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2022-05-17 · +1d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0769
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.31%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
41.1%
in alpha space · 41.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.72%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000190.00016228-14.59%0.00015-21.05%0.0734✓2.588.4M2022-05-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.1483.1038-1.40%4.449+41.33%0.4090✗0.832.1M2022-05-18
STEEMSteemnative0.29990.29675-1.05%0.2515-16.14%0.1066✓1.001.6M2022-05-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.33.2696-0.92%2.863-13.24%0.0739✓1.00213k2022-05-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.18920.187793-0.74%0.1699-10.20%0.0412✓1.004,7802022-05-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4131.4027-0.73%1.342-5.02%0.0394✗1.4214.3M2022-05-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014680.014591-0.61%0.01163-20.78%0.1394✓1.4844.1M2022-05-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.182.1682-0.54%2.23+2.29%0.1022✗1.268.8M2022-05-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.49470.492706-0.40%0.4328-12.51%0.0590✓1.2015.2M2022-05-18
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3951.3899-0.36%1.296-7.10%0.0111✓1.004.4M2022-05-18
XYMSymbolnative0.06970.069465-0.34%0.0658-5.60%0.0099✓0.75536k2022-05-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.68181.6763-0.33%1.6365-2.69%0.0126✗0.6215k2022-05-18
ZECZcashZcash114.63114.3148-0.27%99.46-13.23%0.0623✓1.315.7M2022-05-18
PROPropyEthereum1.211.2067-0.27%1.17-3.31%0.0109✗0.71429k2022-05-18
GMTGMTEthereum1.581.5757-0.27%1.384-12.41%0.0708✓1.006.6M2022-05-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047380.047259-0.26%0.04358-8.02%0.0237✓0.978,0692022-05-18
QTUMQtumQtum4.21874.2081-0.25%3.8022-9.87%0.0313✓1.19134k2022-05-18
UMAUMAEthereum3.3143.3062-0.24%3.049-8.00%0.0175✗1.672.6M2022-05-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.3460.345202-0.23%0.3258-5.84%0.0206✗1.33463k2022-05-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.4412.4121-0.22%10.48-15.76%0.0784✓1.546.4M2022-05-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1264.117-0.22%4.622+12.02%0.1791✗1.081.5M2022-05-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.50040.499393-0.20%0.451-9.87%0.0133✓1.51307k2022-05-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040940.040865-0.18%0.03561-13.02%0.0577✓1.3694k2022-05-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055230.05513-0.18%0.05016-9.18%0.0348✓1.0125k2022-05-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0089630.008947-0.18%0.008488-5.30%0.0080✗1.0315k2022-05-18
CBKCobakEthereum1.2311.2288-0.18%1.082-12.10%0.0688✓0.9924k2022-05-18
APEApeCoinEthereum8.8778.8616-0.17%7.969-10.23%0.0459✗2.5894.8M2022-05-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,409.8030,362.45-0.16%28,786.00-5.34%0.0041✗0.9790k2022-05-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2530.252619-0.15%0.216-14.62%0.0670✓1.523.4M2022-05-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.865.8523-0.13%9.72+65.87%0.5602✗0.901.2M2022-05-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0153680.015348-0.13%0.017393+13.18%0.1702✗0.77198k2022-05-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.582.5768-0.13%2.25-12.79%0.0327✓1.75390k2022-05-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05620.056137-0.11%0.0531-5.52%0.0152✗1.201.5M2022-05-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4248170.424353-0.11%0.371298-12.60%0.0533✓1.366.1M2022-05-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01870.01868-0.11%0.02137+14.28%0.1741✗0.67400k2022-05-18
XTZTezosTezos1.85681.8549-0.10%1.676-9.74%0.0265✓1.271.1M2022-05-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029710.02968-0.10%0.02797-5.86%0.0005✓1.00194k2022-05-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.08920.08911-0.10%0.0773-13.34%0.0417✓1.71239k2022-05-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.07110.071029-0.10%0.0578-18.71%0.1392✓1.14407k2022-05-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072130.072061-0.10%0.07027-2.58%0.0357✗1.0318k2022-05-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.7555.6973-0.09%50.06-10.21%0.0505✓0.951.7M2022-05-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01040.01039-0.09%0.00913-12.21%0.0636✓1.121.3M2022-05-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.27050.270248-0.09%0.2581-4.58%0.0383✗1.43172k2022-05-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0342.0323-0.08%2.081+2.31%0.1222✗1.6799k2022-05-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.14180.141687-0.08%0.1104-22.14%0.1473✓1.74694k2022-05-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9580.957271-0.08%0.904-5.64%0.0083✗1.11769k2022-05-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.029040.029018-0.08%0.02554-12.05%0.0687✓1.0025k2022-05-18
KSMKusamaHydration82.0481.9801-0.07%75.92-7.46%0.0030✓1.251.4M2022-05-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.9051.9036-0.07%1.694-11.08%0.0319✓1.442.3M2022-05-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.15e-77.14e-7-0.07%6.83e-7-4.40%0.0137✓0.521.6M2022-05-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum15.2115.1994-0.07%13.77-9.47%0.0218✓1.31822k2022-05-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.14930.149199-0.07%0.1273-14.74%0.0957✓1.071.2M2022-05-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.014070.014061-0.06%0.01331-5.40%0.0074✗1.063.3M2022-05-18
UNIUniswapEthereum5.475.4666-0.06%4.88-10.79%0.0424✓1.213.5M2022-05-18
MOVRMoonriverBase24.710724.6956-0.06%21.8174-11.71%0.0391✓1.44207k2022-05-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1415430.141469-0.05%0.127544-9.89%0.0399✓1.0813.4M2022-05-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08440.084362-0.04%0.0684-18.96%0.1509✓1.003.0M2022-05-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009050.009047-0.03%0.00898-0.77%0.0415✗0.83222k2022-05-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004430.004429-0.03%0.00411-7.22%0.0163✓0.9919k2022-05-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0573.0562-0.03%2.84-7.10%0.0111✓1.0699k2022-05-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche34.3834.3723-0.02%29.57-13.99%0.0652✓1.4548.8M2022-05-18
TRXTRONTron0.0721420.072129-0.02%0.070977-1.61%0.0315✗0.811.2M2022-05-18
XEMNEMnative0.06140.061395-0.01%0.0537-12.54%0.0567✓1.31127k2022-05-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,984.139,983.34-0.01%9,070.74-9.15%0.0272✓1.172.9M2022-05-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.39060.390574-0.01%0.3344-14.39%0.0807✓1.279.0M2022-05-18
GTGateEthereum5.75215.7521-0.00%5.4955-4.46%0.0141✓0.545.2M2022-05-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8832.8831+0.00%2.49-13.63%0.0470✗1.696.7M2022-05-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15250.152508+0.00%0.1303-14.56%0.0620✗1.62109k2022-05-18
ADACardanoCardano0.5770.57703+0.01%0.5053-12.43%0.0556✗1.3148.6M2022-05-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09070.090707+0.01%0.0885-2.43%0.0250✓0.84183k2022-05-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.1210.121011+0.01%0.1059-12.48%0.0387✗1.611.7M2022-05-18
ZENHorizenBase22.1422.1423+0.01%18.99-14.23%0.0630✗1.54171k2022-05-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.393370.393421+0.01%0.33637-14.49%0.0598✗1.6527k2022-05-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3891.3893+0.02%1.228-11.59%0.0390✗1.436.6M2022-05-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash206.73206.7745+0.02%186.73-9.67%0.0346✗1.145.4M2022-05-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.752.7506+0.02%2.221-19.24%0.1132✗1.7123k2022-05-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.57862.5793+0.03%2.335-9.45%0.0265✗1.24145k2022-05-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.471.4704+0.03%1.34-8.84%0.0290✗1.08134k2022-05-18
HIVEHivenative0.54110.541253+0.03%0.472-12.77%0.0624✗1.271.5M2022-05-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.4611.4636+0.03%10.1-11.87%0.0454✗1.3821.0M2022-05-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.355.3517+0.03%6.45+20.56%0.2404✓0.912.7M2022-05-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.910.910299+0.03%0.82-9.89%0.0139✗1.54800k2022-05-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9130.913306+0.03%0.801-12.27%0.0400✗1.557.6M2022-05-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,412.1230,422.36+0.03%28,672.94-5.72%0.0003✓1.00675.4M2022-05-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.8306+0.03%1.62-11.48%0.0226✗1.69452k2022-05-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.25470.254792+0.04%0.2258-11.35%0.0935✗0.46410k2022-05-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.161.1605+0.04%1.12-3.45%0.0134✓0.83204k2022-05-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin73.0473.0717+0.04%65.87-9.82%0.0356✗1.1619.1M2022-05-18
KCSKuCoinnative14.91614.9232+0.05%14.375-3.63%0.0198✓0.974.9M2022-05-18
BANDBandEthereum1.7651.7659+0.05%1.566-11.27%0.0349✗1.45500k2022-05-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.005120.005123+0.05%0.00461-9.96%0.0329✗1.231.9M2022-05-18
COMPCompoundEthereum74.6974.7285+0.05%63.7-14.71%0.0789✗1.3728k2022-05-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.717.7141+0.05%6.79-11.93%0.0499✗1.3218.8M2022-05-18
XVSVenusEthereum4.734.7325+0.05%4.32-8.67%0.0033✗1.492.8M2022-05-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.120.120067+0.06%0.1183-1.42%0.0662✓1.381.1M2022-05-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0162330.016243+0.06%0.015-7.60%0.0145✗1.114.2M2022-05-18
ETHEthereumEthereum2,088.962,090.22+0.06%1,911.98-8.47%0.0291✗1.02494.1M2022-05-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.41490.415151+0.06%0.37232-10.26%0.0332✗1.29223k2022-05-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6290.629391+0.06%0.565-10.17%0.0379✗1.1938k2022-05-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.628.6255+0.06%7.49-13.11%0.0565✗1.448.3M2022-05-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.640.640419+0.07%0.537-16.09%0.0890✗1.4816k2022-05-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3991.3999+0.07%1.105-21.02%0.1356✗1.72665k2022-05-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08030.080355+0.07%0.0702-12.58%0.0301✗1.78169k2022-05-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.09130.091366+0.07%0.0783-14.24%0.0620✗1.573.6M2022-05-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.133.1323+0.07%2.946-5.88%0.0311✓1.57240k2022-05-18
MINAMina Protocolnative1.11.1008+0.07%0.977-11.18%0.0366✗1.40775k2022-05-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.740.740558+0.08%0.643-13.11%0.0544✗1.47338k2022-05-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.1152.1166+0.08%1.913-9.55%0.0161✓1.99903k2022-05-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.0211.0284+0.08%9.47-14.07%0.0754✗1.3113.7M2022-05-18
FTTFTXEthereum32.0332.0545+0.08%29.64-7.46%0.0226✗0.9513.2M2022-05-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.852.8526+0.09%3.62+27.02%0.2983✓1.02440k2022-05-18
RADRadworksEthereum2.042.0419+0.09%1.89-7.35%0.0162✗1.04315k2022-05-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.612540.613113+0.09%0.53494-12.67%0.0499✗1.4793k2022-05-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.21090.211099+0.09%0.1857-11.95%0.0655✗1.062,6012022-05-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.29541.2967+0.10%1.1344-12.43%0.0702✗1.0898k2022-05-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14520.14534+0.10%0.1246-14.19%0.0614✗1.576.0M2022-05-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5930.593594+0.10%0.504-15.01%0.0763✗1.48929k2022-05-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001440.001441+0.10%0.00127-11.81%0.0391✗1.493.5M2022-05-18
XMRMoneroMonero172.72172.9043+0.11%155.14-10.18%0.0451✗1.083.5M2022-05-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.613.6139+0.11%4.01+11.08%0.1607✓0.96798k2022-05-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4316+0.11%1.26-11.89%0.0405✗1.483.6M2022-05-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.970.971077+0.11%0.84-13.40%0.0877✗0.97119k2022-05-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.3410.3519+0.12%9.63-6.87%0.0193✓1.56154k2022-05-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3840.384449+0.12%0.34-11.46%0.0610✗1.051.1M2022-05-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum22.422.4265+0.12%21.59-3.62%0.0479✓1.463.4M2022-05-18
DODODODOEthereum0.1680.168201+0.12%0.147-12.50%0.0471✗1.494.0M2022-05-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.536.538+0.12%5.93-9.19%0.0168✗1.37666k2022-05-18
MANADecentralandEthereum1.21591.2174+0.12%1.0317-15.14%0.0770✗1.501.2M2022-05-18
NANOnanopayBase1.16071.1622+0.13%1.0587-8.79%0.0195✗1.25161k2022-05-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.984.9863+0.13%4.9753-0.09%0.0130✓0.26294k2022-05-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3420.342436+0.13%0.296-13.45%0.0437✗1.731.8M2022-05-18
AAVEAaveEthereum92.5392.6551+0.14%81.76-11.64%0.0359✗1.528.7M2022-05-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.17980.180046+0.14%0.1571-12.63%0.0470✗1.528.8M2022-05-18
SOLSolanaSolana57.0257.099+0.14%49.87-12.54%0.0520✗1.4293.8M2022-05-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.07120.0713+0.14%0.06-15.73%0.1109✗1.05113k2022-05-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.6741.6764+0.14%1.748+4.42%0.1001✓0.99779k2022-05-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.6613.6793+0.14%12.73-6.81%0.0173✗0.93571k2022-05-18
XECeCashnative0.000049360.000049433+0.15%0.00004439-10.07%0.0306✗1.316.5M2022-05-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73650.737633+0.15%0.6487-11.92%0.0447✗1.426.1M2022-05-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6230.623959+0.15%0.674+8.19%0.1723✓1.621.7M2022-05-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.96881.9719+0.16%2.0873+6.02%0.1232✓1.132.4M2022-05-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.92712.9318+0.16%3.0646+4.70%0.1408✓1.649.8M2022-05-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25890.259341+0.17%0.2464-4.83%0.0229✓1.26280k2022-05-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.68411.6871+0.18%1.893+12.40%0.1813✓1.124.3M2022-05-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.568.5767+0.19%7.59-11.33%0.0480✗1.265.8M2022-05-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.7621.8036+0.20%19.81-8.96%0.0215✗1.264.2M2022-05-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20220.202606+0.20%0.1813-10.34%0.0256✗1.45683k2022-05-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.380480.38127+0.21%0.35851-5.77%0.0231✓1.441.4M2022-05-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8170.81873+0.21%0.747-8.57%0.0262✗1.113.2M2022-05-18
QNTQuantEthereum74.4674.6189+0.21%64.77-13.01%0.0808✗1.033.6M2022-05-18
STXStacksnative0.580.581274+0.22%0.51-12.07%0.0639✗1.14314k2022-05-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.7481.7519+0.22%1.843+5.43%0.1133✓1.06714k2022-05-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13110.131392+0.22%0.1186-9.53%0.0432✗1.0119k2022-05-18
DASHDashDash60.1160.2504+0.23%55.59-7.52%0.0099✗1.201.2M2022-05-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.035383+0.24%0.0313-11.33%0.0419✗1.37189k2022-05-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.209630.210149+0.25%0.18425-12.11%0.0369✗1.61273k2022-05-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.385080.386079+0.26%0.32988-14.33%0.0573✗1.70331k2022-05-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.763.7699+0.26%3.54-5.85%0.0164✗0.79788k2022-05-18
XVGVergenative0.005460.005474+0.26%0.00481-11.90%0.0478✗1.39949k2022-05-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.742.7477+0.28%2.97+8.39%0.1395✓1.05553k2022-05-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01670.016754+0.32%0.0145-13.17%0.0131✗2.2325.3M2022-05-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012550.000012591+0.33%0.00001147-8.61%0.0151✗1.331.2M2022-05-18
SCSiacoinnative0.005610.005628+0.33%0.00488-13.01%0.0547✗1.49403k2022-05-18
BTTCBTTC0.000001130.000001134+0.38%0.00000109-3.54%0.0065✓0.797.7M2022-05-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.18040.181087+0.38%0.1653-8.37%0.0082✗1.41386k2022-05-18
DIADIAEthereum0.397630.399144+0.38%0.74+86.10%0.6645✓0.8070k2022-05-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36140.362862+0.40%0.3371-6.72%0.0026✓1.2991k2022-05-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0901510.09053+0.42%0.082984-7.95%0.0213✗1.126.3M2022-05-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.