2022-02-17 · +30d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.4553

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+22.43%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

74.7%

in alpha space · 59.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+4.18%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.062402	0.064003	+2.57%	0.061921	-0.77%	0.0675	✗	0.84	344k	2022-03-19
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.138407	0.138979	+0.41%	0.123635	-10.67%	0.1579	✗	1.00	5.9M	2022-03-19
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.542	0.543133	+0.21%	0.8804	+62.44%	0.4296	✓	1.30	2.4M	2022-03-19
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.3132	3.314	+0.03%	3.779	+14.06%	0.0927	✓	0.94	2.3M	2022-03-19
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2746	0.273997	-0.22%	0.2986	+8.74%	0.0395	✗	1.14	538k	2022-03-19
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	40,651.20	40,395.57	-0.63%	42,269.50	+3.98%	0.0054	✓	0.97	58k	2022-03-19
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.142	1.1345	-0.65%	1.285	+12.52%	0.0739	✗	1.24	3.4M	2022-03-19
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.268	0.265814	-0.82%	0.239	-10.82%	0.1430	✓	0.90	70k	2022-03-19
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.43	29.1826	-0.84%	33.99	+15.49%	0.1090	✗	1.06	5.4M	2022-03-19
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.36	5.3075	-0.98%	6.43	+19.96%	0.1612	✗	0.75	415k	2022-03-19
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.42	6.3415	-1.22%	6.42	+0.00%	0.0225	✓	0.85	449k	2022-03-19
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.0902	0.089048	-1.28%	0.09651	+7.00%	0.0357	✗	1.09	50k	2022-03-19
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.231	2.2014	-1.33%	2.249	+0.81%	0.0217	✓	1.05	20k	2022-03-19
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02758	0.02721	-1.34%	0.03602	+30.60%	0.2247	✗	1.36	11.0M	2022-03-19
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.78	15.5674	-1.35%	16.43	+4.12%	0.0150	✓	1.68	3.2M	2022-03-19
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0849	0.083736	-1.37%	0.0761	-10.37%	0.1418	✓	1.13	201k	2022-03-19
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002821	0.000027801	-1.45%	0.00002416	-14.36%	0.1971	✓	1.38	3.5M	2022-03-19
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00987	0.009716	-1.56%	0.00981	-0.61%	0.0326	✓	1.03	489k	2022-03-19
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.71	19.3785	-1.68%	18.631	-5.47%	0.0899	✓	1.23	10.0M	2022-03-19
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.24	10.0618	-1.74%	12.43	+21.39%	0.1846	✗	0.65	821k	2022-03-19
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	116.39	114.2764	-1.82%	116.82	+0.37%	0.0279	✓	1.22	31.6M	2022-03-19
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.668	2.6158	-1.96%	5.895	+120.95%	0.7600	✗	1.28	986k	2022-03-19
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.9	1.8608	-2.06%	1.93	+1.58%	0.0184	✓	1.34	2.1M	2022-03-19
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0698	0.068325	-2.11%	0.07384	+5.79%	0.0338	✗	1.07	17k	2022-03-19
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	113.58	111.1481	-2.14%	179.68	+58.20%	0.4309	✗	1.21	7.6M	2022-03-19
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6695	1.6333	-2.17%	2.1759	+30.33%	0.2402	✗	1.14	72k	2022-03-19
XVG	Verge	native	0.0107	0.010447	-2.36%	0.00967	-9.63%	0.1310	✓	1.31	1.2M	2022-03-19
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.46	7.2814	-2.39%	6.3	-15.55%	0.1537	✓	0.22	1.3M	2022-03-19
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.76017	0.741696	-2.43%	0.84022	+10.53%	0.0646	✗	1.47	334k	2022-03-19
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4369	0.426211	-2.45%	0.4109	-5.95%	0.0931	✓	1.38	8.9M	2022-03-19
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.03	5.8758	-2.56%	8.09	+34.16%	0.2859	✗	0.83	435k	2022-03-19
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.72	42.5713	-2.63%	44.92	+2.74%	0.0061	✓	1.16	30.4M	2022-03-19
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	313.15	304.7596	-2.68%	328.01	+4.75%	0.0335	✗	0.98	8.4M	2022-03-19
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2511	1.2176	-2.68%	1.1565	-7.57%	0.1039	✓	1.28	2.5M	2022-03-19
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.894	0.869894	-2.70%	0.863	-3.47%	0.0630	✓	1.34	2.4M	2022-03-19
XMR	Monero	Monero	163.89	159.4558	-2.71%	197.76	+20.67%	0.1738	✗	1.01	1.2M	2022-03-19
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.07	1.0405	-2.75%	1.512	+41.31%	0.3193	✗	1.33	751k	2022-03-19
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	26.61	25.8534	-2.84%	29.06	+9.21%	0.0784	✗	0.94	1.2M	2022-03-19
ZEN	Horizen	Base	36.74	35.686	-2.87%	41.99	+14.29%	0.0993	✗	1.55	405k	2022-03-19
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	119.39	115.9566	-2.88%	119.96	+0.48%	0.0072	✓	1.00	7.6M	2022-03-19
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.5502	5.3891	-2.90%	6.054	+9.08%	0.1009	✗	0.38	441k	2022-03-19
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.268	3.1721	-2.93%	3.759	+15.02%	0.1336	✗	0.88	481k	2022-03-19
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.742	0.719856	-2.98%	0.654	-11.86%	0.1397	✓	1.07	1.9M	2022-03-19
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		87.71	85.0213	-3.07%	83.33	-4.99%	0.0564	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-03-19
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2525	0.244586	-3.13%	0.2536	+0.44%	0.0048	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-03-19
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.91	2.8182	-3.16%	2.286	-21.44%	0.2705	✓	1.49	15.9M	2022-03-19
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.95	3.8156	-3.40%	3.36	-14.94%	0.1832	✓	1.37	8.2M	2022-03-19
SOL	Solana	Solana	93.56	90.3538	-3.43%	92.39	-1.25%	0.0283	✓	1.23	179.7M	2022-03-19
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007849	0.000075776	-3.46%	0.00008321	+6.01%	0.0473	✗	1.13	4.8M	2022-03-19
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.3	20.561	-3.47%	20.56	-3.47%	0.0623	✓	1.52	387k	2022-03-19
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	123.7	119.4079	-3.47%	118.78	-3.98%	0.0579	✓	1.28	65k	2022-03-19
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.58	6.3515	-3.47%	6.3214	-3.93%	0.0387	✓	0.83	3.7M	2022-03-19
XEM	NEM	native	0.1047	0.101041	-3.49%	0.1011	-3.44%	0.0410	✓	1.01	37k	2022-03-19
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	152.99	147.6376	-3.50%	157.26	+2.79%	0.0058	✓	1.40	7.8M	2022-03-19
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01178	0.011366	-3.52%	0.01214	+3.06%	0.0020	✓	1.56	2.0M	2022-03-19
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04103	0.039564	-3.57%	0.04149	+1.12%	0.0024	✓	1.10	32k	2022-03-19
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	155.14	149.5504	-3.60%	146.84	-5.35%	0.0663	✓	1.17	973k	2022-03-19
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.107	6.8495	-3.62%	7.016	-1.28%	0.0096	✓	0.35	37k	2022-03-19
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01258	0.012115	-3.70%	0.01239	-1.51%	0.0104	✓	0.80	15k	2022-03-19
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07416	0.071408	-3.71%	0.07465	+0.66%	0.0130	✓	0.77	89k	2022-03-19
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.65	1.5886	-3.72%	1.635	-0.91%	0.0212	✓	1.22	1.3M	2022-03-19
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.567	4.3952	-3.76%	4.875	+6.74%	0.0706	✗	0.81	379k	2022-03-19
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.56	2.4631	-3.78%	2.16	-15.62%	0.1800	✓	1.19	390k	2022-03-19
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.334	0.321236	-3.82%	0.698	+108.98%	0.7205	✗	1.36	2.3M	2022-03-19
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.202261	0.194353	-3.91%	0.20054	-0.85%	0.0101	✓	1.01	21.9M	2022-03-19
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.54	19.7303	-3.94%	18.21	-11.34%	0.1302	✓	1.22	10.8M	2022-03-19
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.499	6.2428	-3.94%	5.261	-19.05%	0.2113	✓	0.98	407k	2022-03-19
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	40,536.73	38,913.45	-4.00%	42,232.26	+4.18%	0.0409	✓	1.00	686.5M	2022-03-19
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,893.56	2,775.83	-4.07%	2,952.16	+2.03%	0.0160	✓	1.11	588.4M	2022-03-19
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05215	0.050018	-4.09%	0.05148	-1.28%	0.0274	✓	1.37	1.1M	2022-03-19
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.35	14.7221	-4.09%	13.17	-14.20%	0.1393	✓	0.68	1.7M	2022-03-19
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.16	17.4166	-4.09%	19.42	+6.94%	0.0542	✗	1.34	32.8M	2022-03-19
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020359	0.019526	-4.09%	0.02061	+1.23%	0.0071	✓	1.15	2.4M	2022-03-19
DASH	Dash	Dash	104.76	100.462	-4.10%	103.03	-1.65%	0.0198	✓	1.10	1.8M	2022-03-19
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.62107	0.594776	-4.23%	0.547794	-11.80%	0.1286	✓	1.13	3.6M	2022-03-19
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.0801	2.9481	-4.29%	2.508	-18.58%	0.2087	✓	1.15	3.3M	2022-03-19
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.899555	-4.30%	0.66	-29.79%	0.3904	✓	1.97	1.2M	2022-03-19
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5382	0.515038	-4.30%	0.4445	-17.41%	0.2223	✓	1.83	1.8M	2022-03-19
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.015	6.7126	-4.31%	6.3544	-9.42%	0.1145	✓	1.46	165k	2022-03-19
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.541	1.474	-4.35%	1.639	+6.36%	0.0591	✗	1.15	2.1M	2022-03-19
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.59	4.3903	-4.35%	5.173	+12.70%	0.1142	✗	1.22	2.6M	2022-03-19
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.13	2.0373	-4.35%	2.084	-2.16%	0.0199	✓	1.04	3.2M	2022-03-19
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.66	1.5877	-4.36%	1.21	-27.11%	0.3214	✓	1.21	1.2M	2022-03-19
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0203	0.975588	-4.38%	0.903	-11.50%	0.1228	✓	1.11	102.4M	2022-03-19
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0731	1.026	-4.38%	1.0989	+2.41%	0.0252	✓	1.06	189k	2022-03-19
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0608	0.058131	-4.39%	0.066	+8.55%	0.0557	✗	1.74	64.3M	2022-03-19
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1536	0.146775	-4.44%	0.155	+0.91%	0.0123	✓	1.03	470k	2022-03-19
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.08	2.9426	-4.46%	3.33	+8.12%	0.0921	✗	0.77	212k	2022-03-19
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.27	48.025	-4.47%	92.1	+83.21%	0.5933	✗	1.41	6.1M	2022-03-19
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6239	0.596036	-4.47%	0.4542	-27.20%	0.3302	✓	1.43	665k	2022-03-19
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.741	1.663	-4.48%	1.51	-13.27%	0.1522	✓	1.36	1.1M	2022-03-19
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4073	0.388775	-4.55%	0.3541	-13.06%	0.1615	✓	1.66	18.6M	2022-03-19
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4344	0.414584	-4.56%	0.3558	-18.09%	0.2126	✓	1.46	1.8M	2022-03-19
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16982	0.162006	-4.60%	0.15441	-9.07%	0.1068	✓	1.43	32k	2022-03-19
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.58	13.9074	-4.61%	22.51	+54.39%	0.4397	✗	1.02	483k	2022-03-19
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.54	5.2824	-4.65%	4.69	-15.34%	0.1606	✓	1.02	701k	2022-03-19
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.227	3.0736	-4.75%	4.1949	+29.99%	0.2703	✗	0.99	2.4M	2022-03-19
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000206	0.000001962	-4.78%	0.00000187	-9.22%	0.0888	✓	1.00	14.2M	2022-03-19
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.4805	1.4091	-4.82%	1.5032	+1.53%	0.0021	✓	1.53	144k	2022-03-19
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.47	2.3507	-4.83%	2.4	-2.83%	0.0210	✓	1.02	361k	2022-03-19
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.1	5.8044	-4.85%	5.284	-13.38%	0.1271	✓	0.81	71k	2022-03-19
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1642	0.156213	-4.86%	0.137	-16.57%	0.1583	✓	0.66	388k	2022-03-19
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.051055	0.048556	-4.89%	0.042197	-17.35%	0.1897	✓	1.21	7.6M	2022-03-19
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0969	0.092136	-4.92%	0.0886	-8.57%	0.1010	✓	1.51	944k	2022-03-19
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2015	0.191566	-4.93%	0.2114	+4.91%	0.0427	✓	1.36	3.6M	2022-03-19
STX	Stacks	native	1.4	1.3296	-5.03%	1.32	-5.71%	0.0482	✓	1.00	963k	2022-03-19
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.6	14.8156	-5.03%	15.01	-3.78%	0.0357	✓	1.19	69.3M	2022-03-19
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.41	9.8799	-5.09%	9.74	-6.44%	0.0678	✓	1.31	11.7M	2022-03-19
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2558	0.242292	-5.28%	0.2115	-17.32%	0.1984	✓	1.52	3.9M	2022-03-19
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.45	5.1621	-5.28%	4.65	-14.68%	0.1474	✓	1.05	532k	2022-03-19
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.69	1.6007	-5.28%	1.588	-6.04%	0.0636	✓	1.36	2.7M	2022-03-19
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02995	0.028364	-5.30%	0.02695	-10.02%	0.0859	✓	0.85	5.8M	2022-03-19
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0138	0.959665	-5.34%	0.9324	-8.03%	0.0924	✓	1.55	1.9M	2022-03-19
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	88.28	83.5207	-5.39%	89.58	+1.47%	0.0124	✓	1.41	106.7M	2022-03-19
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	11.44	10.8158	-5.46%	9.14	-20.10%	0.2184	✓	1.22	3.2M	2022-03-19
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.54	24.1462	-5.46%	27.71	+8.50%	0.0770	✗	1.48	2.0M	2022-03-19
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8222	0.777058	-5.49%	0.7509	-8.67%	0.0777	✓	1.06	11.6M	2022-03-19
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0825	0.077902	-5.57%	0.072	-12.73%	0.1330	✓	1.32	966k	2022-03-19
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.89	2.7288	-5.58%	2.15	-25.61%	0.2794	✓	1.00	723k	2022-03-19
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.03	5.6893	-5.65%	7.689	+27.51%	0.2604	✗	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-19
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.026932	0.025392	-5.72%	0.019485	-27.65%	0.3119	✓	1.15	89k	2022-03-19
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	85.9444	80.7723	-6.02%	56.5062	-34.25%	0.4188	✓	1.50	315k	2022-03-19
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	56.37	52.9563	-6.06%	52.05	-7.66%	0.0691	✓	1.27	9.2M	2022-03-19
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	28.08	26.3672	-6.10%	28.65	+2.03%	0.0403	✓	1.04	66.4M	2022-03-19
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.86	18.6294	-6.20%	17.62	-11.28%	0.1030	✓	1.16	24.4M	2022-03-19
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4641	3.2491	-6.21%	2.2005	-36.48%	0.4280	✓	0.93	28k	2022-03-19
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.44	4.1644	-6.21%	3.81	-14.19%	0.1394	✓	1.23	1.9M	2022-03-19
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.3951	4.1223	-6.21%	4.7092	+7.14%	0.0851	✗	1.17	335k	2022-03-19
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.105	1.9712	-6.36%	1.718	-18.38%	0.1784	✓	1.00	76k	2022-03-19
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.92	2.7335	-6.39%	2.13	-27.05%	0.2904	✓	1.00	775k	2022-03-19
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.1	6.6431	-6.44%	7.03	-0.99%	0.0415	✓	0.37	1.7M	2022-03-19
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1568	0.146653	-6.47%	0.1318	-15.94%	0.1583	✓	1.26	3.3M	2022-03-19
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.493	0.460611	-6.57%	0.435	-11.76%	0.1145	✓	1.40	4.5M	2022-03-19
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.316	4.0219	-6.81%	2.85	-33.97%	0.3899	✓	1.11	620k	2022-03-19
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.124	0.115547	-6.82%	0.11	-11.29%	0.0955	✓	1.13	57k	2022-03-19
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.883	0.818485	-7.31%	0.936	+6.00%	0.0751	✓	1.44	501k	2022-03-19
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5558	0.514916	-7.36%	0.5182	-6.77%	0.0307	✓	0.90	804k	2022-03-19
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0309	0.028617	-7.39%	0.02698	-12.69%	0.1185	✓	1.45	499k	2022-03-19
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8983	0.828696	-7.75%	0.7651	-14.83%	0.1299	✓	1.22	26.6M	2022-03-19
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.6686	3.3717	-8.09%	3.2577	-11.20%	0.0863	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-03-19
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1008	1.9295	-8.15%	2.2702	+8.07%	0.1122	✗	1.23	315k	2022-03-19
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2327	1.1313	-8.22%	0.766	-37.86%	0.4200	✓	0.73	1.5M	2022-03-19
API3	Api3	Ethereum	5	4.5857	-8.29%	5.02	+0.40%	0.0809	✓	0.23	1.8M	2022-03-19
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0054	0.004938	-8.55%	0.0036	-33.33%	0.3957	✓	1.94	16.8M	2022-03-19
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015816	0.014396	-8.98%	0.012233	-22.65%	0.2081	✓	1.11	417k	2022-03-19
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.2781	2.0386	-10.51%	3.3286	+46.11%	0.4681	✗	0.54	3.1M	2022-03-19
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.17	1.9392	-10.63%	1.53	-29.49%	0.3105	✓	1.79	782k	2022-03-19
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	22,441.70	20,031.93	-10.74%	20,673.79	-7.88%	0.0095	✓	1.00	6.9M	2022-03-19
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04378	0.038758	-11.47%	0.03453	-21.13%	0.1442	✓	0.70	2.0M	2022-03-19
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.2	1.0295	-14.21%	0.94	-21.67%	0.1320	✓	1.00	270k	2022-03-19

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.