8=======>

2022-05-08 · +1d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0481
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.18%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.8%
in alpha space · 54.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.61%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.18.1496+0.61%6.81-15.93%0.1163✗0.512.7M2022-05-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.41082.4234+0.52%2.0553-14.75%0.0370✗1.0410.0M2022-05-09
MOVRMoonriverBase32.383332.5491+0.51%27.4605-15.20%0.0027✓1.40173k2022-05-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.64212.6539+0.45%2.0532-22.29%0.1783✗0.635.0M2022-05-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.24.2185+0.44%3.77-10.24%0.0345✗0.63825k2022-05-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.33960.341001+0.41%0.2968-12.60%0.0021✓1.14486k2022-05-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.575020.57717+0.37%0.442-23.13%0.1021✗1.341.3M2022-05-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.350.351288+0.37%0.28-20.00%0.0552✗1.39250k2022-05-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.013960.014009+0.35%0.01328-4.87%0.0547✓0.88199k2022-05-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0163380.016393+0.34%0.014004-14.29%0.0833✗0.60193k2022-05-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6451.65+0.30%1.344-18.30%0.0638✗1.1517.4M2022-05-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.178.1943+0.30%6.68-18.24%0.1427✗0.501.2M2022-05-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.61960.621393+0.29%0.5036-18.72%0.0645✗1.1895k2022-05-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.1161.1192+0.29%0.87-22.04%0.1094✗1.1534k2022-05-09
APEApeCoinEthereum11.22711.2591+0.29%8.008-28.67%0.0913✗2.0275.7M2022-05-09
STXStacksnative0.780.782198+0.28%0.65-16.67%0.0621✗1.00260k2022-05-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin13.1213.1554+0.27%10.99-16.23%0.0420✗1.125.8M2022-05-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.20840.208935+0.26%0.1702-18.33%0.0007✓1.661.1M2022-05-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.1082.1132+0.25%1.7-19.35%0.0255✗1.56582k2022-05-09
ORCAOrcaSolana1.41.4034+0.25%1.21-13.57%0.0575✗0.74142k2022-05-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche51.5751.692+0.24%41.21-20.09%0.0762✗1.2243.7M2022-05-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.68322.6892+0.22%2.15-19.87%0.1422✗0.662.7M2022-05-09
SUSHISushiEthereum2.112.1146+0.22%1.73-18.01%0.0355✗1.343.2M2022-05-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.006740.006755+0.22%0.00543-19.44%0.1412✗0.6220k2022-05-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17830.17866+0.20%0.1436-19.46%0.0490✗1.37108k2022-05-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.21090.211277+0.18%0.1634-22.52%0.0819✗1.426.1M2022-05-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.715.728+0.18%12.49-20.45%0.0868✗1.1618.8M2022-05-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.0819.114+0.18%16-16.14%0.0808✗0.79458k2022-05-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot13.2613.2831+0.17%10.64-19.76%0.0851✗1.1111.6M2022-05-09
DIADIAEthereum0.640.641104+0.17%0.53-17.19%0.1316✗0.4870k2022-05-09
LUNATerraTerra 264.264.3091+0.17%30.35-52.73%0.5861✗1.346.9M2022-05-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.9910.0058+0.16%8.1-18.92%0.0656✗1.1817.5M2022-05-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.506480.507255+0.15%0.41434-18.19%0.0512✗1.2347k2022-05-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0220680.022101+0.15%0.018242-17.34%0.0744✗0.954.0M2022-05-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.660.660986+0.15%0.5-24.24%0.1221✗1.27398k2022-05-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2233.2278+0.15%2.639-18.12%0.1567✗0.362.4M2022-05-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.12980.129991+0.15%0.1163-10.40%0.1316✓1.97245k2022-05-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.9580.959401+0.15%0.765-20.15%0.0652✗1.31327k2022-05-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1250.12517+0.14%0.101-19.20%0.1450✗0.56130k2022-05-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12930.129469+0.13%0.1044-19.26%0.0524✗1.323.7M2022-05-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.13090.131061+0.12%0.103-21.31%0.0792✗1.31180k2022-05-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.104570.104692+0.12%0.08463-19.07%0.1215✗0.7418k2022-05-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.9220.923017+0.11%0.774-16.05%0.0392✗1.1143k2022-05-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.370.370369+0.10%0.3347-9.54%0.0485✗0.43540k2022-05-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.1573.1601+0.10%2.597-17.74%0.0170✓1.731.2M2022-05-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.36740.367758+0.10%0.2946-19.81%0.1027✗0.97292k2022-05-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.341.3413+0.10%1.1-17.91%0.0295✗1.37842k2022-05-09
CBKCobakEthereum1.571.5715+0.10%1.347-14.20%0.0542✗0.8124k2022-05-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum13.4413.4526+0.09%12.6-6.25%0.1083✓1.41134k2022-05-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04840.048445+0.09%0.0382-21.07%0.0992✗1.12173k2022-05-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.360.360329+0.09%0.272-24.44%0.1410✗1.144.3M2022-05-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02390.023922+0.09%0.02041-14.60%0.0986✗0.49400k2022-05-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.5014.5051+0.09%3.549-21.15%0.0915✗1.19184k2022-05-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.24920.249406+0.08%0.1926-22.71%0.0948✗1.33634k2022-05-09
MANADecentralandEthereum1.331.331+0.08%1.0601-20.29%0.0777✗1.22734k2022-05-09
SOLSolanaSolana75.3475.3969+0.08%62.13-17.53%0.0401✗1.2482.2M2022-05-09
XVSVenusEthereum6.916.9151+0.07%5.15-25.47%0.1577✗1.112.6M2022-05-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.65940.659856+0.07%0.545-17.35%0.0275✗1.33260k2022-05-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.13612.1375+0.07%2.0089-5.95%0.0166✓0.6415k2022-05-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.46590.466196+0.06%0.3894-16.42%0.0430✗1.117.9M2022-05-09
SCSiacoinnative0.007390.007395+0.06%0.00593-19.76%0.0689✗1.23367k2022-05-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.015560.015568+0.05%0.0145-6.81%0.1290✓1.6246.7M2022-05-09
QNTQuantEthereum83.2283.2596+0.05%69.81-16.11%0.0573✗0.963.4M2022-05-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.9150.915412+0.05%0.726-20.66%0.0783✗1.241.7M2022-05-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03490.034915+0.04%0.0253-27.51%0.0886✗1.8921.9M2022-05-09
AAVEAaveEthereum126.06126.112+0.04%99.45-21.11%0.0725✗1.348.2M2022-05-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.963.9616+0.04%3.3-16.67%0.0882✗0.77585k2022-05-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.16290.162959+0.04%0.133-18.35%0.0565✗1.191.2M2022-05-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.5971.5972+0.02%1.357-15.02%0.0504✗0.9180k2022-05-09
XVGVergenative0.00740.007401+0.02%0.00611-17.43%0.0515✗1.14885k2022-05-09
IMXImmutableEthereum1.3631.3632+0.01%1.143-16.14%0.0007✗1.428.2M2022-05-09
KSMKusamaHydration111.73111.7413+0.01%94.26-15.64%0.0312✗1.131.0M2022-05-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000018360.000018361+0.00%0.00001395-24.02%0.1485✗1.021.2M2022-05-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.09070.090701+0.00%0.077-15.10%0.0537✗0.89416k2022-05-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum11.9111.91+0.00%9.91-16.79%0.0321✗1.238.0M2022-05-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.542750.542748-0.00%0.44085-18.77%0.0714✓1.11136k2022-05-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.23930.239288-0.00%0.1881-21.40%0.0938✓1.19372k2022-05-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.054020.054016-0.01%0.04346-19.55%0.0797✓1.1255k2022-05-09
FTTFTXEthereum33.8333.8274-0.01%30.15-10.88%0.0007✓0.9311.0M2022-05-09
BANDBandEthereum2.7312.7307-0.01%2.203-19.33%0.0545✓1.30499k2022-05-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6140.613925-0.01%0.479-21.99%0.0728✓1.421.6M2022-05-09
XYMSymbolnative0.07790.077886-0.02%0.0746-4.24%0.0439✗0.70657k2022-05-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin34,027.9134,021.21-0.02%30,078.27-11.61%0.0002✗1.00553.2M2022-05-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.5126.5038-0.02%22.75-14.18%0.0064✓1.194.4M2022-05-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.18050.180457-0.02%0.144-20.22%0.1172✓0.881.1M2022-05-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.81.7995-0.03%1.56-13.33%0.0151✓1.03134k2022-05-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.84110.840849-0.03%0.7236-13.97%0.0127✗1.326.1M2022-05-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.8550.854736-0.03%0.748-12.51%0.0291✗1.32954k2022-05-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.034650.034639-0.03%0.03042-12.21%0.0226✓0.8731k2022-05-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.754.7484-0.03%4.07-14.32%0.0647✓0.73855k2022-05-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.953.9485-0.04%3.515-11.01%0.0066✗1.0067k2022-05-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5420.541778-0.04%0.469-13.47%0.0481✓0.781.2M2022-05-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.058490.058459-0.05%0.0518-11.44%0.0156✓0.859,7632022-05-09
API3Api3Ethereum3.1793.1772-0.06%2.31-27.34%0.1876✓1.062.6M2022-05-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum33,986.5033,965.11-0.06%30,239.20-11.03%0.0029✗0.9726k2022-05-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.632.6283-0.06%2.203-16.24%0.0853✓0.74775k2022-05-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.070390.070341-0.07%0.06253-11.17%0.0091✓0.8827k2022-05-09
RADRadworksEthereum3.333.3276-0.07%2.95-11.41%0.0145✓0.86509k2022-05-09
QTUMQtumQtum5.03875.0351-0.07%4.4247-12.19%0.0133✗1.16103k2022-05-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.31835.3142-0.08%5.2364-1.54%0.0242✗0.32262k2022-05-09
DODODODOEthereum0.2750.274789-0.08%0.225-18.18%0.0436✓1.274.7M2022-05-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1241950.124093-0.08%0.101773-18.05%0.0847✓0.926.1M2022-05-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.781250.780608-0.08%0.62422-20.10%0.0700✓1.2474k2022-05-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002960.002957-0.09%0.00234-20.95%0.0909✓1.163.9M2022-05-09
ZECZcashZcash114113.8999-0.09%92.68-18.70%0.0629✓1.165.1M2022-05-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.31440.314114-0.09%0.2647-15.81%0.0296✓1.15186k2022-05-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.06e-78.05e-7-0.09%6.47e-7-19.65%0.2131✓0.04777k2022-05-09
GITCOINGITCOIN4.434.4255-0.10%3.348-24.42%0.0959✓1.4818k2022-05-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.019.9999-0.10%7.93-20.78%0.1047✓1.03666k2022-05-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.871.868-0.11%1.69-9.63%0.0302✓0.57254k2022-05-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum20.320.2783-0.11%17.45-14.04%0.0066✗1.27532k2022-05-09
GTGateEthereum6.13326.1263-0.11%5.6814-7.37%0.0205✓0.444.2M2022-05-09
HIVEHivenative0.70880.70797-0.12%0.5775-18.52%0.0721✓1.071.4M2022-05-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin93.8393.7201-0.12%76.19-18.80%0.0832✓1.0016.8M2022-05-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.007860.007851-0.12%0.00652-17.05%0.0544✓1.061.7M2022-05-09
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9480.946798-0.13%0.855-9.81%0.0350✗1.113.2M2022-05-09
XECeCashnative0.000068240.00006815-0.13%0.00005337-21.79%0.1185✓1.026.7M2022-05-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash261.65261.2847-0.14%217.92-16.71%0.0578✓1.004.7M2022-05-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.210.209706-0.14%0.197-6.19%0.0249✗0.7121k2022-05-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6264750.625596-0.14%0.500649-20.08%0.0823✓1.145.6M2022-05-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08270.082582-0.14%0.0649-21.52%0.1369✓0.842.2M2022-05-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum15,574.1215,550.39-0.15%12,496.71-19.76%0.0949✓1.002.3M2022-05-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum30.4630.4135-0.15%24.81-18.55%0.0403✓1.323.5M2022-05-09
MINAMina Protocolnative1.651.6474-0.16%1.35-18.18%0.0546✓1.17775k2022-05-09
KCSKuCoinnative15.89615.871-0.16%13.608-14.39%0.0563✓0.794.0M2022-05-09
XTZTezosTezos2.56152.5575-0.16%2.0088-21.58%0.1068✓1.09855k2022-05-09
ADACardanoCardano0.74030.739122-0.16%0.6018-18.71%0.0632✓1.1540.5M2022-05-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.6462.6418-0.16%2.24-15.34%0.0843✓0.651.0M2022-05-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.2164.2091-0.16%3.239-23.17%0.0738✓1.536.6M2022-05-09
UNIUniswapEthereum7.17.0883-0.16%5.95-16.20%0.0395✓1.104.1M2022-05-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.32180.321263-0.17%0.264-17.96%0.1177✓0.642,9402022-05-09
ETHEthereumEthereum2,519.102,514.85-0.17%2,228.50-11.54%0.0037✗1.01428.7M2022-05-09
DASHDashDash82.9382.7853-0.17%69.89-15.72%0.0400✓1.051.0M2022-05-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.48564.4775-0.18%3.4288-23.56%0.1280✓1.138.6M2022-05-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.11420.113983-0.19%0.1029-9.89%0.0018✓0.84136k2022-05-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.29930.29872-0.19%0.2389-20.18%0.0734✓1.226.3M2022-05-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.434.4211-0.20%3.33-24.83%0.0961✓1.52335k2022-05-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.18090.180528-0.21%0.1442-20.29%0.0537✓1.391.8M2022-05-09
XMRMoneroMonero217.35216.8886-0.21%173.09-20.36%0.1170✓0.883.0M2022-05-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.14960.149274-0.22%0.1213-18.92%0.0841✓1.003.8M2022-05-09
NANOnanopayBase1.63471.6309-0.23%1.3687-16.27%0.0364✓1.13145k2022-05-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.344.33-0.23%3.71-14.52%0.0701✓0.68497k2022-05-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV70.1970.0274-0.23%60.22-14.20%0.0469✓0.842.0M2022-05-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0345.0223-0.23%4.079-18.97%0.1257✓0.671.4M2022-05-09
COMPCompoundEthereum99.6799.4302-0.24%80.64-19.09%0.0598✓1.2130k2022-05-09
XEMNEMnative0.07570.075515-0.24%0.058-23.38%0.1413✓0.9951k2022-05-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.036310.036217-0.25%0.03061-15.70%0.0639✓0.85227k2022-05-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.54283.5335-0.26%2.8995-18.16%0.0624✓1.10173k2022-05-09
BTTCBTTC0.000001610.000001606-0.26%0.00000143-11.18%0.0301✓0.707.6M2022-05-09
UMAUMAEthereum5.325.3055-0.27%4.128-22.41%0.0735✓1.441.8M2022-05-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1616290.161162-0.29%0.140612-13.00%0.0143✓0.9913.4M2022-05-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.017830.017778-0.29%0.01333-25.24%0.1979✓0.732.7M2022-05-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.523.5098-0.29%2.77-21.31%0.0601✓1.43349k2022-05-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.013120.013082-0.29%0.01058-19.36%0.1008✓0.90961k2022-05-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.8963.8832-0.33%2.834-27.26%0.1470✓1.3675k2022-05-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3462.338-0.34%1.912-18.50%0.0398✓1.315.1M2022-05-09
STEEMSteemnative0.3830.381683-0.34%0.3015-21.28%0.1124✓1.003.1M2022-05-09
PROPropyEthereum1.631.624-0.37%1.53-6.13%0.0166✗0.62507k2022-05-09
ZENHorizenBase30.9930.8756-0.37%24.4-21.26%0.0653✓1.38173k2022-05-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3011.2959-0.39%1.011-22.29%0.1252✓1.00547k2022-05-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.72890.725764-0.43%0.5738-21.28%0.1146✓0.9811.5M2022-05-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0127550.012695-0.47%0.01048-17.84%0.0837✓0.8838k2022-05-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.9916.9026-0.51%13.72-19.25%0.0392✓1.372.4M2022-05-09
NEXONEXOEthereum1.8721.8623-0.52%1.678-10.36%0.0192✗1.006.1M2022-05-09
GMTGMTEthereum2.7192.6938-0.93%1.769-34.94%0.2972✓1.008.1M2022-05-09
TRXTRONTron0.0880130.086689-1.50%0.072587-17.53%0.0900✓0.71352k2022-05-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.