2022-02-26 · +30d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3469

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+29.79%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

62.9%

in alpha space · 10.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+20.46%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	78.15	68.5025	-12.34%	97.24	+24.43%	0.0922	✓	1.39	4.5M	2022-03-28
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	6.98e-7	6.28e-7	-10.08%	0.000001135	+62.57%	0.4060	✗	1.00	1.3M	2022-03-28
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.141	0.1287	-8.72%	0.125	-11.35%	0.2068	✓	0.95	47k	2022-03-28
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,876.08	19,062.41	-8.69%	22,270.34	+6.68%	0.0324	✓	1.01	5.7M	2022-03-28
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.89	27.3099	-8.63%	29.36	-1.77%	0.1391	✓	1.14	52.8M	2022-03-28
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03453	0.031649	-8.34%	0.04219	+22.18%	0.1248	✗	0.87	1.4M	2022-03-28
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0712	0.065263	-8.34%	0.0805	+13.06%	0.1474	✓	1.92	76.7M	2022-03-28
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8598	0.789475	-8.18%	0.9075	+5.55%	0.0912	✓	1.24	22.5M	2022-03-28
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00431	0.003971	-7.86%	0.00426	-1.16%	0.2733	✓	1.85	12.0M	2022-03-28
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.4172	3.1541	-7.70%	3.7138	+8.68%	0.0929	✓	1.38	2.1M	2022-03-28
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.8651	1.7227	-7.63%	2.4853	+33.25%	0.1315	✗	1.26	185k	2022-03-28
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0274	0.02539	-7.34%	0.03317	+21.06%	0.0091	✓	1.48	479k	2022-03-28
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7651	0.709183	-7.31%	1.1283	+47.47%	0.1754	✗	1.55	295k	2022-03-28
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.6	3.3405	-7.21%	4.31	+19.72%	0.0026	✓	1.36	1.9M	2022-03-28
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.86	1.7288	-7.06%	1.64	-11.83%	0.3566	✓	1.63	539k	2022-03-28
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.27	5.828	-7.05%	7.37	+17.54%	0.0430	✓	1.49	1.2M	2022-03-28
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.56	2.3806	-7.01%	2.29	-10.55%	0.2249	✓	1.00	518k	2022-03-28
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01194	0.011115	-6.91%	0.014818	+24.10%	0.0789	✗	1.12	33k	2022-03-28
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5505	0.513735	-6.68%	0.5753	+4.50%	0.0672	✓	0.97	684k	2022-03-28
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	50.44	47.1504	-6.52%	66.44	+31.72%	0.0911	✗	1.35	6.8M	2022-03-28
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.438	0.409574	-6.49%	0.484	+10.50%	0.0905	✓	1.38	4.2M	2022-03-28
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.7	13.7668	-6.35%	13.55	-7.82%	0.1521	✓	0.73	1.9M	2022-03-28
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1506	0.141076	-6.32%	0.1695	+12.55%	0.0179	✓	1.08	420k	2022-03-28
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.0234	3.7808	-6.03%	5.3424	+32.78%	0.1166	✗	1.23	284k	2022-03-28
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.98	8.4429	-5.98%	10.74	+19.60%	0.0019	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-03-28
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.794	0.746658	-5.96%	0.9441	+18.90%	0.1277	✗	0.57	1.4M	2022-03-28
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8532	1.7439	-5.90%	3.61	+94.80%	0.5967	✗	0.70	2.6M	2022-03-28
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	113.35	106.6877	-5.88%	122.91	+8.43%	0.0983	✓	1.29	58k	2022-03-28
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02842	0.026775	-5.79%	0.02704	-4.86%	0.1376	✓	0.79	4.3M	2022-03-28
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.2359	2.1084	-5.70%	2.734	+22.28%	0.0968	✗	0.88	26k	2022-03-28
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	64.8155	61.1424	-5.67%	66.3939	+2.44%	0.2034	✓	1.54	223k	2022-03-28
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.391	5.0861	-5.66%	5.572	+3.36%	0.0995	✓	1.02	202k	2022-03-28
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.73	16.7313	-5.63%	21.79	+22.90%	0.0440	✓	1.18	22.1M	2022-03-28
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.45	23.1037	-5.51%	28.79	+17.75%	0.0642	✓	1.53	1.7M	2022-03-28
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.073	0.069038	-5.43%	0.0794	+8.77%	0.1255	✓	1.43	1.0M	2022-03-28
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.528	6.1864	-5.23%	5.55	-14.98%	0.1776	✓	0.37	2.1M	2022-03-28
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15626	0.148096	-5.22%	0.16823	+7.66%	0.1252	✓	1.36	28k	2022-03-28
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1441	0.136595	-5.21%	0.1499	+4.02%	0.0647	✓	0.85	301k	2022-03-28
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1751	0.166053	-5.17%	0.2589	+47.86%	0.1748	✗	1.45	2.7M	2022-03-28
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.544581	0.516491	-5.16%	0.697186	+28.02%	0.0719	✗	1.23	2.9M	2022-03-28
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6235	1.5404	-5.12%	1.507	-7.18%	0.2899	✓	1.44	251k	2022-03-28
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.048351	0.045881	-5.11%	0.043	-11.07%	0.2883	✓	1.20	8.1M	2022-03-28
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06611	0.062744	-5.09%	0.08479	+28.26%	0.0594	✗	1.30	69k	2022-03-28
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.79	77.6557	-5.05%	89.58	+9.52%	0.1455	✓	1.55	110.8M	2022-03-28
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.35	2.2341	-4.93%	2.76	+17.45%	0.0253	✓	1.00	584k	2022-03-28
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.808	1.7191	-4.92%	1.98	+9.51%	0.0355	✓	0.95	76k	2022-03-28
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.72	13.9995	-4.89%	16.51	+12.16%	0.0687	✓	1.26	56.1M	2022-03-28
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2129	0.202673	-4.80%	0.258	+21.18%	0.0474	✓	1.55	3.0M	2022-03-28
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.06	8.6362	-4.68%	10.91	+20.42%	0.0183	✓	1.35	10.8M	2022-03-28
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1212	0.115532	-4.68%	0.1721	+42.00%	0.1472	✗	1.35	2.9M	2022-03-28
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7459	0.711019	-4.68%	0.8484	+13.74%	0.0355	✓	1.14	9.4M	2022-03-28
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1323	5.8492	-4.62%	8.1779	+33.36%	0.0644	✗	1.45	184k	2022-03-28
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.06	18.1858	-4.59%	25.29	+32.69%	0.0877	✗	1.30	8.6M	2022-03-28
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.46	4.2599	-4.49%	5.34	+19.73%	0.0782	✓	1.63	432k	2022-03-28
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.3	2.1971	-4.48%	2.72	+18.26%	0.0230	✓	1.02	263k	2022-03-28
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.91	12.3419	-4.40%	15.64	+21.15%	0.0401	✓	1.06	340k	2022-03-28
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9533	0.911594	-4.37%	1.16	+21.68%	0.0006	✓	1.30	1.9M	2022-03-28
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.524	1.4582	-4.32%	1.935	+26.97%	0.0537	✗	1.23	1.8M	2022-03-28
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.581	2.4698	-4.31%	3.061	+18.60%	0.0468	✓	1.40	579k	2022-03-28
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.437	1.3758	-4.26%	1.725	+20.04%	0.0027	✓	1.23	940k	2022-03-28
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4281	0.409916	-4.25%	0.5048	+17.92%	0.1847	✓	2.11	2.1M	2022-03-28
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7102	2.5953	-4.24%	4.2216	+55.77%	0.2996	✗	1.00	2.2M	2022-03-28
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04782	0.045806	-4.21%	0.05633	+17.80%	0.0337	✓	1.29	703k	2022-03-28
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0854	0.081831	-4.18%	0.121	+41.69%	0.0958	✗	1.59	647k	2022-03-28
STX	Stacks	native	1.19	1.1405	-4.16%	1.41	+18.49%	0.0302	✓	1.30	646k	2022-03-28
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04014	0.038473	-4.15%	0.04895	+21.95%	0.0363	✓	1.10	30k	2022-03-28
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.24	1.1896	-4.06%	1.39	+12.10%	0.0823	✓	1.28	885k	2022-03-28
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3655	0.350759	-4.03%	0.4031	+10.29%	0.1424	✓	1.51	1.3M	2022-03-28
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,780.71	2,668.92	-4.02%	3,334.47	+19.91%	0.0214	✓	1.08	540.3M	2022-03-28
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.7	0.671985	-4.00%	0.75	+7.14%	0.2482	✓	1.92	995k	2022-03-28
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00997	0.009574	-3.97%	0.01399	+40.32%	0.0997	✗	1.50	2.7M	2022-03-28
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.5	1.4413	-3.92%	2.68	+78.67%	0.4163	✗	1.10	3.4M	2022-03-28
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.192899	0.185391	-3.89%	0.229783	+19.12%	0.0017	✓	1.14	19.8M	2022-03-28
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01217	0.011699	-3.87%	0.01375	+12.98%	0.0125	✓	0.80	14k	2022-03-28
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.18	29.0133	-3.87%	30.82	+2.12%	0.1337	✓	1.04	1.6M	2022-03-28
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.0612	5.8271	-3.86%	6.1415	+1.32%	0.0187	✓	0.38	433k	2022-03-28
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.058	3.9033	-3.81%	6.372	+57.02%	0.3299	✗	0.86	395k	2022-03-28
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.04	17.3542	-3.80%	21.97	+21.78%	0.0164	✓	1.36	26.4M	2022-03-28
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.245	6.0105	-3.75%	7.142	+14.36%	0.0982	✓	1.45	28k	2022-03-28
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.29	0.279195	-3.73%	0.581	+100.34%	0.4675	✗	1.43	2.0M	2022-03-28
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007538	0.000072586	-3.71%	0.00009365	+24.24%	0.0318	✓	1.20	4.5M	2022-03-28
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.08	1.04	-3.71%	1.05	-2.78%	0.0063	✓	0.02	286k	2022-03-28
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,137.80	37,689.00	-3.70%	47,144.92	+20.46%	0.0377	✗	1.00	630.5M	2022-03-28
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.934	4.7525	-3.68%	7.75	+57.07%	0.3027	✗	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-28
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000191	0.00000184	-3.67%	0.00000209	+9.42%	0.0014	✓	0.69	14.4M	2022-03-28
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.441	1.3889	-3.61%	1.71	+18.67%	0.0793	✓	1.54	928k	2022-03-28
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3507	0.338071	-3.60%	0.3815	+8.78%	0.2043	✓	1.75	15.2M	2022-03-28
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01882	0.018145	-3.59%	0.02025	+7.60%	0.0951	✓	1.10	2.2M	2022-03-28
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.2	20.4451	-3.56%	22.99	+8.44%	0.1862	✓	1.63	325k	2022-03-28
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.99036	0.955601	-3.51%	1.2969	+30.96%	0.0356	✓	1.45	165k	2022-03-28
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2108	1.1688	-3.47%	1.2726	+5.10%	0.1869	✓	1.46	2.6M	2022-03-28
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.27	6.0539	-3.45%	7	+11.64%	0.0586	✗	0.47	1.1M	2022-03-28
SOL	Solana	Solana	90.32	87.2373	-3.41%	105.84	+17.18%	0.0484	✓	1.30	131.2M	2022-03-28
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4106	6.1996	-3.29%	6.7648	+5.53%	0.0590	✓	0.79	2.9M	2022-03-28
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4599	0.44476	-3.29%	0.716	+55.69%	0.2044	✗	1.46	559k	2022-03-28
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.009	4.8462	-3.25%	6.365	+27.07%	0.1159	✗	0.84	65k	2022-03-28
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.76	82.0356	-3.21%	95.28	+12.41%	0.0160	✓	0.89	915k	2022-03-28
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.68	90.7012	-3.18%	127.73	+36.35%	0.1248	✗	1.17	1.5M	2022-03-28
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0674	0.065291	-3.13%	0.08807	+30.67%	0.0964	✗	1.09	13k	2022-03-28
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.29	41.9491	-3.10%	51.74	+19.52%	0.0041	✓	1.15	20.8M	2022-03-28
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	124.78	120.9171	-3.10%	168.16	+34.77%	0.1054	✗	1.21	930k	2022-03-28
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8873	0.860368	-3.04%	1.1694	+31.79%	0.0883	✗	1.17	96.0M	2022-03-28
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.874	3.7566	-3.03%	5.361	+38.38%	0.1057	✗	1.34	2.3M	2022-03-28
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.226	0.219166	-3.02%	0.2732	+20.88%	0.0279	✓	1.03	1.9M	2022-03-28
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.679	0.658922	-2.96%	0.763	+12.37%	0.0749	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-03-28
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.47	4.3398	-2.91%	5.05	+12.98%	0.0363	✓	1.01	651k	2022-03-28
ZEN	Horizen	Base	33.26	32.2991	-2.89%	47.68	+43.36%	0.1055	✗	1.53	281k	2022-03-28
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.874	2.796	-2.71%	4.028	+40.15%	0.1855	✗	0.96	477k	2022-03-28
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.33	9.0777	-2.70%	14.47	+55.09%	0.3370	✗	0.69	853k	2022-03-28
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2767	0.269236	-2.70%	0.3353	+21.18%	0.0522	✓	1.46	413k	2022-03-28
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.69949	0.680632	-2.70%	0.87181	+24.64%	0.0330	✓	1.51	216k	2022-03-28
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	315.57	307.0756	-2.69%	368.1	+16.65%	0.0087	✓	1.02	7.2M	2022-03-28
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.576	2.5087	-2.61%	3.85	+49.46%	0.2690	✗	0.86	213k	2022-03-28
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	136.67	133.1852	-2.55%	167.77	+22.76%	0.0444	✓	1.48	6.4M	2022-03-28
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.895	0.872443	-2.52%	1.004	+12.18%	0.1228	✓	1.41	2.1M	2022-03-28
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6813	2.6145	-2.49%	2.6767	-0.17%	0.2166	✓	1.29	3.1M	2022-03-28
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	110.79	108.1868	-2.35%	142.25	+28.40%	0.0775	✗	1.05	6.3M	2022-03-28
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.05	2.0019	-2.35%	2.59	+26.34%	0.0255	✗	1.25	343k	2022-03-28
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.25	3.1761	-2.27%	3.81	+17.23%	0.0636	✓	1.32	7.0M	2022-03-28
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5733	1.5379	-2.25%	2.5454	+61.79%	0.3107	✗	1.04	69k	2022-03-28
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.38	5.2608	-2.21%	8.52	+58.36%	0.3185	✗	0.88	398k	2022-03-28
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3486	0.340911	-2.21%	0.4334	+24.33%	0.0341	✓	1.47	8.3M	2022-03-28
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08727	0.08535	-2.20%	0.11222	+28.59%	0.0624	✗	1.13	46k	2022-03-28
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	107.8	105.4369	-2.19%	192.22	+78.31%	0.3851	✗	1.16	7.4M	2022-03-28
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.67	1.6376	-1.94%	2.2	+31.74%	0.0426	✗	1.36	2.0M	2022-03-28
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.276	1.2519	-1.89%	1.596	+25.08%	0.0131	✓	1.37	1.9M	2022-03-28
XMR	Monero	Monero	157.91	154.9637	-1.87%	214.66	+35.94%	0.1395	✗	1.00	960k	2022-03-28
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.7	5.5977	-1.79%	6.42	+12.63%	0.0203	✓	0.85	425k	2022-03-28
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.394	2.3511	-1.79%	2.585	+7.98%	0.1953	✓	1.56	13.2M	2022-03-28
XEM	NEM	native	0.101	0.099224	-1.76%	0.1127	+11.58%	0.0709	✓	1.07	38k	2022-03-28
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.708	19.382	-1.65%	19.506	-1.02%	0.1959	✓	1.09	9.5M	2022-03-28
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.285	2.2499	-1.54%	2.688	+17.64%	0.0243	✓	1.09	20k	2022-03-28
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0685	0.067479	-1.49%	0.0824	+20.29%	0.0013	✓	1.08	163k	2022-03-28
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.232	0.228697	-1.42%	0.268	+15.52%	0.0052	✓	0.88	57k	2022-03-28
XVG	Verge	native	0.00985	0.00971	-1.42%	0.01205	+22.34%	0.0286	✓	1.31	1.2M	2022-03-28
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.29	106.7551	-1.42%	127.59	+17.82%	0.0464	✓	1.21	29.3M	2022-03-28
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00906	0.008949	-1.23%	0.01178	+30.02%	0.0215	✗	1.36	563k	2022-03-28
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.09	13.9516	-0.98%	18.66	+32.43%	0.0059	✓	1.53	2.5M	2022-03-28
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.02263	0.022412	-0.96%	0.039005	+72.36%	0.3571	✗	1.06	114k	2022-03-28
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.305	2.2838	-0.92%	6.28	+172.45%	0.7788	✗	1.25	687k	2022-03-28
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002435	0.000024131	-0.90%	0.00002648	+8.75%	0.1589	✓	1.35	3.8M	2022-03-28
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.91	28.6588	-0.87%	47.08	+62.85%	0.2848	✗	1.14	5.1M	2022-03-28
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.68	4.6459	-0.73%	7	+49.57%	0.2644	✗	0.78	459k	2022-03-28
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01784	0.017716	-0.70%	0.03419	+91.65%	0.3489	✗	1.66	12.7M	2022-03-28
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.139	1.1318	-0.63%	1.751	+53.73%	0.2034	✗	1.25	1.1M	2022-03-28
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,589.70	39,419.92	-0.43%	47,634.90	+20.32%	0.0090	✗	0.97	49k	2022-03-28
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.148	1.1449	-0.27%	1.358	+18.29%	0.0773	✓	1.33	2.8M	2022-03-28
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7384	2.7334	-0.18%	4.1594	+51.89%	0.2410	✗	0.96	2.9M	2022-03-28
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.504	0.508316	+0.86%	1.2251	+143.08%	0.6273	✓	1.36	2.1M	2022-03-28
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.127595	0.129255	+1.30%	0.142307	+11.53%	0.0932	✗	1.02	3.7M	2022-03-28
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059459	0.06102	+2.63%	0.069168	+16.33%	0.0305	✗	0.84	270k	2022-03-28

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.