8=======>

2022-04-18 · +30d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1631
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+23.49%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
95.1%
in alpha space · 99.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-29.73%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6760.57516-14.92%0.216-68.05%0.5866✓1.115.9M2022-05-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011870.000001012-14.73%6.83e-7-42.43%0.4760✓-0.24596k2022-05-18
APEApeCoinEthereum11.87410.4323-12.14%7.969-32.89%0.4692✗2.0945.4M2022-05-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.1743.6797-11.84%1.105-73.53%0.6903✓1.45741k2022-05-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.93020.827828-11.01%0.451-51.52%0.1209✓1.38824k2022-05-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.73690.65882-10.60%0.4328-41.27%0.0871✓0.9418.3M2022-05-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18670.167163-10.46%0.0783-58.06%0.3316✓1.219.4M2022-05-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,131.9717,228.09-9.95%9,070.74-52.59%0.2501✓1.115.0M2022-05-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004040.003678-8.96%0.00127-68.56%0.6307✓1.239.6M2022-05-18
XVSVenusEthereum10.179.271-8.84%4.32-57.52%0.3546✓1.164.6M2022-05-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.9752.7185-8.62%1.342-54.89%0.3500✓1.014.0M2022-05-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2280.208458-8.57%0.06-73.68%1.0083✓0.67122k2022-05-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.7371.3161-8.25%29.57-61.96%0.4347✓1.2692.9M2022-05-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.29843.9474-8.17%2.23-48.12%0.3036✓0.764.5M2022-05-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum46.2242.4881-8.07%21.59-53.29%0.2269✓1.288.8M2022-05-18
XTZTezosTezos3.17432.9183-8.06%1.676-47.20%0.1850✓1.051.0M2022-05-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.35624.9245-8.06%3.0646-42.78%0.0516✓1.2011.3M2022-05-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.975.4891-8.06%2.25-62.31%0.3564✓1.52615k2022-05-18
BANDBandEthereum3.7833.481-7.98%1.566-58.60%0.3592✓1.25745k2022-05-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7121570.655784-7.92%0.371298-47.86%0.1761✓1.113.2M2022-05-18
SUSHISushiEthereum3.293.0357-7.73%1.26-61.70%0.4391✓1.256.7M2022-05-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34950.322537-7.71%0.1813-48.13%0.1147✓1.311.6M2022-05-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.1295.6667-7.54%4.622-24.59%0.0309✓0.671.8M2022-05-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.9715.7026-7.47%7.49-55.86%0.3750✓1.0418.4M2022-05-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.33.9839-7.35%1.62-62.33%0.4039✓1.41670k2022-05-18
UNIUniswapEthereum9.398.703-7.32%4.88-48.03%0.2045✓1.068.8M2022-05-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.022550.020914-7.25%0.00898-60.18%0.4435✓1.14398k2022-05-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.4613.4271-7.14%9.72-32.78%0.1794✓0.412.0M2022-05-18
QTUMQtumQtum6.69966.2287-7.03%3.8022-43.25%0.0822✓1.17216k2022-05-18
DODODODOEthereum0.390.362737-6.99%0.147-62.31%0.4888✓1.177.7M2022-05-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034940.03252-6.93%0.02137-38.84%0.1873✓0.66942k2022-05-18
UMAUMAEthereum6.3185.885-6.85%3.049-51.74%0.1433✓1.462.8M2022-05-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.24190.225403-6.82%0.1059-56.22%0.2789✓1.353.3M2022-05-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.421.8544-6.61%13.77-41.15%0.0008✓1.31720k2022-05-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.5416.1091-6.60%2.946-54.96%0.3366✓1.11331k2022-05-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.68540.640353-6.57%0.2258-67.06%0.8882✓0.44814k2022-05-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.22541.1454-6.53%0.6487-47.06%0.1275✓1.2511.9M2022-05-18
MOVRMoonriverBase57.977754.2318-6.46%21.8174-62.37%0.3930✓1.47223k2022-05-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.7224.42-6.40%1.913-59.49%0.2322✓1.722.5M2022-05-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3161.2319-6.39%0.674-48.78%0.1537✓1.273.3M2022-05-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.11610.108749-6.33%0.0578-50.22%0.2288✓1.14988k2022-05-18
LUNATerraTerra 290.9885.2436-6.31%0.00015-100.00%12.7911✓1.308.2M2022-05-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.95963.7107-6.28%2.0873-47.29%0.3410✓0.664.7M2022-05-18
PROPropyEthereum1.861.7432-6.28%1.17-37.10%0.0724✓0.92179k2022-05-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.71514.4201-6.26%2.335-50.48%0.2906✓0.98275k2022-05-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.5233.3046-6.20%1.843-47.69%0.3220✓0.742.2M2022-05-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4961.4034-6.19%0.904-39.57%0.0813✓1.02983k2022-05-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.1764.8585-6.13%2.49-51.89%0.2096✓1.307.1M2022-05-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.20110.188854-6.09%0.0702-65.09%0.1931✓2.26576k2022-05-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11740.11027-6.07%0.0531-54.77%0.3598✓1.051.3M2022-05-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7370.692749-6.00%0.34-53.87%0.4009✓0.882.9M2022-05-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36230.340716-5.96%0.1571-56.64%0.3575✓1.1810.3M2022-05-18
AAVEAaveEthereum169.22159.1564-5.95%81.76-51.68%0.2055✓1.3112.8M2022-05-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.22970.216045-5.94%0.1183-48.50%0.1825✓1.193.2M2022-05-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.19520.183684-5.90%0.0773-60.40%0.4631✓1.14262k2022-05-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.060.997508-5.90%0.32988-68.88%0.6890✓1.18761k2022-05-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074820.070415-5.89%0.03561-52.41%0.3098✓1.05124k2022-05-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06720.063256-5.87%0.0313-53.42%0.2842✓1.19471k2022-05-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0144170.013573-5.85%0.008488-41.12%0.1476✓0.9147k2022-05-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.815140.76791-5.79%0.33637-58.73%0.4726✓1.00166k2022-05-18
ZECZcashZcash156.2147.1615-5.79%99.46-36.33%0.0213✓1.058.5M2022-05-18
MINAMina Protocolnative2.392.2525-5.75%0.977-59.12%0.4484✓1.101.2M2022-05-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.021620.020378-5.74%0.01331-38.44%0.1466✓0.794.7M2022-05-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.0822.7007-5.73%10.1-58.06%0.4206✓1.1031.7M2022-05-18
KSMKusamaHydration167.23157.6895-5.71%75.92-54.60%0.3623✓1.041.2M2022-05-18
DASHDashDash108.7102.6033-5.61%55.59-48.86%0.2466✓1.042.4M2022-05-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011010.010393-5.61%0.00461-58.13%0.3980✓1.183.2M2022-05-18
XYMSymbolnative0.11020.104037-5.59%0.0658-40.29%0.2130✓0.69823k2022-05-18
XVGVergenative0.010430.009848-5.58%0.00481-53.88%0.3092✓1.151.6M2022-05-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.23590.222923-5.50%0.1303-44.76%0.0584✓1.36356k2022-05-18
RADRadworksEthereum4.624.3673-5.47%1.89-59.09%0.4997✓0.96820k2022-05-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.0751.962-5.45%0.537-74.12%0.9518✓0.9794k2022-05-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0684.7923-5.44%2.84-43.96%0.1786✓0.9872k2022-05-18
XECeCashnative0.000090560.000085666-5.40%0.00004439-50.98%0.3041✓1.009.5M2022-05-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.4212.6956-5.40%5.93-55.81%0.3637✓1.131.5M2022-05-18
ADACardanoCardano0.93670.886622-5.35%0.5053-46.06%0.1955✓1.0468.9M2022-05-18
NANOnanopayBase2.14272.0284-5.34%1.0587-50.59%0.2592✓1.11231k2022-05-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.0613.3144-5.30%6.79-51.71%0.2713✓1.1426.2M2022-05-18
XMRMoneroMonero265.87251.8062-5.29%155.14-41.65%0.1512✓0.941.7M2022-05-18
ETHEthereumEthereum3,056.192,894.91-5.28%1,911.98-37.44%0.0446✓1.05482.4M2022-05-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1617.216-5.20%9.47-47.85%0.2247✓1.0619.0M2022-05-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.934.9986-5.15%19.81-46.31%0.1837✓1.0914.9M2022-05-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017290.016399-5.15%0.00913-47.19%0.2357✓0.992.0M2022-05-18
ZENHorizenBase37.8935.9465-5.13%18.99-49.88%0.1615✓1.35397k2022-05-18
HIVEHivenative0.89220.846739-5.10%0.472-47.10%0.2061✓1.071.9M2022-05-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.66520.631507-5.07%0.3344-49.73%0.2662✓1.059.8M2022-05-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13720.130258-5.06%0.0885-35.50%0.0275✓1.02224k2022-05-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2131.1524-5.00%0.504-58.45%0.4629✓1.031.4M2022-05-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4411.369-4.99%0.643-55.38%0.2915✓1.32555k2022-05-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048940.046498-4.99%0.02797-42.85%0.1513✓1.01526k2022-05-18
COMPCompoundEthereum139.03132.1343-4.96%63.7-54.18%0.3133✓1.1876k2022-05-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,803.5838,781.39-4.96%28,672.94-29.73%0.0508✓1.00544.9M2022-05-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05020.047727-4.93%0.0145-71.12%0.5961✓1.6938.1M2022-05-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.60851-4.92%0.18425-71.21%0.6673✓1.49435k2022-05-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.5452.4213-4.86%1.6365-35.70%0.1202✓0.7712k2022-05-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011490.010932-4.86%0.00411-64.23%0.7609✓0.6235k2022-05-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.39220.373219-4.84%0.1104-71.85%0.5773✓1.822.3M2022-05-18
AVTAventusEthereum2.512.3885-4.84%1.12-55.38%0.5849✓0.49546k2022-05-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.55050.523882-4.84%0.3258-40.82%0.0388✓1.24967k2022-05-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50150.477302-4.83%0.2464-50.87%0.3818✓0.79490k2022-05-18
SOLSolanaSolana102.3997.4792-4.80%49.87-51.29%0.2303✓1.25147.4M2022-05-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0263320.02508-4.76%0.017393-33.95%0.1281✓0.67199k2022-05-18
XLMStellarStellar0.2051140.195476-4.70%0.127544-37.82%0.0724✓1.0119.4M2022-05-18
MANADecentralandEthereum2.08661.9889-4.68%1.0317-50.55%0.2565✓1.131.6M2022-05-18
BTTCBTTC0.000001910.000001821-4.66%0.00000109-42.93%0.2611✓0.7110.2M2022-05-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24040.229223-4.65%0.1273-47.05%0.2875✓0.851.6M2022-05-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.2625.0433-4.63%12.73-51.52%0.3603✓0.90609k2022-05-18
SCSiacoinnative0.010420.009956-4.45%0.00488-53.17%0.2934✓1.19565k2022-05-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.061.0129-4.44%0.53494-49.53%0.2334✓1.15143k2022-05-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8550.817031-4.44%0.296-65.38%0.5346✓1.362.5M2022-05-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5513.395-4.39%1.748-50.77%0.4308✓0.662.2M2022-05-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044460.042574-4.24%0.02554-42.56%0.1996✓0.8867k2022-05-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash340.48326.2095-4.19%186.73-45.16%0.2072✓0.998.3M2022-05-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.6218.7992-4.18%7.59-61.31%0.5157✓1.1110.8M2022-05-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5994.4073-4.17%4.449-3.26%0.1378✗0.363.7M2022-05-18
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7511.678-4.17%0.801-54.25%0.3661✓1.067.8M2022-05-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07570.072596-4.10%0.04358-42.43%0.2167✓0.8350k2022-05-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.4119.5736-4.10%9.63-52.82%0.2311✓1.36220k2022-05-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV84.6781.2004-4.10%50.06-40.88%0.2020✓0.803.5M2022-05-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.7214.1249-4.04%6.45-56.18%0.6123✓0.492.9M2022-05-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.42060.403848-3.98%0.2581-38.64%0.0552✗1.43403k2022-05-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.41935.208-3.90%1.893-65.07%0.8323✓0.515.7M2022-05-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5734.3964-3.86%2.081-54.49%0.3843✓1.03120k2022-05-18
LSKLiskEthereum2.12012.0388-3.84%1.1344-46.49%0.2801✓0.8799k2022-05-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.48250.4647-3.69%0.1857-61.51%0.8395✓0.225,8622022-05-18
ORCAOrcaSolana1.871.8018-3.64%0.84-55.08%0.5128✓0.71214k2022-05-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.75.4978-3.55%3.62-36.49%0.1651✓0.721.2M2022-05-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33850.326514-3.54%0.1246-63.19%0.4480✓1.469.2M2022-05-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1852.1076-3.54%1.228-43.80%0.0686✓1.347.3M2022-05-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.825.6202-3.43%3.54-39.18%0.2059✓0.731.1M2022-05-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018210.017587-3.42%0.01163-36.13%0.1035✗1.4748.3M2022-05-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.991.9224-3.40%0.82-58.79%0.3834✓1.331.6M2022-05-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.141430.136665-3.37%0.07027-50.31%0.3874✓0.7918k2022-05-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.32.2233-3.33%1.34-41.74%0.1481✓1.02163k2022-05-18
QNTQuantEthereum111.58107.8897-3.31%64.77-41.95%0.1844✓0.923.8M2022-05-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.763580.738651-3.26%0.37232-51.24%0.3138✓1.05201k2022-05-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.2713.805-3.26%10.48-26.56%0.1862✗1.312.3M2022-05-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.08551.0503-3.24%0.35851-66.97%0.6033✓1.341.6M2022-05-18
FIDABonfidaSolana1.461.4128-3.23%0.565-61.30%0.5678✓0.9963k2022-05-18
GITCOINGITCOIN5.9825.7902-3.21%2.221-62.87%0.4276✓1.5018k2022-05-18
DIADIAEthereum0.870.84262-3.15%0.74-14.94%0.0359✗0.47154k2022-05-18
KCSKuCoinnative20.2619.646-3.03%14.375-29.05%0.0088✓0.865.4M2022-05-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025270.000024533-2.92%0.00001147-54.61%0.3594✓1.142.7M2022-05-18
GTGateEthereum6.57546.3854-2.89%5.4955-16.42%0.0571✗0.594.6M2022-05-18
API3Api3Ethereum4.2854.1636-2.83%1.694-60.47%0.6775✓0.633.3M2022-05-18
STXStacksnative1.211.1758-2.83%0.51-57.85%0.4772✓1.01440k2022-05-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.24108.1374-2.79%65.87-40.79%0.1314✓1.0321.8M2022-05-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.034420.033552-2.52%0.015-56.42%0.4151✓1.114.5M2022-05-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.215.0812-2.47%2.97-42.99%0.2746✓0.741.5M2022-05-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.76.5392-2.40%4.01-40.15%0.2264✓0.741.8M2022-05-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2650.259215-2.18%0.1186-55.25%0.4830✓0.8536k2022-05-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.99390.974038-2.00%0.3371-66.08%0.5629✓1.41231k2022-05-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.271.2457-1.92%0.747-41.18%0.1714✓0.963.5M2022-05-18
XEMNEMnative0.09790.096332-1.60%0.0537-45.15%0.2602✓0.9267k2022-05-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,850.2040,238.78-1.50%28,786.00-29.53%0.0009✓0.9526k2022-05-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.2422.2122-1.33%1.082-51.74%0.4331✓0.8026k2022-05-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.093910.092677-1.31%0.05016-46.59%0.3078✓0.8735k2022-05-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.29110.287324-1.30%0.1653-43.22%0.1402✓1.17495k2022-05-18
FTTFTXEthereum43.3743.0102-0.83%29.64-31.66%0.0221✓0.9917.2M2022-05-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1403550.139727-0.45%0.082984-40.88%0.2186✓0.865.0M2022-05-18
TRXTRONTron0.06160.061855+0.41%0.070977+15.22%0.3728✓0.67254k2022-05-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.97396.0547+1.35%4.9753-16.72%0.0297✗0.47186k2022-05-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.