0728-0.36%59.26-43.26%0.0566✗1.325.7M2022-06-18
SCSiacoinnative0.005270.005244-0.48%0.00339-35.67%0.2830✗1.54398k2022-06-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5380.535223-0.52%0.271-49.63%0.0464✗1.55967k2022-06-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8240.819539-0.54%0.795-3.52%0.4974✗1.133.2M2022-06-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.9131.9013-0.61%2.618+36.85%0.7724✗0.97793k2022-06-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.390350.387594-0.71%0.31116-20.29%0.3882✗1.30208k2022-06-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0866380.086004-0.73%0.052785-39.07%0.0408✗1.136.3M2022-06-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09090.090228-0.74%0.0528-41.91%0.1573✓0.81184k2022-06-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.16030.159061-0.77%0.0987-38.43%0.2335✗1.529.0M2022-06-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.6312.5309-0.78%8.89-29.61%0.4224✗1.636.7M2022-06-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.064.0281-0.79%3.86-4.93%0.3653✗0.87798k2022-06-18
TRXTRONTron0.0733830.072805-0.79%0.060855-17.07%0.1902✗0.791.2M2022-06-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.413.2866-0.85%7.81-41.72%0.0842✓0.95622k2022-06-18
COMPCompoundEthereum67.5166.9241-0.87%28.98-57.07%0.1765✓1.4130k2022-06-18
XMRMoneroMonero165.93164.4384-0.90%104.18-37.21%0.0559✗1.092.9M2022-06-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3780.37432-0.97%0.259-31.48%0.1583✗1.121.1M2022-06-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03430.033959-0.99%0.0267-22.16%0.4226✗1.42198k2022-06-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash196.24194.2535-1.01%115.22-41.29%0.0258✗1.175.3M2022-06-18
QNTQuantEthereum68.3867.6568-1.06%48.77-28.68%0.1715✗1.063.6M2022-06-18
DASHDashDash58.5557.8996-1.11%41.55-29.04%0.2305✗1.201.1M2022-06-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.21292.1883-1.11%2.0842-5.82%0.4452✗1.052.5M2022-06-18
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0421.0299-1.16%0.578-44.53%0.1083✗1.46775k2022-06-18
KSMKusamaHydration80.4579.4843-1.20%48.42-39.81%0.0985✗1.271.6M2022-06-18
SOLSolanaSolana52.1351.5011-1.21%32.01-38.60%0.1987✗1.4493.8M2022-06-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.0791.0655-1.25%0.583-45.97%0.0404✗1.377.4M2022-06-18
GTGateEthereum5.60315.5308-1.29%3.6059-35.64%0.1759✓0.545.0M2022-06-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1410.139049-1.38%0.1042-26.10%0.4865✗1.65105k2022-06-18
AAVEAaveEthereum91.6590.336-1.43%49.52-45.97%0.1259✗1.559.2M2022-06-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.0412.9958-1.49%2.038-32.98%0.3307✗1.53271k2022-06-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.35340.348089-1.50%0.2227-36.98%0.1632✗1.3085k2022-06-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25680.252777-1.57%0.1978-22.98%0.3413✗1.25292k2022-06-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009240.009093-1.59%0.00624-32.47%0.1557✗1.141.3M2022-06-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.553870.545062-1.59%0.43006-22.35%0.4558✗1.4891k2022-06-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.261.2398-1.61%2.06+63.49%0.8935✗0.82201k2022-06-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.391.3667-1.68%0.49-64.75%0.5140✓1.09138k2022-06-18
HIVEHivenative0.49240.484014-1.70%0.3505-28.82%0.2812✗1.291.6M2022-06-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0163990.016116-1.73%0.011617-29.16%0.2005✗1.133.8M2022-06-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.204760.201222-1.73%0.12089-40.96%0.2627✗1.65280k2022-06-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.374410.367938-1.73%0.235-37.23%0.2093✗1.401.3M2022-06-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.12280.120658-1.74%0.0868-29.32%0.2995✗1.341.1M2022-06-18
ZENHorizenBase2120.6303-1.76%13.17-37.29%0.2970✗1.59171k2022-06-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3370.331005-1.78%0.788+133.83%1.7096✗1.801.7M2022-06-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.029.8401-1.80%7.044-29.70%0.2964✗1.3513.9M2022-06-18
STXStacksnative0.530.520446-1.80%0.3371-36.40%0.1039✗1.15274k2022-06-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.536.4109-1.82%4.4-32.62%0.2832✗1.41785k2022-06-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13450.132024-1.84%0.0869-35.39%0.1110✗1.131.2M2022-06-18
BTTCBTTC0.000001120.000001098-1.97%7.40e-7-33.93%0.0285✓0.787.7M2022-06-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.20270.198633-2.01%0.1378-32.02%0.1559✗1.112,1752022-06-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.32290.316223-2.07%0.1531-52.59%0.1271✓1.28445k2022-06-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.06260.061302-2.07%0.0572-8.63%0.5006✗1.22406k2022-06-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.224.1308-2.11%2.46-41.71%0.0857✓0.92788k2022-06-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045280.044319-2.12%0.03819-15.66%0.3091✗0.988,0692022-06-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.17421.1488-2.16%0.93123-20.70%0.3041✗1.1080k2022-06-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13430.131365-2.19%0.1102-17.94%0.5841✗1.625.8M2022-06-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01820.017788-2.26%0.02407+32.25%1.3891✗2.3223.0M2022-06-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027190.026574-2.26%0.01934-28.87%0.1265✗0.95188k2022-06-18
ADACardanoCardano0.53260.520378-2.29%0.4544-14.68%0.4994✗1.3648.2M2022-06-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.910.888699-2.34%0.48-47.25%0.1340✓1.03112k2022-06-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004690.00458-2.35%0.002641-43.69%0.0670✓1.0319k2022-06-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.28293.2055-2.36%2.3544-28.28%0.4235✗1.5610.1M2022-06-18
XECeCashnative0.000047070.000045949-2.38%0.00003566-24.24%0.3693✗1.336.1M2022-06-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1960.191215-2.44%0.1405-28.32%0.3852✗1.48649k2022-06-18
MOVRMoonriverBase23.053822.4899-2.45%10.6122-53.97%0.0678✓1.46210k2022-06-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.930.906475-2.53%0.552-40.65%0.0154✓1.09769k2022-06-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7090.69036-2.63%0.503-29.06%0.4049✗1.541.9M2022-06-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05810.056548-2.67%0.0333-42.69%0.0616✗1.261.5M2022-06-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.8751.8241-2.72%1.425-24.00%0.5084✗1.612.0M2022-06-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1304660.126906-2.73%0.107534-17.58%0.3445✗1.0912.9M2022-06-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana7.176.9713-2.77%4.18-41.70%0.1155✓0.852.9M2022-06-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.70.680574-2.78%0.412-41.14%0.2032✗1.50315k2022-06-18
NANOnanopayBase1.09961.069-2.78%0.758897-30.98%0.2498✗1.26161k2022-06-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,274.5929,424.21-2.81%18,948.89-37.41%0.0285✗1.00686.2M2022-06-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075460.073323-2.83%0.04148-45.03%0.0736✓1.0618k2022-06-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.1382.0773-2.84%2.936+37.32%0.8523✗1.08730k2022-06-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.9652.8794-2.89%2.377-19.83%0.3162✗1.0899k2022-06-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.379650.368578-2.92%0.50803+33.82%1.1485✗1.77327k2022-06-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004780.00464-2.93%0.002612-45.36%0.0036✓1.221.9M2022-06-18
ETHEthereumEthereum2,017.571,958.40-2.93%993.64-50.75%0.1947✓1.03464.2M2022-06-18
XEMNEMnative0.05630.054634-2.96%0.037989-32.52%0.2628✗1.3478k2022-06-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.891.8322-3.06%1.33-29.63%0.5001✗1.75495k2022-06-18
CBKCobakEthereum1.1221.0868-3.13%0.80868-27.93%0.1780✗1.0117k2022-06-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.1249.5022-3.16%55.298+8.17%0.5632✗0.971.6M2022-06-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050670.048993-3.31%0.04483-11.53%0.3852✗1.0123k2022-06-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.013680.013227-3.31%0.00847-38.08%0.0473✗1.053.2M2022-06-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.8210.4582-3.34%6.069-43.91%0.1386✗1.4620.1M2022-06-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0181360.017524-3.38%0.014203-21.69%0.1179✗0.70199k2022-06-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07670.074091-3.40%0.0517-32.59%0.4817✗1.80162k2022-06-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.217.9253-3.47%5.103-37.84%0.1608✗1.285.4M2022-06-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.216.9599-3.47%5.918-17.92%0.4679✗1.3419.2M2022-06-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012520.012079-3.52%0.00909-27.40%0.4303✗1.5340.8M2022-06-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.652.556-3.55%2.144-19.09%0.6661✗1.8022k2022-06-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.12380.119376-3.57%0.0691-44.18%0.3020✗1.81645k2022-06-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.910.877121-3.61%0.61-32.97%0.3674✗1.56762k2022-06-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.361.3108-3.62%0.93-31.62%0.3700✗1.523.3M2022-06-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.44e-77.17e-7-3.72%2.94e-7-60.48%0.5204✓0.791.4M2022-06-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche30.3729.217-3.80%14.8-51.27%0.0127✓1.4848.8M2022-06-18
UMAUMAEthereum3.2433.1172-3.88%2.376-26.73%0.5186✗1.692.2M2022-06-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7043.5584-3.93%3.423-7.59%0.2180✗0.552.4M2022-06-18
QTUMQtumQtum3.97153.8137-3.97%2.5838-34.94%0.1680✗1.19133k2022-06-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48640.466912-4.01%0.3417-29.75%0.4067✗1.53289k2022-06-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34060.326867-4.03%0.2512-26.25%0.3428✗1.299.0M2022-06-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.672.5606-4.10%1.554-41.80%0.3174✗1.746.1M2022-06-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08440.080918-4.13%0.0485-42.54%0.2663✗1.663.1M2022-06-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.11470.109923-4.17%0.0832-27.46%0.4878✗1.641.7M2022-06-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.652.5395-4.17%2.17-18.11%0.6834✗1.79390k2022-06-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.3213.7214-4.18%7.08-50.56%0.0536✓1.30822k2022-06-18
RADRadworksEthereum2.071.9826-4.22%1.46-29.47%0.1903✗1.06280k2022-06-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.08570.082082-4.22%0.0534-37.69%0.3818✗1.73215k2022-06-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,486.679,078.92-4.30%4,369.27-53.94%0.1706✓1.203.1M2022-06-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum21.7920.8523-4.30%12.93-40.66%0.1815✗1.413.4M2022-06-18
UNIUniswapEthereum5.184.9568-4.31%3.637-29.79%0.2710✗1.243.5M2022-06-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.590.564278-4.36%0.297-49.66%0.0836✓1.1937k2022-06-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.026760.025558-4.49%0.02049-23.43%0.2606✗1.0324k2022-06-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.363010.346663-4.50%0.28073-22.67%0.5766✗1.6826k2022-06-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037870.036134-4.58%0.02514-33.61%0.2890✗1.3967k2022-06-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.187.8006-4.64%5.133-37.25%0.2734✗1.488.0M2022-06-18
DODODODOEthereum0.150.143039-4.64%0.1123-25.13%0.4634✗1.513.8M2022-06-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.009010.008583-4.74%0.005876-34.78%0.1089✗1.0412k2022-06-18
BANDBandEthereum1.7691.6836-4.83%1.287-27.25%0.4377✗1.51463k2022-06-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0651.9631-4.94%1.168-43.44%0.3988✗1.96850k2022-06-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.49172.3674-4.99%1.728-30.65%0.2735✗1.26123k2022-06-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06990.066379-5.04%0.04472-36.02%0.0736✗1.003.0M2022-06-18
XVSVenusEthereum6.035.7223-5.10%4.07-32.50%0.4391✗1.662.7M2022-06-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2081.1463-5.11%0.611-49.42%0.1958✗1.76527k2022-06-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5840.553643-5.20%0.338-42.12%0.2208✗1.5216k2022-06-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.24920.236198-5.22%0.1228-50.72%0.3835✓0.58386k2022-06-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06030.057139-5.24%0.0455-24.54%0.3241✗1.18101k2022-06-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001370.001293-5.62%0.0007-48.91%0.0958✗1.513.4M2022-06-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009390.008857-5.68%0.006281-33.11%0.0363✓0.81195k2022-06-18
PROPropyEthereum1.141.0741-5.78%0.85-25.44%0.0783✗0.67395k2022-06-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3900030.367317-5.82%0.247565-36.52%0.2557✗1.396.1M2022-06-18
XTZTezosTezos1.7541.6515-5.84%1.2889-26.52%0.3519✗1.281.1M2022-06-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2514.9437-5.85%2.82-46.30%0.0683✓1.051.6M2022-06-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.45120.42368-6.10%0.2955-34.51%0.2138✗1.2315.4M2022-06-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8930.836416-6.34%0.712-20.27%0.5809✗1.586.7M2022-06-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2590.242264-6.46%0.233-10.04%0.7126✗1.602.7M2022-06-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1880.175791-6.49%0.0752-60.00%0.3806✓1.004,0132022-06-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.417.8556-6.59%6.1-27.47%0.0033✓0.551.2M2022-06-18
APEApeCoinEthereum8.0557.5169-6.68%3.615-55.12%0.4106✗2.4494.8M2022-06-18
STEEMSteemnative0.25990.23866-8.17%0.1826-29.74%0.2008✗1.001.3M2022-06-18
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3651.2489-8.51%0.612-55.16%0.2447✓1.004.2M2022-06-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4291.3031-8.81%1.218-14.77%0.5934✗1.4113.5M2022-06-18
GMTGMTEthereum1.4951.3623-8.88%0.601-59.80%0.3498✓1.005.5M2022-06-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.0092.7237-9.48%1.56-48.16%0.0887✓1.00183k2022-06-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.67111.5116-9.55%0.75523-54.81%0.4191✓0.5914k2022-06-18
XYMSymbolnative0.06690.060499-9.57%0.0493-26.31%0.1464✗0.75475k2022-06-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.68712.2944-14.61%1.2522-53.40%0.0138✓1.328.8M2022-06-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.031980.027009-15.54%0.01535-52.00%0.2044✓0.77400k2022-06-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.000140.000027048-80.68%0.0000554-60.43%1.9737✗2.687.3M2022-06-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.