2022-02-28 · +30d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2491

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+8.98%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

25.8%

in alpha space · 10.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+9.00%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00439	0.003963	-9.72%	0.00461	+5.01%	0.0109	✓	1.63	9.6M	2022-03-30
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	91.38	82.8984	-9.28%	105.96	+15.96%	0.1200	✗	1.46	4.5M	2022-03-30
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	21,589.29	19,673.77	-8.87%	24,045.64	+11.38%	0.1159	✗	0.98	5.7M	2022-03-30
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.823	0.75054	-8.80%	1.2646	+53.66%	0.3965	✗	1.45	270k	2022-03-30
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03503	0.031993	-8.67%	0.04133	+17.98%	0.1781	✗	0.90	1.2M	2022-03-30
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	6.40e-7	5.86e-7	-8.49%	9.33e-7	+45.74%	0.3793	✗	1.00	1.2M	2022-03-30
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.4391	2.2343	-8.40%	3.4679	+42.18%	0.3640	✗	0.88	2.7M	2022-03-30
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.64	2.4222	-8.25%	2.38	-9.85%	0.1037	✓	1.00	490k	2022-03-30
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8684	0.797588	-8.15%	0.9268	+6.73%	0.0514	✓	1.15	20.7M	2022-03-30
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.5483	3.2751	-7.70%	3.8297	+7.93%	0.0450	✓	1.29	2.1M	2022-03-30
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9381	1.7901	-7.64%	2.5355	+30.82%	0.2457	✗	1.19	179k	2022-03-30
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.029	0.026853	-7.40%	0.03322	+14.55%	0.0975	✗	1.34	494k	2022-03-30
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.79	6.2918	-7.34%	7.88	+16.05%	0.1028	✗	1.42	1.1M	2022-03-30
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.461	0.427399	-7.29%	0.546	+18.44%	0.1345	✗	1.28	4.2M	2022-03-30
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.934	3.6483	-7.26%	4.904	+24.66%	0.1844	✗	1.29	1.8M	2022-03-30
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.84	1.7074	-7.21%	1.69	-8.15%	0.1153	✓	1.22	483k	2022-03-30
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	54.42	50.7368	-6.77%	64.42	+18.38%	0.1276	✗	1.29	6.7M	2022-03-30
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.7584	0.70733	-6.73%	1.0802	+42.43%	0.3927	✗	0.36	1.3M	2022-03-30
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	7.228	6.7489	-6.63%	8.072	+11.68%	0.0627	✓	1.35	1.9M	2022-03-30
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	31.38	29.3542	-6.46%	30.02	-4.33%	0.0770	✓	1.15	50.3M	2022-03-30
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.13	18.8522	-6.35%	21.81	+8.35%	0.0445	✓	1.18	21.3M	2022-03-30
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.33	8.7427	-6.30%	11.27	+20.79%	0.1488	✗	1.22	3.1M	2022-03-30
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	67.763	63.6024	-6.14%	69.3339	+2.32%	0.0340	✓	1.40	214k	2022-03-30
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2345	3.976	-6.10%	5.69	+34.37%	0.2599	✗	1.14	244k	2022-03-30
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.012148	0.011418	-6.01%	0.015574	+28.20%	0.2215	✗	1.03	16k	2022-03-30
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1612	0.151543	-5.99%	0.1668	+3.47%	0.0070	✓	1.03	446k	2022-03-30
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02937	0.027618	-5.97%	0.02759	-6.06%	0.0684	✓	0.78	4.1M	2022-03-30
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.875	5.5291	-5.89%	6.28	+6.89%	0.0360	✓	1.06	189k	2022-03-30
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0703	0.066327	-5.65%	0.0808	+14.94%	0.0440	✓	1.78	76.7M	2022-03-30
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	26.36	24.8771	-5.63%	30.69	+16.43%	0.0909	✗	1.38	1.6M	2022-03-30
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.529	7.1101	-5.56%	5.642	-25.06%	0.2720	✓	0.47	2.3M	2022-03-30
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1531	0.144817	-5.41%	0.1493	-2.48%	0.0401	✓	0.82	295k	2022-03-30
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6754	1.5852	-5.38%	1.47	-12.26%	0.1851	✓	1.27	272k	2022-03-30
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	84.59	80.0742	-5.34%	95.57	+12.98%	0.0533	✓	1.44	116.5M	2022-03-30
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2321	0.219801	-5.30%	0.2868	+23.57%	0.1382	✗	1.48	2.6M	2022-03-30
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.664	2.5249	-5.22%	3.313	+24.36%	0.1565	✗	1.34	584k	2022-03-30
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.14	14.3545	-5.19%	17.23	+13.80%	0.0806	✗	1.18	53.4M	2022-03-30
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.86	4.6087	-5.17%	5.61	+15.43%	0.0658	✗	1.52	430k	2022-03-30
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1925	0.1826	-5.14%	0.3009	+56.31%	0.3812	✗	1.37	2.8M	2022-03-30
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.078	0.074036	-5.08%	0.0883	+13.21%	0.0625	✗	1.32	1.0M	2022-03-30
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.4925	6.1649	-5.05%	8.8728	+36.66%	0.2488	✗	1.34	184k	2022-03-30
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07201	0.06839	-5.03%	0.09268	+28.70%	0.1972	✗	1.24	69k	2022-03-30
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5607	0.532848	-4.97%	0.5854	+4.41%	0.0158	✓	0.91	641k	2022-03-30
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9803	0.932936	-4.83%	1.1817	+20.54%	0.1347	✗	1.18	2.0M	2022-03-30
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7967	0.758485	-4.80%	0.892	+11.96%	0.0677	✗	1.10	9.6M	2022-03-30
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1303	0.12406	-4.79%	0.2226	+70.84%	0.4741	✗	1.28	2.9M	2022-03-30
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.2	13.5222	-4.77%	16.49	+16.13%	0.1034	✗	1.10	331k	2022-03-30
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.52	2.3999	-4.76%	2.73	+8.33%	0.0427	✓	1.00	486k	2022-03-30
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.18	15.4147	-4.73%	13.77	-14.89%	0.1749	✓	0.72	2.2M	2022-03-30
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.564	1.4901	-4.72%	2.64	+68.80%	0.4813	✗	1.05	3.4M	2022-03-30
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.575051	0.547915	-4.72%	0.818426	+42.32%	0.3030	✗	1.14	2.8M	2022-03-30
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.132	0.125781	-4.71%	0.151	+14.39%	0.1332	✗	0.58	44k	2022-03-30
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3657	0.348478	-4.71%	0.4822	+31.86%	0.1856	✗	1.62	14.6M	2022-03-30
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.566	1.4926	-4.69%	1.793	+14.50%	0.0586	✗	1.45	863k	2022-03-30
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1929	2.0906	-4.67%	2.6933	+22.82%	0.1924	✗	0.71	26k	2022-03-30
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3943	0.375914	-4.66%	0.4469	+13.34%	0.0491	✗	1.44	1.2M	2022-03-30
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.36	1.2967	-4.65%	1.52	+11.76%	0.0672	✗	1.06	932k	2022-03-30
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	130.28	124.2827	-4.60%	188.4	+44.61%	0.3175	✗	1.14	930k	2022-03-30
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.53	10.0538	-4.52%	11.74	+11.49%	0.0526	✗	1.19	10.8M	2022-03-30
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.504	0.481644	-4.44%	0.5986	+18.77%	0.0451	✓	2.00	2.1M	2022-03-30
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04871	0.046579	-4.38%	0.05567	+14.29%	0.0739	✗	1.21	686k	2022-03-30
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16639	0.159158	-4.35%	0.16978	+2.04%	0.0398	✓	1.21	27k	2022-03-30
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.571	1.5035	-4.30%	2.108	+34.18%	0.2390	✗	1.15	1.8M	2022-03-30
STX	Stacks	native	1.25	1.1968	-4.26%	1.54	+23.20%	0.1493	✗	1.19	610k	2022-03-30
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,923.08	2,799.41	-4.23%	3,386.68	+15.86%	0.1004	✗	1.05	540.3M	2022-03-30
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.75	0.718524	-4.20%	0.8	+6.67%	0.0403	✓	1.72	995k	2022-03-30
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01099	0.010529	-4.19%	0.01386	+26.11%	0.1552	✗	1.39	2.7M	2022-03-30
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0857	0.082122	-4.17%	0.1259	+46.91%	0.3010	✗	1.47	613k	2022-03-30
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.154	3.9821	-4.14%	6.643	+59.92%	0.4050	✗	1.24	2.3M	2022-03-30
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.72	20.8299	-4.10%	25.9	+19.24%	0.1201	✗	1.14	8.6M	2022-03-30
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.197675	0.189588	-4.09%	0.234742	+18.75%	0.1214	✗	1.07	19.8M	2022-03-30
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5007	0.480674	-4.00%	0.6894	+37.69%	0.2426	✗	1.37	484k	2022-03-30
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3278	1.2751	-3.97%	1.3034	-1.84%	0.0953	✓	1.36	2.7M	2022-03-30
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.049264	0.047322	-3.94%	0.043539	-11.62%	0.1757	✓	1.07	8.1M	2022-03-30
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,192.66	41,493.17	-3.93%	47,078.03	+9.00%	0.0401	✓	1.00	630.5M	2022-03-30
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01231	0.011826	-3.93%	0.01346	+9.34%	0.0652	✗	0.75	12k	2022-03-30
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.964	0.926236	-3.92%	1.1906	+23.51%	0.1546	✗	1.12	96.0M	2022-03-30
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.9	29.7036	-3.87%	31.8	+2.91%	0.0124	✓	0.94	1.5M	2022-03-30
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.63	5.4123	-3.87%	6.258	+11.15%	0.0644	✗	0.94	68k	2022-03-30
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007869	0.000075648	-3.87%	0.00009555	+21.43%	0.1385	✗	1.10	4.4M	2022-03-30
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04194	0.04032	-3.86%	0.05135	+22.44%	0.1559	✗	1.00	29k	2022-03-30
SOL	Solana	Solana	99.74	95.8889	-3.86%	120.79	+21.10%	0.1209	✗	1.28	127.4M	2022-03-30
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.55	7.2612	-3.82%	9.04	+19.74%	0.1419	✗	0.90	461k	2022-03-30
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.95	18.2276	-3.81%	22.46	+18.52%	0.1035	✗	1.22	27.9M	2022-03-30
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.836	1.7665	-3.79%	1.937	+5.50%	0.0168	✓	0.87	76k	2022-03-30
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.505	1.448	-3.79%	1.838	+22.13%	0.1419	✗	1.12	931k	2022-03-30
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.308	0.296456	-3.75%	0.666	+116.23%	0.6969	✗	1.31	2.1M	2022-03-30
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.75	6.4989	-3.72%	7.714	+14.28%	0.0509	✗	1.40	27k	2022-03-30
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.85	4.6708	-3.69%	5.49	+13.20%	0.0756	✗	1.00	828k	2022-03-30
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.21	2.1294	-3.65%	2.66	+20.36%	0.1211	✗	1.18	343k	2022-03-30
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.352	1.3027	-3.65%	1.747	+29.22%	0.1799	✗	1.32	2.0M	2022-03-30
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.0214	0.020624	-3.63%	0.02037	-4.81%	0.1076	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-03-30
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0426	1.0049	-3.62%	1.4172	+35.93%	0.2292	✗	1.33	162k	2022-03-30
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	120.75	116.4194	-3.59%	156.18	+29.34%	0.1894	✗	1.21	64k	2022-03-30
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000199	0.000001919	-3.55%	0.00000212	+6.53%	0.0417	✗	0.67	14.0M	2022-03-30
DASH	Dash	Dash	100.51	96.9688	-3.52%	132.65	+31.98%	0.2152	✗	1.14	1.5M	2022-03-30
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.44	2.3564	-3.43%	2.77	+13.52%	0.0751	✗	1.01	254k	2022-03-30
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.697	0.673512	-3.37%	0.818	+17.36%	0.1017	✗	1.08	2.4M	2022-03-30
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1104	3.0086	-3.27%	4.3	+38.25%	0.2805	✗	0.89	2.4M	2022-03-30
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.54	3.4249	-3.25%	4.47	+26.27%	0.1567	✗	1.27	6.8M	2022-03-30
ZEN	Horizen	Base	37.91	36.6892	-3.22%	49.86	+31.52%	0.1825	✗	1.44	280k	2022-03-30
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.6	6.3896	-3.19%	6.85	+3.79%	0.0256	✓	0.51	1.1M	2022-03-30
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		88.67	85.9167	-3.11%	97.98	+10.50%	0.0584	✗	0.85	905k	2022-03-30
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0695	0.067353	-3.09%	0.08935	+28.56%	0.1963	✗	1.00	12k	2022-03-30
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3772	0.365612	-3.07%	0.4825	+27.92%	0.1594	✗	1.37	8.7M	2022-03-30
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.16	20.5329	-2.96%	25.48	+20.42%	0.0921	✗	1.44	325k	2022-03-30
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	115.74	112.3181	-2.96%	143.18	+23.71%	0.1579	✗	0.99	6.3M	2022-03-30
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	145.83	141.5728	-2.92%	223.52	+53.27%	0.3401	✗	1.35	6.6M	2022-03-30
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8507	2.7676	-2.91%	2.7035	-5.16%	0.1278	✓	1.21	3.2M	2022-03-30
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	339.27	329.4994	-2.88%	380.29	+12.09%	0.0584	✗	0.99	7.3M	2022-03-30
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	118.68	115.3003	-2.85%	192.01	+61.79%	0.4121	✗	1.14	7.2M	2022-03-30
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	45.95	44.6438	-2.84%	51.17	+11.36%	0.0437	✗	1.08	20.8M	2022-03-30
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01796	0.017455	-2.81%	0.03793	+111.19%	0.6428	✗	1.55	12.5M	2022-03-30
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.71	6.5249	-2.76%	6.7657	+0.83%	0.0250	✓	0.71	2.8M	2022-03-30
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2454	0.238958	-2.63%	0.293	+19.40%	0.1259	✗	0.91	1.9M	2022-03-30
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.74117	0.722618	-2.50%	0.89959	+21.37%	0.1005	✗	1.38	206k	2022-03-30
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.565	4.4508	-2.50%	7.08	+55.09%	0.3907	✗	0.85	435k	2022-03-30
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7163	1.6747	-2.42%	2.6562	+54.77%	0.3743	✗	1.01	72k	2022-03-30
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022655	0.022113	-2.39%	0.03562	+57.23%	0.4029	✗	0.86	117k	2022-03-30
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.442	2.3836	-2.39%	2.814	+15.23%	0.0402	✗	1.46	13.6M	2022-03-30
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.86	1.8158	-2.38%	2.41	+29.57%	0.1695	✗	1.32	1.9M	2022-03-30
XEM	NEM	native	0.1081	0.105532	-2.38%	0.1223	+13.14%	0.0636	✗	0.97	40k	2022-03-30
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00968	0.009452	-2.36%	0.01247	+28.82%	0.1687	✗	1.26	546k	2022-03-30
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.877	0.856541	-2.33%	1.12	+27.71%	0.1574	✗	1.29	2.2M	2022-03-30
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2945	0.287942	-2.23%	0.3732	+26.72%	0.1455	✗	1.32	367k	2022-03-30
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.07	1.0471	-2.14%	1.07	+0.00%	0.0018	✓	0.27	286k	2022-03-30
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.115	3.0482	-2.14%	3.964	+27.26%	0.1853	✗	0.90	218k	2022-03-30
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	113.82	111.5028	-2.04%	131.12	+15.20%	0.0647	✗	1.13	29.3M	2022-03-30
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.073	0.071567	-1.96%	0.0871	+19.32%	0.1113	✗	0.99	160k	2022-03-30
XMR	Monero	Monero	170.31	167.3359	-1.75%	221.39	+29.99%	0.1944	✗	0.99	1.0M	2022-03-30
XVG	Verge	native	0.01037	0.010195	-1.69%	0.01212	+16.88%	0.0654	✗	1.25	1.2M	2022-03-30
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.236	1.2158	-1.63%	2.11	+70.71%	0.4589	✗	1.07	1.2M	2022-03-30
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.37	15.1223	-1.61%	19.25	+25.24%	0.1134	✗	1.49	2.4M	2022-03-30
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.677	20.3465	-1.60%	21.318	+3.10%	0.0397	✓	1.00	9.3M	2022-03-30
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.317	3.2655	-1.55%	6.347	+91.35%	0.5812	✗	0.97	741k	2022-03-30
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.233	3.1833	-1.54%	4.213	+30.31%	0.2053	✗	0.87	477k	2022-03-30
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09213	0.090778	-1.47%	0.11481	+24.62%	0.1430	✗	1.07	45k	2022-03-30
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002579	0.000025444	-1.34%	0.00002736	+6.09%	0.0343	✓	1.24	3.8M	2022-03-30
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.15	10.0333	-1.15%	15.89	+56.55%	0.4023	✗	0.67	928k	2022-03-30
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	30.53	30.1856	-1.13%	49.64	+62.59%	0.4039	✗	1.09	5.1M	2022-03-30
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.236	0.23364	-1.00%	0.291	+23.31%	0.1460	✗	0.85	59k	2022-03-30
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	43,136.20	42,818.49	-0.74%	47,057.40	+9.09%	0.0104	✗	0.98	46k	2022-03-30
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.51	5.4715	-0.70%	8.17	+48.28%	0.3267	✗	0.86	510k	2022-03-30
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.6	6.5582	-0.63%	6.66	+0.91%	0.0613	✓	0.89	452k	2022-03-30
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.477	2.4636	-0.54%	2.741	+10.66%	0.0265	✗	0.93	21k	2022-03-30
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.164	1.1584	-0.48%	1.385	+18.99%	0.0743	✗	1.21	2.9M	2022-03-30
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9258	5.9021	-0.40%	6.0877	+2.73%	0.0043	✗	0.31	385k	2022-03-30
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5696	0.57405	+0.78%	1.2858	+125.74%	0.6924	✓	1.32	2.4M	2022-03-30
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1196	3.1531	+1.07%	4.3201	+38.48%	0.2389	✓	0.88	3.6M	2022-03-30
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.133451	0.13504	+1.19%	0.142853	+7.05%	0.0251	✗	0.94	3.7M	2022-03-30
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.061786	0.06335	+2.53%	0.073058	+18.24%	0.0762	✓	0.77	286k	2022-03-30

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.