8=======>

2022-02-19 · +30d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.4007
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+24.82%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
64.7%
in alpha space · 57.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.28%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
API3Api3Ethereum7.476.498-13.01%4.917-34.18%0.2838✓0.222.0M2022-03-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,669.7619,293.99-10.96%20,359.40-6.05%0.0310✓1.016.2M2022-03-21
PROPropyEthereum2.161.9304-10.63%1.59-26.39%0.2344✓1.79708k2022-03-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.039670.035861-9.60%0.03903-1.61%0.0687✓0.711.9M2022-03-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00510.004628-9.26%0.00441-13.53%0.0921✓1.9413.6M2022-03-21
NANOnanopayBase2.0711.8812-9.16%2.212+6.81%0.1340✗1.24263k2022-03-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.88780.809731-8.79%0.8075-9.04%0.0356✓1.46453k2022-03-21
XTZTezosTezos3.60743.2941-8.69%3.2407-10.17%0.0447✓1.262.2M2022-03-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.90010.822077-8.67%0.828-8.01%0.0208✓1.2425.9M2022-03-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0151450.013862-8.47%0.012814-15.39%0.1034✓1.10170k2022-03-21
BANDBandEthereum4.934.5382-7.95%3.749-23.96%0.2186✓1.221.9M2022-03-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0593760.05471-7.86%0.040344-32.05%0.3321✓1.227.5M2022-03-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1350.124403-7.85%0.103-23.70%0.2134✓1.0954k2022-03-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.54850.505599-7.82%0.5105-6.93%0.0107✓0.90741k2022-03-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.030.027809-7.30%0.02575-14.17%0.1098✓1.45499k2022-03-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.996.4845-7.23%6.55-6.29%0.0016✓0.371.4M2022-03-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.98021.8371-7.23%3.1635+59.76%0.5313✗0.542.9M2022-03-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum54.8450.9174-7.15%50.17-8.52%0.0435✓1.279.2M2022-03-21
ORCAOrcaSolana2.822.6219-7.03%2.15-23.76%0.2210✓1.00698k2022-03-21
MOVRMoonriverBase84.556878.7066-6.92%62.2596-26.37%0.2677✓1.47305k2022-03-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.6753.4227-6.87%2.763-24.82%0.2394✓1.12579k2022-03-21
DODODODOEthereum0.4890.455798-6.79%0.419-14.31%0.1155✓1.394.7M2022-03-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum2018.648-6.76%16.97-15.15%0.1204✓1.1623.2M2022-03-21
CELLCellframeEthereum1.88541.7586-6.73%1.499-20.49%0.1941✓1.52189k2022-03-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.29854.014-6.62%4.8275+12.30%0.1577✗1.19330k2022-03-21
FIDABonfidaSolana2.1862.0414-6.61%1.687-22.83%0.2133✓1.0076k2022-03-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.6925.0083-6.30%27.93+4.65%0.0868✗1.0561.0M2022-03-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08060.075807-5.95%0.0712-11.66%0.0929✓1.341.1M2022-03-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.2470.23236-5.93%0.212-14.17%0.1260✓1.523.7M2022-03-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.028780.027082-5.90%0.02617-9.07%0.0533✓0.845.2M2022-03-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.0613.2399-5.83%16.52+17.50%0.1981✗1.03483k2022-03-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.98160.9253-5.74%0.7969-18.82%0.1665✓0.761.5M2022-03-21
UNIUniswapEthereum10.039.4572-5.71%9.35-6.78%0.0409✓1.3111.7M2022-03-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14720.138803-5.70%0.1326-9.92%0.0750✓1.303.3M2022-03-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.1980.186764-5.67%0.2032+2.63%0.0535✓1.363.5M2022-03-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.7665.442-5.62%6.034+4.65%0.0853✗0.7965k2022-03-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche85.0780.2947-5.61%86.26+1.40%0.0402✓1.39110.8M2022-03-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.8270.780658-5.60%0.7443-10.00%0.0721✓1.0810.1M2022-03-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.571.4821-5.60%1.608+2.42%0.0508✓1.362.7M2022-03-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.1114.266-5.59%12.88-14.76%0.1177✓0.691.7M2022-03-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.423.9848-5.57%26.75+5.31%0.0752✗1.501.9M2022-03-21
LUNATerraTerra 250.4647.7505-5.37%95.82+89.89%0.6647✗1.415.3M2022-03-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.04162.8788-5.35%4.1232+35.56%0.3370✗0.992.4M2022-03-21
XYMSymbolnative0.15810.149672-5.33%0.1371-13.28%0.1033✓0.69362k2022-03-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.5214.6954-5.31%15-3.35%0.0067✓1.2167.7M2022-03-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14440.136791-5.27%0.1524+5.54%0.0849✗1.03470k2022-03-21
UMAUMAEthereum5.695.3929-5.22%7.575+33.13%0.3171✗1.011.9M2022-03-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.2655.9394-5.20%5.006-20.10%0.1931✓0.98361k2022-03-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.084.82-5.12%4.42-12.99%0.1103✓1.05510k2022-03-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.382.2586-5.10%2.37-0.42%0.0251✓1.02327k2022-03-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.09630.091409-5.08%0.0897-6.85%0.0528✓1.50903k2022-03-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.42010.398821-5.07%0.3415-18.71%0.1874✓1.431.6M2022-03-21
AVTAventusEthereum2.742.602-5.04%2.27-17.15%0.1591✓1.00723k2022-03-21
STXStacksnative1.311.2442-5.02%1.3-0.76%0.0150✓1.28845k2022-03-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.4190.398152-4.98%0.3439-17.92%0.1838✓1.6517.3M2022-03-21
HIVEHivenative0.96350.916216-4.91%0.9143-5.11%0.0373✓1.561.8M2022-03-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.31362.2004-4.89%2.3043-0.40%0.0252✓0.9328k2022-03-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.374.1563-4.89%4.971+13.75%0.1514✗1.222.5M2022-03-21
RADRadworksEthereum5.315.0552-4.80%4.74-10.73%0.0877✓1.03682k2022-03-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071260.067862-4.77%0.07422+4.15%0.0723✗0.7688k2022-03-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4911.42-4.77%1.618+8.52%0.1046✗1.152.1M2022-03-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05930.056506-4.71%0.0625+5.40%0.0617✗1.7364.3M2022-03-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9732.8352-4.63%3.313+11.44%0.1381✗0.78206k2022-03-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3250.309942-4.63%0.694+113.54%0.7760✗1.332.3M2022-03-21
IMXImmutableEthereum1.981.889-4.60%2.141+8.13%0.1018✗1.043.2M2022-03-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.051540.049187-4.57%0.05358+3.96%0.0546✗1.37951k2022-03-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.159980.152727-4.53%0.15226-4.83%0.0357✓1.4432k2022-03-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6641.5891-4.50%1.433-13.88%0.1341✓1.361.1M2022-03-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.581.509-4.49%1.12-29.11%0.3255✓1.211.2M2022-03-21
XVSVenusEthereum9.999.5416-4.49%9.37-6.21%0.0461✓1.243.2M2022-03-21
BTTCBTTC0.000002020.00000193-4.45%0.00000183-9.41%0.0758✓1.0014.4M2022-03-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.54750.523307-4.42%0.6232+13.83%0.1427✗1.42610k2022-03-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,101.9438,337.57-4.40%41,017.71+2.28%0.0450✓1.00646.5M2022-03-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.8617.0752-4.39%18.75+4.98%0.0632✗1.3432.4M2022-03-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012660.012104-4.39%0.01262-0.32%0.0235✓0.8115k2022-03-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5940430.568079-4.37%0.550176-7.38%0.0577✓1.143.6M2022-03-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.48140.460489-4.34%0.41-14.83%0.1585✓1.881.9M2022-03-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.026090.02496-4.33%0.025644-1.71%0.0013✓1.1489k2022-03-21
DASHDashDash102.4297.99-4.33%123.68+20.76%0.2078✗1.111.5M2022-03-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0206170.019727-4.32%0.01896-8.04%0.0655✓1.142.4M2022-03-21
ETHEthereumEthereum2,764.442,645.72-4.29%2,891.08+4.58%0.0636✗1.11588.4M2022-03-21
ADACardanoCardano0.99690.954365-4.27%0.9179-7.92%0.0639✓1.1197.3M2022-03-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.8219.9362-4.24%17.82-14.41%0.1398✓1.2210.8M2022-03-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.79615.556-4.14%6.1969+6.91%0.1006✗0.38441k2022-03-21
SOLSolanaSolana91.3487.5579-4.14%88.62-2.98%0.0163✓1.26179.7M2022-03-21
KSMKusamaHydration151.15144.9786-4.08%154.99+2.54%0.0403✓1.17973k2022-03-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.4819.6581-4.01%19.75-3.56%0.0299✓1.53371k2022-03-21
GTGateEthereum6.65486.3901-3.98%6.3691-4.29%0.0219✓0.833.6M2022-03-21
STORJStorjEthereum1.02750.986826-3.96%1.1049+7.54%0.0894✗1.05193k2022-03-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.581.5176-3.95%1.531-3.10%0.0189✓1.231.2M2022-03-21
XLMStellarStellar0.2041740.196113-3.95%0.203692-0.24%0.0147✓1.0322.0M2022-03-21
GITCOINGITCOIN6.8736.6021-3.94%6.529-5.01%0.0191✓0.3536k2022-03-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011910.011441-3.94%0.01178-1.09%0.0061✓1.562.2M2022-03-21
MANADecentralandEthereum2.89172.7783-3.92%2.4089-16.69%0.1690✓1.173.3M2022-03-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.850.816749-3.91%0.64-24.71%0.2883✓1.971.2M2022-03-21
AAVEAaveEthereum146.18140.5257-3.87%153.89+5.27%0.0588✗1.426.8M2022-03-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4724.2998-3.85%4.983+11.43%0.1292✗0.81395k2022-03-21
MINAMina Protocolnative2.422.3268-3.85%2.09-13.64%0.1346✓1.21383k2022-03-21
COMPCompoundEthereum121.25116.6298-3.81%113.52-6.38%0.0561✓1.2966k2022-03-21
XECeCashnative0.000078110.000075179-3.75%0.00008042+2.96%0.0419✗1.134.8M2022-03-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.812.7049-3.74%2.196-21.85%0.2425✓1.5115.0M2022-03-21
ZENHorizenBase38.1336.7173-3.71%43.59+14.32%0.1362✗1.56405k2022-03-21
QTUMQtumQtum6.7876.536-3.70%6.8236+0.54%0.0102✓1.45198k2022-03-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040640.039149-3.67%0.04126+1.53%0.0279✓1.0932k2022-03-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.6484.4473-3.64%84.98-3.04%0.0138✓0.891.1M2022-03-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.752370.727062-3.36%0.81655+8.53%0.0826✗1.48334k2022-03-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.925.7216-3.35%8.09+36.66%0.3277✗0.83398k2022-03-21
SUSHISushiEthereum3.873.7412-3.33%3.31-14.47%0.1535✓1.387.4M2022-03-21
FTTFTXEthereum42.7841.4003-3.23%44.67+4.42%0.0497✗1.1728.5M2022-03-21
XEMNEMnative0.10180.098562-3.18%0.1071+5.21%0.0601✗1.0239k2022-03-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41720.404005-3.16%0.4118-1.29%0.0123✓1.398.8M2022-03-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash312.05302.2049-3.15%334.93+7.33%0.0807✗0.988.4M2022-03-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.8347-3.05%0.85-1.28%0.0121✓1.342.4M2022-03-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2813.1837-2.96%3.851+17.37%0.1703✗0.89502k2022-03-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25120.243807-2.94%0.2506-0.24%0.0050✓1.001.9M2022-03-21
DIADIAEthereum1.010.980471-2.92%0.94-6.93%0.0647✓1.00274k2022-03-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.9430.0463-2.89%29.57-4.43%0.0372✓0.941.3M2022-03-21
QNTQuantEthereum110.71107.553-2.85%119.55+7.98%0.0830✗1.017.2M2022-03-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.990.962392-2.79%1.518+53.33%0.4273✗1.26818k2022-03-21
UOSUltraEthereum1.15271.1222-2.65%1.1654+1.10%0.0092✓1.272.6M2022-03-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.99.6533-2.49%13.7+38.38%0.3352✗0.66821k2022-03-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06790.06624-2.44%0.07444+9.63%0.0923✗1.0816k2022-03-21
ZECZcashZcash112.33109.6888-2.35%181.56+61.63%0.4764✗1.227.6M2022-03-21
XMRMoneroMonero161.12157.3703-2.33%191.87+19.09%0.1752✗1.021.1M2022-03-21
XVGVergenative0.010320.010082-2.31%0.0099-4.07%0.0474✓1.291.2M2022-03-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7490.73175-2.30%0.657-12.28%0.1316✓1.052.0M2022-03-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.66911.6324-2.20%2.1544+29.08%0.2522✗1.1275k2022-03-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.277.1106-2.19%6.45-11.28%0.1022✓0.211.4M2022-03-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.821.7804-2.17%1.89+3.85%0.0296✗1.342.0M2022-03-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.5862.5313-2.12%6.191+139.40%0.8654✗1.28845k2022-03-21
KCSKuCoinnative19.83919.4265-2.08%18.09-8.82%0.0986✓1.219.9M2022-03-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.416.2845-1.96%6.22-2.96%0.0297✓0.86430k2022-03-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.285.1829-1.84%6.4+21.21%0.1938✗0.76415k2022-03-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin115.59113.5613-1.76%116.13+0.47%0.0050✓1.2131.4M2022-03-21
SCSiacoinnative0.009670.009505-1.71%0.00956-1.14%0.0175✓1.03504k2022-03-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.0615.7902-1.68%15.85-1.31%0.0344✓1.693.0M2022-03-21
CBKCobakEthereum2.1682.1324-1.64%2.211+1.98%0.0126✓1.0420k2022-03-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00002750.000027058-1.61%0.00002294-16.58%0.1963✓1.383.8M2022-03-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.089250.087844-1.58%0.09486+6.29%0.0522✗1.0950k2022-03-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,901.0039,278.95-1.56%41,105.80+3.02%0.0234✗0.9851k2022-03-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.025160.02483-1.31%0.03588+42.61%0.3370✗1.3810.9M2022-03-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.728.3976-1.05%38.41+33.83%0.2779✗1.075.2M2022-03-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.2730.270362-0.97%0.2933+7.44%0.0567✗1.09538k2022-03-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07840.077779-0.79%0.0752-4.08%0.0589✓1.12194k2022-03-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2540.2523-0.67%0.254+0.00%0.0140✓0.9273k2022-03-21
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1321.1259-0.54%1.228+8.48%0.0588✗1.243.1M2022-03-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.06593.0581-0.25%3.772+23.03%0.1883✗0.952.5M2022-03-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1410020.140705-0.21%0.119184-15.47%0.1887✓1.015.2M2022-03-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.55760.561919+0.77%0.9468+69.80%0.4921✓1.312.3M2022-03-21
TRXTRONTron0.0634820.064517+1.63%0.06179-2.67%0.0623✗0.84330k2022-03-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.