8=======>

2022-03-02 · +1d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1106
152 of 152 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.49%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
34.2%
in alpha space · 77.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.30%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UMAUMAEthereum8.4218.2933-1.52%9.598+13.98%0.1938✗1.421.9M2022-03-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.77512.7431-1.15%2.773-0.08%0.0402✗0.882.7M2022-03-03
LUNATerraTerra 292.4391.495-1.01%90.56-2.02%0.0377✗1.434.8M2022-03-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004690.004643-1.01%0.00456-2.77%0.0369✗1.649.6M2022-03-03
API3Api3Ethereum7.37.2284-0.98%7.315+0.21%0.0287✗0.504.1M2022-03-03
RADRadworksEthereum5.595.5365-0.96%5.51-1.43%0.0286✗1.00828k2022-03-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.947.8667-0.92%7.63-3.90%0.0002✓0.92461k2022-03-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72910.722459-0.91%0.8058+10.52%0.1562✗1.402.5M2022-03-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.0385.9851-0.88%5.584-7.52%0.0343✓1.05166k2022-03-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.09910.098254-0.85%0.095-4.14%0.0162✗1.49613k2022-03-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum22,346.9422,163.62-0.82%21,698.86-2.90%0.0116✗0.985.9M2022-03-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.82040.81399-0.78%0.7967-2.89%0.0164✗1.1319.9M2022-03-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.80820.801993-0.77%0.7864-2.70%0.0289✗1.45270k2022-03-03
CELLCellframeEthereum1.62261.6103-0.76%1.6497+1.67%0.0668✗1.27293k2022-03-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.646.5906-0.74%6.34-4.52%0.0085✗1.41942k2022-03-03
FIDABonfidaSolana2.2372.2205-0.74%1.976-11.67%0.0903✓0.7976k2022-03-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.40330.400337-0.73%0.3687-8.58%0.0273✓1.6414.7M2022-03-03
PROPropyEthereum1.821.807-0.71%1.92+5.49%0.1011✗1.21411k2022-03-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.2532.0206-0.71%34.01+5.46%0.0987✗1.1550.3M2022-03-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072580.072101-0.66%0.06983-3.79%0.0100✗1.2569k2022-03-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.992.9705-0.65%2.873-3.91%0.0019✓0.94792k2022-03-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1516.0452-0.65%16.42+1.67%0.0467✗0.702.3M2022-03-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02680.026627-0.64%0.0283+5.60%0.1054✗1.33500k2022-03-03
ZECZcashZcash125.91125.1079-0.64%129.17+2.59%0.0695✗1.127.4M2022-03-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche83.4282.8896-0.64%78.49-5.91%0.0067✓1.43120.2M2022-03-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.591.5799-0.64%1.523-4.21%0.0019✓1.152.0M2022-03-03
XTZTezosTezos3.4943.4719-0.63%3.3937-2.87%0.0201✗1.281.9M2022-03-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012310.012233-0.63%0.01199-2.60%0.0265✗1.392.8M2022-03-03
MOVRMoonriverBase71.5571.1085-0.62%66.5878-6.94%0.0194✓1.38231k2022-03-03
QTUMQtumQtum6.48676.4474-0.61%6.3922-1.46%0.0364✗1.34257k2022-03-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.028320.028149-0.60%0.02753-2.79%0.0036✓0.774.0M2022-03-03
UOSUltraEthereum1.3891.3808-0.59%1.4091+1.44%0.0656✗1.352.8M2022-03-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.033970.033772-0.58%0.03435+1.12%0.0469✗0.891.1M2022-03-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.165420.164466-0.58%0.16147-2.39%0.0213✗1.1822k2022-03-03
NANOnanopayBase1.87821.8674-0.58%1.868-0.54%0.0398✗1.18179k2022-03-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15950.158585-0.57%0.1559-2.26%0.0173✗1.03420k2022-03-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.654.6235-0.57%4.42-4.95%0.0057✗1.51471k2022-03-03
HIVEHivenative0.99880.993151-0.57%0.9796-1.92%0.0260✗1.182.1M2022-03-03
KSMKusamaHydration138.31137.5309-0.56%131.9-4.63%0.0033✓1.151.0M2022-03-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.95921.9482-0.56%2.1075+7.57%0.1134✗1.0477k2022-03-03
XVSVenusEthereum9.789.7254-0.56%9.34-4.50%0.0003✓1.213.5M2022-03-03
UNIUniswapEthereum10.059.9942-0.55%9.55-4.98%0.0057✓1.1910.4M2022-03-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.4134.3885-0.55%4.2636-3.39%0.0093✗1.14244k2022-03-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.1970.195908-0.55%0.1971+0.05%0.0518✗1.362.8M2022-03-03
ORCAOrcaSolana2.522.506-0.55%2.46-2.38%0.0150✗1.00445k2022-03-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3080.306294-0.55%0.295-4.22%0.0062✗1.312.2M2022-03-03
MINAMina Protocolnative2.132.1182-0.55%2.04-4.23%0.0014✓1.16354k2022-03-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.3946-0.55%6.33-1.56%0.0194✗0.88478k2022-03-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.5626.4141-0.55%25.18-5.20%0.0017✓1.381.5M2022-03-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.50290.50016-0.54%0.4722-6.10%0.0099✗2.012.2M2022-03-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.6913.6155-0.54%13.32-2.70%0.0149✗1.10331k2022-03-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.29e-76.26e-7-0.54%6.88e-7+9.33%0.1282✗1.001.1M2022-03-03
DODODODOEthereum0.4680.465489-0.54%0.448-4.27%0.0050✓1.294.2M2022-03-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.982.964-0.54%2.882-3.29%0.0017✓0.89223k2022-03-03
BANDBandEthereum4.0163.9945-0.54%3.962-1.34%0.0359✗1.311.8M2022-03-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07540.074997-0.53%0.072-4.51%0.0075✓0.99157k2022-03-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0210730.020961-0.53%0.020258-3.87%0.0051✓0.87135k2022-03-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.432.4171-0.53%2.38-2.06%0.0181✗1.00268k2022-03-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.9763.9549-0.53%3.808-4.23%0.0036✓1.242.2M2022-03-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,262.0044,028.30-0.53%42,572.60-3.82%0.0010✓0.9753k2022-03-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.23080.229582-0.53%0.2283-1.08%0.0436✗1.472.5M2022-03-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.931.9199-0.53%1.85-4.15%0.0075✗1.332.0M2022-03-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018920.018821-0.52%0.01877-0.79%0.0339✗1.092.2M2022-03-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.8952.8799-0.52%3.084+6.53%0.1122✗1.30584k2022-03-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.5515.522-0.52%5.231-5.76%0.0231✓0.9271k2022-03-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12990.129226-0.52%0.1221-6.00%0.0133✓1.303.2M2022-03-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum55.5955.3041-0.51%53.31-4.10%0.0068✗1.306.5M2022-03-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.6472.6335-0.51%2.508-5.25%0.0001✓1.4513.6M2022-03-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07140.071038-0.51%0.0725+1.54%0.0542✗1.0113k2022-03-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.3119.2125-0.50%19.97+3.42%0.0774✗1.1520.0M2022-03-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.51440.511841-0.50%0.4943-3.91%0.0112✗1.37484k2022-03-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5706110.567803-0.49%0.534619-6.31%0.0223✓1.132.8M2022-03-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1936240.192677-0.49%0.187901-2.96%0.0109✗1.0719.8M2022-03-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016340.01626-0.49%0.01525-6.67%0.0131✓1.5212.7M2022-03-03
XYMSymbolnative0.1490.148275-0.49%0.146-2.01%0.0117✗0.81294k2022-03-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0122160.012157-0.49%0.011953-2.15%0.0178✗1.0414k2022-03-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5054.4832-0.48%4.418-1.93%0.0135✗0.84453k2022-03-03
CBKCobakEthereum2.2982.2869-0.48%2.212-3.74%0.0027✓0.9123k2022-03-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06550.065186-0.48%0.0637-2.75%0.0363✗1.7772.8M2022-03-03
STORJStorjEthereum1.07421.0691-0.48%1.0476-2.48%0.0243✗1.33187k2022-03-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012350.012291-0.48%0.01236+0.08%0.0304✗0.7413k2022-03-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.115451-0.47%0.118+1.72%0.0403✗0.5544k2022-03-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV86.1185.7041-0.47%83.45-3.09%0.0016✓0.84905k2022-03-03
ZENHorizenBase38.9238.737-0.47%38.18-1.90%0.0340✗1.45280k2022-03-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.6118.5234-0.47%18.03-3.12%0.0137✗1.2128.4M2022-03-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.046790.046572-0.47%0.046937+0.31%0.0436✗1.078.1M2022-03-03
ADACardanoCardano0.93940.935065-0.46%0.9021-3.97%0.0018✓1.1296.3M2022-03-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1641.1587-0.46%1.176+1.03%0.0506✗1.071.4M2022-03-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.23112.2209-0.46%2.2899+2.64%0.0544✗0.7126k2022-03-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4961.4892-0.46%1.437-3.94%0.0016✓1.11939k2022-03-03
SOLSolanaSolana100.73100.2718-0.45%95.61-5.08%0.0054✓1.26131.2M2022-03-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37420.372506-0.45%0.3647-2.54%0.0243✗1.368.7M2022-03-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.2915.2212-0.45%14.89-2.62%0.0175✗1.1850.8M2022-03-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048750.048531-0.45%0.05073+4.06%0.0846✗1.20641k2022-03-03
AAVEAaveEthereum137.7137.089-0.44%129.96-5.62%0.0084✓1.346.8M2022-03-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.72420.72099-0.44%0.865+19.44%0.1935✗0.341.2M2022-03-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash320.43319.0123-0.44%315.29-1.60%0.0208✗0.977.3M2022-03-03
XEMNEMnative0.10640.105929-0.44%0.1029-3.29%0.0036✓0.9740k2022-03-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5481.5412-0.44%1.479-4.46%0.0073✗1.45842k2022-03-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9170.913016-0.43%0.852-7.09%0.0262✓1.282.4M2022-03-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1143.1006-0.43%2.941-5.56%0.0246✓0.84477k2022-03-03
COMPCompoundEthereum122.45121.9279-0.43%116.89-4.54%0.0013✓1.2258k2022-03-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.35109.8847-0.42%111.69+1.21%0.0538✗1.1229.5M2022-03-03
ETHEthereumEthereum2,948.562,936.18-0.42%2,833.66-3.90%0.0006✓1.04581.4M2022-03-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.575.5466-0.42%5.38-3.41%0.0019✓0.85540k2022-03-03
FTTFTXEthereum46.1645.9679-0.42%44.86-2.82%0.0114✗1.0722.8M2022-03-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7030.700145-0.41%0.714+1.56%0.0557✗1.082.6M2022-03-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.4641.4581-0.41%1.46-0.27%0.0367✗1.063.4M2022-03-03
GITCOINGITCOIN6.76.6729-0.41%6.363-5.03%0.0009✓1.3927k2022-03-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56650.564206-0.41%0.5501-2.89%0.0054✗0.92607k2022-03-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25710.256062-0.40%0.249-3.15%0.0026✓0.912.0M2022-03-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.78720.784087-0.40%0.7596-3.51%0.0052✗1.109.7M2022-03-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1615.1002-0.39%14.3-5.67%0.0050✓1.482.4M2022-03-03
DIADIAEthereum1.021.016-0.39%1.05+2.94%0.0422✗0.28282k2022-03-03
AVTAventusEthereum2.352.3408-0.39%2.38+1.28%0.0502✗1.00422k2022-03-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,912.3443,739.94-0.39%42,464.41-3.30%0.0039✓1.00632.3M2022-03-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.0910.090643-0.39%0.09337+2.60%0.0652✗1.0643k2022-03-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3591.3537-0.39%1.545+13.69%0.1749✗1.272.0M2022-03-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1410.1008-0.39%10.07-0.69%0.0191✗0.66928k2022-03-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.7320.6508-0.38%20.13-2.89%0.0119✗1.129.1M2022-03-03
KCSKuCoinnative20.35520.2778-0.38%19.526-4.07%0.0046✓0.999.1M2022-03-03
XECeCashnative0.000075940.000075653-0.38%0.00007449-1.91%0.0213✗1.104.5M2022-03-03
STXStacksnative1.251.2453-0.38%1.21-3.20%0.0115✗1.20585k2022-03-03
SUSHISushiEthereum3.413.3972-0.38%3.3-3.23%0.0133✗1.266.8M2022-03-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.3730.2573-0.37%30.05-1.05%0.0243✗0.931.5M2022-03-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.7620.6831-0.37%19.77-4.77%0.0032✓1.44328k2022-03-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2923.2802-0.36%3.01-8.57%0.0524✓1.0019.7M2022-03-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2470.246127-0.35%0.273+10.53%0.1323✗0.8566k2022-03-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.750.747409-0.35%0.72-4.00%0.0201✗1.721.0M2022-03-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.271.2656-0.35%1.24-2.36%0.0145✗1.04824k2022-03-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025910.000025822-0.34%0.00002507-3.24%0.0124✗1.253.9M2022-03-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.02973.0194-0.34%2.9519-2.57%0.0070✗0.882.4M2022-03-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3970.395661-0.34%0.381-4.03%0.0100✗1.421.3M2022-03-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040780.040643-0.34%0.03967-2.72%0.0090✗0.9929k2022-03-03
DASHDashDash100.9100.5682-0.33%96.75-4.11%0.0009✓1.131.5M2022-03-03
XMRMoneroMonero177.46176.8882-0.32%172.04-3.05%0.0058✗1.001.2M2022-03-03
MANADecentralandEthereum2.75322.7446-0.31%2.6368-4.23%0.0003✓1.203.3M2022-03-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07750.07726-0.31%0.0725-6.45%0.0200✓1.301.0M2022-03-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.730470.728293-0.30%0.7113-2.62%0.0223✗1.37200k2022-03-03
GTGateEthereum6.8036.7835-0.29%6.7949-0.12%0.0252✗0.702.8M2022-03-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2021.1986-0.28%1.174-2.33%0.0190✗1.192.9M2022-03-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.03223.024-0.27%2.95-2.71%0.0045✗0.873.6M2022-03-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.29450.293711-0.27%0.2824-4.11%0.0049✗1.32317k2022-03-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.5229.4435-0.26%30.25+2.47%0.0632✗1.085.2M2022-03-03
XVGVergenative0.010370.010343-0.26%0.01001-3.47%0.0091✗1.251.3M2022-03-03
QNTQuantEthereum117.95117.6655-0.24%127.04+7.71%0.1099✗0.996.3M2022-03-03
BTTCBTTC0.000001960.000001955-0.24%0.0000019-3.06%0.0065✓0.6613.7M2022-03-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94245.9314-0.18%5.6206-5.42%0.0435✓0.31385k2022-03-03
SCSiacoinnative0.009570.009553-0.18%0.00902-5.75%0.0151✓1.26563k2022-03-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.716.7005-0.14%6.42-4.32%0.0257✓0.511.2M2022-03-03
TRXTRONTron0.0615050.061488-0.03%0.060032-2.39%0.0018✗0.77307k2022-03-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1330810.133129+0.04%0.129579-2.63%0.0045✓0.943.7M2022-03-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.