8=======>

2022-02-21 · +1d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0889
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.98%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.0%
in alpha space · 38.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.32%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.22412.2395+0.69%2.1087-5.19%0.0902✗0.9228k2022-02-22
IMXImmutableEthereum1.581.5886+0.54%1.656+4.81%0.0058✓1.103.3M2022-02-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.44420.446396+0.49%0.4585+3.22%0.0205✗1.45586k2022-02-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34010.341414+0.39%0.3536+3.97%0.0195✗1.6716.7M2022-02-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.019370.01944+0.36%0.02+3.25%0.0253✗1.6510.9M2022-02-22
STXStacksnative1.111.114+0.36%1.17+5.41%0.0064✓1.31782k2022-02-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04740.04757+0.36%0.0502+5.91%0.0040✗1.7764.3M2022-02-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.22930.230108+0.35%0.245+6.85%0.0251✓1.15469k2022-02-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.31.304+0.31%1.358+4.46%0.0044✗1.381.9M2022-02-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.3322.3389+0.30%2.436+4.46%0.0038✗1.36579k2022-02-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.251.2537+0.29%1.31+4.80%0.0026✓1.271.1M2022-02-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.033620.033719+0.29%0.03997+18.89%0.1461✓0.731.7M2022-02-22
XTZTezosTezos2.97312.9812+0.27%3.0712+3.30%0.0126✗1.302.1M2022-02-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.20420.204755+0.27%0.2163+5.93%0.0045✓1.543.6M2022-02-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.342.3462+0.26%2.395+2.35%0.0304✗1.5614.4M2022-02-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.24.2103+0.25%4.43+5.48%0.0150✓1.10485k2022-02-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230180.023072+0.24%0.022348-2.91%0.0680✗1.1189k2022-02-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004510.00452+0.22%0.00452+0.22%0.0626✗1.9212.9M2022-02-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.325.3314+0.21%5.611+5.47%0.0176✓1.03297k2022-02-22
HIVEHivenative0.81480.816452+0.20%0.8466+3.90%0.0146✗1.561.8M2022-02-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.069.078+0.20%9.51+4.97%0.0235✓0.70758k2022-02-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43110.43193+0.19%0.453+5.08%0.0151✗1.922.0M2022-02-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06810.068223+0.18%0.0708+3.96%0.0080✗1.381.1M2022-02-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.88830.889901+0.18%0.818-7.91%0.1089✗0.761.5M2022-02-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.059940.060048+0.18%0.06248+4.24%0.0133✓0.8180k2022-02-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.885730.88731+0.18%0.92764+4.73%0.0093✓1.08165k2022-02-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3841.3863+0.16%1.466+5.92%0.0093✓1.43970k2022-02-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0031.0046+0.16%1.078+7.48%0.0297✓1.253.0M2022-02-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.7713.792+0.16%14.5+5.30%0.0259✓0.741.8M2022-02-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.151540.151778+0.16%0.15134-0.13%0.0490✗1.4130k2022-02-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.74210.743099+0.13%0.8019+8.06%0.0278✓1.48411k2022-02-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.8721.8985+0.13%23.73+8.50%0.0311✓1.511.8M2022-02-22
MOVRMoonriverBase68.799768.8883+0.13%69.8217+1.49%0.0357✗1.51257k2022-02-22
SUSHISushiEthereum3.283.2842+0.13%3.4+3.66%0.0108✗1.397.1M2022-02-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024040.000024071+0.13%0.00002495+3.79%0.0095✗1.393.7M2022-02-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36610.366562+0.13%0.3853+5.24%0.0031✓1.431.5M2022-02-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.733.7347+0.13%4.004+7.35%0.0290✓1.242.3M2022-02-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.645790.646498+0.11%0.68391+5.90%0.0070✓1.51278k2022-02-22
ZENHorizenBase32.1432.1695+0.09%35.27+9.74%0.0413✓1.55335k2022-02-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.571.5714+0.09%1.69+7.64%0.0288✓1.352.0M2022-02-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative2525.0185+0.07%26.68+6.72%0.0288✓1.095.2M2022-02-22
UNIUniswapEthereum8.528.5256+0.07%8.86+3.99%0.0047✗1.3211.2M2022-02-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.913.9088+0.06%14.82+6.62%0.0093✓1.662.9M2022-02-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.035910.035932+0.06%0.03793+5.63%0.0179✓1.1132k2022-02-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.720.720338+0.05%0.71-1.39%0.0788✗1.971.1M2022-02-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.5113.5152+0.04%13.98+3.48%0.0058✗1.2161.5M2022-02-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.16860.168654+0.03%0.1778+5.46%0.0071✓1.403.0M2022-02-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010040.010043+0.03%0.0104+3.59%0.0158✗1.552.2M2022-02-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7390.739171+0.02%0.799+8.12%0.0335✓1.362.1M2022-02-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.87752.8781+0.02%2.9222+1.55%0.0177✗1.012.5M2022-02-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.341.3402+0.02%1.38+2.99%0.0086✗1.162.0M2022-02-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.7208+0.01%6.9+2.68%0.0194✓0.211.3M2022-02-22
GITCOINGITCOIN6.046.0405+0.01%6.214+2.88%0.0163✓0.3732k2022-02-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin102.78102.7876+0.01%107.51+4.60%0.0053✓1.2129.9M2022-02-22
KSMKusamaHydration125.92125.9209+0.00%129.85+3.12%0.0082✗1.19930k2022-02-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.08770.087699-0.00%0.0886+1.03%0.0388✓1.50700k2022-02-22
XECeCashnative0.000067830.000067828-0.00%0.00007222+6.47%0.0252✗1.154.6M2022-02-22
CBKCobakEthereum1.9331.9329-0.00%2.01+3.98%0.0047✗1.0520k2022-02-22
AAVEAaveEthereum128.58128.5752-0.00%134.74+4.79%0.0003✓1.456.7M2022-02-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.1916.1879-0.01%16.61+2.59%0.0178✓1.3430.0M2022-02-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12290.122883-0.01%0.1318+7.24%0.0280✗1.293.2M2022-02-22
SCSiacoinnative0.008470.008469-0.02%0.00878+3.66%0.0019✗1.05504k2022-02-22
ADACardanoCardano0.85720.857046-0.02%0.8881+3.60%0.0017✓1.1497.3M2022-02-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.8287-0.03%4.94+2.28%0.0031✓0.79431k2022-02-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2790.278923-0.03%0.295+5.73%0.0123✗1.342.0M2022-02-22
SOLSolanaSolana82.9782.9469-0.03%86.43+4.17%0.0006✗1.24154.8M2022-02-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.5832.5822-0.03%2.693+4.26%0.0146✗0.84203k2022-02-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1280940.128054-0.03%0.13132+2.52%0.0078✓1.014.2M2022-02-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.920.919714-0.03%0.943+2.50%0.0157✓1.25934k2022-02-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.75343.7522-0.03%3.9847+6.16%0.0210✗1.20309k2022-02-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,023.0037,009.23-0.04%38,251.48+3.32%0.0004✗1.00633.0M2022-02-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22060.220509-0.04%0.2269+2.86%0.0050✓1.031.9M2022-02-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.6317.6216-0.05%19.41+10.10%0.0466✗1.53350k2022-02-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12830.128238-0.05%0.1319+2.81%0.0056✓1.03467k2022-02-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06130.061269-0.05%0.0629+2.61%0.0088✓1.0714k2022-02-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.07910.079058-0.05%0.08458+6.93%0.0316✗1.1049k2022-02-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.6418.63-0.05%19.18+2.90%0.0114✓1.2410.1M2022-02-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.172.1688-0.05%2.25+3.69%0.0035✗1.02283k2022-02-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche70.0870.0386-0.06%74.42+6.19%0.0118✗1.50106.7M2022-02-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02630.026282-0.07%0.0265+0.76%0.0390✓1.45497k2022-02-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.275.2664-0.07%5.38+2.09%0.0073✓0.88398k2022-02-22
QTUMQtumQtum5.74315.7388-0.08%6.0072+4.60%0.0026✓1.48172k2022-02-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.640.639487-0.08%0.707+10.47%0.0654✗1.071.9M2022-02-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.35720.35691-0.08%0.3823+7.03%0.0228✗1.418.7M2022-02-22
QNTQuantEthereum106.88106.7921-0.08%115.85+8.39%0.0495✗0.986.6M2022-02-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.955.945-0.08%6.26+5.21%0.0385✗0.401.4M2022-02-22
FTTFTXEthereum39.8139.7766-0.08%41.51+4.27%0.0047✗1.1627.6M2022-02-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3212.319-0.09%2.372+2.20%0.0190✓1.27845k2022-02-22
ORCAOrcaSolana2.622.6176-0.09%2.61-0.38%0.0356✓1.00694k2022-02-22
GTGateEthereum6.08296.0774-0.09%6.1901+1.76%0.0094✓0.853.2M2022-02-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.371.3688-0.09%1.423+3.87%0.0014✓1.231.1M2022-02-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06920.069135-0.09%0.072+4.05%0.0033✗1.14194k2022-02-22
TRXTRONTron0.0594720.059414-0.10%0.06264+5.33%0.0255✗0.84307k2022-02-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.86822.8653-0.10%2.8677-0.02%0.0323✓1.022.4M2022-02-22
DASHDashDash87.0486.9497-0.10%93.56+7.49%0.0356✗1.151.5M2022-02-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash283.16282.8597-0.11%293.48+3.64%0.0047✗0.988.0M2022-02-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,642.8419,621.88-0.11%20,636.07+5.06%0.0169✗1.035.8M2022-02-22
UMAUMAEthereum4.924.9147-0.11%5.156+4.80%0.0150✗1.011.8M2022-02-22
XMRMoneroMonero148147.841-0.11%150.97+2.01%0.0118✓1.001.0M2022-02-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.4812.466-0.11%12.96+3.85%0.0053✗1.03404k2022-02-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.5126.4793-0.12%30.14+13.69%0.0976✗0.981.5M2022-02-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.61271.6108-0.12%1.626+0.82%0.0276✓1.1375k2022-02-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71130.710432-0.12%0.7509+5.57%0.0183✗1.149.9M2022-02-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2415.2345-0.12%5.266+0.48%0.0202✓0.8065k2022-02-22
XVGVergenative0.009290.009278-0.13%0.00963+3.66%0.0051✓1.301.2M2022-02-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum47.3547.2867-0.13%51.15+8.03%0.0365✗1.298.1M2022-02-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.47280.472113-0.15%0.5209+10.17%0.0553✗1.322.3M2022-02-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2480.247634-0.15%0.24-3.23%0.0615✓0.9368k2022-02-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4810.480289-0.15%0.4976+3.45%0.0053✗0.92684k2022-02-22
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8531.8502-0.15%1.859+0.32%0.0279✓1.0085k2022-02-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV80.8780.7468-0.15%83.42+3.15%0.0035✗0.891.0M2022-02-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.78520.783957-0.16%0.8111+3.30%0.0066✓1.2423.9M2022-02-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8892.8841-0.17%2.996+3.70%0.0076✗0.93481k2022-02-22
AVTAventusEthereum2.372.366-0.17%2.49+5.06%0.0185✗1.00639k2022-02-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,080.1037,016.75-0.17%38,333.50+3.38%0.0034✗0.9742k2022-02-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5190670.518176-0.17%0.543354+4.68%0.0100✗1.153.5M2022-02-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0214.0141-0.17%4.152+3.26%0.0058✗0.86383k2022-02-22
ETHEthereumEthereum2,569.002,564.55-0.17%2,637.98+2.69%0.0077✓1.10581.4M2022-02-22
XYMSymbolnative0.14880.148542-0.17%0.1484-0.27%0.0278✓0.82362k2022-02-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.13851.1365-0.17%1.272+11.72%0.0704✗1.292.5M2022-02-22
ZECZcashZcash100.47100.2867-0.18%102.96+2.48%0.0126✓1.197.6M2022-02-22
COMPCompoundEthereum106.4106.2017-0.19%112.33+5.57%0.0139✗1.2959k2022-02-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.48272.4779-0.19%2.6533+6.87%0.0272✗1.263.2M2022-02-22
XLMStellarStellar0.178160.177805-0.20%0.18564+4.20%0.0087✗1.0521.8M2022-02-22
KCSKuCoinnative18.13718.0995-0.21%18.94+4.43%0.0066✗1.199.8M2022-02-22
DODODODOEthereum0.4440.44308-0.21%0.454+2.25%0.0207✓1.384.5M2022-02-22
BANDBandEthereum3.773.7621-0.21%3.874+2.76%0.0123✓1.271.9M2022-02-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.8323.78-0.21%24.84+4.24%0.0078✗1.1056.2M2022-02-22
XVSVenusEthereum8.648.6197-0.24%8.66+0.23%0.0378✓1.303.2M2022-02-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.835.8161-0.24%5.83+0.00%0.0266✓0.89430k2022-02-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.7717.7263-0.25%17.92+0.84%0.0274✓1.1723.0M2022-02-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.02570.025637-0.25%0.02671+3.93%0.0158✗0.774.7M2022-02-22
MINAMina Protocolnative2.162.1545-0.25%2.18+0.93%0.0279✓1.22324k2022-02-22
XEMNEMnative0.09270.092463-0.26%0.0987+6.47%0.0320✗1.0238k2022-02-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0502880.050153-0.27%0.051003+1.42%0.0247✓1.277.5M2022-02-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.045080.044959-0.27%0.0466+3.37%0.0094✓1.39865k2022-02-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0122140.012181-0.27%0.012503+2.37%0.0116✓1.1561k2022-02-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.75691.7517-0.29%1.7886+1.80%0.0034✗0.532.8M2022-02-22
NANOnanopayBase1.90471.8988-0.31%1.964+3.11%0.0066✓1.24218k2022-02-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012840.012799-0.32%0.01237-3.66%0.0595✓0.7815k2022-02-22
LUNATerraTerra 250.1349.9511-0.36%54.77+9.26%0.0480✗1.354.8M2022-02-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0180350.017969-0.37%0.01893+4.96%0.0152✗1.132.2M2022-02-22
BTTCBTTC0.000001940.000001932-0.43%0.00000194+0.00%0.0283✓1.0014.4M2022-02-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.83955.8034-0.62%5.8481+0.15%0.0049✓0.38412k2022-02-22
DIADIAEthereum0.910.904188-0.64%0.89-2.20%0.0485✓1.00281k2022-02-22
PROPropyEthereum1.991.977-0.65%1.83-8.04%0.1343✓1.75680k2022-02-22
RADRadworksEthereum5.075.0273-0.84%5.11+0.79%0.0161✓0.99682k2022-02-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1320.130819-0.89%0.139+5.30%0.0269✗1.0351k2022-02-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.6461.6241-1.33%1.72+4.50%0.0073✓1.53191k2022-02-22
API3Api3Ethereum5.725.6299-1.57%5.979+4.53%0.0490✗0.342.0M2022-02-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.