8=======>

2022-04-30 · +1d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3857
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.38%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.1%
in alpha space · 46.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.20%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum29.0829.1846+0.36%31.79+9.32%0.0585✓1.244.4M2022-05-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03580.035924+0.35%0.0382+6.70%0.0267✓1.5928.3M2022-05-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.70.702244+0.32%0.73+4.29%0.0151✓1.09512k2022-05-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.6590.661107+0.32%0.6634+0.67%0.0235✗1.24134k2022-05-01
MANADecentralandEthereum1.43191.4364+0.32%1.5345+7.17%0.0419✓1.111.1M2022-05-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.964.9739+0.28%5.02+1.21%0.0054✗0.671.2M2022-05-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.31633.325+0.26%3.3009-0.46%0.0194✗0.566.0M2022-05-01
SCSiacoinnative0.008240.00826+0.24%0.00849+3.03%0.0022✓1.16425k2022-05-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.90280.904654+0.21%0.9442+4.59%0.0155✓1.258.3M2022-05-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.420.420859+0.20%0.42+0.00%0.0342✗1.48311k2022-05-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.20150.20191+0.20%0.2277+13.00%0.0833✓1.691.8M2022-05-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.21990.220344+0.20%0.2378+8.14%0.0452✓1.427.7M2022-05-01
SUSHISushiEthereum2.32.3041+0.18%2.39+3.91%0.0094✓1.254.2M2022-05-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1274490.127673+0.18%0.132649+4.08%0.0181✓0.937.2M2022-05-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin14.2314.2539+0.17%15.12+6.25%0.0360✓1.069.2M2022-05-01
QNTQuantEthereum92.7592.8979+0.16%97.29+4.89%0.0286✓0.813.4M2022-05-01
XECeCashnative0.000067750.000067854+0.15%0.00007344+8.40%0.0583✓0.968.7M2022-05-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.10563.1103+0.15%3.1516+1.48%0.0001✓0.614.6M2022-05-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9850.986433+0.15%1.065+8.12%0.0538✓1.053.8M2022-05-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.8925.9266+0.14%27.61+6.64%0.0388✓1.115.1M2022-05-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.3614.3798+0.14%15.21+5.92%0.0266✓1.36158k2022-05-01
STXStacksnative0.910.911235+0.14%0.95+4.40%0.0210✓0.95344k2022-05-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.0071.0083+0.13%1.074+6.65%0.0383✓1.142.2M2022-05-01
DODODODOEthereum0.2830.283358+0.13%0.304+7.42%0.0455✓1.146.7M2022-05-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.254.2552+0.12%4.37+2.82%0.0108✓0.731.1M2022-05-01
XVGVergenative0.008230.00824+0.12%0.00861+4.62%0.0205✓1.071.1M2022-05-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.711560.712317+0.11%0.72519+1.92%0.0092✗1.241.4M2022-05-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6250.625643+0.10%0.672+7.52%0.0411✓1.391.7M2022-05-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05130.05135+0.10%0.0535+4.29%0.0161✓1.14231k2022-05-01
BTTCBTTC0.000001660.000001661+0.09%0.00000172+3.61%0.0192✓0.718.0M2022-05-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0247040.024726+0.09%0.025059+1.44%0.0090✗1.034.1M2022-05-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.0581.0589+0.09%1.095+3.50%0.0064✓1.24394k2022-05-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020160.000020176+0.08%0.00002156+6.94%0.0433✓1.061.5M2022-05-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot14.5114.5208+0.07%15.36+5.86%0.0339✓1.0211.8M2022-05-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.40.400296+0.07%0.4027+0.67%0.0180✗1.10535k2022-05-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.39910.39936+0.07%0.4068+1.93%0.0134✓0.23638k2022-05-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.3822.3835+0.06%2.535+6.42%0.0280✓1.54816k2022-05-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum10.9710.9768+0.06%11.29+2.92%0.0039✓1.1120.5M2022-05-01
DASHDashDash84.684.6472+0.06%90.01+6.39%0.0393✓1.011.3M2022-05-01
IMXImmutableEthereum1.3561.3567+0.05%1.513+11.58%0.0867✓1.027.5M2022-05-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.26580.265936+0.05%0.2863+7.71%0.0454✓1.30836k2022-05-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.4312.4362+0.05%13.05+4.99%0.0245✓1.099.4M2022-05-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.52910.529342+0.05%0.5449+2.99%0.0076✓0.987.9M2022-05-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.721.7207+0.04%2.01+16.86%0.1437✓0.54279k2022-05-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos17.8417.8473+0.04%18+0.90%0.0147✗1.0720.9M2022-05-01
SOLSolanaSolana84.6984.7236+0.04%89.65+5.86%0.0301✓1.21100.4M2022-05-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5083.5089+0.03%3.533+0.71%0.0002✓0.322.5M2022-05-01
FIDABonfidaSolana1.0951.0953+0.02%1.095+0.00%0.0212✗0.9656k2022-05-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.847190.847399+0.02%0.90434+6.75%0.0401✓1.14118k2022-05-01
NANOnanopayBase1.65571.656+0.02%1.7659+6.66%0.0419✓1.03168k2022-05-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.471.4702+0.01%1.54+4.76%0.0178✓1.311.3M2022-05-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4140.414049+0.01%0.422+1.93%0.0000✓0.87343k2022-05-01
XVSVenusEthereum7.667.6609+0.01%8+4.44%0.0207✓1.043.4M2022-05-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.19460.194614+0.01%0.2012+3.39%0.0149✓0.841.3M2022-05-01
UNIUniswapEthereum6.766.7604+0.01%7.12+5.33%0.0290✓1.054.7M2022-05-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.7642.7639-0.00%2.85+3.11%0.0156✗0.691.1M2022-05-01
ZECZcashZcash114113.9942-0.01%124+8.77%0.0609✗1.076.3M2022-05-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.3611.359-0.01%11.61+2.20%0.0116✗0.472.9M2022-05-01
KCSKuCoinnative17.26217.2601-0.01%17.88+3.58%0.0183✗0.785.0M2022-05-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.9144.9134-0.01%5.083+3.44%0.0081✗1.19201k2022-05-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9040.903816-0.02%0.942+4.20%0.0182✗1.061.3M2022-05-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.419.4081-0.02%9.45+0.43%0.0046✓0.421.8M2022-05-01
COMPCompoundEthereum104.6104.571-0.03%105.47+0.83%0.0165✓1.1547k2022-05-01
GITCOINGITCOIN4.4864.4848-0.03%4.744+5.75%0.0245✗1.4619k2022-05-01
API3Api3Ethereum3.1793.1779-0.03%3.294+3.62%0.0144✗0.992.8M2022-05-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.570420.570203-0.04%0.60436+5.95%0.0358✗1.03145k2022-05-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.74991.7492-0.04%1.8001+2.87%0.0099✗0.8696k2022-05-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.13120.131138-0.05%0.1428+8.84%0.0588✗1.21204k2022-05-01
TRXTRONTron0.062670.062636-0.05%0.070764+12.92%0.1089✗0.60273k2022-05-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum65.9967-0.06%5.83-2.83%0.0403✓0.56982k2022-05-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.630490.630124-0.06%0.64762+2.72%0.0030✗1.12107k2022-05-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche57.0156.9748-0.06%58.76+3.07%0.0053✗1.1745.0M2022-05-01
MOVRMoonriverBase39.789739.7648-0.06%41.27+3.72%0.0059✗1.43201k2022-05-01
ADACardanoCardano0.75580.755319-0.06%0.7896+4.47%0.0216✗1.0543.8M2022-05-01
FTTFTXEthereum37.9537.9258-0.06%39.11+3.06%0.0114✗0.8914.7M2022-05-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.25930.259134-0.06%0.268+3.36%0.0100✗1.09428k2022-05-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.6885.684-0.07%5.5805-1.89%0.0290✓0.49245k2022-05-01
LUNATerraTerra 278.1378.0742-0.07%82.3+5.34%0.0244✗1.308.4M2022-05-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.14220.142088-0.08%0.1473+3.59%0.0110✓2.16278k2022-05-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.03730.037269-0.08%0.03837+2.87%0.0113✗0.8250k2022-05-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.63033.6271-0.09%3.854+6.16%0.0395✗0.97238k2022-05-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003030.003027-0.09%0.00315+3.96%0.0164✗1.075.6M2022-05-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.34580.345486-0.09%0.3601+4.14%0.0326✗0.404,4772022-05-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.1221.1209-0.09%1.157+3.12%0.0093✗1.03501k2022-05-01
AAVEAaveEthereum142.59142.4528-0.10%146.6+2.81%0.0012✗1.2611.6M2022-05-01
XMRMoneroMonero214.3214.0935-0.10%212.25-0.96%0.0286✓0.913.3M2022-05-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum11.2311.219-0.10%11.7+4.19%0.0197✗1.021.0M2022-05-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.17130.171132-0.10%0.1821+6.30%0.0374✗1.142.1M2022-05-01
ZENHorizenBase29.0429.0106-0.10%30.81+6.10%0.0317✗1.31224k2022-05-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.6723.668-0.11%3.915+6.62%0.0273✗1.741.7M2022-05-01
MINAMina Protocolnative1.71.6981-0.11%1.8+5.88%0.0344✗1.091.3M2022-05-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1690040.168813-0.11%0.175665+3.94%0.0187✗0.9715.1M2022-05-01
BANDBandEthereum2.9652.9616-0.12%3.113+4.99%0.0231✗1.23588k2022-05-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.20040.200169-0.12%0.2068+3.19%0.0033✗1.35125k2022-05-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2280.227735-0.12%0.233+2.19%0.0080✗0.6827k2022-05-01
ETHEthereumEthereum2,726.592,723.39-0.12%2,824.86+3.60%0.0148✗1.00438.2M2022-05-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.34410.343693-0.12%0.3546+3.05%0.0028✗1.30233k2022-05-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,644.1037,599.47-0.12%38,473.05+2.20%0.0012✗1.00542.5M2022-05-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.554.5446-0.12%4.66+2.42%0.0105✗0.67685k2022-05-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin95.8995.776-0.12%99.27+3.52%0.0138✗1.0117.8M2022-05-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.077650.077551-0.13%0.07933+2.16%0.0054✗0.7930k2022-05-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash277.83277.4724-0.13%284.18+2.29%0.0028✗0.975.6M2022-05-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.4463.4412-0.14%3.588+4.12%0.0130✗1.3286k2022-05-01
GTGateEthereum6.2976.2881-0.14%6.2343-1.00%0.0184✓0.454.6M2022-05-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8184.811-0.15%4.9155+2.02%0.0037✓1.1510.2M2022-05-01
KSMKusamaHydration131.55131.358-0.15%133.3+1.33%0.0087✓1.081.1M2022-05-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.18010.179836-0.15%0.1959+8.77%0.0577✗1.282.2M2022-05-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.022110.022077-0.15%0.019451-12.03%0.1380✓0.52195k2022-05-01
CBKCobakEthereum1.8141.8112-0.16%1.872+3.20%0.0171✗0.7324k2022-05-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.4751.4727-0.16%1.464-0.75%0.0293✓1.0875k2022-05-01
HIVEHivenative0.780.778773-0.16%0.801+2.69%0.0068✗0.981.7M2022-05-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.008330.008317-0.16%0.00779-6.48%0.0792✓0.6328k2022-05-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.30670.306162-0.18%0.3153+2.80%0.0031✗1.219.0M2022-05-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9961.9925-0.18%2.066+3.51%0.0079✗1.306.0M2022-05-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8792.8739-0.18%2.908+1.01%0.0016✓0.611.6M2022-05-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.008390.008374-0.19%0.00817-2.62%0.0495✓1.143.1M2022-05-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.991.9862-0.19%2.02+1.51%0.0048✓1.00137k2022-05-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5840.582893-0.19%0.597+2.23%0.0072✗0.771.8M2022-05-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV71.3571.2145-0.19%73.84+3.49%0.0188✗0.802.2M2022-05-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14910.148809-0.20%0.1516+1.68%0.0085✓1.247.2M2022-05-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1350.134727-0.20%0.138+2.22%0.0143✗0.44175k2022-05-01
XYMSymbolnative0.08920.089017-0.21%0.0933+4.60%0.0326✗0.66806k2022-05-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.054.0417-0.21%4.203+3.78%0.0187✗0.9466k2022-05-01
XEMNEMnative0.08850.088317-0.21%0.0894+1.02%0.0078✓0.9260k2022-05-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.3774.3678-0.21%4.822+10.17%0.0685✗1.408.3M2022-05-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02770.027639-0.22%0.02732-1.37%0.0243✓0.58458k2022-05-01
RADRadworksEthereum3.83.7916-0.22%3.81+0.26%0.0139✓0.86621k2022-05-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04050.04041-0.22%0.04136+2.12%0.0062✗0.78277k2022-05-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018150.018108-0.23%0.01888+4.02%0.0106✗1.4347.4M2022-05-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.524.5092-0.24%4.73+4.65%0.0155✗1.48339k2022-05-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4520.450898-0.24%0.461+1.99%0.0001✓1.024.3M2022-05-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.014310.014273-0.26%0.01493+4.33%0.0258✗0.881.3M2022-05-01
XTZTezosTezos2.53332.5267-0.26%2.5781+1.77%0.0024✓1.04873k2022-05-01
DIADIAEthereum0.790.787872-0.27%0.77-2.53%0.0332✓0.4775k2022-05-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0180.017951-0.27%0.0175-2.78%0.0475✓1.01328k2022-05-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.019330.019276-0.28%0.01921-0.62%0.0190✓0.724.1M2022-05-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum23.4623.3923-0.29%23.71+1.07%0.0061✓0.90478k2022-05-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.68010.678004-0.31%0.7448+9.51%0.0666✗1.26369k2022-05-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0128950.012854-0.32%0.012277-4.79%0.0647✓0.8651k2022-05-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.56760.565707-0.33%0.602+6.06%0.0416✗0.9510.9M2022-05-01
ORCAOrcaSolana1.841.8336-0.35%1.86+1.09%0.0014✓0.72181k2022-05-01
QTUMQtumQtum5.32125.3024-0.35%5.608+5.39%0.0314✗1.13134k2022-05-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1320.131533-0.35%0.1291-2.20%0.0393✓0.95169k2022-05-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.09930.098947-0.36%0.1052+5.94%0.0418✗0.90527k2022-05-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,625.5037,485.32-0.37%38,172.20+1.45%0.0020✓0.9326k2022-05-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.12730.126816-0.38%0.12406-2.55%0.0380✓0.7416k2022-05-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.060.059769-0.39%0.06366+6.10%0.0403✗1.05114k2022-05-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum2221.9094-0.41%23.01+4.59%0.0219✗1.24644k2022-05-01
UMAUMAEthereum5.3485.3252-0.43%5.42+1.35%0.0132✓1.421.7M2022-05-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.27882.2691-0.43%2.4045+5.52%0.0445✗0.6213k2022-05-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0670.066711-0.43%0.0665-0.75%0.0200✓0.7720k2022-05-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.733.7124-0.47%4+7.24%0.0445✗1.38385k2022-05-01
PROPropyEthereum1.571.5619-0.52%1.58+0.64%0.0011✓0.58387k2022-05-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.72e-79.67e-7-0.54%9.40e-7-3.29%0.0272✓-0.04580k2022-05-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum16,656.5816,565.66-0.55%17,039.85+2.30%0.0067✗0.993.1M2022-05-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7539570.749364-0.61%0.716842-4.92%0.0660✓0.995.0M2022-05-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1232.1087-0.67%2.068-2.59%0.0416✓1.0215.2M2022-05-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.2456.1986-0.74%5.683-9.00%0.1003✓0.621.6M2022-05-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.87634.8368-0.81%4.5174-7.36%0.0851✓0.7710.0M2022-05-01
APEApeCoinEthereum19.98719.7458-1.21%15.865-20.62%0.2691✓2.3145.8M2022-05-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1070.105676-1.24%0.0967-9.63%0.1073✓0.852.8M2022-05-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.4520.1541-1.45%24.28+18.73%0.1585✗1.272.2M2022-05-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.